Autoliv (ALV)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $119.825 | Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Autoliv (ALV)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $119.825Market Cap: $9.2 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automotive Safety Innovation. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, and Occupant Safety Systems. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 29% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automotive Safety Innovation. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, and Occupant Safety Systems. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ALV Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for Autoliv (ALV) stock movement by -2% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Autoliv experienced underperformance in key markets, specifically Europe and China, impacting its overall sales growth. 2. The company's sales were negatively affected by the regional and customer Light Vehicle Production (LVP) mix during the third quarter of 2025.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ALV Return | 10% | 15% | -23% | 48% | -13% | 29% | 61% |
| Peers Return | 27% | 18% | -25% | 20% | -9% | 11% | 37% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ALV Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 33% | 58% | 42% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 58% | 37% | 50% | 43% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ALV Max Drawdown | -52% | -10% | -34% | 0% | -17% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -55% | -9% | -36% | -8% | -31% | -27% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALSN, LEA, LCII, ADNT, APTV. See ALV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ALV | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -38.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 553 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -53.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 113.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 236 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1733 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -80.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 424.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 571 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ALSN, LEA, LCII, ADNT, APTV
In The Past
Autoliv's stock fell -38.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -38.1% loss requires a 61.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| How Low Can Autoliv Stock Really Go? | Return | |
| ALV Dip Buy Analysis | ||
| Autoliv Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -10.4% in 2024 and 2.4% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | ||
| Autoliv (ALV) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | |
| Autoliv (ALV) Net Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Autoliv (ALV) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | |
| Autoliv (ALV) Revenue Comparison | Financials | |
| Autoliv vs. APA: ALV stock's significantly higher valuation vs. APA appears counterintuitive | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Autoliv vs. Deckers Outdoor: ALV stock's significantly higher valuation vs. DECK appears counterintuitive | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | |
| Autoliv vs. Ryder System: ALV stock's substantially higher valuation vs. R appears counterintuitive | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ALV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Autoliv
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 99.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.7 |
| Rev LTM | 12,512 |
| Op Inc LTM | 888 |
| FCF LTM | 600 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 541 |
| CFO LTM | 918 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 920 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.7 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 8.4 |
| P/E | 12.3 |
| P/CFO | 7.2 |
| Total Yield | 9.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 3.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -65.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10172025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7182025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4162025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10182024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7192024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2202024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10202023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7212023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4212023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10212022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7222022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4222022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |