Tearsheet

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $54.07 | Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialty Stores

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $54.07
Market Cap: $3.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Specialty Stores

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
Key risks
ASO key risks include [1] a significant dependence on its physical retail footprint as consumer preferences shift online and [2] potential profit margin pressure from rising expenses tied to its new store expansion strategy.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -49%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -69%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 10%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.3%
5 Key risks
ASO key risks include [1] a significant dependence on its physical retail footprint as consumer preferences shift online and [2] potential profit margin pressure from rising expenses tied to its new store expansion strategy.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat: Academy Sports and Outdoors reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.14 for the third quarter ended November 1, 2025, exceeding analyst consensus estimates of $1.07. This beat contributed positively to investor confidence.

2. Significant Gross Margin Expansion: The company demonstrated improved profitability with a notable gross margin expansion of 170 basis points, reaching 35.7% in the third quarter. This indicated effective cost management and a healthier financial profile.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASO Return112%21%26%-12%-6%
Peers Return58%29%-13%11%17%-24%77%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASO Win Rate100%75%58%58%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate65%62%40%55%50%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASO Max Drawdown-1%-37%-17%-31%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-10%-41%-23%-21%-45% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DKS, SPWH, DECK, COLM, YETI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven111 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-13.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven15.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven23 days148 days

Compare to R, ABG, VSCO, DKS, FIVE


In The Past

Academy Sports and Outdoors's stock fell -44.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -44.9% loss requires a 81.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)

Better Bets than Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
ASO_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022ASOAcademy Sports and OutdoorsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
55.1%12.8%-1.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
ASO_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022ASOAcademy Sports and OutdoorsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
55.1%12.8%-1.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Academy Sports and Outdoors

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASODKSSPWHDECKCOLMYETIMedian
NameAcademy .Dick's S.Sportsma.Deckers .Columbia.YETI  
Mkt Price53.99207.961.42102.3956.6642.9655.33
Mkt Cap3.318.90.115.33.13.53.4
Rev LTM6,01214,8831,2155,1253,4241,8314,274
Op Inc LTM4971,512-101,212257221377
FCF LTM19189-40880169182176
FCF 3Y Avg328647-30804307179317
CFO LTM4251,119-18968234307366
CFO 3Y Avg5311,40416893366267448

Growth & Margins

ASODKSSPWHDECKCOLMYETIMedian
NameAcademy .Dick's S.Sportsma.Deckers .Columbia.YETI  
Rev Chg LTM-0.7%10.9%-1.1%15.5%2.8%1.6%2.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.3%7.1%-5.4%16.3%0.1%5.0%2.6%
Rev Chg Q3.0%36.3%2.2%16.9%1.3%1.9%2.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%8.1%0.6%2.8%0.3%0.5%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM8.3%10.2%-0.8%23.6%7.5%12.0%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.7%10.5%-0.6%21.3%8.8%10.6%10.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-1.1%0.3%-0.0%-0.5%-0.9%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM7.1%7.5%-1.5%18.9%6.8%16.8%7.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.8%10.4%1.3%20.2%10.7%15.5%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM3.2%0.6%-3.3%17.2%5.0%9.9%4.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.4%5.0%-2.3%18.1%9.0%10.4%7.2%

Valuation

ASODKSSPWHDECKCOLMYETIMedian
NameAcademy .Dick's S.Sportsma.Deckers .Columbia.YETI  
Mkt Cap3.318.90.115.33.13.53.4
P/S0.61.30.13.00.81.51.1
P/EBIT---11.811.112.111.8
P/E8.818.5-2.915.315.316.615.3
P/CFO7.816.9-6.015.612.28.710.4
Total Yield12.1%5.9%-34.8%6.5%8.9%6.0%6.3%
Dividend Yield0.8%0.5%0.0%0.0%2.3%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---4.7%7.3%5.3%5.3%
D/E---0.00.20.10.1
Net D/E----0.10.10.00.0

Returns

ASODKSSPWHDECKCOLMYETIMedian
NameAcademy .Dick's S.Sportsma.Deckers .Columbia.YETI  
1M Rtn25.1%0.1%-25.3%26.8%10.1%19.4%14.8%
3M Rtn15.9%-6.1%-53.3%-13.7%7.0%21.4%0.5%
6M Rtn22.7%20.7%-61.6%1.4%-4.6%46.7%11.0%
12M Rtn-2.6%-5.8%-45.2%-51.3%-36.3%1.0%-21.0%
3Y Rtn5.2%100.2%-84.8%66.3%-29.5%2.4%3.8%
1M Excs Rtn24.4%-0.7%-26.0%26.1%9.4%18.7%14.0%
3M Excs Rtn10.0%-9.3%-55.8%-12.6%3.4%18.5%-2.9%
6M Excs Rtn10.3%8.3%-74.0%-11.0%-16.9%34.3%-1.4%
12M Excs Rtn-10.6%-15.8%-56.3%-61.5%-46.0%-13.9%-30.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-68.7%14.5%-153.7%-6.4%-100.8%-74.1%-71.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Outdoors1,7271,8192,1751,9691,455
Apparel1,7111,7591,8101,3911,357
Sports and recreation1,4521,4881,4631,256976
Footwear1,2361,2911,2901,0451,022
Other sales3337352920
Total6,1596,3956,7735,6894,830


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,938,175
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-14.2%
Average Daily Volume1,755,402
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.95
Basic Shares Quantity66,647,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/9/20258.6%  
9/2/2025-7.6%-5.8%-6.3%
6/10/20250.5%5.2%14.5%
3/20/2025-0.3%3.2%-20.2%
12/10/20244.3%9.1%14.7%
9/10/20245.2%13.0%4.7%
6/11/2024-3.2%0.7%1.6%
3/21/2024-9.6%-4.5%-19.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161614
# Negative446
Median Positive6.8%7.5%9.6%
Median Negative-5.4%-5.8%-6.3%
Max Positive15.4%28.3%30.8%
Max Negative-9.6%-5.8%-20.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251209202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025902202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025610202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025320202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241210202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024910202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024611202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024321202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023606202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023316202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022607202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/29/2022