Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)


Market Price (8/24/2026): $113.41 | Market Cap: $5.3 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)


Market Price (8/24/2026): $113.41
Market Cap: $5.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Culinary Trends & Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Gourmet Casual Dining.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 26x

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 103%

Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%

Key risks
CAKE key risks include [1] a persistent "traffic problem" due to cautious consumer spending and [2] high financial leverage from a significant debt load, Show more.

0 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 38%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Culinary Trends & Innovation. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Gourmet Casual Dining.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.4%, Dist 3Y High is -3.4%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 26x
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 103%
5 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 20%
6 Key risks
CAKE key risks include [1] a persistent "traffic problem" due to cautious consumer spending and [2] high financial leverage from a significant debt load, Show more.

CAKE in ETFs

Weight = CAKE's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWM0.16%
IJR0.27%
VYM0.02%
VB0.06%
AVUV0.62%
IWO0.31%
+14 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/21/2026

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) stock has gained about 80% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance Exceeded Expectations.

The Cheesecake Factory reported robust results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended on June 30, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst estimates. The company delivered adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.44, beating consensus estimates ranging from $1.14 to $1.18 by 22% to 26%. Total revenues reached $1.03 billion, marking the first time quarterly sales exceeded $1 billion and surpassing analyst forecasts of approximately $999.5 million. This strong financial beat signaled unexpected strength in the company's operations and market demand.

2. Strong Comparable Restaurant Sales and Positive Traffic Growth.

A key driver of the impressive fiscal Q2 2026 results was a 5.8% year-over-year increase in comparable restaurant sales at The Cheesecake Factory restaurants, coupled with positive traffic. This performance meaningfully outperformed the broader casual dining industry, indicating that the company's menu innovation, loyalty program, and marketing efforts successfully strengthened consumer awareness and engagement.

Show more
Updated on 8/21/2026

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) stock has gained about 80% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Performance Exceeded Expectations.

The Cheesecake Factory reported robust results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended on June 30, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst estimates. The company delivered adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.44, beating consensus estimates ranging from $1.14 to $1.18 by 22% to 26%. Total revenues reached $1.03 billion, marking the first time quarterly sales exceeded $1 billion and surpassing analyst forecasts of approximately $999.5 million. This strong financial beat signaled unexpected strength in the company's operations and market demand.

2. Strong Comparable Restaurant Sales and Positive Traffic Growth.

A key driver of the impressive fiscal Q2 2026 results was a 5.8% year-over-year increase in comparable restaurant sales at The Cheesecake Factory restaurants, coupled with positive traffic. This performance meaningfully outperformed the broader casual dining industry, indicating that the company's menu innovation, loyalty program, and marketing efforts successfully strengthened consumer awareness and engagement.

3. Enhanced Profitability and Operational Efficiencies.

The company demonstrated significant improvements in profitability during fiscal Q2 2026, with the restaurant-level margin reaching 20%, its highest level in a decade. This was attributed to higher sales volumes, gains in labor productivity, and increased food-cost efficiency. Additionally, income from operations rose to $78.6 million (7.6% of revenues) in fiscal Q2 2026, up from $64.8 million (6.8% of revenues) in the prior year's comparable quarter, largely due to a lower total costs and expenses ratio of 92.4% of revenues. Management also noted that cooling inflation, particularly in energy, food, and wages, benefited the company's historically tight restaurant margins.

