Tearsheet

Hilton Worldwide (HLT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $278.84 | Market Cap: $65.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Hilton Worldwide (HLT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $278.84
Market Cap: $65.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HLT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, Hilton Worldwide (HLT) experienced a 1.6% stock movement, influenced by several key corporate developments.

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat: Hilton Worldwide reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 22, 2025, exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.11, compared to the analyst estimate of $2.08, and reported revenue of $3.12 billion, slightly above the consensus estimate of $3.04 billion. This positive earnings surprise contributed to a pre-market stock uptick of approximately 3% following the announcement.

2. Significant Capital Return to Shareholders: During the third quarter of 2025, Hilton demonstrated a commitment to shareholder value by repurchasing 2.8 million shares of its common stock for a total of $757 million. The total capital returned to shareholders for the quarter, including dividends, amounted to $792 million, with a year-to-date total of $2.67 billion through October 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HLT Return0%40%-19%45%36%14%157%
Peers Return-2%34%-17%21%18%-14%34%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HLT Win Rate58%50%50%67%75%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%57%37%55%57%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HLT Max Drawdown-49%-11%-30%-1%-2%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-8%-30%-5%-9%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MAR, H, WH, MTN, CHH. See HLT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHLTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-32.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven48.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven496 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-50.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven280 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven166 days120 days

Compare to MAR, H, WH, MTN, CHH


In The Past

Hilton Worldwide's stock fell -32.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2022. A -32.7% loss requires a 48.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Hilton Worldwide (HLT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HLT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Hilton Worldwide

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HLTMARHWHMTNCHHMedian
NameHilton W.Marriott.Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Vail Res.Choice H. 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
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CFO LTM-------
CFO 3Y Avg-------

Growth & Margins

HLTMARHWHMTNCHHMedian
NameHilton W.Marriott.Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Vail Res.Choice H. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
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CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
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Valuation

HLTMARHWHMTNCHHMedian
NameHilton W.Marriott.Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Vail Res.Choice H. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

HLTMARHWHMTNCHHMedian
NameHilton W.Marriott.Hyatt Ho.Wyndham .Vail Res.Choice H. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
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12M Excs Rtn-------
3Y Excs Rtn-------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Other revenues from managed and franchised properties5,8275,037   
Management and franchise3,0552,6191,8091,1382,315
Ownership1,2441,0765984211,422
Other revenues1781027973101
Intersegment fees elimination-26-23-10-3-43
Amortization of contract acquisition costs-43-38-32-29-29
Direct reimbursements from managed and franchised properties  1,5031,3753,110
Indirect reimbursements from managed and franchised properties  1,8411,3322,576
Total10,2358,7735,7884,3079,452


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,757,828
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.9%
Average Daily Volume1,584,773
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.26
Basic Shares Quantity234,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251022202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025723202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241023202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023207202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022209202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021216202210-K 12/31/2021