Tearsheet

PulteGroup (PHM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $128.91 | Market Cap: $25.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

PulteGroup (PHM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $128.91
Market Cap: $25.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Buildings & Proptech, Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include IoT for Buildings, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PHM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the available information for PulteGroup (PHM) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, the stock movement of -1.1% can be attributed to several factors:

1. PulteGroup's Q3 2025 Earnings Report Indicated Year-Over-Year Declines in Key Metrics. PulteGroup reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 21, 2025, revealing a mixed performance despite beating analyst expectations for earnings per share. The company's net income decreased by 16% to $586 million, and home sale revenues saw a 2% decline to $4.2 billion compared to the prior year. Additionally, the number of homes closed decreased by 5% year-over-year to 7,529 units.

2. Contracted Gross Margins Due to Higher Incentives and Increased Lot Costs. The company's gross margin significantly contracted to 26.2% in Q3 2025, a decrease of 260 basis points from 28.8% in Q3 2024. This was largely attributed to higher incentives, which rose by 190 basis points over the prior year, and increased lot costs.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PHM Return13%34%-19%129%6%17%246%
Peers Return22%51%-20%62%10%4%171%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PHM Win Rate67%67%42%58%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate72%73%42%62%65%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PHM Max Drawdown-54%-5%-36%0%-3%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-4%-38%-2%-6%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, NVR, J, TOL. See PHM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventPHMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-41.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven72.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven305 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven164.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven151 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-40.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven68.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven326 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven393.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven3349 days1480 days

Compare to DHI, LEN, NVR, J, TOL


In The Past

PulteGroup's stock fell -41.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/10/2021. A -41.9% loss requires a 72.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About PulteGroup (PHM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PHM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
PHM_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022PHMPulteGroupDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
56.4%99.6%-2.4%
PHM_3312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312022PHMPulteGroupDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.3%41.0%-13.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
PHM_9302022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302022PHMPulteGroupDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
56.4%99.6%-2.4%
PHM_3312022_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03312022PHMPulteGroupDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.3%41.0%-13.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for PulteGroup

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PHMDHILENNVRJTOLMedian
NamePulteGro.D.R. Hor.Lennar NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Price-------
Mkt Cap-------
Rev LTM-------
Op Inc LTM-------
FCF LTM-------
FCF 3Y Avg-------
CFO LTM-------
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Growth & Margins

PHMDHILENNVRJTOLMedian
NamePulteGro.D.R. Hor.Lennar NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Rev Chg LTM-------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-------
Rev Chg Q-------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-------
Op Mgn LTM-------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-------
CFO/Rev LTM-------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-------
FCF/Rev LTM-------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-------

Valuation

PHMDHILENNVRJTOLMedian
NamePulteGro.D.R. Hor.Lennar NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
Mkt Cap-------
P/S-------
P/EBIT-------
P/E-------
P/CFO-------
Total Yield-------
Dividend Yield-------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-------
D/E-------
Net D/E-------

Returns

PHMDHILENNVRJTOLMedian
NamePulteGro.D.R. Hor.Lennar NVR Jacobs S.Toll Bro. 
1M Rtn-------
3M Rtn-------
6M Rtn-------
12M Rtn-------
3Y Rtn-------
1M Excs Rtn-------
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6M Excs Rtn-------
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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Homebuilding segment15,24713,92412,27011,51310,081
Financial Services8408721,082692634
Total16,08714,79713,35312,20510,716


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,856,203
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-5.8%
Average Daily Volume1,723,635
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.40
Basic Shares Quantity196,536,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251021202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025722202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025422202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241022202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024723202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023205202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231024202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023725202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023425202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022206202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221025202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022726202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022428202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021207202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0OShaughnessy RobertExec. VP8152025Sell128.0321,9272,807,2488,227,527Form
1O'Meara Brien P.Vice President & Controller8152025Sell127.97814104,1701,351,139Form
2O'Meara Brien P.Vice President & Controller2132025Sell106.403,500372,3861,209,934Form
3Sheldon Todd NEVP, Gen Counsel, Corp Sec'y2132025Sell106.5015,1911,617,8427,961,727Form
4ANDERSON BRIAN P 2112025Sell106.452,500266,1226,026,823Form