4. Upgraded Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook and Analyst Price Target Increases.

Following the strong performance, management raised its fiscal year 2026 revenue outlook to approximately $4 billion and set a target for a 5.4% net income margin, signaling continued optimism. In response, several analysts revised their ratings and significantly increased price targets. Argus, for example, lifted its price target to $110 from $72, maintaining a "Buy" rating. Other firms like Oppenheimer, Citi, and Morgan Stanley also raised their price targets, with Morgan Stanley upgrading its rating from Underweight to Equalweight, reflecting growing confidence in the company's sustained earnings strength and turnaround narrative. Zacks Research also increased its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings estimates to $0.84 per share from $0.70 and maintained a "Strong-Buy" rating on the stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 81.6% change in CAKE stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 51.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268232026Change
Stock Price ($)62.39113.3381.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,7523,8773.3%
Net Income Margin (%)4.0%4.6%16.4%
P/E Multiple19.629.651.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)47470.0%
Cumulative Contribution81.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE81.6% 
Market (SPY)6.5%-13.9%
Sector (XLY)-0.3%4.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The 98.0% change in CAKE stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 78.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268232026Change
Stock Price ($)57.25113.3398.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,7113,8774.5%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%4.6%6.3%
P/E Multiple16.629.678.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)47470.0%
Cumulative Contribution98.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE98.0% 
Market (SPY)11.0%12.1%
Sector (XLY)-2.4%19.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 81.4% change in CAKE stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 55.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258232026Change
Stock Price ($)62.49113.3381.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,6183,8777.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.3%4.6%6.5%
P/E Multiple19.029.655.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)48471.9%
Cumulative Contribution81.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE81.4% 
Market (SPY)22.2%17.5%
Sector (XLY)7.2%25.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 232.9% change in CAKE stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/23/2026 was primarily driven by a 223.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)73120238232026Change
Stock Price ($)34.04113.33232.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,3763,87714.9%
Net Income Margin (%)1.4%4.6%223.9%
P/E Multiple34.529.6-14.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)49474.4%
Cumulative Contribution232.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/23/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CAKE232.9% 
Market (SPY)73.2%38.1%
Sector (XLY)38.9%41.7%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CAKE Return6%-17%14%39%9%114%223%
Peers Return2%-8%35%43%-6%48%152%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CAKE Win Rate58%33%50%67%50%88% 
Peers Win Rate50%38%62%58%43%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CAKE Max Drawdown-42%-38%-28%-16%-36%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-35%-27%-28%-36%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, BJRI. See CAKE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/21/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventCAKES&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-18.1%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.1%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven36 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven85 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-18.5%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.8%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven327 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven194 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-62.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven167.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven287 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.6%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.9%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven755 days105 days

Compare to DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, BJRI

In The Past

Cheesecake Factory's stock fell -18.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventCAKES&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven85 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-31.4%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven45.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven194 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-62.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven167.6%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven287 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-20.3%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.4%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven363 days62 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.4%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven28.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven123 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-27.1%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.2%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven121 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-77.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven342.3%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven449 days1085 days

Compare to DRI, EAT, TXRH, BLMN, BJRI

In The Past

Cheesecake Factory's stock fell -18.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 22.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is a restaurant company primarily operating in the United States and Canada. Its portfolio includes 306 company-owned restaurants under various popular brands, most notably 208 "The Cheesecake Factory" locations, 29 "North Italia" restaurants, and a collection of "Fox Restaurant Concepts." Additionally, the company's flagship brand has an international presence through 29 licensed "The Cheesecake Factory" restaurants.

Beyond its restaurant operations, CAKE distinguishes itself with two dedicated bakeries that produce its signature cheesecakes and other baked products. These high-quality desserts are supplied to the company's own restaurants and international licensees, but the bakeries also serve a broader market. This diversified customer base includes third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors, generating revenue from both direct consumers and wholesale channels.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Like Darden Restaurants (Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse), but with an iconic bakery division that also supplies its famous cheesecakes to grocery stores and other foodservice operators.

