Pool (POOL)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $183.0 | Market Cap: $6.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Distributors
Pool (POOL)
Market Price (5/13/2026): $183.0Market Cap: $6.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Distributors
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Home & Leisure Goods, and Outdoor Living & Home Recreation. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.5% Key risksPOOL key risks include [1] economic volatility impacting discretionary consumer spending and [2] high seasonality and vulnerability to adverse weather. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Home & Leisure Goods, and Outdoor Living & Home Recreation. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -125% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.5% |
| Key risksPOOL key risks include [1] economic volatility impacting discretionary consumer spending and [2] high seasonality and vulnerability to adverse weather. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Weak Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings and Cautious 2026 Outlook. The stock experienced a significant decline following the announcement of its fourth-quarter 2025 results, which missed analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue. The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $0.85, down from $0.98 in the prior year, and net sales were flat year-over-year at $982.2 million. Additionally, the company provided a weaker-than-anticipated forecast for 2026, guiding for an EPS midpoint of $11.00. This news caused the stock to drop 13% at the time.
2. Persistent Headwinds in New Pool Construction and Discretionary Spending. Macroeconomic factors such as high interest rates and elevated construction costs have led to a prolonged downturn in new pool construction activity and a deferral of remodeling efforts by pool owners. New pool construction in 2025 was estimated to be down 50% from its pandemic peak, indicating a significant slowdown in the discretionary segment of the pool industry. While maintenance demand has remained resilient, the overall weakness in new construction continues to impact revenue growth.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -27.8% change in POOL stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 252.58 | 182.33 | -27.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,295 | 5,356 | 1.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.8% | 7.6% | -2.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.7 | 16.3 | -28.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 36 | 2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -27.8% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POOL | -27.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | 27.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.2% | 37.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -31.0% change in POOL stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 264.17 | 182.33 | -31.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,295 | 5,356 | 1.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.8% | 7.6% | -2.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.8 | 16.3 | -31.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 36 | 2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -31.0% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POOL | -31.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | 30.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.0% | 40.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -36.6% change in POOL stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 287.71 | 182.33 | -36.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,262 | 5,356 | 1.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.8% | 7.6% | -2.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.4 | 16.3 | -38.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 37 | 36 | 3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -36.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POOL | -36.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 34.6% | 35.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 20.9% | 43.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -45.7% change in POOL stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5122026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 336.07 | 182.33 | -45.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 5,974 | 5,356 | -10.3% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.2% | 7.6% | -32.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.5 | 16.3 | -16.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 39 | 36 | 6.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -45.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/12/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| POOL | -45.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 84.4% | 39.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 64.0% | 46.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| POOL Return | 53% | -46% | 34% | -13% | -32% | -19% | -47% |
| Peers Return | 25% | -58% | 17% | 26% | -21% | -12% | -46% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| POOL Win Rate | 75% | 17% | 50% | 50% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 59% | 25% | 48% | 55% | 40% | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| POOL Max Drawdown | -16% | -49% | -0% | -25% | -32% | -19% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -62% | -20% | -27% | -40% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PNR, HAYW, LESL, SWIM, SITE. See POOL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/12/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | POOL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -18.0% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 48 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -16.0% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 29 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -14.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.3% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 105 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -18.9% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 39 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -20.0% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.0% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 125 days |
In The Past
Pool's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | POOL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -28.0% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 38.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 140 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -20.0% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.0% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 225 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -41.5% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 70.9% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 136 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.8% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1577 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Pool's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Pool (POOL)
AI Analysis | Feedback
ABC Supply for pools: Pool Corp. is the wholesale distributor for everything a pool contractor needs, much like ABC Supply for roofing and siding.
Grainger for pools and outdoor living: Pool Corp. is a B2B distributor of supplies, equipment, and parts for pools and outdoor living, similar to Grainger for industrial supplies.
A specialized Home Depot for pool contractors: Imagine a Home Depot focused exclusively on swimming pools, spas, and outdoor living, primarily serving professional builders and service companies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Maintenance Products: The company offers chemicals, supplies, and accessories necessary for pool upkeep.
