Tearsheet

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)


Market Price (5/25/2026): $60.35 | Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)


Market Price (5/25/2026): $60.35
Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 6.0%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Culinary Trends & Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Gourmet Casual Dining.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 67%

Key risks
CAKE key risks include [1] a persistent "traffic problem" due to cautious consumer spending and [2] high financial leverage from a significant debt load, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.6%, FCF Yield is 6.0%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Culinary Trends & Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Gourmet Casual Dining.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 67%
5 Key risks
CAKE key risks include [1] a persistent "traffic problem" due to cautious consumer spending and [2] high financial leverage from a significant debt load, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) stock has gained about 5% since 1/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Cheesecake Factory reported strong financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations.

The company announced adjusted diluted earnings per share of $1.05, exceeding estimates of $1.03 by $0.02. Total revenues reached $978.8 million, a 5.6% increase year-over-year, beating analyst estimates of $964.57 million. Furthermore, comparable restaurant sales at The Cheesecake Factory restaurants rose by 1.6%, outperforming the broader casual dining industry during the quarter.

2. Increased shareholder returns through a dividend hike and ongoing share repurchase programs contributed to positive investor sentiment.

On February 12, 2026, the company's Board of Directors approved a $0.03 increase in the quarterly dividend, raising it to $0.30 per share. Additionally, during the first quarter of fiscal 2026, Cheesecake Factory repurchased approximately 332,000 shares of its stock at a cost of $19.2 million. The company returned a total of $32.6 million to shareholders via dividends and stock repurchases in Q1.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 6.5% change in CAKE stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 3.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120265242026Change
Stock Price ($)57.4061.146.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,7113,8032.5%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%4.3%0.1%
P/E Multiple16.617.33.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)47470.0%
Cumulative Contribution6.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 5/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE6.5% 
Market (SPY)8.1%40.1%
Sector (XLY)-1.4%37.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.7% change in CAKE stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)103120255242026Change
Stock Price ($)49.0461.1424.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,6693,8033.7%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%4.3%0.2%
P/E Multiple14.317.320.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4647-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution24.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 5/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE24.7% 
Market (SPY)9.9%35.4%
Sector (XLY)-0.3%37.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.4% change in CAKE stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020255242026Change
Stock Price ($)49.1461.1424.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,5823,8036.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%4.3%-0.9%
P/E Multiple15.017.314.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)48472.9%
Cumulative Contribution24.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2025 to 5/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE24.4% 
Market (SPY)36.0%39.3%
Sector (XLY)21.8%42.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 97.1% change in CAKE stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 232.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)43020235242026Change
Stock Price ($)31.0161.1497.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,3033,80315.1%
Net Income Margin (%)1.3%4.3%232.4%
P/E Multiple35.217.3-50.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)49474.9%
Cumulative Contribution97.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2023 to 5/24/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE97.1% 
Market (SPY)86.3%43.6%
Sector (XLY)65.2%46.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CAKE Return6%-17%14%39%9%21%83%
Peers Return2%-8%35%43%-6%10%88%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%9%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAKE Win Rate58%33%50%67%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%62%58%43%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%60% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAKE Max Drawdown-42%-38%-28%-16%-36%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-35%-27%-28%-36%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, BJRI. See CAKE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCAKES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-18.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven36 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven85 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-18.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven327 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven194 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-62.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven167.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven287 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven755 days105 days

Compare to DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, BJRI

In The Past

Cheesecake Factory's stock fell -18.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCAKES&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven85 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven194 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-62.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven167.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven287 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven363 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven123 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-27.1%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.2%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven121 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-77.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven342.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven449 days1085 days

Compare to DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, BJRI

In The Past

Cheesecake Factory's stock fell -18.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company owns and operates 306 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including 208 The Cheesecake Factory and 29 North Italia; and a collection of Fox Restaurant Concepts, as well as 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants under licensing agreements internationally. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Like Darden Restaurants (Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse), but with an iconic bakery division that also supplies its famous cheesecakes to grocery stores and other foodservice operators.

