Yum Brands (YUM)
Market Price (4/29/2026): $156.46 | Market Cap: $43.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Yum Brands (YUM)
Market Price (4/29/2026): $156.46Market Cap: $43.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4% Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.0 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.3x Key risksYUM key risks include [1] the persistent underperformance and declining relevance of its Pizza Hut brand and [2] significant exposure to geopolitical and regulatory instability stemming from its heavy business concentration in China. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.4% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 31% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, CFO LTM is 2.0 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 1.0 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 21% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -25%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -53% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 5.3x |
| Key risksYUM key risks include [1] the persistent underperformance and declining relevance of its Pizza Hut brand and [2] significant exposure to geopolitical and regulatory instability stemming from its heavy business concentration in China. |
Qualitative Assessment
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1. Strong Q4 2025 Financial Performance and Positive Outlook. Yum Brands reported robust fourth-quarter 2025 results on February 4, 2026, with revenue reaching $2.52 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. The company achieved 5% growth in worldwide system sales, notably driven by an 8% increase at Taco Bell and a 6% increase at KFC. Furthermore, management provided a positive outlook for 2026, anticipating approximately 8% core operating profit growth and over 5% net new unit growth, excluding Pizza Hut.
2. Enhanced Shareholder Returns. The company demonstrated its commitment to returning capital to shareholders by increasing its quarterly dividend by 6% to $0.75 per share, announced on February 4, 2026. This dividend hike was complemented by significant share repurchases, with annual share buybacks for 2025 totaling $552 million, representing a 25.17% increase from the previous year.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.9% change in YUM stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 150.59 | 156.46 | 3.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 8,061 | 8,214 | 1.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.0% | 19.0% | 5.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 28.9 | 28.0 | -3.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 278 | 279 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.9% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| YUM | 3.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.2% | 21.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.8% | 31.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.9% change in YUM stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 150.59 | 156.46 | 3.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,907 | 8,214 | 3.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.1% | 19.0% | 4.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.3 | 28.0 | -4.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 279 | 279 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| YUM | 3.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.0% | 9.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.0% | 23.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 1.3% change in YUM stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 8.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 154.39 | 156.46 | 1.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7,549 | 8,214 | 8.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.7% | 19.0% | -3.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 29.3 | 28.0 | -4.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 282 | 279 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 1.3% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| YUM | 1.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 29.3% | 27.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 19.5% | 29.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 25.5% change in YUM stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/28/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.1% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4282026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 124.70 | 156.46 | 25.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 6,842 | 8,214 | 20.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.4% | 19.0% | -2.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 26.6 | 28.0 | 5.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 283 | 279 | 1.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 25.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/28/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| YUM | 25.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 81.5% | 31.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 60.4% | 30.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| YUM Return | 30% | -6% | 4% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 58% |
| Peers Return | 33% | -17% | 24% | -5% | -5% | -4% | 20% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 5% | 91% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| YUM Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 42% | 55% | 45% | 45% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| YUM Max Drawdown | -7% | -23% | -8% | -3% | -8% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -8% | -33% | -10% | -17% | -18% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MCD, QSR, DPZ, CMG, PZZA. See YUM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/28/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | YUM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 195 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 88.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 246 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -17.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 542 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.8% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 510 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to MCD, QSR, DPZ, CMG, PZZA
In The Past
Yum Brands's stock fell -24.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -24.2% loss requires a 31.9% gain to breakeven.
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About Yum Brands (YUM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Yum Brands:
The Procter & Gamble (P&G) of fast food.
Like a Unilever for restaurant chains.
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- KFC (Kentucky Fried Chicken): Offers a variety of chicken products and related fast food items.
- Pizza Hut: Provides a wide range of pizzas, pasta, and other Italian-American cuisine.
- Taco Bell: Specializes in Mexican-style fast food, including tacos, burritos, and nachos.
- The Habit Burger Grill: Features made-to-order chargrilled burgers, sandwiches, and other casual dining options.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlYum Brands (YUM) sells primarily to individuals through its network of quick-service restaurants, including KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and The Habit Burger Grill.
The company serves several categories of customers:
- Convenience-seeking individuals: Customers who prioritize speed, ease of access, and a quick meal solution for lunch, dinner, or snacks, often while on the go or when time is limited.
- Families and groups: Customers looking for accessible, generally affordable, and diverse meal options that can satisfy multiple preferences within a family or group setting.
- Value-conscious consumers: Customers whose primary motivation is to find affordable meals, deals, and promotions that offer good value for their money.
