Tearsheet

Autoliv (ALV)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $119.825 | Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Autoliv (ALV)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $119.825
Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automotive Safety Innovation. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, and Occupant Safety Systems.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automotive Safety Innovation. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, and Occupant Safety Systems.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting potential reasons for Autoliv (ALV) stock movement by -2% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Autoliv experienced underperformance in key markets, specifically Europe and China, impacting its overall sales growth. 2. The company's sales were negatively affected by the regional and customer Light Vehicle Production (LVP) mix during the third quarter of 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALV Return10%15%-23%48%-13%29%61%
Peers Return27%18%-25%20%-9%11%37%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALV Win Rate67%67%33%58%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate63%58%37%50%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALV Max Drawdown-52%-10%-34%0%-17%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-55%-9%-36%-8%-31%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ALSN, LEA, LCII, ADNT, APTV. See ALV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven553 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1733 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven424.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven571 days1480 days

Compare to ALSN, LEA, LCII, ADNT, APTV


In The Past

Autoliv's stock fell -38.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -38.1% loss requires a 61.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Autoliv (ALV)

Better Bets than Autoliv (ALV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Autoliv

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALVALSNLEALCIIADNTAPTVMedian
NameAutoliv Allison .Lear LCI Indu.Adient Aptiv  
Mkt Price119.7890.52109.29114.5519.2378.0999.91
Mkt Cap9.27.65.82.81.617.06.7
Rev LTM10,6143,06922,9853,99214,40919,79412,512
Op Inc LTM1,1229448322614372,089888
FCF LTM5716287353102611,657600
FCF 3Y Avg4916475913663141,341541
CFO LTM1,0338041,2943594992,342918
CFO 3Y Avg1,0398011,1734225612,165920

Growth & Margins

ALVALSNLEALCIIADNTAPTVMedian
NameAutoliv Allison .Lear LCI Indu.Adient Aptiv  
Rev Chg LTM0.8%-4.2%-20.8%5.7%-3.0%-1.0%-2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.4%4.6%6.0%-8.8%3.2%7.7%5.3%
Rev Chg Q5.9%-15.9%1.7%13.2%0.7%3.1%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%-4.1%0.4%3.1%0.2%0.8%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM10.6%30.8%3.6%6.5%3.0%10.6%8.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.5%30.4%3.7%4.8%3.0%9.8%6.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.5%-0.1%0.4%0.1%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM9.7%26.2%5.6%9.0%3.5%11.8%9.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%26.0%4.8%10.9%3.8%11.0%10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM5.4%20.5%3.2%7.8%1.8%8.4%6.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%21.0%2.4%9.5%2.1%6.8%5.8%

Valuation

ALVALSNLEALCIIADNTAPTVMedian
NameAutoliv Allison .Lear LCI Indu.Adient Aptiv  
Mkt Cap9.27.65.82.81.617.06.7
P/S0.92.30.20.60.10.90.7
P/EBIT8.47.56.98.415.09.68.4
P/E12.510.212.112.7-7.418.512.3
P/CFO9.18.94.16.33.38.07.2
Total Yield10.4%10.1%11.4%9.2%-13.5%5.4%9.7%
Dividend Yield2.4%0.3%3.1%1.3%0.0%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%9.6%9.5%13.2%13.5%6.5%9.5%
D/E0.20.30.50.51.50.40.5
Net D/E0.20.20.30.40.90.40.4

Returns

ALVALSNLEALCIIADNTAPTVMedian
NameAutoliv Allison .Lear LCI Indu.Adient Aptiv  
1M Rtn1.3%11.6%1.0%8.2%-20.5%-4.5%1.2%
3M Rtn-2.4%3.2%0.8%12.3%-20.7%-1.9%-0.6%
6M Rtn17.5%-11.1%25.8%32.2%22.7%18.5%20.6%
12M Rtn26.9%-21.7%13.7%1.4%-3.4%40.2%7.6%
3Y Rtn51.3%110.5%-14.7%22.4%-49.0%-24.7%3.8%
1M Excs Rtn1.4%11.7%1.0%8.2%-20.5%-4.5%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-8.5%-3.6%-6.3%4.1%-26.7%-8.3%-7.3%
6M Excs Rtn2.8%-25.9%11.1%17.5%8.0%3.8%5.9%
12M Excs Rtn11.7%-36.3%1.7%-14.3%-13.5%27.1%-5.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-22.4%39.1%-88.4%-41.5%-121.5%-96.3%-65.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airbags, Steering Wheels and Other7,0555,8075,3804,8245,676
Seatbelt Products and Other3,4203,0352,8502,6232,871
Total10,4758,8428,2307,4478,548


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,375,304
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120259.3%
Average Daily Volume524,634
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.53
Basic Shares Quantity76,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251017202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025718202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025416202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241018202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024719202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231020202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023721202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023421202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221021202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022722202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022422202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021