Tearsheet

Autoliv (ALV)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $120.69 | Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Autoliv (ALV)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $120.69
Market Cap: $9.2 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
Key risks
ALV key risks include [1] a slower-than-desired diversification into high-growth active safety components and [2] specific operational underperformance in key regional markets such as China.
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automotive Safety Innovation. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, and Occupant Safety Systems.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 29%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Automotive Safety Innovation. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, and Occupant Safety Systems.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -20%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -9.3%
4 Key risks
ALV key risks include [1] a slower-than-desired diversification into high-growth active safety components and [2] specific operational underperformance in key regional markets such as China.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALV Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Autoliv's stock movement from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Autoliv's full-year sales guidance for 2025 fell slightly below Wall Street estimates, despite reporting record third-quarter results. This tempered investor enthusiasm following an otherwise strong quarter.

2. The company issued a cautionary outlook for the remainder of fiscal year 2025, highlighting a "challenging operating environment." This included warnings about geopolitical uncertainties and the potential for new or increased tariffs, which were projected to negatively impact operating margins by approximately 20 basis points.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALV Return10%15%-23%48%-13%32%64%
Peers Return27%16%-31%11%-25%18%-1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALV Win Rate67%67%33%58%42%75% 
Peers Win Rate67%56%33%44%35%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALV Max Drawdown-52%-10%-34%0%-17%-18% 
Peers Max Drawdown-50%-5%-39%-10%-30%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MGA, APTV, LEA, GNTX. See ALV Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventALVS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-38.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven61.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven553 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-53.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1733 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven424.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven571 days1480 days

Compare to ALSN, LEA, LCII, ADNT, APTV


In The Past

Autoliv's stock fell -38.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -38.1% loss requires a 61.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Autoliv (ALV)

Better Bets than Autoliv (ALV)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALV. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Autoliv

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALVMGAAPTVLEAGNTXMedian
NameAutoliv Magna In.Aptiv Lear Gentex  
Mkt Price119.4653.6176.77116.5723.6376.77
Mkt Cap9.115.116.76.25.19.1
Rev LTM10,61441,79019,79422,9852,43219,794
Op Inc LTM1,1221,9882,0898324631,122
FCF LTM5712,0361,657735471735
FCF 3Y Avg4911,1331,341591376591
CFO LTM1,0333,5262,3421,2946161,294
CFO 3Y Avg1,0393,2182,1651,1735331,173

Growth & Margins

ALVMGAAPTVLEAGNTXMedian
NameAutoliv Magna In.Aptiv Lear Gentex  
Rev Chg LTM0.8%-2.0%-1.0%-20.8%3.0%-1.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.4%4.0%7.7%6.0%9.9%7.4%
Rev Chg Q5.9%1.8%3.1%1.7%7.7%3.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.4%0.4%0.8%0.4%2.0%0.8%
Op Mgn LTM10.6%4.8%10.6%3.6%19.0%10.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.5%4.6%9.8%3.7%20.4%8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.0%0.1%-0.1%-0.5%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM9.7%8.4%11.8%5.6%25.3%9.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%7.6%11.0%4.8%22.8%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM5.4%4.9%8.4%3.2%19.4%5.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.7%2.7%6.8%2.4%16.1%4.7%

Valuation

ALVMGAAPTVLEAGNTXMedian
NameAutoliv Magna In.Aptiv Lear Gentex  
Mkt Cap9.115.116.76.25.19.1
P/S0.90.30.90.22.50.9
P/EBIT8.47.19.66.913.28.4
P/E12.512.918.512.116.112.9
P/CFO9.13.88.04.19.98.0
Total Yield10.4%11.8%5.4%11.4%8.0%10.4%
Dividend Yield2.4%4.1%0.0%3.1%1.8%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%8.6%6.5%9.5%5.7%6.5%
D/E0.20.60.40.50.00.4
Net D/E0.20.50.40.3-0.00.3

Returns

ALVMGAAPTVLEAGNTXMedian
NameAutoliv Magna In.Aptiv Lear Gentex  
1M Rtn2.0%12.2%-0.1%15.3%5.6%5.6%
3M Rtn-3.6%15.8%-7.4%10.9%-18.3%-3.6%
6M Rtn9.9%45.5%13.5%29.6%11.6%13.5%
12M Rtn30.3%29.1%32.7%27.0%-19.5%29.1%
3Y Rtn70.3%6.1%-17.9%1.2%-6.7%1.2%
1M Excs Rtn1.3%11.4%-0.8%14.5%4.9%4.9%
3M Excs Rtn-6.3%13.0%-11.4%8.0%-19.6%-6.3%
6M Excs Rtn-2.5%33.1%1.1%17.2%-0.8%1.1%
12M Excs Rtn15.0%15.8%21.3%11.2%-32.3%15.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-9.4%-67.0%-88.6%-73.2%-78.0%-73.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Airbags, Steering Wheels and Other7,0555,8075,3804,8245,676
Seatbelt Products and Other3,4203,0352,8502,6232,871
Total10,4758,8428,2307,4478,548


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,588,557
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520259.0%
Average Daily Volume610,039
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.24
Basic Shares Quantity76,400,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/17/2025-2.6%-4.5%0.5%
7/18/2025-4.0%-0.8%1.4%
4/16/20255.6%8.1%22.7%
1/31/2025-4.6%-7.2%-5.7%
10/18/20246.0%1.2%4.3%
7/19/2024-10.1%-10.1%-8.0%
4/26/20245.6%5.1%9.1%
1/26/20242.8%7.1%8.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151618
# Negative1097
Median Positive5.6%5.5%5.7%
Median Negative-4.7%-5.5%-5.5%
Max Positive10.2%8.6%22.7%
Max Negative-10.1%-10.1%-8.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251017202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025718202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025416202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241018202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024719202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024426202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023220202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231020202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023721202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023421202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221021202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022722202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022422202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021