Tearsheet

Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Market Price (12/24/2025): $62.94 | Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Market Price (12/24/2025): $62.94
Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0	Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 5.8%	Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -26%	Weak revenue growth Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%
1	Attractive operating margins Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%		Key risks GRBK key risks include [1] a disproportionate exposure to adverse economic conditions due to its geographic concentration in a few specific high-growth markets.
2	Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 36%
3	Megatrend and thematic drivers Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, and Green Building Certification.

0	Attractive yield Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 12%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.2%, FCF Yield is 5.8%
1	Attractive operating margins Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 21%
2	Low stock price volatility Vol 12M is 36%
3	Megatrend and thematic drivers Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, and Green Building Certification.
4	Weak multi-year price returns 2Y Excs Rtn is -26%
5	Weak revenue growth Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.7%
6	Key risks GRBK key risks include [1] a disproportionate exposure to adverse economic conditions due to its geographic concentration in a few specific high-growth markets.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

	12/24/25	2024	2023	2022	2021
Share Price CYE	$62.94	$56.49	$51.94	$24.23	$30.33
Market Cap CYE ($ Bil)	2.7	2.5	2.3	1.1	1.5
Total Debt ($ Bil)	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.3
Total Cash ($ Bil)	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1
Enterprise Value ($ Bil)	2.9	2.8	2.7	1.5	1.8
Valuation Ratios
P/S TTM	1.3	1.2	1.3	0.7	1.1
P/EBIT TTM	6.2	5.3	6.6	3.2	6.8
P/E TTM	8.1	6.6	8.3	4.0	8.1
P/FCF TTM	17.3	116.7	11.5	13.0	-16.3
Sector Ratios
P/S TTM (Sector)	0.8	0.8	0.9	0.9	1.4
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)	7.7	8.3	7.8	6.5	8.3
P/E TTM (Sector)	10.6	11.1	10.4	8.4	10.7
P/FCF TTM (Sector)	11.2	12.3	9.6	7.3	10.5

	12/24/25	2024	2023
Share Price CYE	$62.94	$56.49	$51.94
Market Cap CYE ($ Bil)	2.7	2.5	2.3
Total Debt ($ Bil)	0.3	0.3	0.4
Total Cash ($ Bil)	0.1	0.1	0.2
Enterprise Value ($ Bil)	2.9	2.8	2.7
Valuation Ratios
P/S TTM	1.3	1.2	1.3
P/EBIT TTM	6.2	5.3	6.6
P/E TTM	8.1	6.6	8.3
P/FCF TTM	17.3	116.7	11.5
Sector Ratios
P/S TTM (Sector)	0.8	0.8	0.9
P/EBIT TTM (Sector)	7.7	8.3	7.8
P/E TTM (Sector)	10.6	11.1	10.4
P/FCF TTM (Sector)	11.2	12.3	9.6

	GRBK	S&P 500
REVENUE GROWTH
Rev LTM ($ Bil)	2.1
Rev Chg Q	-4.7%	7.3%
Rev Chg LTM	6.6%	6.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	6.1%	5.5%
PROFITABILITY	FAIR
Op Inc LTM ($ Bil)	0.4
CFO LTM ($ Bil)	0.2
Net Inc LTM ($ Bil)	0.3
Op Mgn LTM	20.8%	18.8%
CFO/Rev LTM	7.7%	20.4%
Net Inc Mgn	16.0%	13.1%
VALUATION	LOW
P/S	1.3	3.2
P/CFO	16.9	15.7
P/FCF	17.3	20.7
P/E	8.1	23.5
STABILITY	GOOD
Debt/Equity	0.13	0.21
Cash/Assets	0.06	0.07

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Metric	Value	Date	Source
Cancellation Rate	9.9%	7312025	Link
Net New Home Orders	898	10292025	Link
Homes in Backlog	864	4302025	Link
Backlog Revenue	$466 million	10302025	Link
Active Selling Communities	106	12312024	Link
Total Lots Owned and Controlled	41200	10312025	Link
Quarterly Absorption Rate Per Average Active Selling Community	10.6	4302025	Link
Incentives for Net New Orders	7.7%	7312025	Link
Units Under Construction	2341	2262025	Link

Upcoming
2/25/2026	Earnings Release	Rev: - EPS: -

GRBK Stock

Return (1M):

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Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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1. Decline in Q3 2025 Net Income and Earnings Per Share Year-over-Year.

