Tearsheet

Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $170.83 | Market Cap: $11.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $170.83
Market Cap: $11.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Key risks
TXRH key risks include pressure on operating margins from [1] significant commodity inflation, Show more.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
 
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
 
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 28%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands.
4 Key risks
TXRH key risks include pressure on operating margins from [1] significant commodity inflation, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TXRH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

For Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) stock, the approximate 0.2% movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, was influenced by a balance of positive developments and ongoing challenges in the restaurant industry.

1. Mixed Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: The company announced its Q3 2025 earnings on November 6, 2025, reporting a slight miss on earnings per share (EPS) but exceeding revenue expectations. Revenue grew by 12.8% year-over-year, and comparable restaurant sales increased by 6.1% at company restaurants, driven by strong traffic growth. However, diluted EPS decreased by 0.8%, and restaurant margins as a percentage of sales declined due to higher commodity and wage inflation.

2. Elevated Commodity and Labor Costs: Throughout the period, Texas Roadhouse faced significant pressures from rising commodity costs, particularly beef prices, and increasing wage inflation. The company updated its full-year 2025 commodity inflation guidance to approximately 6%. These cost pressures negatively impacted restaurant margins and were a key factor contributing to stock underperformance, including an approximately 11% fall in the stock since early August.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TXRH Return40%16%4%37%50%-7%223%
Peers Return7%-0%-12%31%41%-2%70%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TXRH Win Rate75%42%42%67%75%33% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%37%58%57%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TXRH Max Drawdown-46%-5%-21%0%-5%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-74%-17%-32%-7%-23%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DRI, EAT, BLMN, CAKE, BJRI. See TXRH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTXRHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven53.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven296 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-57.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven135.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven210 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-35.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven371 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-72.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven259.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven517 days1,480 days

Compare to CMG, YUM, DRI, BJRI, BLMN


In The Past

Texas Roadhouse's stock fell -34.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -34.9% loss requires a 53.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)

Better Bets than Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TXRH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Texas Roadhouse

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TXRHDRIEATBLMNCAKEBJRIMedian
NameTexas Ro.Darden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Cheeseca.BJ's Res. 
Mkt Price171.51189.53145.517.0750.2641.1997.88
Mkt Cap11.422.16.50.62.30.94.4
Rev LTM5,83412,3645,5943,9533,7111,3884,774
Op Inc LTM5171,46960713525047383
FCF LTM3411,06847010015849249
FCF 3Y Avg29194226411110218188
CFO LTM7471,768737277320124529
CFO 3Y Avg6481,590484339259106412

Growth & Margins

TXRHDRIEATBLMNCAKEBJRIMedian
NameTexas Ro.Darden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Cheeseca.BJ's Res. 
Rev Chg LTM14.4%8.3%23.2%7.7%4.9%3.9%8.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg14.4%8.2%13.2%-2.9%5.2%4.2%6.7%
Rev Chg Q12.8%10.4%18.5%2.1%4.8%1.4%7.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.9%2.4%3.9%0.5%1.1%0.3%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM8.9%11.9%10.9%3.4%6.7%3.4%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.6%11.8%7.6%5.6%5.7%2.4%6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.0%0.6%-0.5%0.1%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM12.8%14.3%13.2%7.0%8.6%8.9%10.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.6%13.8%9.8%8.5%7.2%7.8%9.2%
FCF/Rev LTM5.8%8.6%8.4%2.5%4.3%3.5%5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%8.1%5.2%2.8%2.8%1.3%4.0%

Valuation

TXRHDRIEATBLMNCAKEBJRIMedian
NameTexas Ro.Darden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Cheeseca.BJ's Res. 
Mkt Cap11.422.16.50.62.30.94.4
P/S1.92.11.00.20.70.50.8
P/EBIT21.318.29.99.213.621.815.9
P/E25.223.112.8-10.615.821.618.7
P/CFO14.814.47.72.27.95.47.8
Total Yield4.8%6.9%7.8%0.1%8.4%4.6%5.9%
Dividend Yield0.8%2.6%0.0%9.6%2.1%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%4.5%7.4%9.4%5.0%2.4%4.8%
D/E0.10.20.33.60.80.70.5
Net D/E0.10.20.33.50.80.70.5

Returns

TXRHDRIEATBLMNCAKEBJRIMedian
NameTexas Ro.Darden R.Brinker .Bloomin .Cheeseca.BJ's Res. 
1M Rtn1.5%10.3%20.2%6.2%13.3%13.6%11.8%
3M Rtn4.8%-8.5%0.8%5.5%-7.1%37.5%2.8%
6M Rtn-10.4%-13.6%-18.4%-19.4%-13.8%-9.5%-13.7%
12M Rtn-6.8%18.0%8.8%-40.7%1.8%10.3%5.3%
3Y Rtn86.5%49.5%310.7%-61.1%67.9%45.7%58.7%
1M Excs Rtn0.7%9.6%19.4%5.4%12.6%12.9%11.1%
3M Excs Rtn6.4%-2.2%3.4%2.5%-9.6%35.8%3.0%
6M Excs Rtn-22.8%-26.0%-30.8%-31.8%-26.2%-21.9%-26.1%
12M Excs Rtn-17.9%6.1%2.7%-50.2%-8.2%3.7%-2.7%
3Y Excs Rtn15.6%-23.7%252.5%-130.9%-6.5%-28.9%-15.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Texas Roadhouse4,3323,7633,254  
Bubba's 33247212174  
Royalties and franchise fees2726251822
Other261411  
Restaurant and other sales   2,3802,734
Total4,6324,0153,4642,3982,756


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Texas Roadhouse2,2902,0151,875  
Other271309457  
Bubba's 33232202180  
Total2,7932,5262,512  


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,327,860
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-8.6%
Average Daily Volume887,459
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.62
Basic Shares Quantity66,358,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/20252.7%4.6%3.0%
8/7/2025-6.6%-6.5%-9.1%
5/8/20254.8%9.8%13.3%
2/20/2025-1.4%3.7%-0.6%
10/24/20243.6%5.6%7.7%
7/25/20242.0%4.3%1.5%
5/2/20243.6%5.4%7.3%
2/15/202410.3%11.2%14.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131514
# Negative11910
Median Positive3.6%4.6%8.6%
Median Negative-1.4%-2.5%-5.0%
Max Positive10.3%11.2%25.2%
Max Negative-6.6%-12.6%-45.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025808202510-Q 7/1/2025
3312025509202510-Q 4/1/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/24/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/25/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/26/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/26/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/26/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/27/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/28/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/27/2022
93020221104202210-Q 9/27/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/28/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/29/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/28/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Mujica Hernan E.CHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER8222025Sell172.402,189377,3843,026,137Form
1Tobin Regina A.PRESIDENT8202025Sell173.533,153547,1402,648,241Form
2MOORE GREGORY N8202025Sell173.063,000519,1805,979,223Form
3EPPS DONNA E5232025Sell186.52800149,216863,961Form
4MOORE GREGORY N5132025Sell187.621,000187,6207,138,941Form