Imagine a full-service restaurant chain similar to Applebee's or Chili's, but famous for its vast menu and especially its iconic cheesecakes, which are also sold in grocery stores nationwide.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Restaurant Dining Services: Providing a full-service dining experience, including meals and beverages, across its various restaurant brands such as The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and Fox Restaurant Concepts.
  • Baked Goods Manufacturing and Distribution: Producing and supplying cheesecakes and other baked products to its own restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, and other external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Cheesecake Factory (symbol: CAKE) primarily sells to individuals through its extensive network of owned and operated restaurants, and through its licensed international locations. While its bakeries also supply other businesses, the core business description points to direct consumer interaction via its restaurants.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Restaurant Diners: Individuals and groups who visit The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and Fox Restaurant Concepts locations for a full-service dining experience, encompassing meals, appetizers, and their renowned cheesecakes and other desserts. This represents the primary revenue stream from their owned and operated restaurants.
  • Baked Goods Purchasers: Customers who purchase whole cheesecakes or other baked products for takeout, special occasions, or home consumption. These purchases can be made directly from the company's restaurants, or from third-party retailers that are supplied by the company's bakeries.
  • International Patrons: Individuals who frequent the licensed The Cheesecake Factory restaurants located outside of the United States and Canada, experiencing the brand's offerings in international markets.

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David Overton, Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer

David Overton co-founded the predecessor company with his parents, Evelyn and Oscar Overton, in 1972. He opened the first The Cheesecake Factory restaurant in 1978 in Beverly Hills, California, establishing the concept. Under his leadership, The Cheesecake Factory expanded into an international brand, and he also created three other concepts: Grand Lux Cafe®, RockSugar Southeast Asian Kitchen®, and Social Monk Asian Kitchen®. He oversaw the acquisition of the North Italia® brand and the balance of Fox Restaurant Concepts. The company went public in 1992.

Matthew E. Clark, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Matthew E. Clark was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in 2017. He joined The Cheesecake Factory in 2006 as Vice President of Strategic Planning. Before his current role, he served as Senior Vice President, Finance and Strategy, overseeing strategy, financial planning, treasury, and risk management functions. Earlier in his career, he held finance positions at Groupe Danone, Kinko's, and The Walt Disney Company. He also led the company's minority investment in two external, high-growth restaurant brands. No information was found indicating that Mr. Clark founded or managed other companies, sold companies he was previously involved with to an acquirer, or has a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

David M. Gordon, President

David M. Gordon was appointed President of the Company in February 2013. He joined The Cheesecake Factory in 1993 as a Manager and progressed through various operational roles, including General Manager, Area Director of Operations, Regional Vice President, and Chief Operating Officer, prior to his appointment as President.

Keith T. Carango, President, The Cheesecake Factory Bakery Incorporated

Keith T. Carango serves as President of The Cheesecake Factory Bakery Incorporated. He joined the bakery operations in 1996, focusing on leading manufacturing and implementing continuous improvement initiatives. In his previous role as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, he was responsible for strategic planning, supply chain, manufacturing, distribution, human resources, quality assurance, and finance. Before joining the Company, he held manufacturing and finance roles at Frito-Lay, Inc. and Prince Foods.

Scarlett May, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Scarlett May joined The Cheesecake Factory in 2018. Prior to this, she served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary at Brinker International, Inc. from 2014 to 2018. Her career also includes a role as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary for Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from the highly competitive and economically sensitive restaurant industry.
  1. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Soft Consumer Discretionary Spending: The most significant risk is the impact of broader economic conditions on consumer spending, directly affecting customer traffic and comparable restaurant sales. Recent reports indicate softness in traffic at flagship The Cheesecake Factory locations, leading to essentially flat or declining same-store sales despite steady check averages. This suggests fewer people are visiting the restaurants, reflecting a sensitivity to consumers' discretionary income and overall economic uncertainties.
  2. Rising Operating Costs, Including Wage Inflation and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: The company continues to face persistent cost inflation, particularly related to labor (wage inflation) and commodities. Geopolitical and macroeconomic events can exacerbate these issues, potentially leading to further wage inflation, disruptions in the supply chain for fresh ingredients, and staffing challenges. These factors directly impact the company's profitability and financial performance.
  3. Intense Competition and Evolving Consumer Preferences: The restaurant industry is highly competitive, with The Cheesecake Factory competing against a wide array of national and regional chains, independent establishments, and the growing fast-casual and quick-service segments. Moreover, consumer dining preferences are continuously evolving, with a shift towards healthier, faster, and more affordable options. The company's business model, including its large menu and presence in some declining shopping malls, requires continuous adaptation and innovation to maintain market share and relevance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (symbol: CAKE) operates in the full-service restaurant and bakery product markets. The addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:

Restaurant Services

  • United States Full-Service Restaurant Market: The market size was valued at approximately USD 362.15 billion in 2025 and is predicted to value at US$ 371.9 billion in 2025. Another estimate places the U.S. full-service restaurant sector at USD 336.22 billion in 2024, growing to USD 807.83 billion by 2033.
  • Canada Full-Service Restaurant Market: The industry revenue in Canada expanded to approximately C$47.2 billion over the five years to 2025. Consumer spending on full-service restaurants in Canada recovered to Can$25,913.7 million in 2022. Full-service chain restaurant sales in Canada's top 200 chains are anticipated to reach $47 billion in 2024.

Bakery Products

  • United States Bakery Products Market: The U.S. market held over USD 135.1 billion in 2024. Another report estimated the bakery products market in the U.S. at US$141.4 Billion in 2023.
  • Canada Bakery Products Market: Based on the North America bakery products market size projected to be US$ 95.2 billion in 2025 and the U.S. accounting for approximately 66.2% of that market, the Canadian share of the North American bakery products market would be approximately 33.8%, translating to roughly USD 32.18 billion in 2025. Canada's bakery products market is forecast to grow at 3.7% over the 2023-2030 period.
  • Global Bakery Products Market: The global bakery products market was valued at USD 602 billion in 2024. It was estimated at US$536.4 Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach US$734.5 Billion by 2030.

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Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Over the next 2-3 years, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives:

  1. New Restaurant Openings: The company plans to continue its unit expansion across its brand portfolio, including The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and other Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC) such as Flower Child. For instance, in fiscal year 2025, the company was on track to open as many as 25 new restaurants. This aggressive development strategy contributes directly to top-line growth. For instance, 25 new restaurant openings in fiscal 2025 supported a record annual revenue. Furthermore, the guidance for fiscal year 2026 implies 26 new openings.
  2. Growth and Diversification Through North Italia and Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC): The strategic acquisition and ongoing expansion of North Italia and the broader Fox Restaurant Group (FRG) concepts are crucial growth engines. These brands are projected to contribute nearly a third of total revenue in 2025, diversifying the company's revenue streams beyond its flagship Cheesecake Factory restaurants. The growth of North Italia and Flower Child, in particular, is highlighted as pivotal for overall company growth. North Italia saw comparable sales increase by 3% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
  3. Strategic Menu Price Adjustments: The Cheesecake Factory has demonstrated its ability to implement menu price increases to offset inflationary pressures and enhance revenue. For example, a 3.7% menu price increase in October 2023 contributed to margin improvement. These pricing strategies help increase the average check size and contribute to overall revenue growth per customer.
  4. Sustained Comparable Restaurant Sales Growth Driven by Traffic and Off-Premise Momentum: Despite some fluctuations, The Cheesecake Factory restaurants consistently aim to outperform the casual dining industry in terms of traffic. The company also maintains a stable off-premise sales mix, which was approximately 22% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024. This focus on drawing more customers and maintaining a strong digital and takeout presence helps bolster comparable restaurant sales.

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Share Repurchases

  • The company repurchased approximately 2.9 million shares at a cost of $153.9 million (excluding excise tax) during fiscal year 2025.
  • In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, The Cheesecake Factory repurchased approximately 228,100 shares of its stock at a cost of $11.2 million.
  • As of February 12, 2026, approximately 6.0 million shares remained available for repurchase under the existing program, which had an increase of 5.0 million shares approved by the Board of Directors, raising the total authorization to 66 million shares.

Share Issuance

  • Proceeds from the exercise of stock options amounted to $12.5 million in fiscal year 2024.
  • In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, proceeds from the exercise of options totaled $10.8 million.

Inbound Investments

  • No significant inbound investments by third parties in The Cheesecake Factory were identified within the last 3-5 years.

Outbound Investments

  • No significant outbound investments, such as strategic acquisitions of other companies, were identified within the last 3-5 years. The company's expansion primarily involves opening new units of its existing brands.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2026, capital expenditures are anticipated to be approximately $210 million, focused on unit development and required maintenance for restaurants.
  • Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were projected to range between $190 million and $210 million, supporting the opening of as many as 25 new restaurants across its brand portfolio including The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and other Fox Restaurant Concepts.
  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2024 were $160.4 million, with $99.0 million allocated to new restaurants, $53.0 million for existing restaurants, and $8.4 million for bakery and corporate capacity and infrastructure investments.

Better Bets vs. Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

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SKY_4022026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04022026SKYChampion HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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CAKE_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG06302022CAKECheesecake FactoryDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Mkt Price61.14203.51137.41177.577.8244.5699.28
Mkt Cap2.823.45.911.70.70.94.4
Rev LTM3,80312,7645,7346,0643,9661,4094,850
Op Inc LTM2591,50961149911845379
FCF LTM17199450435511980263
FCF 3Y Avg1179923473379332227
CFO LTM3191,735758751279149535
CFO 3Y Avg2731,667576706308110442

Growth & Margins

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Rev Chg LTM5.1%8.5%11.8%10.3%0.9%3.0%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.1%7.3%12.2%13.0%-1.2%2.0%5.7%
Rev Chg Q5.6%5.9%3.2%12.8%1.0%2.9%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%1.5%0.8%3.2%0.3%0.7%1.1%
Op Inc Chg LTM10.2%6.4%23.1%-6.3%-34.7%17.3%8.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg35.1%9.3%58.2%15.1%-28.4%55.2%25.1%
Op Mgn LTM6.8%11.8%10.7%8.2%3.0%3.2%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.2%11.9%8.7%8.7%4.8%2.7%7.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%-0.0%-0.0%-0.1%0.2%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.4%13.6%13.2%12.4%7.0%10.6%11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.5%14.0%11.1%13.0%7.8%8.0%9.6%
FCF/Rev LTM4.5%7.8%8.8%5.8%3.0%5.7%5.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%8.4%6.6%6.2%2.3%2.3%4.7%

Valuation

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Mkt Cap2.823.45.911.70.70.94.4
P/S0.71.81.01.90.20.70.9
P/Op Inc11.015.59.723.55.720.813.3
P/EBIT14.816.39.923.517.119.916.7
P/E17.321.212.828.230.721.321.2
P/CFO8.913.57.815.62.46.38.4
Total Yield7.7%7.7%7.8%4.4%7.1%4.7%7.4%
Dividend Yield1.9%2.9%0.0%0.8%3.8%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.2%4.5%6.9%3.1%11.4%4.2%4.8%
D/E0.80.30.30.13.00.50.4
Net D/E0.70.30.30.12.90.50.4

