Tearsheet

Garmin (GRMN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $199.46 | Market Cap: $38.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Consumer Electronics

Garmin (GRMN)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $199.46
Market Cap: $38.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Consumer Electronics

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Precision Positioning & Navigation. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Digital Health & Telemedicine, Advanced Aviation & Space, and Precision Positioning & Navigation. Themes include Wearable Health Devices, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GRMN Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Garmin's stock (GRMN) experienced a decline of 17.2%, influenced by several key factors. 1. Missed Q3 Revenue Estimates and Segment Weakness. Garmin reported third-quarter 2025 net sales of $1.77 billion, which fell short of analyst consensus estimates by approximately $30 million. The Outdoor segment's revenue declined by 5%, primarily due to challenging comparisons from prior-year product launches and the late Q3 introduction of new fēnix/Phoenix 8 Pro products. Additionally, the Auto OEM segment recorded an operating loss, attributed to increased warranty accruals on sales from previous periods.

2. Flat Pro Forma EPS and Margin Pressures. While Garmin achieved a 12% year-over-year increase in consolidated revenue, its pro forma earnings per share (EPS) of $1.99, which met expectations, remained flat compared to the prior-year quarter. This performance was accompanied by a decrease in gross margin, impacted by higher product costs stemming from tariffs and a stronger Taiwan dollar. Furthermore, the company's effective tax rate rose to 21.2% due to U.S. tax legislation, further pressuring profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GRMN Return26%15%-30%43%63%-3%129%
Peers Return8%11%-34%-8%21%11%-1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GRMN Win Rate67%67%33%67%58%70% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%32%60%55%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GRMN Max Drawdown-34%-4%-41%0%-7%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-12%-47%-32%-25%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TDY, CODA, MIND, GRMN, SONO. See GRMN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGRMNS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-56.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven127.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven657 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-38.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven62.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven143 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-15.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven18.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven86 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven713.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4444 days1480 days

Compare to TDY, CODA, MIND, GRMN, SONO


In The Past

Garmin's stock fell -56.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/30/2021. A -56.0% loss requires a 127.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Garmin (GRMN)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GRMN. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
GRMN_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022GRMNGarminDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.6%35.3%-2.2%
GRMN_2282022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02282022GRMNGarminDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.9%-8.5%-27.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
GRMN_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022GRMNGarminDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.6%35.3%-2.2%
GRMN_2282022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02282022GRMNGarminDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.9%-8.5%-27.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Garmin

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GRMNTDYCODAMINDSONOMedian
NameGarmin Teledyne.Coda Oct.MIND Tec.Sonos  
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Growth & Margins

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NameGarmin Teledyne.Coda Oct.MIND Tec.Sonos  
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Valuation

GRMNTDYCODAMINDSONOMedian
NameGarmin Teledyne.Coda Oct.MIND Tec.Sonos  
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Returns

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NameGarmin Teledyne.Coda Oct.MIND Tec.Sonos  
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Outdoor1,6971,7701,2821,128918
Fitness1,3451,1091,5341,3171,048
Marine917904875658509
Aviation846793712623735
Auto Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM)423284255185183
Consumer Auto  325275366
Total5,2284,8604,9834,1873,758


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Outdoor515573476441334
Fitness232105359319192
Aviation226213193137253
Marine179215250176110
Auto Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM)-61-79-108-60-6
Consumer Auto  484163
Total1,0921,0281,2191,054946


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,027,727
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202516.2%
Average Daily Volume1,166,754
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.60
Basic Shares Quantity192,464,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023503202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/25/2021