Tearsheet

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)


Market Price (4/8/2026): $55.82 | Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)


Market Price (4/8/2026): $55.82
Market Cap: $2.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 5.9%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Culinary Trends & Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Gourmet Casual Dining.

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%

Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 74%

Key risks
CAKE key risks include [1] a persistent "traffic problem" due to cautious consumer spending and [2] high financial leverage from a significant debt load, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.8%, FCF Yield is 5.9%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Culinary Trends & Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Gourmet Casual Dining.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 74%
5 Key risks
CAKE key risks include [1] a persistent "traffic problem" due to cautious consumer spending and [2] high financial leverage from a significant debt load, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) stock has gained about 10% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2025 Financial Results.

The Cheesecake Factory reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.00 for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, exceeding analysts' consensus estimate of $0.98 by 2.04%. Total revenues for the quarter reached $961.6 million, a 4.4% increase year-over-year, surpassing expectations of $949.03 million and contributing to record annual revenue for 2025. The company also achieved a solid 17.9% restaurant-level margin in Q4 2025, reflecting effective cost management.

2. Robust Fiscal Year 2026 Expansion and Revenue Outlook.

The company announced aggressive growth plans for fiscal year 2026, including the opening of up to 26 new restaurants, aiming for approximately 7% annual unit growth. These expansion efforts are supported by a projected capital expenditure of approximately $210 million for the year. Management anticipates total revenues for fiscal 2026 to be around $3.9 billion, signaling confidence in future top-line growth.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 11.0% change in CAKE stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254072026Change
Stock Price ($)50.2455.7811.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,7113,7521.1%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%4.0%-8.7%
P/E Multiple14.617.520.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)47470.0%
Cumulative Contribution11.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE11.0% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%43.7%
Sector (XLY)-9.7%36.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.2% change in CAKE stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254072026Change
Stock Price ($)54.0755.783.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,6693,7522.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%4.0%-8.6%
P/E Multiple15.817.511.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)4647-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution3.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE3.2% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%32.7%
Sector (XLY)-9.9%37.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 16.9% change in CAKE stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254072026Change
Stock Price ($)47.7055.7816.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,5823,7524.7%
Net Income Margin (%)4.4%4.0%-9.6%
P/E Multiple14.617.520.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)48472.9%
Cumulative Contribution16.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE16.9% 
Market (SPY)16.3%47.5%
Sector (XLY)9.8%50.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 72.0% change in CAKE stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 203.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120234072026Change
Stock Price ($)32.4355.7872.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,3033,75213.6%
Net Income Margin (%)1.3%4.0%203.0%
P/E Multiple36.817.5-52.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)49474.9%
Cumulative Contribution72.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE72.0% 
Market (SPY)63.3%43.9%
Sector (XLY)47.4%46.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CAKE Return6%-17%14%39%9%14%72%
Peers Return2%-8%35%43%-6%-1%70%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-3%76%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAKE Win Rate58%33%50%67%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%62%58%43%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAKE Max Drawdown-4%-32%-8%-8%-7%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-17%-30%-5%-22%-22%-8% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, BJRI. See CAKE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCAKES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-58.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven141.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,098 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-64.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven179.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven293 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven86.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,163 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-81.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven442.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven510 days1,480 days

Compare to DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, BJRI

In The Past

Cheesecake Factory's stock fell -58.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -58.6% loss requires a 141.4% gain to breakeven.

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About Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates restaurants. It operates two bakeries that produces cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company owns and operates 306 restaurants throughout the United States and Canada under brands, including 208 The Cheesecake Factory and 29 North Italia; and a collection of Fox Restaurant Concepts, as well as 29 The Cheesecake Factory restaurants under licensing agreements internationally. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

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Like Darden Restaurants (Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse), but with an iconic bakery division that also supplies its famous cheesecakes to grocery stores and other foodservice operators.

Imagine a full-service restaurant chain similar to Applebee's or Chili's, but famous for its vast menu and especially its iconic cheesecakes, which are also sold in grocery stores nationwide.

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  • Restaurant Dining Services: Providing a full-service dining experience, including meals and beverages, across its various restaurant brands such as The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and Fox Restaurant Concepts.
  • Baked Goods Manufacturing and Distribution: Producing and supplying cheesecakes and other baked products to its own restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, and other external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Cheesecake Factory (symbol: CAKE) primarily sells to individuals through its extensive network of owned and operated restaurants, and through its licensed international locations. While its bakeries also supply other businesses, the core business description points to direct consumer interaction via its restaurants.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Restaurant Diners: Individuals and groups who visit The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and Fox Restaurant Concepts locations for a full-service dining experience, encompassing meals, appetizers, and their renowned cheesecakes and other desserts. This represents the primary revenue stream from their owned and operated restaurants.
  • Baked Goods Purchasers: Customers who purchase whole cheesecakes or other baked products for takeout, special occasions, or home consumption. These purchases can be made directly from the company's restaurants, or from third-party retailers that are supplied by the company's bakeries.
  • International Patrons: Individuals who frequent the licensed The Cheesecake Factory restaurants located outside of the United States and Canada, experiencing the brand's offerings in international markets.

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David Overton, Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer

David Overton co-founded the predecessor company with his parents, Evelyn and Oscar Overton, in 1972. He opened the first The Cheesecake Factory restaurant in 1978 in Beverly Hills, California, establishing the concept. Under his leadership, The Cheesecake Factory expanded into an international brand, and he also created three other concepts: Grand Lux Cafe®, RockSugar Southeast Asian Kitchen®, and Social Monk Asian Kitchen®. He oversaw the acquisition of the North Italia® brand and the balance of Fox Restaurant Concepts. The company went public in 1992.

Matthew E. Clark, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Matthew E. Clark was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in 2017. He joined The Cheesecake Factory in 2006 as Vice President of Strategic Planning. Before his current role, he served as Senior Vice President, Finance and Strategy, overseeing strategy, financial planning, treasury, and risk management functions. Earlier in his career, he held finance positions at Groupe Danone, Kinko's, and The Walt Disney Company. He also led the company's minority investment in two external, high-growth restaurant brands. No information was found indicating that Mr. Clark founded or managed other companies, sold companies he was previously involved with to an acquirer, or has a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

David M. Gordon, President

David M. Gordon was appointed President of the Company in February 2013. He joined The Cheesecake Factory in 1993 as a Manager and progressed through various operational roles, including General Manager, Area Director of Operations, Regional Vice President, and Chief Operating Officer, prior to his appointment as President.

Keith T. Carango, President, The Cheesecake Factory Bakery Incorporated

Keith T. Carango serves as President of The Cheesecake Factory Bakery Incorporated. He joined the bakery operations in 1996, focusing on leading manufacturing and implementing continuous improvement initiatives. In his previous role as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, he was responsible for strategic planning, supply chain, manufacturing, distribution, human resources, quality assurance, and finance. Before joining the Company, he held manufacturing and finance roles at Frito-Lay, Inc. and Prince Foods.

Scarlett May, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Scarlett May joined The Cheesecake Factory in 2018. Prior to this, she served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary at Brinker International, Inc. from 2014 to 2018. Her career also includes a role as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary for Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