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- PepsiCo (PEP)
- Sysco Corporation (SYY)
- US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD)
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Chris Turner, Chief Executive Officer
Chris Turner assumed the role of Chief Executive Officer of Yum! Brands on October 1, 2025. Previously, he served as the company's Chief Financial & Franchise Officer, holding the CFO position since 2019 and expanding his role to include Chief Franchise Officer in 2024. Before joining Yum! Brands in 2019, Turner held senior leadership positions at PepsiCo, where he managed PepsiCo's retail and e-commerce business with Walmart across the U.S. and over 25 international markets. His earlier career included over 13 years as a partner at McKinsey & Company, providing advisory services to major companies in various sectors such as retail, restaurants, consumer packaged goods, airlines, tech, and media. Turner holds an MBA from Stanford University and a bachelor's degree in industrial engineering from the University of Arkansas. He also serves on the Board of Directors of Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
Ranjith Roy, Chief Financial Officer
Ranjith Roy currently serves as the Chief Financial Officer of Yum! Brands, Inc.
Tracy Skeans, Chief Operating Officer and Chief People & Culture Officer
Tracy Skeans is the Chief Operating Officer and Chief People & Culture Officer for Yum! Brands, Inc., a position she was promoted to in February 2021, while retaining her Chief People Officer responsibilities. She joined the company in 2000 and has a significant background in finance, including roles in strategic planning, asset development, and accounting at Pizza Hut before moving into HR leadership. Skeans previously served as President of Pizza Hut International, overseeing a business with over 5,900 restaurants across more than 85 countries. As Chief Transformation & People Officer starting in 2016, she was instrumental in the company's transformation to a pure-play franchisor in 2019 and played a central role in navigating the COVID-19 pandemic and integrating The Habit Burger Grill. Prior to Yum! Brands, Skeans worked in an international treasury role at Union Switch & Signal and as a senior auditor with Price Waterhouse LLP. She serves on the Board of Directors for Brown-Forman and the Women's Foodservice Forum.
Sean Tresvant, Chief Executive Officer, Taco Bell Division, and Chief Consumer Officer
Sean Tresvant holds the dual role of Chief Executive Officer of the Taco Bell Division and Chief Consumer Officer for Yum! Brands, Inc.
Erika Burkhardt, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary
Erika Burkhardt is the Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary of Yum! Brands.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Yum! Brands' business include its significant exposure to international markets, particularly China, the critical importance of food safety and brand reputation, and its heavy reliance on the performance and execution of its franchisees.
- Global Operations and Geopolitical/Economic Risks, particularly China: Yum! Brands operates extensively across international markets, with a substantial portion of its business, notably its KFC division, concentrated in mainland China through its largest franchisee, Yum China. This global footprint subjects the company to a range of risks, including political instability, fluctuating economic conditions (such as consumer spending and inflation), uncertainties in the regulatory environment, and heightened data and cybersecurity risks within China. Furthermore, broad global operations expose Yum! Brands to foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations, which can adversely impact financial results. The company is also sensitive to macroeconomic conditions globally, including inflationary pressures and consumer discretionary spending.
- Food Safety, Quality, and Reputation Risk: As a quick-service restaurant company, Yum! Brands is highly vulnerable to food safety incidents, which can quickly lead to negative publicity, consumer complaints, litigation, and governmental investigations. Past food quality scandals, particularly in China, have demonstrated the potential for significant adverse effects on sales and brand reputation. The company's reliance on a vast network of third-party suppliers and delivery aggregators further amplifies the risk of food safety issues occurring outside of its direct control. Beyond food safety, issues such as workplace violence and safety at its restaurants can also lead to legal liabilities and reputational damage.
- Reliance on Franchisees and Execution Risk: A fundamental aspect of Yum! Brands' business model is its extensive franchising, with approximately 97% to 98% of its restaurants operated by independent franchisees. Consequently, the company's growth, brand consistency, and overall success are heavily dependent on the operational efficiency, financial health, and adherence to brand standards by its franchisees. Challenges such as inconsistent execution of brand strategies (e.g., new product launches), financial distress among franchisees, or labor shortages impacting franchisee operations can directly affect Yum! Brands' operating results and compromise the integrity of its brands.
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The rise of ghost kitchens and virtual restaurant brands represents a clear emerging threat. These businesses operate without traditional dining rooms, focusing solely on delivery. They leverage technology to create multiple virtual brands from a single kitchen, offering greater flexibility, lower overhead costs, and rapid market entry compared to established quick-service restaurant models. This trend can potentially erode market share from traditional QSRs like Yum Brands by offering a competitive alternative focused on convenience and delivery efficiency, challenging the long-standing advantage of physical restaurant footprints and dine-in experiences.
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```htmlFor Yum Brands (symbol: YUM), the addressable markets for its main products and services are sized as follows:
- Chicken: The global fried chicken market reached a value of approximately $93.33 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to $130.63 billion by 2029.