Imagine a full-service restaurant chain similar to Applebee's or Chili's, but famous for its vast menu and especially its iconic cheesecakes, which are also sold in grocery stores nationwide.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Restaurant Dining Services: Providing a full-service dining experience, including meals and beverages, across its various restaurant brands such as The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and Fox Restaurant Concepts.
  • Baked Goods Manufacturing and Distribution: Producing and supplying cheesecakes and other baked products to its own restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, and other external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Cheesecake Factory (symbol: CAKE) primarily sells to individuals through its extensive network of owned and operated restaurants, and through its licensed international locations. While its bakeries also supply other businesses, the core business description points to direct consumer interaction via its restaurants.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Restaurant Diners: Individuals and groups who visit The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and Fox Restaurant Concepts locations for a full-service dining experience, encompassing meals, appetizers, and their renowned cheesecakes and other desserts. This represents the primary revenue stream from their owned and operated restaurants.
  • Baked Goods Purchasers: Customers who purchase whole cheesecakes or other baked products for takeout, special occasions, or home consumption. These purchases can be made directly from the company's restaurants, or from third-party retailers that are supplied by the company's bakeries.
  • International Patrons: Individuals who frequent the licensed The Cheesecake Factory restaurants located outside of the United States and Canada, experiencing the brand's offerings in international markets.

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David Overton, Chairman of the Board & Chief Executive Officer

David Overton co-founded the predecessor company with his parents, Evelyn and Oscar Overton, in 1972. He opened the first The Cheesecake Factory restaurant in 1978 in Beverly Hills, California, establishing the concept. Under his leadership, The Cheesecake Factory expanded into an international brand, and he also created three other concepts: Grand Lux Cafe®, RockSugar Southeast Asian Kitchen®, and Social Monk Asian Kitchen®. He oversaw the acquisition of the North Italia® brand and the balance of Fox Restaurant Concepts. The company went public in 1992.

Matthew E. Clark, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Matthew E. Clark was appointed Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer in 2017. He joined The Cheesecake Factory in 2006 as Vice President of Strategic Planning. Before his current role, he served as Senior Vice President, Finance and Strategy, overseeing strategy, financial planning, treasury, and risk management functions. Earlier in his career, he held finance positions at Groupe Danone, Kinko's, and The Walt Disney Company. He also led the company's minority investment in two external, high-growth restaurant brands. No information was found indicating that Mr. Clark founded or managed other companies, sold companies he was previously involved with to an acquirer, or has a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms.

David M. Gordon, President

David M. Gordon was appointed President of the Company in February 2013. He joined The Cheesecake Factory in 1993 as a Manager and progressed through various operational roles, including General Manager, Area Director of Operations, Regional Vice President, and Chief Operating Officer, prior to his appointment as President.

Keith T. Carango, President, The Cheesecake Factory Bakery Incorporated

Keith T. Carango serves as President of The Cheesecake Factory Bakery Incorporated. He joined the bakery operations in 1996, focusing on leading manufacturing and implementing continuous improvement initiatives. In his previous role as Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer, he was responsible for strategic planning, supply chain, manufacturing, distribution, human resources, quality assurance, and finance. Before joining the Company, he held manufacturing and finance roles at Frito-Lay, Inc. and Prince Foods.

Scarlett May, Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary

Scarlett May joined The Cheesecake Factory in 2018. Prior to this, she served as Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary at Brinker International, Inc. from 2014 to 2018. Her career also includes a role as Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary for Ruby Tuesday, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) faces several key risks to its business, primarily stemming from the highly competitive and economically sensitive restaurant industry.
  1. Macroeconomic Headwinds and Soft Consumer Discretionary Spending: The most significant risk is the impact of broader economic conditions on consumer spending, directly affecting customer traffic and comparable restaurant sales. Recent reports indicate softness in traffic at flagship The Cheesecake Factory locations, leading to essentially flat or declining same-store sales despite steady check averages. This suggests fewer people are visiting the restaurants, reflecting a sensitivity to consumers' discretionary income and overall economic uncertainties.
  2. Rising Operating Costs, Including Wage Inflation and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities: The company continues to face persistent cost inflation, particularly related to labor (wage inflation) and commodities. Geopolitical and macroeconomic events can exacerbate these issues, potentially leading to further wage inflation, disruptions in the supply chain for fresh ingredients, and staffing challenges. These factors directly impact the company's profitability and financial performance.
  3. Intense Competition and Evolving Consumer Preferences: The restaurant industry is highly competitive, with The Cheesecake Factory competing against a wide array of national and regional chains, independent establishments, and the growing fast-casual and quick-service segments. Moreover, consumer dining preferences are continuously evolving, with a shift towards healthier, faster, and more affordable options. The company's business model, including its large menu and presence in some declining shopping malls, requires continuous adaptation and innovation to maintain market share and relevance.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (symbol: CAKE) operates in the full-service restaurant and bakery product markets. The addressable markets for its main products and services are as follows:

Restaurant Services

  • United States Full-Service Restaurant Market: The market size was valued at approximately USD 362.15 billion in 2025 and is predicted to value at US$ 371.9 billion in 2025. Another estimate places the U.S. full-service restaurant sector at USD 336.22 billion in 2024, growing to USD 807.83 billion by 2033.
  • Canada Full-Service Restaurant Market: The industry revenue in Canada expanded to approximately C$47.2 billion over the five years to 2025. Consumer spending on full-service restaurants in Canada recovered to Can$25,913.7 million in 2022. Full-service chain restaurant sales in Canada's top 200 chains are anticipated to reach $47 billion in 2024.

Bakery Products

  • United States Bakery Products Market: The U.S. market held over USD 135.1 billion in 2024. Another report estimated the bakery products market in the U.S. at US$141.4 Billion in 2023.
  • Canada Bakery Products Market: Based on the North America bakery products market size projected to be US$ 95.2 billion in 2025 and the U.S. accounting for approximately 66.2% of that market, the Canadian share of the North American bakery products market would be approximately 33.8%, translating to roughly USD 32.18 billion in 2025. Canada's bakery products market is forecast to grow at 3.7% over the 2023-2030 period.
  • Global Bakery Products Market: The global bakery products market was valued at USD 602 billion in 2024. It was estimated at US$536.4 Billion in 2023 and is projected to reach US$734.5 Billion by 2030.

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Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Over the next 2-3 years, The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated (CAKE) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives:

  1. New Restaurant Openings: The company plans to continue its unit expansion across its brand portfolio, including The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and other Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC) such as Flower Child. For instance, in fiscal year 2025, the company was on track to open as many as 25 new restaurants. This aggressive development strategy contributes directly to top-line growth. For instance, 25 new restaurant openings in fiscal 2025 supported a record annual revenue. Furthermore, the guidance for fiscal year 2026 implies 26 new openings.
  2. Growth and Diversification Through North Italia and Fox Restaurant Concepts (FRC): The strategic acquisition and ongoing expansion of North Italia and the broader Fox Restaurant Group (FRG) concepts are crucial growth engines. These brands are projected to contribute nearly a third of total revenue in 2025, diversifying the company's revenue streams beyond its flagship Cheesecake Factory restaurants. The growth of North Italia and Flower Child, in particular, is highlighted as pivotal for overall company growth. North Italia saw comparable sales increase by 3% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024.
  3. Strategic Menu Price Adjustments: The Cheesecake Factory has demonstrated its ability to implement menu price increases to offset inflationary pressures and enhance revenue. For example, a 3.7% menu price increase in October 2023 contributed to margin improvement. These pricing strategies help increase the average check size and contribute to overall revenue growth per customer.
  4. Sustained Comparable Restaurant Sales Growth Driven by Traffic and Off-Premise Momentum: Despite some fluctuations, The Cheesecake Factory restaurants consistently aim to outperform the casual dining industry in terms of traffic. The company also maintains a stable off-premise sales mix, which was approximately 22% in the first quarter of fiscal 2024. This focus on drawing more customers and maintaining a strong digital and takeout presence helps bolster comparable restaurant sales.

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Share Repurchases

  • The company repurchased approximately 2.9 million shares at a cost of $153.9 million (excluding excise tax) during fiscal year 2025.
  • In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, The Cheesecake Factory repurchased approximately 228,100 shares of its stock at a cost of $11.2 million.
  • As of February 12, 2026, approximately 6.0 million shares remained available for repurchase under the existing program, which had an increase of 5.0 million shares approved by the Board of Directors, raising the total authorization to 66 million shares.

Share Issuance

  • Proceeds from the exercise of stock options amounted to $12.5 million in fiscal year 2024.
  • In the first quarter of fiscal 2025, proceeds from the exercise of options totaled $10.8 million.

Inbound Investments

  • No significant inbound investments by third parties in The Cheesecake Factory were identified within the last 3-5 years.

Outbound Investments

  • No significant outbound investments, such as strategic acquisitions of other companies, were identified within the last 3-5 years. The company's expansion primarily involves opening new units of its existing brands.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2026, capital expenditures are anticipated to be approximately $210 million, focused on unit development and required maintenance for restaurants.
  • Expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were projected to range between $190 million and $210 million, supporting the opening of as many as 25 new restaurants across its brand portfolio including The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and other Fox Restaurant Concepts.
  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2024 were $160.4 million, with $99.0 million allocated to new restaurants, $53.0 million for existing restaurants, and $8.4 million for bakery and corporate capacity and infrastructure investments.

Better Bets vs. Cheesecake Factory (CAKE)

Peer Outperformance in Restaurants

CAKE has outperformed 97% of its 33 Restaurants peers over 5Y. Restaurants ranks 10th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return.
Share of Restaurants constituents that CAKE has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
95%
of 43 industry peers · 84.0% return
3Y
98%
of 41 industry peers · 277.5% return
5Y
97%
of 33 industry peers · 189.5% return
No Restaurants peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten CAKE by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Restaurants is CAKE's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -15.1%104.4%70.4% LINC 308% · CVSA 272% · UTI 226%
Homebuilding 18 -4.9%33.0%52.4% GRBK 187% · TOL 154% · PHM 152%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 17.7%57.3%13.0% RCL 262% · MAR 172% · HLT 161%
Automotive Retail 18 -13.8%3.3%12.5% MUSA 280% · PAG 182% · ORLY 123%
Specialty Stores 7 -5.5%42.9%7.7% DKS 87% · ASO 21% · SIG 18%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -16.5%2.9%7.2% LOW 17% · HD 17% · HVT 7%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -7.2%-23.5%-1.6% BRAG 1014% · MCRI 108% · RSI 85%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -11.3%20.7%-6.8% HRB 149% · FTDR 96% · SCI 45%
Distributors 4 -8.0%-23.7%-8.4% ARMK 156% · GPC 25% · LKQ -42%
Restaurants ← 34 -7.4%-4.8%-8.4% EAT 355% · CAKE 190% · RAVE 157%
Home Furnishings 4 -2.8%32.1%-13.2% SGI 56% · LZB 7% · MHK -33%
Footwear 9 58.9%47.3%-15.8% WEYS 151% · DECK 26% · SHOO 24%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -9.1%-4.5%-32.1% MOD 1421% · GTX 271% · STRT 101%
Leisure Products 13 -4.0%-8.6%-33.6% GOLF 82% · HAS 17% · MCFT -1%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 27 3.5%-0.4%-36.1% TPR 242% · RL 242% · ELA 229%
Household Appliances 18 7.7%40.2%-40.2% KEQU 178% · FLXS 142% · HBB 120%
Apparel Retail 25 -1.4%6.2%-41.4% DXLG 187% · ANF 162% · ROST 104%
Leisure Facilities 12 -15.2%-6.3%-41.6% OSW 161% · JAKK 111% · ESCA 11%
Broadline Retail 15 5.9%12.6%-50.7% DDS 285% · AMZN 56% · EBAY 56%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -19.2%11.3%-61.6% BBY -11% · UPBD -62% · GME -65%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -70.4%-66.3%-69.6% GM 85% · TSLA 54% · F 50%
Consumer Electronics 11 -18.5%-22.8%-76.7% AXIL 2369% · GRMN 88% · TBCH -55%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -28.1%-41.5%-78.8% BBW 189% · TLF 105% · WINA 96%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Mkt Price113.33221.60246.06204.4811.6366.76158.91
Mkt Cap5.325.310.413.41.01.47.9
Rev LTM3,87713,2115,8076,2323,9801,4334,893
Op Inc LTM2711,60762849012943380
FCF LTM2051,08855840015545303
FCF 3Y Avg1301,03339836010239245
CFO LTM3541,848789803320118572
CFO 3Y Avg2921,720630733305117468

