Life Time (LTH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $26.755 | Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities
Life Time (LTH)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $26.755Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Facilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Integrated Premium Wellness Services. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 39% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Integrated Premium Wellness Services. |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
LTH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the -4.2% stock movement for Life Time (LTH) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Significant Insider Selling: A major shareholder, Partners Group Private Equity, sold 745,707 shares of Life Time stock on September 11, 2025, totaling over $21.5 million. Overall, insiders sold approximately $317.4 million worth of company stock in the 90 days leading up to December 4, 2025, indicating a notable decrease in insider ownership and potentially signaling concerns to the market.
2. Analyst Price Target Reduction: On November 12, 2025, Morgan Stanley adjusted its price objective for Life Time, lowering it from $39.00 to $37.00. While maintaining an "overweight" rating, this reduction in the target price could have contributed to negative investor sentiment.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LTH Return | - | - | -31% | 26% | 47% | 22% | 56% |
| Peers Return | -9% | -9% | |||||
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LTH Win Rate | - | 50% | 42% | 33% | 67% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 27% | 31% | |||||
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LTH Max Drawdown | - | - | -46% | -6% | -21% | 0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | ||||||
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, NTV, TRON, AS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LTH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -58.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 140.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 637 days | 464 days |
Compare to FUN, NOMA, NTV, TRON, AS
In The Past
Life Time's stock fell -58.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/26/2021. A -58.4% loss requires a 140.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to LTH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Life Time
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 15.39 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| Rev LTM | 2,913 |
| Op Inc LTM | 248 |
| FCF LTM | -1 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1 |
| CFO LTM | 166 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 353 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 18.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 20.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -12.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 15.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -23.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.9 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 13.8 |
| P/E | 21.1 |
| P/CFO | 7.3 |
| Total Yield | 1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.1% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -12.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.3% |
| 6M Rtn | -10.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 104.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -12.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -28.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -25.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 42.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11042025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8052025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10282024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10312023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7312023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5012023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3082023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3102022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |