Tearsheet

Green Brick Partners (GRBK)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $63.56 | Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Green Brick Partners (GRBK)


Market Price (11/16/2025): $63.56
Market Cap: $2.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 5.7%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -10%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, and Green Building Certification.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 5.7%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, and Green Building Certification.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -10%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

GRBK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Green Brick Partners (GRBK) stock moved by 2.6% from approximately July 31, 2025, to today:

1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat: Green Brick Partners announced on October 29, 2025, that its third-quarter 2025 earnings of $1.77 per share significantly beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43 per share, representing a 23.78% surprise. Additionally, the company's revenue of $499.09 million surpassed the consensus estimate by 9.93%. This strong earnings report led to a notable after-market surge of over 6% in the stock price.

2. Resilient Homebuilding Gross Margins: In a challenging market, Green Brick Partners maintained robust homebuilding gross margins of 31.1% in Q3 2025. This marked the tenth consecutive quarter that the company's gross margins remained above 30%, demonstrating strong operational efficiency and a leading position within the public homebuilding industry.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GRBK Return100%32%-20%114%9%13%454%
Peers Return15%46%-17%64%4%-13%105%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GRBK Win Rate83%42%42%58%75%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%60%32%47%55%46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GRBK Max Drawdown-49%-16%-42%0%-6%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-3%-33%0%-6%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CVCO, SPHL, DHI, LEN, PHM.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 11/14/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGRBKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-45.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven230 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven114 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven396 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-97.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4432.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to CVCO, SPHL, DHI, LEN, PHM


In The Past

Green Brick Partners's stock fell -45.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -45.1% loss requires a 82.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Better Bets than Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to GRBK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
GRBK_9302022_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield09302022GRBKGreen Brick PartnersDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
64.0%94.2%-7.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
LRN_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-5.8%
DECK_10312025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE10312025DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
1.6%1.6%-2.4%
ATGE_10312025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%10312025ATGEAdtalem Global EducationQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-1.6%-1.6%-5.9%
GNTX_10242025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10242025GNTXGentexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-3.2%-3.2%-3.2%
LNW_10172025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield10172025LNWLight & WonderDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%-6.2%
GRBK_9302022_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield09302022GRBKGreen Brick PartnersDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
64.0%94.2%-7.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Green Brick Partners

Financials

GRBKCVCOSPHLDHILENPHMMedian
NameGreen Br.Cavco In.Springvi.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Mkt Price63.56557.970.45142.43121.11118.37119.74
Mkt Cap2.84.4-43.331.023.323.3
Rev LTM2,1132,144-34,57534,76617,62317,623
Op Inc LTM439225-4,8923,4703,3953,395
FCF LTM158180-2,785-7131,552180
FCF 3Y Avg139187-2,7072,7831,8751,875
CFO LTM162210-2,911-5681,668210
CFO 3Y Avg144210-2,8562,9181,9831,983

Growth & Margins

GRBKCVCOSPHLDHILENPHMMedian
NameGreen Br.Cavco In.Springvi.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Rev Chg LTM6.6%15.8%--7.3%-4.7%1.8%1.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg6.1%1.2%-2.9%3.0%5.4%3.0%
Rev Chg Q-4.7%9.7%--7.4%-6.4%-1.6%-4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.1%2.3%--2.1%-1.7%-0.4%-1.1%
Op Mgn LTM20.8%10.5%-14.2%10.0%19.3%14.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg20.5%10.5%-16.3%13.6%20.6%16.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.4%--1.0%-1.5%-0.7%-0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM7.7%9.8%-8.4%-1.6%9.5%8.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg7.7%10.7%-8.1%8.4%11.6%8.4%
FCF/Rev LTM7.5%8.4%-8.1%-2.1%8.8%8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.4%9.5%-7.7%8.0%10.9%8.0%

Valuation

GRBKCVCOSPHLDHILENPHMMedian
NameGreen Br.Cavco In.Springvi.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
Mkt Cap2.84.4-43.331.023.323.3
P/S1.32.1-1.30.91.31.3
P/EBIT6.318.0-8.98.96.88.9
P/E8.222.4-10.911.58.810.9
P/CFO17.121.0-14.9-54.513.914.9
Total Yield12.2%4.5%-10.2%10.4%12.1%10.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%-1.1%1.7%0.8%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.5%6.1%-6.5%7.3%9.2%6.5%
D/E0.10.0-0.20.20.10.1
Net D/E0.1-0.1-0.10.10.00.1

Returns

GRBKCVCOSPHLDHILENPHMMedian
NameGreen Br.Cavco In.Springvi.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro. 
1M Rtn-5.1%3.2%-31.5%-6.6%-1.4%-4.4%-4.8%
3M Rtn-8.2%16.2%-9.6%-13.7%-7.8%-7.9%-8.0%
6M Rtn0.8%5.7%-25.0%13.9%9.2%13.8%7.4%
12M Rtn-8.5%19.9%-89.9%-10.8%-27.0%-7.4%-9.7%
3Y Rtn167.2%162.3%-77.0%46.3%177.8%162.3%
1M Excs Rtn-6.7%1.7%-33.1%-8.2%-3.0%-6.0%-6.4%
3M Excs Rtn-12.0%10.9%-14.3%-17.9%-11.9%-11.9%-12.0%
6M Excs Rtn-12.2%-7.3%-38.1%0.9%-3.8%0.8%-5.6%
12M Excs Rtn-20.6%6.8%-102.3%-23.5%-38.4%-20.0%-22.1%
3Y Excs Rtn129.0%83.1%-15.3%-18.6%135.0%83.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Builder operations Central1,2711,181940645397
Builder operations Southeast499530398287364
Land Development846654331
Total1,7781,7581,403976792


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10312025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,556,629
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520255.4%
Average Daily Volume209,039
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.45
Basic Shares Quantity43,541,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20252.5%-2.1% 
7/30/2025-2.9%2.5%9.6%
2/26/20255.8%4.6%2.9%
10/30/2024-9.4%-5.8%-6.2%
7/31/2024-0.4%-8.3%6.4%
2/29/2024-6.6%-10.0%3.1%
8/2/2023-7.1%-4.7%-10.9%
2/27/20232.0%5.8%12.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive769
# Negative10118
Median Positive4.3%5.2%7.0%
Median Negative-5.8%-6.7%-10.9%
Max Positive13.6%18.0%15.9%
Max Negative-10.9%-16.5%-34.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022227202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Press Richard S 8202025Sell69.753,000209,2505,999,058Form
1Dolson JedPresident and COO8142025Sell66.7620,0001,335,20018,265,870Form
2Press Richard S 11262024Sell69.043,500241,6405,836,849Form
3EINHORN DAVID 11152024Sell69.16539,34937,301,377527,368,791Form