Growth & Margins

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Rev Chg LTM5.7%9.4%7.9%9.9%1.2%3.5%6.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.4%8.0%12.2%12.8%-1.2%2.1%6.2%
Rev Chg Q7.7%13.7%5.1%11.1%1.3%6.4%7.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%3.5%1.3%2.8%0.3%1.7%1.8%
Op Inc Chg LTM11.2%11.9%13.5%-7.5%-15.6%-3.4%3.9%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg28.0%9.7%56.8%13.1%-26.5%30.1%20.5%
Op Mgn LTM7.0%12.2%10.8%7.9%3.2%3.0%7.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.4%12.0%9.1%8.7%4.5%2.8%7.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.3%0.2%-0.3%0.3%-0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.1%14.0%13.6%12.9%8.0%8.2%11.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%14.1%11.9%13.1%7.8%8.4%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM5.3%8.2%9.6%6.4%3.9%3.1%5.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.5%8.5%7.4%6.4%2.6%2.8%4.9%

Valuation

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
Mkt Cap5.325.310.413.41.01.47.9
P/S1.41.91.82.20.31.01.6
P/Op Inc19.515.816.627.47.732.418.1
P/EBIT25.716.016.827.420.933.323.3
P/E29.621.021.432.536.034.331.0
P/CFO14.913.713.216.73.111.913.5
Total Yield4.4%7.5%4.7%4.5%4.1%2.9%4.5%
Dividend Yield1.0%2.7%0.0%1.4%1.3%0.0%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.3%4.7%6.6%2.9%10.6%3.8%4.5%
D/E0.40.20.20.11.90.30.3
Net D/E0.40.20.20.11.90.30.3

Returns

CAKEDRIEATTXRHBLMNBJRIMedian
NameCheeseca.Darden R.Brinker .Texas Ro.Bloomin .BJ's Res. 
1M Rtn34.1%12.9%31.6%5.8%46.5%-0.1%22.2%
3M Rtn85.9%9.8%79.1%15.6%48.8%49.8%49.3%
6M Rtn80.6%3.6%67.9%15.3%79.8%62.0%65.0%
12M Rtn84.0%9.6%63.6%17.2%57.9%90.3%60.8%
3Y Rtn277.5%57.0%628.6%104.5%-52.4%124.2%114.4%
1M Excs Rtn31.0%10.6%29.4%3.5%38.4%-1.0%20.0%
3M Excs Rtn84.5%10.3%77.1%12.3%47.0%47.3%47.1%
6M Excs Rtn69.5%-7.5%56.9%4.3%68.7%51.0%53.9%
12M Excs Rtn66.4%-9.8%41.3%0.0%42.0%70.6%41.6%
3Y Excs Rtn188.0%-21.9%541.9%28.8%-125.0%32.9%30.8%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
The Cheesecake Factory restaurants2,6892,5952,528
Other362322309
Other Fox Restaurant Concepts LLC (FRC)355264238
North Italia346259229
Total3,7523,4403,303


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
The Cheesecake Factory restaurants409297221
North Italia181914
Other Fox Restaurant Concepts LLC (FRC)11924
Other-241-226-219
Total18710939


Assets by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
The Cheesecake Factory restaurants1,6361,5721,625
Other736523542
Other Fox Restaurant Concepts LLC (FRC)448399302
North Italia442347307
Total3,2622,8402,775


