Tearsheet

Yum Brands (YUM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $146.115 | Market Cap: $40.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Yum Brands (YUM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $146.115
Market Cap: $40.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Vegan & Alternative Foods, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

YUM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points that could have contributed to Yum Brands' stock movement in the specified period: 1. Positive analyst sentiment and increased price targets. TD Cowen upgraded Yum! Brands to Buy with a price target of $173.00, and UBS reiterated its Buy rating with a $180.00 price target. Piper Sandler and Bernstein also raised their price targets for the company.

2. Strategic review, including the potential sale of Pizza Hut. Analysts cited the potential sale of Pizza Hut as a catalyst for enhanced growth and part of a broader portfolio optimization strategy.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
YUM Return10%30%-6%4%5%12%64%
Peers Return22%21%-8%18%7%-18%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
YUM Win Rate67%67%33%50%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%55%43%55%48%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
YUM Max Drawdown-44%-7%-23%-8%-3%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-7%-29%-6%-15%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCD, SBUX, CMG, DRI, WEN. See YUM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventYUMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven31.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven195 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-47.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven88.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven246 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven542 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-46.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven510 days1480 days

Compare to MCD, SBUX, CMG, DRI, WEN


In The Past

Yum Brands's stock fell -24.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -24.2% loss requires a 31.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Yum Brands (YUM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to YUM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Yum Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

YUMMCDSBUXCMGDRIWENMedian
NameYum Bran.McDonald.StarbucksChipotle.Darden R.Wendy's  
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

YUMMCDSBUXCMGDRIWENMedian
NameYum Bran.McDonald.StarbucksChipotle.Darden R.Wendy's  
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

YUMMCDSBUXCMGDRIWENMedian
NameYum Bran.McDonald.StarbucksChipotle.Darden R.Wendy's  
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

YUMMCDSBUXCMGDRIWENMedian
NameYum Bran.McDonald.StarbucksChipotle.Darden R.Wendy's  
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
3M Excs Rtn-------
6M Excs Rtn-------
12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) Division2,8302,8342,7932,2722,491
Taco Bell Division2,6412,4372,2382,0312,079
Pizza Hut Division1,0191,0041,0281,0021,027
Habit Burger & Grill Division586567525347 
Total7,0766,8426,5845,6525,597


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) Division1,3041,1981,2309221,052
Taco Bell Division944850758696683
Pizza Hut Division391387387335369
Unallocated Refranchising gain (loss)2927353437
Unallocated Franchise and property expenses-1-61-4-14
Unallocated Other income (expense)-952-14-146-9
Habit Burger & Grill Division-14-242-22 
Corporate and unallocated General and administrative (G&A) expenses-326-297-260-312-188
Total2,3182,1872,1391,5031,930


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Kentucky Fried Chicken (KFC) Division2,2812,2272,3132,0112,042
Taco Bell Division1,5441,4831,3971,3871,330
Corporate and Unallocated9627578201,1131,058
Pizza Hut Division814788850804801
Habit Burger & Grill Division630591586537 
Total6,2315,8465,9665,8525,231


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,775,979
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202520.5%
Average Daily Volume2,738,033
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.47
Basic Shares Quantity278,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021