- Pizza: The global pizza market was valued at approximately $155.0 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $210 billion by 2035. Separately, the global pizza industry represented $160 billion in sales in 2020.
- Burgers/Sandwiches: The burgers/sandwiches segment accounted for a revenue of $252.53 billion in 2021 within the global fast food market, representing the largest segment with a 42.56% revenue share in 2021. In the U.S. alone, consumers consume about 50 billion burgers each year.
- Mexican-style food: The global Mexican food market size was valued at $21.75 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach approximately $44.83 billion by 2035, growing at a CAGR of 7.5% from 2026 to 2035. North America accounted for the largest share of the Mexican food market in 2025. Additionally, the broader Asian/Latin American food segment within the global fast food market was valued at $155.5 billion in 2019 and is expected to reach $203.6 billion by 2027.
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Yum! Brands (YUM) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategic initiatives:
- Accelerated Unit Growth and International Expansion: Yum! Brands plans to open 2,500-3,000 net new restaurants annually, with a particular focus on international markets, especially for KFC and Taco Bell. KFC is a primary driver in emerging economies, with ambitions for 10,000 stores in China, while Taco Bell aims to expand its international presence from 1,200 to over 2,000 locations by 2027. The company targets approximately 5% annual unit growth.
- Enhanced Digital Sales and Technology Integration: Digital capabilities are a significant sales driver, with digital sales approaching $8 billion (Q1 2024) and surpassing $11 billion (Q4 2025), representing nearly 60% of system sales. The global rollout of the "Byte by Yum!" platform, coupled with investments in loyalty ecosystems and AI-driven personalized marketing, is expected to boost sales and improve operational efficiency across its brands.
- Same-Store Sales Growth through Menu Innovation and Customer Focus: The company anticipates low to mid-single-digit same-store sales growth. This will be achieved by continually battling for the future consumer, focusing on new menu innovation, and engaging the next generation of customers. Examples include KFC's rollout of the KWENCH beverage platform and the development of numerous scalable sauce options. Taco Bell U.S. specifically achieved 7% same-store sales growth in Q4 2025.
- Improved Franchisee Economics: Yum! Brands' growth strategy is rooted in its asset-light franchising model, which generates high-margin, recurring revenue streams. By leveraging its global scale, supply-chain efficiencies, and the Byte platform to enhance store-level profitability for franchisees, the company fosters a self-reinforcing growth loop that encourages further unit development and robust operational performance.
- Strategic Optimization of Pizza Hut: An ongoing strategic review and modernization program for Pizza Hut, including targeted closures of underperforming U.S. units, aims to stabilize the brand and align it for future performance. This "Hutt Forward plan" is designed to optimize Pizza Hut's market position, reducing its drag on overall revenue and contributing to a healthier portfolio.
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```htmlShare Repurchases
- Yum! Brands authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $2 billion in May 2024, set to begin on July 1, 2024, and continue through December 31, 2026.
- In September 2022, the company's Board of Directors approved a new share repurchase authorization of up to $2.0 billion.
- The company's annual share buybacks were $552 million in 2025, $441 million in 2024, and $50 million in 2023.
Share Issuance
- Yum! Brands has generally been reducing its shares outstanding through repurchases. For instance, shares outstanding declined by 1.4% in 2025 from 2024, and by 1.72% in 2023 from 2022.
Outbound Investments
- In May 2021, Yum! Brands acquired Dragontail Systems for $72.6 million, a provider of delivery and takeaway solutions services.
- The acquisition of 128 Taco Bell restaurants was completed by Yum! Brands in 2025.
- The 2020 acquisition of The Habit Burger Grill for approximately $375 million positioned it as a platform for growth in the fast-casual segment, with plans to scale significantly through franchising.
Capital Expenditures
- Yum! Brands expects to invest approximately $400 million in capital expenditures in 2026.
- Annual capital expenditures were -$371 million in 2025, -$257 million in 2024, and -$285 million in 2023. (Note: negative values often represent cash outflows).
- The primary focus of capital expenditures is on high-return unit development and technology investments, aligning with its asset-light franchisor model. The company is also integrating AI into operations to enhance efficiency and customer experience.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
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| 03312026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | DPZ | Domino's Pizza | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 117.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 34.7 |
| Rev LTM | 8,824 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,252 |
| FCF LTM | 1,448 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,356 |
| CFO LTM | 1,862 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,640 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.5% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 4.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 22.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 23.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 34.7 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/Op Inc | 15.4 |
| P/EBIT | 15.1 |
| P/E | 28.1 |
| P/CFO | 17.5 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.8% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -9.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -15.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -27.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) Division | 3,099 | 2,830 | 2,834 | 2,793 | 2,272 |
| Taco Bell Division | 2,860 | 2,641 | 2,437 | 2,238 | 2,031 |
| Pizza Hut Division | 1,008 | 1,019 | 1,004 | 1,028 | 1,002 |
| Habit Burger & Grill Division | 600 | 586 | 567 | 525 | 347 |
| Unallocated Franchise and property revenues | -18 | ||||
| Total | 7,549 | 7,076 | 6,842 | 6,584 | 5,652 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) Division | 1,363 | 1,304 | 1,198 | 1,230 | 922 |
| Taco Bell Division | 1,049 | 944 | 850 | 758 | 696 |
| Pizza Hut Division | 373 | 391 | 387 | 387 | 335 |
| Unallocated Refranchising gain (loss) | 34 | 29 | 27 | 35 | 34 |
| Habit Burger & Grill Division | 0 | -14 | -24 | 2 | -22 |
| Unallocated Company restaurant expenses | -8 | ||||
| Unallocated Franchise and property revenues | -18 | ||||
| Unallocated Other income (expense) | -44 | -9 | 52 | -14 | -146 |
| Corporate and unallocated General and administrative (G&A) expenses | -346 | -326 | -297 | -260 | -312 |
| Unallocated Franchise and property expenses | -1 | -6 | 1 | -4 | |
| Total | 2,403 | 2,318 | 2,187 | 2,139 | 1,503 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $156.46 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 43.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/17/1997 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -7.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $159.97 | $150.95 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -2.2% | 3.6% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 20.3% | 21.1% |
| Downside Capture | -0.13 | 0.09 |
| Upside Capture | -9.37 | 20.27 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 11.9% | 11.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.31 | -0.04 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.32 | 0.41 |
| Up Beta | 2.55 | 1.43 | 0.94 | 0.54 | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| Down Beta | -0.03 | -0.24 | 0.47 | -0.01 | 0.41 | 0.41 |
| Up Capture | -21% | -23% | 17% | 2% | 20% | 16% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 25 | 34 | 58 | 126 | 388 |
| Down Capture | 62% | -21% | -1% | -4% | 41% | 69% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 17 | 29 | 68 | 126 | 362 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with YUM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YUM | 8.3% | 21.0% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 19.5% | 18.8% | 0.81 | 20.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 31.5% | 12.5% | 1.92 | 11.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 38.6% | 27.2% | 1.18 | 2.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.9% | 18.0% | 1.95 | -16.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.4% | 13.4% | 0.75 | 33.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 42.1% | -0.39 | -4.9% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with YUM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YUM | 7.9% | 20.2% | 0.30 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.5% | 23.8% | 0.24 | 43.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 46.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.2% | 17.8% | 0.92 | 8.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.8% | 19.1% | 0.63 | 6.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 47.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.3% | 56.2% | 0.35 | 13.1% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with YUM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YUM | 12.3% | 22.7% | 0.50 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.5% | 22.0% | 0.52 | 53.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 56.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.70 | 6.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.9% | 17.7% | 0.46 | 16.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 54.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.8% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 9.7% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/4/2026 | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 11/4/2025 | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| 8/5/2025 | -5.1% | -3.9% | -1.2% |
| 4/30/2025 | 1.9% | 0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2/6/2025 | 9.7% | 11.6% | 24.4% |
| 11/5/2024 | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% |
| 8/6/2024 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| 5/1/2024 | -4.2% | -3.8% | -4.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% |
| Median Negative | -1.8% | -3.8% | -4.1% |
| Max Positive | 9.7% | 11.6% | 24.4% |
| Max Negative | -5.1% | -5.7% | -8.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/20/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/19/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/20/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/27/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/10/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Dividends | 0.75 | ||||||
| 2026 Unit Growth | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Actual: 5.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2026 System Sales Growth | 7.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Actual: 7.0% for 2025 | ||
| 2026 Core Operating Profit Growth | 8.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | Affirmed | Actual: 8.0% for 2025 | ||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Unit Growth | 5.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 5.0% for 2025 | |||
| 2025 System Sales Growth | 7.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 7.0% for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Core Operating Profit Growth | 8.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 8.0% for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mezvinsky, Scott | KFC Division CEO | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 154.18 | 271 | Form | ||
| 2 | Turner, Christopher Lee | CEO, Chairman of Board | Direct | Sell | 4012026 | 154.18 | 257 | 39,624 | 9,991,120 | Form |
| 3 | Mezvinsky, Scott | KFC Division CEO | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 166.29 | 287 | Form | ||
| 4 | Turner, Christopher Lee | CEO, Chairman of Board | Direct | Sell | 3022026 | 166.29 | 238 | 39,577 | 10,818,605 | Form |
| 5 | Mezvinsky, Scott | KFC Division CEO | Direct | Sell | 2262026 | 166.02 | 284 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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