Darden Restaurants (DRI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $177.06 | Market Cap: $20.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants
Darden Restaurants (DRI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $177.06Market Cap: $20.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Restaurants
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Future of Dining. Themes include Experiential Retail, Off-Premise Dining, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Future of Dining. Themes include Experiential Retail, Off-Premise Dining, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
DRI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Darden Restaurants (DRI) experienced a stock movement of approximately -13.6% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Darden Restaurants reported fiscal first-quarter 2026 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.97, which fell short of analyst expectations of $2.00 to $2.01 per share.
2. The company faced lower margins and earnings due to increased labor and other operating expenses, as well as unexpected spikes in beef commodity costs. The CFO also indicated that the second fiscal quarter would face the largest year-over-year earnings headwind due to climbing beef costs.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DRI Return | 10% | 29% | -5% | 23% | 18% | -4% | 90% |
| Peers Return | 22% | 21% | -8% | 15% | 5% | -15% | 39% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DRI Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 55% | 42% | 52% | 50% | 38% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DRI Max Drawdown | -68% | -6% | -25% | 0% | -14% | -7% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -44% | -7% | -29% | -8% | -13% | -25% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCD, SBUX, YUM, CMG, WEN. See DRI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DRI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -30.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 336 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 258.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 295 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 94 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -71.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 247.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 510 days | 1480 days |
Compare to MCD, SBUX, YUM, CMG, WEN
In The Past
Darden Restaurants's stock fell -30.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/27/2021. A -30.0% loss requires a 42.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to DRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | DRI | Darden Restaurants | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 85.1% | 162.3% | -18.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | DRI | Darden Restaurants | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 85.1% | 162.3% | -18.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Darden Restaurants
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olive Garden | 5,067 | 4,878 | 4,504 | 3,593 | 4,014 |
| LongHorn Steakhouse | 2,806 | 2,612 | 2,374 | 1,810 | 1,701 |
| Other Business | 2,225 | 2,167 | 1,976 | 1,349 | 1,551 |
| Fine Dining | 1,292 | 831 | 776 | 443 | 541 |
| Corporate | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| Total | 11,390 | 10,488 | 9,630 | 7,196 | 7,807 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olive Garden | 942 | 879 | 848 | 691 | 585 |
| LongHorn Steakhouse | 435 | 366 | 354 | 257 | 192 |
| Other Business | 234 | 204 | 200 | 92 | -135 |
| Fine Dining | 175 | 123 | 131 | 49 | 43 |
| Corporate | 7 | 15 | 2 | -44 | -92 |
| General and administrative expenses | -479 | -386 | -373 | -396 | -376 |
| Goodwill impairment | -169 | ||||
| Total | 1,314 | 1,202 | 1,162 | 649 | 48 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other Business | 2,901 | 2,969 | 2,923 | 2,836 | 2,902 |
| Olive Garden | 2,862 | 2,836 | 2,718 | 2,664 | 2,758 |
| Fine Dining | 2,596 | 1,345 | 1,300 | 1,272 | 1,251 |
| LongHorn Steakhouse | 2,026 | 1,978 | 1,911 | 1,816 | 1,830 |
| Corporate | 937 | 1,113 | 1,284 | 2,069 | 1,205 |
| Total | 11,323 | 10,242 | 10,136 | 10,656 | 9,946 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 9262025 | 10-Q 8/24/2025 |
| 5312025 | 7182025 | 10-K 5/25/2025 |
| 2282025 | 4012025 | 10-Q 2/23/2025 |
| 11302024 | 1022025 | 10-Q 11/24/2024 |
| 8312024 | 9272024 | 10-Q 8/25/2024 |
| 5312024 | 7192024 | 10-K 5/26/2024 |
| 2292024 | 4022024 | 10-Q 2/25/2024 |
| 11302023 | 1032024 | 10-Q 11/26/2023 |
| 8312023 | 9292023 | 10-Q 8/27/2023 |
| 5312023 | 7212023 | 10-K 5/28/2023 |
| 2282023 | 4042023 | 10-Q 2/26/2023 |
| 11302022 | 1042023 | 10-Q 11/27/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10042022 | 10-Q 8/28/2022 |
| 5312022 | 7222022 | 10-K 5/29/2022 |
| 2282022 | 4052022 | 10-Q 2/27/2022 |
| 11302021 | 1052022 | 10-Q 11/28/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |