Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Home & Leisure Goods, and Outdoor Living & Home Recreation.
  Key risks
POOL key risks include [1] economic volatility impacting discretionary consumer spending and [2] high seasonality and vulnerability to adverse weather.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 31%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Home & Leisure Goods, and Outdoor Living & Home Recreation.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -76%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -94%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 25x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.7%
6 Key risks
POOL key risks include [1] economic volatility impacting discretionary consumer spending and [2] high seasonality and vulnerability to adverse weather.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

POOL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

From approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, Pool Corporation's (POOL) stock experienced a decline of 23.6% due to several key factors.

1. Weak demand for new pool construction and discretionary spending. The stock has been negatively impacted by concerns over consumer discretionary spending, with new pool construction demand slowing significantly since 2022. Management indicated that a significant improvement in activity is contingent on further interest rate cuts. The company also anticipated a decline of approximately 15% in remodel activity year-over-year.

2. Cautious investor sentiment following mixed Q3 2025 earnings. While Pool Corporation reported Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) that slightly beat analyst estimates on October 23, 2025, its revenue either slightly missed or just met expectations, depending on the source, and organic revenue growth missed estimates. The adjusted EBITDA also missed estimates by 1%. The stock's pre-market decline after the earnings release indicated cautious investor sentiment despite the slight EPS beat.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
POOL Return77%53%-46%34%-13%-29%19%
Peers Return-58%17%26%-19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
POOL Win Rate75%75%17%50%50%42% 
Peers Win Rate61%25%48%55%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
POOL Max Drawdown-21%-16%-49%-0%-25%-31% 
Peers Max Drawdown-62%-20%-27%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PNR, HAYW, LESL, SWIM, SITE. See POOL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPOOLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven62 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-21.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven27.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven92 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-73.1%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven272.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,305 days1,480 days

Compare to PFGC, WSO, CNM, ASO, GPC


In The Past

Pool's stock fell -50.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -50.9% loss requires a 103.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Pool (POOL)

Better Bets than Pool (POOL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to POOL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
POOL_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025POOLPoolDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-8.2%
POOL_5312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312023POOLPoolDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%14.0%-1.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
POOL_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025POOLPoolDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-8.2%
POOL_5312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312023POOLPoolDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%14.0%-1.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Pool

Peers to compare with:

Financials

POOLPNRHAYWLESLSWIMSITEMedian
NamePool Pentair Hayward Leslies Latham SiteOne . 
Mkt Price236.28103.6615.781.986.45127.5559.72
Mkt Cap8.817.03.40.00.85.74.6
Rev LTM5,2954,1281,1001,2515334,6722,689
Op Inc LTM589864230728218224
FCF LTM395783191-2424205198
FCF 3Y Avg609675190-1455230210
CFO LTM456850219846255237
CFO 3Y Avg6707482172382274246

Growth & Margins

POOLPNRHAYWLESLSWIMSITEMedian
NamePool Pentair Hayward Leslies Latham SiteOne . 
Rev Chg LTM-0.6%0.8%9.7%-8.4%4.1%4.0%2.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.7%0.2%-6.0%-5.7%-9.3%5.9%-5.2%
Rev Chg Q1.3%2.9%7.4%-12.2%7.6%4.1%3.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%0.7%1.5%-5.2%2.2%1.1%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM11.1%20.9%20.9%0.5%5.3%4.7%8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.3%18.8%19.0%5.1%3.5%5.1%8.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%0.5%0.3%-2.2%1.4%0.3%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM8.6%20.6%19.9%0.6%8.7%5.5%8.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.3%18.2%21.2%1.9%14.9%6.2%13.6%
FCF/Rev LTM7.5%19.0%17.4%-1.9%4.5%4.4%6.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.2%16.4%18.5%-0.8%10.1%5.2%10.6%

Valuation

POOLPNRHAYWLESLSWIMSITEMedian
NamePool Pentair Hayward Leslies Latham SiteOne . 
Mkt Cap8.817.03.40.00.85.74.6
P/S2.24.43.00.11.71.21.9
P/EBIT19.522.014.111.729.626.420.8
P/E27.927.723.8-0.9-80.441.525.8
P/CFO25.221.315.010.219.222.620.3
Total Yield5.2%4.5%4.2%-107.9%-1.2%2.4%3.3%
Dividend Yield1.6%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.6%4.5%5.9%-8.5%11.6%3.5%4.5%
D/E0.10.10.313.30.40.20.2
Net D/E0.10.10.212.70.30.10.2

Returns

POOLPNRHAYWLESLSWIMSITEMedian
NamePool Pentair Hayward Leslies Latham SiteOne . 
1M Rtn-0.7%1.8%3.2%-32.7%1.4%-0.9%0.4%
3M Rtn-26.6%-5.1%4.4%-65.0%-16.8%-6.1%-11.5%
6M Rtn-16.4%7.4%16.9%-78.9%10.8%9.1%8.2%
12M Rtn-33.0%-0.7%-1.9%-95.7%-16.8%-9.0%-12.9%
3Y Rtn-21.3%147.6%72.5%-99.2%100.3%9.1%40.8%
1M Excs Rtn-1.4%1.1%2.5%-33.4%0.7%-1.6%-0.4%
3M Excs Rtn-28.3%-8.2%1.7%-66.4%-19.1%-7.8%-13.6%
6M Excs Rtn-28.8%-5.0%4.5%-91.3%-1.6%-3.3%-4.1%
12M Excs Rtn-44.9%-13.4%-14.0%-107.0%-25.4%-20.8%-23.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-94.1%65.4%1.8%-167.6%30.0%-62.6%-30.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment5,5426,1805,2963,9373,200
Total5,5426,1805,2963,9373,200


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,948,550
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-10.7%
Average Daily Volume1,080,471
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.73
Basic Shares Quantity37,090,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/20250.9%-4.7%-22.3%
7/24/20253.0%-1.5%-2.2%
2/20/20251.0%2.0%-5.7%
10/24/20247.6%3.9%4.3%
7/25/202410.0%14.3%6.8%
2/22/2024-2.6%1.0%8.0%
10/19/2023-3.4%-5.2%3.5%
7/20/2023-1.3%6.0%-3.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101211
# Negative978
Median Positive4.7%4.0%7.6%
Median Negative-3.1%-5.2%-4.7%
Max Positive10.0%14.3%25.5%
Max Negative-10.1%-10.5%-22.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024429202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231026202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0NEIL JENNIFER MSr VP, Sec & Chief Legal Off4012025Sell315.001,223385,2453,045,105Form