Kontoor Brands (KTB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $64.04 | Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Kontoor Brands (KTB)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $64.04Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 5.1% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.0% | Key risksKTB key risks include [1] slower progress in rejuvenating its key brands to adapt to evolving consumer preferences and [2] vulnerability to supply chain disruptions and trade policy volatility that could increase costs and impair its ability to meet customer demand. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 5.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -6.0% |
| Key risksKTB key risks include [1] slower progress in rejuvenating its key brands to adapt to evolving consumer preferences and [2] vulnerability to supply chain disruptions and trade policy volatility that could increase costs and impair its ability to meet customer demand. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
KTB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Kontoor Brands (KTB) experienced a decline in its stock price, with several key factors contributing to this movement based on recent financial reports and market activity.
1. Slightly Missed Revenue Expectations
Kontoor Brands' net revenue for the third quarter of 2025, reported on November 3, 2025, reached $853.215 million, an increase of 27% year-over-year. However, this figure narrowly missed analysts' consensus projections of $855.832 million, which contributed to a cautious reaction from investors.
2. Decline in Lee Brand's Global Revenue
The Lee brand faced challenges in the third quarter of 2025, reporting an 8% decrease in global revenue. This downturn was primarily attributed to proactive inventory management actions in specific regions, notably China, impacting international sales.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| KTB Return | -1% | 30% | -18% | 63% | 41% | -21% | 91% |
| Peers Return | -3% | 44% | -38% | 19% | 16% | 11% | 33% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| KTB Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 75% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 58% | 35% | 52% | 53% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| KTB Max Drawdown | -67% | -11% | -37% | -5% | -13% | -38% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -67% | -10% | -52% | -16% | -22% | -41% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LEVI, VFC, BOOT, PVH, GES.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | KTB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -53.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 113.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 686 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 210.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 234 days | 148 days |
Compare to GIL, HBI, AGIE, JPO, MPJS
In The Past
Kontoor Brands's stock fell -53.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/6/2021. A -53.1% loss requires a 113.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to KTB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Kontoor Brands
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.88 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| Rev LTM | 4,867 |
| Op Inc LTM | 384 |
| FCF LTM | 232 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 281 |
| CFO LTM | 312 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 388 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.0 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 13.9 |
| P/E | 17.8 |
| P/CFO | 15.8 |
| Total Yield | 6.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 4.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 30.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.5% |
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/3/2025 | -9.2% | -10.8% | -3.3% |
| 8/7/2025 | 12.8% | 24.7% | 41.5% |
| 5/6/2025 | 1.8% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
| 2/19/2025 | 4.1% | -13.0% | -25.3% |
| 10/31/2024 | 11.8% | 12.9% | 19.9% |
| 8/1/2024 | 2.7% | -3.8% | 6.0% |
| 2/28/2024 | -9.0% | -4.4% | -5.7% |
| 11/2/2023 | 4.8% | 9.1% | 19.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 7 | 8 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 7.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% |
| Median Negative | -8.4% | -7.7% | -6.3% |
| Max Positive | 19.9% | 24.7% | 41.5% |
| Max Negative | -9.2% | -18.8% | -54.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2252025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8082022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5092022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3022022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | ALKIRE JOSEPH A | EVP, CFO & Head of Operations | 11122025 | Sell | 72.35 | 3,000 | 217,063 | 1,817,972 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |