Tearsheet

Mohawk Industries (MHK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $115.0 | Market Cap: $7.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Furnishings

Mohawk Industries (MHK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $115.0
Market Cap: $7.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Home Furnishings

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, Green Building Certification, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Green Building Materials, Green Building Certification, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

MHK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Mohawk Industries (MHK) experienced a decline of 13.2% in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. This movement can be attributed to several key factors:

1. Weak Fourth Quarter 2025 Profit Forecast: On October 23, 2025, Mohawk Industries reported its third-quarter 2025 results and, more significantly, issued a weaker-than-expected fourth-quarter profit forecast. The company projected adjusted earnings per share (EPS) between $1.90 and $2.00 for Q4 2025, with the midpoint of $1.95 falling short of the analyst consensus estimate of $2.67. This outlook suggested ongoing softness in market volumes and higher input costs.

2. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Miss on Profitability: While Mohawk's third-quarter 2025 net sales of $2.76 billion aligned with or slightly beat analyst expectations, its adjusted EPS of $2.67 was a decline from $2.90 in the same period of 2024 and slightly missed the consensus estimate of $2.68. The reported GAAP net earnings were $109 million, or $1.75 per share. This indicated pressures on profitability despite stable revenue.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
MHK Return3%29%-44%1%15%-4%-16%
Peers Return30%41%-38%16%10%12%62%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MHK Win Rate67%67%50%50%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate60%62%38%48%50%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MHK Max Drawdown-57%-3%-52%-25%-6%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-65%-6%-49%-24%-23%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TILE, LEG, LOVE, SGI, MHK. See MHK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMHKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-66.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven200.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-59.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven145.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven293 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-61.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven503.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1422 days1480 days

Compare to TILE, LEG, LOVE, SGI, MHK


In The Past

Mohawk Industries's stock fell -66.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -66.7% loss requires a 200.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Mohawk Industries (MHK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to MHK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
MHK_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020MHKMohawk IndustriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.5%44.4%-51.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
MHK_2292020_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield02292020MHKMohawk IndustriesDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.5%44.4%-51.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Mohawk Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MHKTILELEGLOVESGIMedian
NameMohawk I.InterfaceLeggett .Lovesac Somnigro. 
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Valuation

MHKTILELEGLOVESGIMedian
NameMohawk I.InterfaceLeggett .Lovesac Somnigro. 
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Returns

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NameMohawk I.InterfaceLeggett .Lovesac Somnigro. 
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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Global Ceramic4,9884,8415,1615,2505,420
Flooring Rest of the World (ROW)4,0524,2764,3624,1943,925
Flooring North America (NA)3,9104,2994,1263,5953,824
Corporate and intersegment eliminations6107045761,288218
Total13,56014,12014,22514,32813,387


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,079,821
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.4%
Average Daily Volume843,720
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.47
Basic Shares Quantity62,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251024202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241025202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024726202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023728202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023428202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221028202210-Q 10/1/2022
6302022729202210-Q 7/2/2022
3312022429202210-Q 4/2/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021