Returns

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
1M Rtn-0.4%1.2%-0.9%11.1%27.5%16.7%6.2%
3M Rtn-2.8%-5.6%-6.2%-0.3%20.8%8.2%-1.6%
6M Rtn36.0%18.3%1.8%3.2%23.1%23.8%20.7%
12M Rtn18.6%2.8%-11.1%-5.0%5.9%5.0%3.9%
3Y Rtn102.4%39.3%254.1%67.2%-64.4%40.9%54.0%
1M Excs Rtn-5.8%-4.6%-9.6%5.5%17.2%11.2%0.5%
3M Excs Rtn-12.8%-13.6%-11.7%-9.1%18.0%0.2%-10.4%
6M Excs Rtn27.7%9.0%-5.1%-5.4%14.6%15.5%11.8%
12M Excs Rtn-9.1%-24.6%-32.4%-31.4%-23.1%-20.7%-23.9%
3Y Excs Rtn16.9%-38.3%170.6%-16.0%-144.5%-42.9%-27.1%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
The Cheesecake Factory restaurants1,5451,5721,6251,6531,672
Other656523542599496
Other Fox Restaurant Concepts LLC (FRC)421399302276309
North Italia420347307270270
Total3,0422,8402,7752,7982,747


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$61.14 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.9 
First Trading Date09/18/1992 
Distance from 52W High-9.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$58.93$56.06
DMA Trendindeterminateindeterminate
Distance from DMA3.7%9.1%
 3M1YR
Volatility35.5%33.5%
Downside Capture112.4394.81
Upside Capture68.2685.43
Correlation (SPY)45.8%36.6%
CAKE Betas & Captures as of 4/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.131.251.161.061.121.02
Up Beta0.951.340.820.851.371.05
Down Beta1.801.681.451.051.180.97
Up Capture125%86%137%148%96%113%
Bmk +ve Days15223166141428
Stock +ve Days13213568135375
Down Capture221%135%111%93%99%100%
Bmk -ve Days4183056108321
Stock -ve Days9222957117374

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE18.8%33.7%0.55-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.6%18.2%0.5640.0%
Equity (SPY)29.5%12.0%1.8636.6%
Gold (GLD)35.5%26.8%1.116.9%
Commodities (DBC)42.9%18.7%1.77-11.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)15.2%13.1%0.8233.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.3%41.8%-0.7818.7%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE3.1%40.3%0.19-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.8%23.7%0.2951.9%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.0%0.6447.2%
Gold (GLD)18.8%18.0%0.856.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.4%19.4%0.426.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.8%18.8%0.1039.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.6%55.3%0.4121.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE4.3%44.3%0.26-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.0%22.0%0.5450.2%
Equity (SPY)15.7%17.9%0.7549.3%
Gold (GLD)13.0%16.0%0.671.8%
Commodities (DBC)7.8%17.9%0.3514.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.2346.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.7%66.9%1.0612.8%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 4152026-7.8%
Average Daily Volume1.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity46.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares17.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/29/20260.3%-3.3% 
2/18/2026-2.6%2.9%-10.3%
10/28/2025-7.3%-12.1%-11.6%
7/29/20255.2%-2.5%-1.6%
4/30/2025-4.4%-0.5%10.1%
2/19/20251.3%-1.2%-10.1%
10/29/20248.8%9.0%16.7%
7/31/2024-5.2%-11.1%1.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131213
# Negative121311
Median Positive3.2%5.8%10.1%
Median Negative-4.3%-2.5%-10.1%
Max Positive8.8%20.7%34.3%
Max Negative-13.2%-20.8%-18.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202502/23/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/01/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Restaurant Openings 26 0 AffirmedGuidance: 26 for 2026
2026 New The Cheesecake Factory Restaurant Openings 6    
2026 New North Italia Restaurant Openings66.57   
2026 New Flower Child Restaurant Openings66.57   
2026 New FRC Restaurant Openings 7    

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Restaurant Openings 26 4.0% Higher NewActual: 25 for 2025

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Overton, DavidCHAIRMAN AND C.E.O.TrustSell504202661.02104,0006,346,080187,928,115Form
2May, ScarlettEVP, GENERAL COUNSELDirectSell311202662.955,206327,7081,618,713Form
3Alex, Spero GEVP Operations - CFRITrustSell226202666.004,790  Form
4Clark, Matthew EliotEXEC VP, CFODirectSell226202665.707,000459,9002,896,713Form
5Hanscom, Ashley WPRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell226202665.642,951193,689724,676Form