- Repair and Replacement Parts: It provides parts for pool equipment such as cleaners, filters, heaters, pumps, and lights.
- Pool Construction Components: This category includes fiberglass pools, hot tubs, packaged pool kits, and general equipment for new pool construction and remodeling.
- Irrigation and Lawn Care Products: POOL distributes irrigation system components, professional lawn care equipment, and supplies.
- Building Materials: The company supplies concrete, plumbing, electrical components, surfaces, decking materials, and tiles for pool installations and remodeling.
- Commercial Pool Products: It provides specialized heaters, safety equipment, and commercial pumps and filters for large facilities.
- Recreational and Outdoor Living Products: This includes discretionary items like grills and components for outdoor kitchens.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Pool Corporation (POOL) primarily sells to other businesses. The provided background information describes the categories of these business customers rather than naming specific companies. Its major customers include:
- Swimming pool remodelers and builders
- Specialty retailers that sell swimming pool supplies
- Swimming pool repair and service businesses
- Irrigation construction and landscape maintenance contractors
- Commercial customers that serve hotels, universities, and community recreational facilities
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Pentair plc (PNR)
- Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW)
- Fluidra S.A. (FDR.MC)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Peter D. Arvan, President and Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Arvan has served as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Pool Corporation since 2019, having joined the company as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer in 2017. Before his tenure at POOLCORP, he was the Chief Executive Officer of Roofing Supply Group (RSG) from 2013 to 2015. RSG was subsequently acquired by Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc. in October 2015. From 2004 to 2013, Mr. Arvan was the President of SABIC Polymershapes (formerly GE Plastics - Polymershapes). He also held various management positions at GE Supply from 1988 to 2004, including General Manager of Global Supply Chain and Six Sigma Master Black Belt and Quality Leader.
Melanie M. Hart, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer
Mrs. Hart was named Senior Vice President in 2024 and has served as Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Pool Corporation since 2021. Her prior roles at the company include Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer from 2019 to 2021, and Chief Accounting Officer and Corporate Controller from 2008 to 2019. She joined POOLCORP in 2006 as the Senior Director of Corporate Accounting. Mrs. Hart is a certified public accountant and previously spent 12 years as a Senior Manager in the Assurance and Advisory Business Services Practice at Ernst & Young (EY), working with numerous publicly traded companies. She serves on the Board of Directors of Landstar System (Nasdaq: LSTR) and was appointed to the Board of Directors of Beacon Roofing Supply (Nasdaq: BECN) in September 2022.
John B. Watwood, Executive Vice President
Mr. Watwood joined Pool Corporation in 2026 as Executive Vice President, where he is responsible for North American swimming pool operations and leading digital and technology initiatives. Before joining POOLCORP, he held various management positions at Motion Industries, Inc. since 2008, most recently as Senior Vice President of Sales and Operations for the United States and Canada. Earlier in his career, Mr. Watwood held positions at SMC Corporation of America, Fluid Engineering Inc., and Applied Industrial Technologies.
Jennifer M. Neil, Senior Vice President, Secretary and Chief Legal Officer
Ms. Neil has served as Senior Vice President of Pool Corporation since February 2024. She joined the company in 2003 as Chief Legal Officer and has served as Secretary since 2005. She was appointed Vice President in 2018. Prior to joining POOLCORP, Ms. Neil was employed by Adams and Reese LLP from 2000 to 2003, where she advised corporations, and before that, she was an associate with Skadden, Arps, Slate, Meagher & Flom LLP, focusing on structured finance.