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The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from the highly competitive and economically sensitive restaurant industry.
  1. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Soft Consumer Discretionary Spending: The most significant risk is the impact of broader economic conditions on consumer spending, directly affecting customer traffic and comparable restaurant sales. Recent reports indicate softness in traffic at flagship The Cheesecake Factory locations, leading to essentially flat or declining same-store sales despite steady check averages. This suggests fewer people are visiting the restaurants, reflecting a sensitivity to consumers' discretionary income and overall economic uncertainties.
  2. Rising Operating Costs, Including Wage Inflation and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: The company continues to face persistent cost inflation, particularly related to labor (wage inflation) and commodities. Geopolitical and macroeconomic events can exacerbate these issues, potentially leading to further wage inflation, disruptions in the supply chain for fresh ingredients, and staffing challenges. These factors directly impact the company's profitability and financial performance.
  3. Intense Competition and Evolving Consumer Preferences: The restaurant industry is highly competitive, with The Cheesecake Factory competing against a wide array of national and regional chains, independent establishments, and the growing fast-casual and quick-service segments. Moreover, consumer dining preferences are continuously evolving, with a shift towards healthier, faster, and more affordable options. The company's business model, including its large menu and presence in some declining shopping malls, requires continuous adaptation and innovation to maintain market share and relevance.

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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (symbol: CAKE) operates in the full-service restaurant and bakery product markets. The addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:

Restaurant Services

  • United States Full-Service Restaurant Market: The market size was valued at approximately USD 362.15 billion in 2025 and is predicted to value at US$ 371.9 billion in 2025. Another estimate places the U.S. full-service restaurant sector at USD 336.22 billion in 2024, growing to USD 807.83 billion by 2033.
  • Canada Full-Service Restaurant Market: The industry revenue in Canada expanded to approximately C$47.2 billion over the five years to 2025. Consumer spending on full-service restaurants in Canada recovered to Can$25,913.7 million in 2022. Full-service chain restaurant sales in Canada's top 200 chains are anticipated to reach $47 billion in 2024.

Bakery Products

  • United States Bakery Products Market: The U.S. market held over USD 135.1 billion in 2024. Another report estimated the bakery products market in the U.S. at US$141.4 Billion in 2023.
  • Canada Bakery Products Market: Based on the North America bakery products market size projected to be US$ 95.2 billion in 2025 and the U.S. accounting for approximately 66.2% of that market, the Canadian share of the North American bakery products market would be approximately 33.8%, translating to roughly USD 32.18 billion in 2025. Canada's bakery products market is forecast to grow at 3.7% over the 2023-2030 period.
  • Global Bakery Products Market: The global bakery products market was valued at USD 602 billion in 2024. It was estimated at US$536.4 Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach US$734.5 Billion by 2030.

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Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Over the next 2-3 years, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives:

  1. New Restaurant Openings: The company plans to continue its unit expansion across its brand portfolio, including The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and other Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC) such as Flower Child. For instance, in fiscal year 2025, the company was on track to open as many as 25 new restaurants. This aggressive development strategy contributes directly to top-line growth. For instance, 25 new restaurant openings in fiscal 2025 supported a record annual revenue. Furthermore, the guidance for fiscal year 2026 implies 26 new openings.
  2. Growth and Diversification Through North Italia and Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC): The strategic acquisition and ongoing expansion of North Italia and the broader Fox Restaurant Group (FRG) concepts are crucial growth engines. These brands are projected to contribute nearly a third of total revenue in 2025, diversifying the company's revenue streams beyond its flagship Cheesecake Factory restaurants. The growth of North Italia and Flower Child, in particular, is highlighted as pivotal for overall company growth. North Italia saw comparable sales increase by 3% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
  3. Strategic Menu Price Adjustments: The Cheesecake Factory has demonstrated its ability to implement menu price increases to offset inflationary pressures and enhance revenue. For example, a 3.7% menu price increase in October 2023 contributed to margin improvement. These pricing strategies help increase the average check size and contribute to overall revenue growth per customer.
  4. Sustained Comparable Restaurant Sales Growth Driven by Traffic and Off-Premise Momentum: Despite some fluctuations, The Cheesecake Factory restaurants consistently aim to outperform the casual dining industry in terms of traffic. The company also maintains a stable off-premise sales mix, which was approximately 22% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024. This focus on drawing more customers and maintaining a strong digital and takeout presence helps bolster comparable restaurant sales.

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Share Repurchases

  • The company repurchased approximately 2.9 million shares at a cost of $153.9 million (excluding excise tax) during fiscal year 2025.
  • In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, The Cheesecake Factory repurchased approximately 228,100 shares of its stock at a cost of $11.2 million.
  • As of February 12, 2026, approximately 6.0 million shares remained available for repurchase under the existing program, which had an increase of 5.0 million shares approved by the Board of Directors, raising the total authorization to 66 million shares.

Share Issuance

  • Proceeds from the exercise of stock options amounted to $12.5 million in fiscal year 2024.
  • In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, proceeds from the exercise of options totaled $10.8 million.

Inbound Investments

  • No significant inbound investments by third parties in The Cheesecake Factory were identified within the last 3-5 years.

Outbound Investments

  • No significant outbound investments, such as strategic acquisitions of other companies, were identified within the last 3-5 years. The company's expansion primarily involves opening new units of its existing brands.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2026, capital expenditures are anticipated to be approximately $210 million, focused on unit development and required maintenance for restaurants.
  • Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were projected to range between $190 million and $210 million, supporting the opening of as many as 25 new restaurants across its brand portfolio including The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and other Fox Restaurant Concepts.
  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2024 were $160.4 million, with $99.0 million allocated to new restaurants, $53.0 million for existing restaurants, and $8.4 million for bakery and corporate capacity and infrastructure investments.

Better Bets vs. Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Trade Ideas

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Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
SKY_3312026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312026SKYChampion HomesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
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ETSY_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026ETSYEtsyDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%0.0%
OLLI_3272026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03272026OLLIOllie's Bargain OutletDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
PATK_3272026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V203272026PATKPatrick IndustriesInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.6%
CAKE_6302022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG06302022CAKECheesecake FactoryDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
22.3%35.1%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Mkt Price55.78190.63148.41159.945.6636.96102.09
Mkt Cap2.621.96.510.60.50.84.6
Rev LTM3,75212,7645,6885,8783,9561,3994,822
Op Inc LTM2581,50960848111048369
FCF LTM1549944563369741245
FCF 3Y Avg10999231831811824218
CFO LTM3011,735738730277111516
CFO 3Y Avg2631,667543683346106444

Growth & Margins

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Rev Chg LTM4.7%8.5%17.9%9.4%0.1%3.1%6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.3%7.3%12.8%13.6%-0.4%2.9%5.8%
Rev Chg Q4.4%5.9%6.9%3.1%0.3%3.2%3.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.1%1.5%1.7%0.8%0.1%0.8%0.9%
Op Mgn LTM6.9%11.8%10.7%8.2%2.8%3.4%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.1%11.9%8.3%8.6%5.2%2.5%7.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.0%-0.2%-0.8%-0.6%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM8.0%13.6%13.0%12.4%7.0%7.9%10.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.3%14.0%10.8%12.9%8.5%7.8%9.7%
FCF/Rev LTM4.1%7.8%8.0%5.7%2.4%2.9%4.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%8.4%6.3%6.0%2.9%1.8%4.5%

Valuation

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Mkt Cap2.621.96.510.60.50.84.6
P/S0.71.71.11.80.10.60.9
P/EBIT15.015.211.122.013.015.015.0
P/E17.519.814.426.158.616.018.7
P/CFO8.612.68.914.51.77.18.7
Total Yield7.7%8.2%7.0%4.7%9.6%6.3%7.3%
Dividend Yield2.0%3.1%0.0%0.9%7.9%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.0%4.5%6.5%3.0%10.0%2.9%4.8%
D/E0.80.30.30.14.20.60.5
Net D/E0.70.30.30.14.00.60.4

Returns

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
1M Rtn-9.6%-6.2%10.1%-6.4%-5.8%5.1%-6.0%
3M Rtn-0.9%-4.1%-4.8%-9.7%-15.3%-14.5%-7.3%
6M Rtn4.3%1.1%16.7%-3.2%-24.7%20.0%2.7%
12M Rtn28.2%3.9%8.6%4.9%-8.6%21.5%6.8%
3Y Rtn79.8%39.3%296.5%52.7%-73.8%30.4%46.0%
1M Excs Rtn-7.8%-4.3%11.9%-4.5%-4.0%6.9%-4.2%
3M Excs Rtn6.6%3.1%3.4%-3.7%-8.5%-6.9%-0.3%
6M Excs Rtn3.0%1.7%18.7%-1.7%-22.3%18.7%2.4%
12M Excs Rtn-1.0%-24.8%-15.6%-25.3%-41.0%-9.4%-20.2%
3Y Excs Rtn7.9%-26.7%235.4%-8.1%-138.0%-37.6%-17.4%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
The Cheesecake Factory restaurants1,5451,5721,6251,6531,672
Other656523542599496
Other Fox Restaurant Concepts LLC (FRC)421399302276309
North Italia420347307270270
Total3,0422,8402,7752,7982,747


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$55.78 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.6 
First Trading Date09/18/1992 
Distance from 52W High-17.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$59.65$56.62
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-6.5%-1.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility37.1%34.8%
Downside Capture0.540.50
Upside Capture140.3688.27
Correlation (SPY)41.5%43.6%
CAKE Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.151.171.310.920.911.01
Up Beta4.270.420.381.300.861.05
Down Beta1.631.301.351.160.960.95
Up Capture-21%146%217%73%87%109%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days9223466134372
Down Capture132%111%100%73%95%100%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days13202960118375

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE21.7%34.8%0.61-
Sector ETF (XLY)13.6%22.8%0.4846.9%
Equity (SPY)21.3%18.3%0.9443.7%
Gold (GLD)51.9%28.0%1.494.0%
Commodities (DBC)20.3%17.2%1.0211.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.9%16.1%0.2341.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-17.5%44.0%-0.3124.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE0.9%40.3%0.14-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.1%23.7%0.2251.7%
Equity (SPY)11.7%17.0%0.5347.2%
Gold (GLD)22.5%17.8%1.045.7%
Commodities (DBC)12.0%18.8%0.529.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.0939.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.1%56.5%0.2821.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE2.7%44.2%0.22-
Sector ETF (XLY)11.8%22.0%0.4950.3%
Equity (SPY)13.9%17.9%0.6749.3%
Gold (GLD)13.9%15.9%0.731.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%17.6%0.4015.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.9%20.7%0.2046.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.6%66.8%1.0612.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 2282026-2.0%
Average Daily Volume1.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.6 days
Basic Shares Quantity46.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares18.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
2/18/2026-2.6%2.9%-10.3%
10/28/2025-7.3%-12.1%-11.6%
7/29/20255.2%-2.5%-1.6%
4/30/2025-4.4%-0.5%10.1%
2/19/20251.3%-1.2%-10.1%
10/29/20248.8%9.0%16.7%
7/31/2024-5.2%-11.1%1.8%
5/8/20246.2%20.7%15.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121213
# Negative121211
Median Positive4.1%5.8%10.1%
Median Negative-4.3%-2.0%-10.1%
Max Positive8.8%20.7%34.3%
Max Negative-13.2%-20.8%-18.6%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/23/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/01/202210-Q
03/31/202205/02/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Restaurant Openings 26 4.0% Higher NewActual: 25 for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/28/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 New Restaurant Openings 25 0 AffirmedGuidance: 25 for 2025

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Gordon, David MPRESIDENTDirectSell815202563.0643,3352,732,8391,547,064Form
2Cappello, Alexander LMaricopa Capital LLCSell801202565.8812,388816,121448,379Form
3May, ScarlettEVP, GENERAL COUNSELDirectSell610202558.8218,8001,105,8461,345,368Form
4May, ScarlettEVP, GENERAL COUNSELDirectSell530202556.0220,8001,165,1211,281,185Form
5Carango, KeithPRESIDENT (SUBSIDIARY)DirectSell529202555.1250,5002,783,3781,144,988Form