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$113.33 
Market Cap ($ Bil)5.3 
First Trading Date09/18/1992 
Distance from 52W High-3.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$90.00$64.96
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA25.9%74.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility44.5%37.8%
Downside Capture-173.2714.78
Upside Capture136.2682.63
Correlation (SPY)-18.1%16.6%
CAKE Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-1.68-0.91-0.690.330.500.90
Up Beta-1.21-0.000.390.680.961.00
Down Beta-5.79-2.52-2.49-0.65-0.050.81
Up Capture146%91%87%112%69%104%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days14284074135383
Down Capture-259%-230%-190%-12%40%92%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days8152352117366

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE86.8%37.6%1.73-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.3%19.6%0.1024.3%
Equity (SPY)21.1%12.9%1.2216.5%
Gold (GLD)37.5%28.8%1.106.7%
Commodities (DBC)43.2%20.2%1.66-10.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.9%13.8%0.6422.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.6%44.1%-0.7313.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE23.6%39.9%0.64-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.2%24.1%0.2250.2%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5745.2%
Gold (GLD)20.6%18.6%0.905.5%
Commodities (DBC)10.4%19.6%0.413.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0238.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.4%52.8%0.3822.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CAKE
CAKE10.5%44.8%0.39-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.3%22.2%0.5149.0%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7248.0%
Gold (GLD)12.7%16.2%0.642.1%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%18.0%0.3613.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2045.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.1%66.1%1.0312.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity9.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 71520267.1%
Average Daily Volume2.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.8 days
Basic Shares Quantity46.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares20.5%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/202613.6%18.9% 
4/29/20260.3%-3.3%5.9%
2/18/2026-2.6%2.9%-10.3%
10/28/2025-7.3%-12.1%-11.6%
7/29/20255.2%-2.5%-1.6%
4/30/2025-4.4%-0.5%10.1%
2/19/20251.3%-1.2%-10.1%
10/29/20248.8%9.0%16.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative111111
Median Positive4.9%5.8%8.8%
Median Negative-4.4%-2.5%-10.1%
Max Positive13.6%20.7%26.4%
Max Negative-13.2%-20.8%-18.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/202613.6%18.9% 
4/29/20260.3%-3.3%5.9%
2/18/2026-2.6%2.9%-10.3%
10/28/2025-7.3%-12.1%-11.6%
7/29/20255.2%-2.5%-1.6%
4/30/2025-4.4%-0.5%10.1%
2/19/20251.3%-1.2%-10.1%
10/29/20248.8%9.0%16.7%
7/31/2024-5.2%-11.1%1.8%
5/8/20246.2%20.7%15.0%
2/21/20243.2%2.9%3.7%
11/1/2023-2.0%-1.6%7.5%
8/2/2023-1.1%-0.6%-12.1%
5/10/2023-3.0%3.1%1.1%
2/22/2023-5.1%-6.1%-15.3%
11/1/2022-5.2%-0.9%2.3%
7/27/20224.9%9.9%19.7%
4/27/20222.0%0.3%-9.4%
2/16/20220.4%2.8%-6.8%
11/3/20212.0%5.7%-8.1%
7/27/2021-13.2%-20.8%-18.6%
4/28/20217.1%5.8%-0.5%
2/17/20218.2%17.3%26.4%
10/29/2020-0.7%6.6%25.2%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131312
# Negative111111
Median Positive4.9%5.8%8.8%
Median Negative-4.4%-2.5%-10.1%
Max Positive13.6%20.7%26.4%
Max Negative-13.2%-20.8%-18.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/03/202610-Q
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202502/23/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202608/03/202610-Q
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202502/23/202610-K
09/30/202511/03/202510-Q
06/30/202508/04/202510-Q
03/31/202505/05/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202411/04/202410-Q
06/30/202408/05/202410-Q
03/31/202405/08/202410-Q
12/31/202302/26/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/10/202310-Q
12/31/202202/27/202310-K
09/30/202211/02/202210-Q
06/30/202208/01/202210-Q
03/31/202205/02/202210-Q
12/31/202102/22/202210-K
09/30/202111/04/202110-Q
06/30/202108/04/202110-Q
03/31/202105/03/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202011/06/202010-Q
06/30/202008/03/202010-Q
03/31/202006/22/202010-Q
12/31/201903/12/202010-K
09/30/201911/08/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/29/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Restaurant Openings 26 0 AffirmedGuidance: 26 for 2026
2026 The Cheesecake Factory New Openings55.56-8.3% LoweredGuidance: 6 for 2026
2026 North Italia New Openings66.570 AffirmedGuidance: 6.5 for 2026
2026 Flower Child New Openings 7 7.7% RaisedGuidance: 6.5 for 2026
2026 FRC New Openings 7 0 AffirmedGuidance: 7 for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Restaurant Openings 26 0 AffirmedGuidance: 26 for 2026
2026 New The Cheesecake Factory Restaurant Openings 6    
2026 New North Italia Restaurant Openings66.57   
2026 New Flower Child Restaurant Openings66.57   
2026 New FRC Restaurant Openings 7    