Kenneth G. St. Romain, Senior Vice President
Mr. St. Romain was named Senior Vice President of Pool Corporation in 2022. He is set to retire in 2026 after more than 40 years with the company. His previous roles include Group Vice President from 2007 to 2022, General Manager of the Central Division of SCP Distributors, LLC from 2001 to 2007, and Vice President of SCP Distributors, LLC since 2004. Mr. St. Romain has held several management positions within the company since joining in 1993.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Pool Corporation's business are:-
Economic Sensitivity and Consumer Discretionary Spending
Pool Corporation's business is highly susceptible to macroeconomic conditions, including changes in interest rates, inflation, and the housing market, which directly influence consumer discretionary spending. Rising interest rates, for instance, significantly impact new pool construction by increasing financing costs, leading to a slowdown in demand for large projects. Approximately 60% of the company's revenue is tied to the cyclical residential construction and renovation markets, making it vulnerable to economic downturns and shifts in consumer confidence. A decline in disposable income or consumer confidence can lead to reduced sales and profitability for discretionary pool-related products and services.
-
Seasonality and Adverse Weather Conditions
The company's business is inherently seasonal, with peak sales occurring during the warmer months, which can lead to significant revenue fluctuations. Adverse weather conditions, such as unusually cool or wet springs, or even natural disasters, can shorten the swimming pool season and directly reduce demand for chemicals, maintenance, and new construction. Additionally, drought conditions or water management initiatives that result in government-imposed water use restrictions could negatively impact sales of new pool and irrigation system installations.
-
Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure
Pool Corporation operates in a highly competitive market within the swimming pool supply and equipment distribution industry. The company faces competition from other leisure product alternatives, mass merchants, smaller family businesses offering technical services, and online retailers. This competitive landscape can exert pressure on pricing, especially during periods of softer demand or when volumes decline, which could lead to more aggressive pricing strategies among distributors to defend market share.
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Pool Corporation (POOL) operates in several addressable markets related to swimming pools, irrigation, and outdoor living products. The market sizes for their main products and services, by region, are as follows:
Swimming Pool Equipment and Maintenance
- The global pool equipment and maintenance market was valued at approximately USD 21.72 billion in 2024. This market is projected to grow to USD 58.79 billion by 2033.
- The global swimming pool equipment market size was valued at USD 13.81 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 19.15 billion by 2031.
- The global swimming pool accessories market size was valued at USD 6.86 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 8.90 billion by 2029. Another estimate places the global swimming pool accessories market size at approximately USD 7.9 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 12.6 billion by 2034.
- The global pool cleaning and maintenance services market was valued at USD 26.77 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 38.4 billion by 2030. North America was the largest region in this market in 2025.
- Pool Corporation estimates that about 60% of consumer spending in the pool industry is for maintenance and minor repair of existing swimming pools.
Swimming Pool Construction and Remodeling
- The global swimming pool construction market size was valued at USD 8.66 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 12.43 billion by 2033.
- Another estimate for the global swimming pool construction market size was USD 7.7 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 10.4 billion by 2034. North America dominated this market, accounting for a 27% share in 2024 and the largest market share in 2025.
- Pool Corporation estimates that 21% to 23% of consumer spending in the industry goes to remodeling and renovating.
- The U.S. pool market size in 2023 was USD 12 billion, with 14% linked to discretionary new constructions.
Hot Tubs
- The global hot tub market size was valued at USD 5.97 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 9.11 billion by 2033.
- Other estimates place the global hot tub market size at USD 5.76 billion in 2025, projected to grow to USD 8.47 billion by 2034. North America dominated the global hot tub market with a market share of 41.84% in 2025. The U.S. hot tub market size reached USD 1.93 billion in 2025.
Irrigation and Related Products
- For the United States market, the total addressable market value for residential and commercial irrigation systems, landscape maintenance products, power equipment, hardscapes, and specialty outdoor products and accessories is approximately USD 19.0 billion.
- The global agricultural irrigation machinery market size was estimated at USD 8.71 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 15.37 billion by 2033.
- The global irrigation equipment market is projected to reach USD 15.75 billion by 2031.
Other Recreational and Outdoor Living Products
- The global outdoor living products market was valued at USD 22.12 billion in 2025 and is expected to increase to USD 31.13 billion by 2032.
- The global outdoor living structures market size was valued at USD 2.26 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 4.08 billion by 2034. North America held the largest share of the outdoor living structures market in 2024. Another source indicates that the global outdoor living structure market size was valued at USD 2.5 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 3.8 billion by 2034. North America dominates this market, holding a market share of over 48.5% in 2025.
