Tearsheet

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $50.02 | Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialty Stores

Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $50.02
Market Cap: $3.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Specialty Stores

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.0%, FCF Yield is 8.0%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.1%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 9.0%, FCF Yield is 8.0%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -26%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -50%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
4 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 52%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ASO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO) stock moved by -6.4% in the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Academy Sports and Outdoors missed Q2 2025 earnings and revenue expectations.

The company reported its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on September 2, 2025, with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.82, falling short of the consensus estimate of $2.14. Revenue also came in at $1.60 billion, slightly below the anticipated $1.61 billion. This earnings miss led to an 8.5% drop in the stock upon the news, followed by an additional 3.4% decline on September 9, 2025.

2. The company experienced a contraction in its operating margin.

During the Q2 2025 earnings report, Academy Sports and Outdoors revealed that its operating margin had contracted to 10.8% from 12.3% in the same period last year. This indicated a weakening of profitability, despite some growth in total sales.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ASO Return-112%21%26%-12%-15%140%
Peers Return21%38%-7%18%22%11%147%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ASO Win Rate100%75%58%58%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate52%69%47%58%58%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ASO Max Drawdown--1%-37%-17%-31%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-2%-35%-20%-26%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: R, ABG, VSCO, DKS, FIVE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventASOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-44.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven111 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-13.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven15.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven23 days148 days

Compare to R, ABG, VSCO, DKS, FIVE


In The Past

Academy Sports and Outdoors's stock fell -44.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -44.9% loss requires a 81.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)

Better Bets than Academy Sports and Outdoors (ASO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ASO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
ASO_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022ASOAcademy Sports and OutdoorsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
55.1%12.8%-1.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
ASO_9302022_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302022ASOAcademy Sports and OutdoorsQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
55.1%12.8%-1.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Academy Sports and Outdoors

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ASORABGVSCODKSFIVEMedian
NameAcademy .Ryder Sy.Asbury A.Victoria.Dick's S.Five Bel. 
Mkt Price49.98178.49236.2342.51227.94163.15170.82
Mkt Cap3.37.34.63.418.09.05.9
Rev LTM5,97112,70817,8276,26513,7724,2329,486
Op Inc LTM4881,1121,0142821,553349751
FCF LTM239-88629242465345294
FCF 3Y Avg339-458350219761181279
CFO LTM4732,4038684321,421559713
CFO 3Y Avg5312,3295464361,465475539

Growth & Margins

ASORABGVSCODKSFIVEMedian
NameAcademy .Ryder Sy.Asbury A.Victoria.Dick's S.Five Bel. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.2%1.3%8.1%2.3%2.7%13.9%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.1%2.0%7.5%-1.8%5.0%13.3%3.5%
Rev Chg Q3.3%-0.3%13.3%3.0%5.0%23.7%4.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.9%-0.1%3.3%0.7%1.3%4.9%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM8.2%8.8%5.7%4.5%11.3%8.3%8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg10.1%8.8%6.4%4.9%11.0%9.6%9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.0%-0.1%-0.4%-0.2%-0.1%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM7.9%18.9%4.9%6.9%10.3%13.2%9.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.7%18.7%3.2%7.0%11.1%12.7%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM4.0%-0.7%3.5%3.9%3.4%8.2%3.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.5%-3.7%2.1%3.5%5.8%4.7%4.1%

Valuation

ASORABGVSCODKSFIVEMedian
NameAcademy .Ryder Sy.Asbury A.Victoria.Dick's S.Five Bel. 
Mkt Cap3.37.34.63.418.09.05.9
P/S0.50.60.30.21.11.70.6
P/EBIT5.87.04.75.39.720.76.4
P/E8.015.38.59.813.326.511.6
P/CFO6.33.25.53.411.012.95.9
Total Yield13.3%8.4%11.8%10.2%8.1%3.8%9.3%
Dividend Yield0.8%1.9%0.0%0.0%0.6%0.0%0.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.2%-8.5%7.4%15.6%5.6%2.2%6.5%
D/E0.61.21.31.90.30.30.9
Net D/E0.51.11.21.80.20.20.8

Returns

ASORABGVSCODKSFIVEMedian
NameAcademy .Ryder Sy.Asbury A.Victoria.Dick's S.Five Bel. 
1M Rtn6.0%6.5%0.5%18.1%4.7%3.0%5.3%
3M Rtn0.7%-3.5%-6.9%85.1%9.0%8.1%4.4%
6M Rtn17.4%21.4%3.3%107.7%30.6%34.6%26.0%
12M Rtn1.1%9.6%-11.0%1.5%11.3%58.1%5.5%
3Y Rtn2.5%112.3%28.9%-4.3%105.6%-11.4%15.7%
1M Excs Rtn6.0%6.6%0.6%18.1%4.7%3.0%5.4%
3M Excs Rtn-5.2%-10.2%-14.1%60.3%-2.1%1.4%-3.7%
6M Excs Rtn2.7%6.6%-11.4%92.9%15.8%19.8%11.2%
12M Excs Rtn-11.0%-5.7%-22.6%-4.1%-1.0%62.4%-4.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-72.3%35.1%-41.9%-79.9%33.2%-71.4%-56.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Outdoors1,7271,8192,0601,9691,455
Apparel1,7111,7591,8101,3911,357
Sports and recreation1,4521,4881,5781,256976
Footwear1,2361,2911,2901,0451,022
Other sales3337352920
Total6,1596,3956,7735,6894,830


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,088,314
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.5%
Average Daily Volume1,321,314
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.12
Basic Shares Quantity66,539,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025902202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025610202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025320202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241210202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024910202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024611202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024321202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231130202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023606202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023316202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022607202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211210202110-Q 10/30/2021