Tearsheet

Lowe's Companies (LOW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $246.94 | Market Cap: $138.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Improvement Retail

Lowe's Companies (LOW)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $246.94
Market Cap: $138.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Home Improvement Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LOW Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested period from 8/31/2025 to 12/4/2025 is in the future relative to the current date. Therefore, providing an accurate explanation for a specific stock movement during this future period is not possible. However, the search results provide some insights into Lowe's performance and general market outlook around Q3 and Q4 2025 based on future-dated articles and forecasts. Here are potential reasons for a hypothetical -3.8% stock movement, drawing on themes from the provided future-dated articles, assuming such a dip occurred within the context of the reported trends:

1. 1. Muted Annual Forecasts and Cautious Outlook: Lowe's, similar to its competitor Home Depot, projected muted annual earnings and sales due to budget-conscious consumers deferring major home improvement projects. This cautious outlook, driven by rising costs, high interest rates, and economic uncertainty, could put downward pressure on the stock.

2. 2. Mixed Consumer Sentiment and Spending Pullback: U.S. households grappling with rising costs for essentials, auto insurance, and healthcare, alongside high interest rates and tariffs, could lead to a pullback in discretionary spending on home improvement, negatively impacting Lowe's sales. Retail giants like Target also reported bigger-than-expected drops in comparable sales as consumers reduced spending on home decor.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LOW Return36%63%-21%14%13%1%127%
Peers Return31%23%-18%31%35%5%146%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LOW Win Rate58%58%33%50%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate52%52%33%57%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LOW Max Drawdown-45%-4%-33%-6%-5%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-11%-9%-26%-3%-3%-10% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, WMT, COST, HD, BBBY. See LOW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLOWS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven830 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven70 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven112 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven160.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1358 days1480 days

Compare to AMZN, WMT, COST, HD, BBBY


In The Past

Lowe's Companies's stock fell -34.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -34.3% loss requires a 52.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Lowe's Companies (LOW)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LOW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lowe's Companies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LOWAMZNWMTCOSTHDBBBYMedian
NameLowe's C.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.Home Dep.Bed Bath. 
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Growth & Margins

LOWAMZNWMTCOSTHDBBBYMedian
NameLowe's C.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.Home Dep.Bed Bath. 
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Valuation

LOWAMZNWMTCOSTHDBBBYMedian
NameLowe's C.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.Home Dep.Bed Bath. 
Mkt Cap-------
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P/EBIT-------
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FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
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Returns

LOWAMZNWMTCOSTHDBBBYMedian
NameLowe's C.Amazon.c.Walmart Costco W.Home Dep.Bed Bath. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
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3Y Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Home improvement operations86,37797,05996,25089,59772,148
Total86,37797,05996,25089,59772,148


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Home improvement operations7,7266,437   
Total7,7266,437   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,219,384
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.7%
Average Daily Volume2,698,811
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.05
Basic Shares Quantity559,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025828202510-Q 8/1/2025
4302025529202510-Q 5/2/2025
1312025324202510-K 1/31/2025
103120241127202410-Q 11/1/2024
7312024829202410-Q 8/2/2024
4302024530202410-Q 5/3/2024
1312024325202410-K 2/2/2024
103120231129202310-Q 11/3/2023
7312023830202310-Q 8/4/2023
4302023601202310-Q 5/5/2023
1312023327202310-K 2/3/2023
103120221123202210-Q 10/28/2022
7312022825202210-Q 7/29/2022
4302022526202210-Q 4/29/2022
1312022321202210-K 1/28/2022
103120211124202110-Q 10/29/2021