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Pool Corporation (NASDAQ: POOL) anticipates several key drivers for its revenue growth over the next two to three years, stemming from resilient demand in core segments, strategic market expansion, and enhanced operational efficiencies.
One significant driver is the **consistent demand for maintenance products**. Pool Corporation has seen strong performance in maintenance product sales, including growth in private-label chemical products, which are less discretionary and provide a stable revenue base. Maintenance activities are expected to remain resilient and contribute to continued market share capture through exclusive brands and technology.
Another anticipated driver is the **stabilization and potential improvement in new pool construction and remodeling activities**. While new pool construction has faced challenges, the company has observed improving trends in sales related to new construction and renovation in recent quarters, creating less of a drag on overall sales. Management has noted encouraging signs of stabilization in both new pool construction and remodel projects, with expectations for new pool construction units to remain flat at approximately 60,000 units in the near term.
**Strategic acquisitions and the expansion of sales centers** are also central to Pool Corporation's growth strategy. The company is actively pursuing geographical market penetration and vertical diversification, as evidenced by its late 2024 acquisition of Porpoise Pool & Patio, which added 87 locations and is projected to contribute substantial annualized revenue. Pool Corporation plans to continue opening new sales centers to further penetrate existing markets and expand into new geographic areas, including an targeted 15% increase in European sales centers by the end of 2025.
The **growth of Pool Corporation's private label and exclusive brands** is a key focus for margin expansion and increased sales. The company has aggressively expanded its owned-brand portfolio, which now represents a significant portion of total sales. This initiative is expected to continue contributing to both top-line growth and improved gross margins.
Finally, **increased adoption of its digital platforms, particularly POOL360, and ongoing technology investments** are expected to drive future revenue growth. The POOL360 platform has shown significant growth in transaction volume, increasing its contribution to total net sales. These digital initiatives enhance customer experience and operational efficiency, supporting long-term growth by improving how customers interact with Pool Corporation.
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```htmlCapital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)
Share Repurchases
- Pool Corporation's Board of Directors authorized an increase in the share repurchase program to $600.0 million as of April 29, 2025, adding $309.2 million to the existing $290.8 million remaining.
- In 2025, the company conducted open market share repurchases totaling $341.1 million, which contributed to an increase in total debt outstanding.
- Share repurchases amounted to $306.3 million in 2024, contributing to over $483 million returned to shareholders through dividends and repurchases.
Share Issuance
- As of February 20, 2026, there were 36,787,820 shares of common stock outstanding, reflecting a net reduction over the past few years, largely due to ongoing share repurchases.
- The company's outstanding common stock was 37,630,465 shares as of February 20, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- In November 2021, Pool Corporation acquired Pinch A Penny, a provider of pool cleaning and home services, which added 87 locations and was projected to contribute approximately $850 million in annualized revenue.
- During 2024, the company expanded its sales center network by adding 2 acquisitions and 10 greenfield locations, bringing its total locations to 448 worldwide.
- Pool Corporation allocated $25 million to $50 million for acquisitions in 2025, continuing its focus on inorganic growth opportunities.
Capital Expenditures
- Pool Corporation planned for $180 million to $200 million in capital expenditures for 2025, primarily focused on bolstering logistics and technology.
- In 2024, the company's investments in capital expenditures and acquisitions combined were $64.2 million.
- Capital expenditures for 2021 increased by $16.0 million, representing 0.7% of net sales for that year.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to POOL.
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | FUN | Six Flags Entertainment | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04242026 | MGM | MGM Resorts International | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | -1.5% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 04242026 | WEN | Wendy's | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -2.5% | -2.5% | -5.3% |
| 04102026 | WHR | Whirlpool | Special | Short Squeeze PotentialShort Squeeze PotentialHas potential for a short squeeze. High short interest, rising short interest and high debt. | -0.8% | -0.8% | -4.8% |
| 04022026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | -1.2% |
| 11072025 | POOL | Pool | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -14.4% | -14.4% | -20.3% |
| 05312023 | POOL | Pool | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 14.0% | -1.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 44.58 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| Rev LTM | 2,708 |
| Op Inc LTM | 243 |
| FCF LTM | 160 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 210 |
| CFO LTM | 210 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 251 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.2 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 12.9 |
| P/EBIT | 13.3 |
| P/E | 18.5 |
| P/CFO | 16.4 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -21.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -26.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -23.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 0.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -20.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -28.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -36.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -48.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -83.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $182.33 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 6.6 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/13/1995 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -44.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $209.43 | $256.62 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -12.9% | -28.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 43.4% | 33.2% |
| Downside Capture | 173.70 | 128.83 |
| Upside Capture | -17.87 | 27.24 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 25.8% | 33.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.05 | 0.97 | 0.89 | 0.88 | 0.99 | 0.84 |
| Up Beta | 1.03 | 1.20 | 1.59 | 1.34 | 1.31 | 0.84 |
| Down Beta | 2.14 | 1.14 | 0.67 | 0.82 | 0.97 | 0.47 |
| Up Capture | 79% | 67% | 33% | 35% | 43% | 57% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 29 | 56 | 111 | 358 |
| Down Capture | -50% | 94% | 103% | 103% | 113% | 105% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 21 | 35 | 69 | 141 | 395 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POOL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POOL | -38.6% | 33.7% | -1.40 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 17.9% | 18.7% | 0.74 | 42.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 32.5% | 12.4% | 1.98 | 33.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 41.3% | 26.9% | 1.26 | 2.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.3% | 18.5% | 2.06 | -16.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 12.8% | 13.5% | 0.65 | 43.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.0% | 41.7% | -0.46 | 13.6% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POOL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POOL | -15.2% | 33.8% | -0.42 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.0% | 23.8% | 0.25 | 56.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.7% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 52.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.0% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 3.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.4% | 19.4% | 0.47 | 3.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 55.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.2% | 55.9% | 0.34 | 22.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with POOL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| POOL | 8.9% | 31.4% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 55.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.5% | 17.9% | 0.74 | 53.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 5.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.9% | 0.39 | 9.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.6% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 49.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.2% | 66.8% | 1.07 | 15.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/19/2026 | -14.5% | -15.9% | -19.5% |
| 10/23/2025 | 0.9% | -4.7% | -22.3% |
| 7/24/2025 | 3.0% | -1.5% | -2.2% |
| 2/20/2025 | 1.0% | 2.0% | -5.7% |
| 10/24/2024 | 7.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% |
| 7/25/2024 | 10.0% | 14.3% | 6.8% |
| 2/22/2024 | -2.6% | 1.0% | 8.0% |
| 10/19/2023 | -3.4% | -5.2% | 3.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| # Negative | 10 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.2% |
| Median Negative | -3.3% | -5.5% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 10.0% | 14.3% | 24.8% |
| Max Negative | -14.5% | -15.9% | -22.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 04/28/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/26/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 04/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/27/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/26/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 07/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/24/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/27/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/28/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/23/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 EPS | 10.9 | 11 | 11.2 | 0.2% | 2.0% | Raised | Guidance: 11 for 2026 |
Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/19/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Diluted EPS | 10.8 | 11 | 11.2 | -0.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 11.1 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whalen, David G | Direct | Buy | 5122026 | 190.44 | 525 | 99,981 | 1,701,772 | Form | |
| 2 | Perez, De LA Mesa Manuel J | by Trust | Buy | 5082026 | 190.00 | 10,000 | 1,900,000 | 5,720,520 | Form | |
| 3 | Stokely, John E | Direct | Buy | 5082026 | 193.06 | 1,000 | 193,065 | 3,133,445 | Form | |
| 4 | Hope, James D | Direct | Buy | 5082026 | 194.41 | 464 | 90,209 | 715,058 | Form | |
| 5 | Neil, Jennifer M | Sr VP, Sec & Chief Legal Off | Direct | Sell | 3262026 | 203.60 | 508 | 103,429 | 2,844,088 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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