Tearsheet

Deckers Outdoor (DECK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $94.22 | Market Cap: $14.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Footwear

Deckers Outdoor (DECK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $94.22
Market Cap: $14.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Footwear

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DECK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, is in the future. However, search results for Deckers Outdoor (DECK) in 2025 indicate significant stock movements and related news occurred earlier in the fiscal year 2025, particularly around the release of Q3 and Q4 2025 earnings. While the precise -20.6% movement within the requested future timeframe cannot be confirmed, the provided search results highlight factors that led to notable declines in DECK's stock price during early to mid-2025. Here are key points explaining stock declines for Deckers Outdoor in fiscal year 2025: **1. Weak Q4 and Q1 Guidance Miss.**

**2. HOKA's Slowing Trajectory and Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Deceleration.**

**3. Broader Market Concerns about Consumer Demand and the Competitive Landscape.**

**4. Impact of Tariffs and Rising Prices.**

**5. Despite Strong Q3 and Q4 2025 Financial Results, Investor Sentiment Remained Cautious.**

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DECK Return70%28%9%67%82%-55%226%
Peers Return16%37%-22%5%-0%-1%28%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DECK Win Rate75%75%50%67%67%20% 
Peers Win Rate45%50%30%45%38%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DECK Max Drawdown-46%-3%-38%-2%-2%-61% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-4%-39%-14%-11%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NKE, LEVI, CROX, SHOO, FWDI. See DECK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDECKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-48.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven308 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven76 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven108 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-77.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven337.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven473 days1480 days

Compare to NKE, LEVI, CROX, SHOO, FWDI


In The Past

Deckers Outdoor's stock fell -48.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/16/2021. A -48.4% loss requires a 94.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DECK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
12.6%12.6%-2.4%
DECK_3312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.6%-17.9%-28.9%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
12.6%12.6%-2.4%
DECK_3312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.6%-17.9%-28.9%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Deckers Outdoor

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DECKNKELEVICROXSHOOFWDIMedian
NameDeckers .Nike Levi Str.Crocs Steven M.Forward . 
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Growth & Margins

DECKNKELEVICROXSHOOFWDIMedian
NameDeckers .Nike Levi Str.Crocs Steven M.Forward . 
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Valuation

DECKNKELEVICROXSHOOFWDIMedian
NameDeckers .Nike Levi Str.Crocs Steven M.Forward . 
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Returns

DECKNKELEVICROXSHOOFWDIMedian
NameDeckers .Nike Levi Str.Crocs Steven M.Forward . 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Unallocated cash and cash equivalents1,5029828441,089649
Unallocated other corporate assets504414393320312
HOKA brand wholesale436446293168125
Direct-to-Consumer264219191196243
UGG brand wholesale247262383212245
Teva brand wholesale8295918790
Unallocated deferred tax assets, net7373643728
Sanuk brand wholesale1941413850
Other brands wholesale924321922
Total3,1362,5562,3322,1681,765


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,898,631
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.8%
Average Daily Volume3,744,618
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.31
Basic Shares Quantity149,344,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025523202510-K 3/31/2025
12312024203202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024524202410-K 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023526202310-K 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022527202210-K 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-Q 12/31/2021