Floor & Decor (FND)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $60.6 | Market Cap: $6.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Home Improvement Retail
Floor & Decor (FND)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $60.6Market Cap: $6.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Home Improvement Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Experiential Retail. | Key risksFND key risks include [1] intense competition from large home improvement retailers and [2] supply chain and tariff exposure due to its heavy reliance on products sourced from China. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Green Building Materials, and Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -85%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 29x |
| Key risksFND key risks include [1] intense competition from large home improvement retailers and [2] supply chain and tariff exposure due to its heavy reliance on products sourced from China. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FND Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -26.1% stock movement for Floor & Decor (FND) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Persistent Soft Demand and Declining Comparable Store Sales.
Floor & Decor reported persistently soft demand in the hard surface flooring industry, leading to a 1.2% decline in comparable store sales year-over-year in the third quarter of fiscal 2025, which ended September 25, 2025. This decline was near the low end of the company's expectations and contributed to investor concerns.
2. Challenging Broader Housing Market Conditions.
The broader housing market faced headwinds, including elevated mortgage rates, challenging affordability conditions, and macroeconomic uncertainty throughout the period. Single-family housing starts and building permits were down, reflecting an oversupply of unsold new homes and weakening homebuilding activity in August 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FND Return | 83% | 40% | -46% | 60% | -11% | -38% | 21% |
| Peers Return | 17% | 192% | -30% | 50% | 4% | 55885% | 210381% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FND Win Rate | 75% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 58% | 47% | 58% | 57% | 43% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FND Max Drawdown | -47% | -7% | -53% | 0% | -19% | -43% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -50% | -4% | -45% | -10% | -12% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HD, LOW, TTSH, MHK, BLDR. See FND Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FND | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 134.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -53.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 113.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 76 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -58.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 139.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 424 days | 120 days |
Compare to HD, LOW, WSM, TREX, TBHC
In The Past
Floor & Decor's stock fell -57.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/4/2021. A -57.3% loss requires a 134.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FND. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Floor & Decor
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 106.36 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.1 |
| Rev LTM | 13,334 |
| Op Inc LTM | 890 |
| FCF LTM | 888 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,283 |
| CFO LTM | 1,285 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,738 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.1 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 14.8 |
| P/E | 19.7 |
| P/CFO | 11.8 |
| Total Yield | 5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.9% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 23.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 4,218 | ||||
| Other | 196 | 101 | 41 | 12 | 9 |
| Adjacent categories | 70 | 54 | 20 | ||
| Decorative accessories and wall tile | 745 | 643 | 465 | 394 | |
| Installation materials and tools | 713 | 559 | 403 | 346 | |
| Laminate and vinyl | 1,185 | 877 | 556 | 442 | |
| Natural stone | 212 | 199 | 153 | 128 | |
| Tile | 964 | 801 | 605 | 523 | |
| Wood | 275 | 260 | 211 | 203 | |
| Total | 4,414 | 4,264 | 3,434 | 2,426 | 2,045 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail | 302 | ||||
| Other | 19 | ||||
| Total | 321 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -3.9% | -9.5% | -0.9% |
| 7/31/2025 | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% |
| 5/1/2025 | 2.5% | 4.1% | -3.0% |
| 2/20/2025 | 1.5% | 4.3% | -9.3% |
| 10/30/2024 | 2.2% | 0.2% | 11.2% |
| 8/1/2024 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 19.4% |
| 5/2/2024 | 0.2% | 6.4% | 3.0% |
| 2/22/2024 | 3.2% | 6.7% | 14.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 10 | 12 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 2.3% | 4.6% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -5.6% | -7.9% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 13.5% | 17.2% | 20.6% |
| Max Negative | -7.7% | -11.0% | -48.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/25/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/26/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/27/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/26/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/26/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/27/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/28/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/28/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/28/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/29/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/30/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/29/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/29/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |