Lowe's Companies (LOW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $246.94 | Market Cap: $138.0 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Improvement Retail
Lowe's Companies (LOW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $246.94Market Cap: $138.0 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Home Improvement Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Sustainable Consumption, Smart Buildings & Proptech, and Sustainable & Green Buildings. Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LOW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The requested period from 8/31/2025 to 12/4/2025 is in the future relative to the current date. Therefore, providing an accurate explanation for a specific stock movement during this future period is not possible. However, the search results provide some insights into Lowe's performance and general market outlook around Q3 and Q4 2025 based on future-dated articles and forecasts.
Here are potential reasons for a hypothetical -3.8% stock movement, drawing on themes from the provided future-dated articles, assuming such a dip occurred within the context of the reported trends:
1. 1. Muted Annual Forecasts and Cautious Outlook: Lowe's, similar to its competitor Home Depot, projected muted annual earnings and sales due to budget-conscious consumers deferring major home improvement projects. This cautious outlook, driven by rising costs, high interest rates, and economic uncertainty, could put downward pressure on the stock.
2. 2. Mixed Consumer Sentiment and Spending Pullback: U.S. households grappling with rising costs for essentials, auto insurance, and healthcare, alongside high interest rates and tariffs, could lead to a pullback in discretionary spending on home improvement, negatively impacting Lowe's sales. Retail giants like Target also reported bigger-than-expected drops in comparable sales as consumers reduced spending on home decor.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LOW Return | 36% | 63% | -21% | 14% | 13% | 1% | 127% |
| Peers Return | 31% | 23% | -18% | 31% | 35% | 5% | 146% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LOW Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 52% | 33% | 57% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LOW Max Drawdown | -45% | -4% | -33% | -6% | -5% | -14% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -11% | -9% | -26% | -3% | -3% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AMZN, WMT, COST, HD, BBBY. See LOW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LOW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 830 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -48.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -26.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 112 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -61.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1358 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AMZN, WMT, COST, HD, BBBY
In The Past
Lowe's Companies's stock fell -34.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -34.3% loss requires a 52.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LOW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Lowe's Companies
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
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Returns
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Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 8282025 | 10-Q 8/1/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5292025 | 10-Q 5/2/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3242025 | 10-K 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 11272024 | 10-Q 11/1/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8292024 | 10-Q 8/2/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5302024 | 10-Q 5/3/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3252024 | 10-K 2/2/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11292023 | 10-Q 11/3/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8302023 | 10-Q 8/4/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6012023 | 10-Q 5/5/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3272023 | 10-K 2/3/2023 |
| 10312022 | 11232022 | 10-Q 10/28/2022 |
| 7312022 | 8252022 | 10-Q 7/29/2022 |
| 4302022 | 5262022 | 10-Q 4/29/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3212022 | 10-K 1/28/2022 |
| 10312021 | 11242021 | 10-Q 10/29/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