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/18/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 New Restaurant Openings 26 4.0% Higher NewGuidance: 25 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/28/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 New Restaurant Openings 25 0 AffirmedGuidance: 25 for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/18/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Meyer, Janice LDirectSell8182026109.361,958214,1222,323,952Form
2Gordon, David MPRESIDENTDirectSell8122026110.0331,9503,515,3692,956,981Form
3Ames, Edie ATrustSell8122026106.953,000320,8501,069,500Form
4Ames, Edie ATrustBuy812202649.5150024,755643,630Form
5Overton, DavidCHAIRMAN AND C.E.O.TrustSell8062026106.2794,14510,004,7899,543,577Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Meyer, Janice LDirectSell8182026109.361,958214,1222,323,952Form
2Gordon, David MPRESIDENTDirectSell8122026110.0331,9503,515,3692,956,981Form
3Ames, Edie ATrustSell8122026106.953,000320,8501,069,500Form
4Ames, Edie ATrustBuy812202649.5150024,755643,630Form
5Overton, DavidCHAIRMAN AND C.E.O.TrustSell8062026106.2794,14510,004,7899,543,577Form
6Cappello, Alexander LMaricopa Capital LLCSell8062026106.08646,789408,726Form
7Cappello, Alexander LMaricopa Capital LLCSell8032026104.20596,148408,151Form
8Cappello, Alexander LMaricopa Capital LLCSell8032026103.0410010,304409,687Form
9May, ScarlettEVP, GENERAL COUNSELDirectSell8032026102.667,978819,0211,872,621Form
10Cappello, Alexander LMaricopa Capital LLCSell8032026101.502,095212,642413,714Form
11Hanscom, Ashley WPRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell7312026100.003,500350,000754,100Form
12Clark, Matthew EliotEXEC VP, CFODirectSell731202699.3068,9006,841,7704,479,324Form
13Cappello, Alexander LMaricopa Capital LLCSell604202664.902,490161,601400,498Form
14Overton, DavidCHAIRMAN AND C.E.O.TrustSell504202661.02104,0006,346,080187,928,115Form
15May, ScarlettEVP, GENERAL COUNSELDirectSell311202662.955,206327,7081,618,713Form
16Alex, Spero GEVP Operations - CFRITrustSell226202666.004,790  Form
17Clark, Matthew EliotEXEC VP, CFODirectSell226202665.707,000459,9002,896,713Form
18Hanscom, Ashley WPRINCIPAL ACCOUNTING OFFICERDirectSell226202665.642,951193,689724,676Form
19Cappello, Alexander LMaricopa Capital LLCSell225202663.7463540,475393,340Form
20Gordon, David MPRESIDENTDirectSell815202563.0643,3352,732,8391,547,064Form
21Cappello, Alexander LMaricopa Capital LLCSell801202565.8812,388816,121448,379Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/23/2026