Green Brick Partners reported a 13% year-over-year decrease in net income, reaching $78 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Diluted earnings per share also saw an 11% year-over-year decline to $1.77. This indicates a weakening in profitability compared to the previous year, despite the company exceeding analyst estimates for the quarter. 2. Reduced Home Closings Revenue and Gross Margins in Q3 2025.

In the third quarter of 2025, home closings revenue for Green Brick Partners declined by 4.6% compared to the same period in the prior year, totaling $499 million. The company's homebuilding gross margins also decreased by 160 basis points year-over-year, settling at 31.1%. These figures suggest a challenging operational environment impacting sales and profitability. Show more 1. Decline in Q3 2025 Net Income and Earnings Per Share Year-over-Year.

Green Brick Partners reported a 13% year-over-year decrease in net income, reaching $78 million for the third quarter ended September 30, 2025. Diluted earnings per share also saw an 11% year-over-year decline to $1.77. This indicates a weakening in profitability compared to the previous year, despite the company exceeding analyst estimates for the quarter. 2. Reduced Home Closings Revenue and Gross Margins in Q3 2025.

In the third quarter of 2025, home closings revenue for Green Brick Partners declined by 4.6% compared to the same period in the prior year, totaling $499 million. The company's homebuilding gross margins also decreased by 160 basis points year-over-year, settling at 31.1%. These figures suggest a challenging operational environment impacting sales and profitability. 3. Increased Incentives Due to Market Pressures.

To maintain sales momentum amidst affordability pressures and elevated interest rates, Green Brick Partners strategically adjusted pricing and increased incentives for new home orders. These incentives rose 2.8% year-over-year and 1.2% sequentially, reaching 8.9% in the third quarter of 2025. This strategy, while sustaining sales velocity, could impact the company's overall revenue and profitability. 4. Bearish Analyst Sentiment and Negative Technical Indicators.

As of December 2025, the overall stock forecast sentiment for Green Brick Partners was bearish, with 21 technical analysis indicators signaling bearish signals compared to only 5 bullish ones. Analysts generally held a "Hold" rating for the stock, with some predicting a further drop in share value by early 2026. As of December 23, 2025, the stock was noted to have several negative signals and was in a falling trend, leading to a negative evaluation. 5. Recent Short-Term Stock Price Declines.

Leading up to December 24, 2025, Green Brick Partners experienced a notable short-term decline in its stock price. On December 23, 2025, the stock fell by 0.741%, marking its eighth consecutive day of decline. Over the preceding 10 days, the stock was down by 1.93%. Additionally, the stock had fallen by 5.72% compared to the previous week. Show less

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.9% change in GRBK stock from 9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -7.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	9232025	12232025	Change
Stock Price ($)	69.87	62.92	-9.95%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	2137.74	2113.17	-1.15%
Net Income Margin (%)	16.37%	16.03%	-2.09%
P/E Multiple	8.74	8.09	-7.44%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	43.77	43.54	0.52%
Cumulative Contribution			-9.95%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/23/2025 to 12/23/2025

	Return	Correlation
GRBK	-9.9%
Market (SPY)	3.7%	21.3%
Sector (XLY)	2.7%	30.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.2% change in GRBK stock from 6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a -7.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).

	6242025	12232025	Change
Stock Price ($)	64.34	62.92	-2.21%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	2149.23	2113.17	-1.68%
Net Income Margin (%)	17.37%	16.03%	-7.74%
P/E Multiple	7.66	8.09	5.62%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	44.44	43.54	2.02%
Cumulative Contribution			-2.25%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/24/2025 to 12/23/2025

	Return	Correlation
GRBK	-2.2%
Market (SPY)	13.7%	26.9%
Sector (XLY)	13.5%	42.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 9.5% change in GRBK stock from 12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 11.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	12232024	12232025	Change
Stock Price ($)	57.47	62.92	9.48%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	1982.01	2113.17	6.62%
Net Income Margin (%)	17.70%	16.03%	-9.45%
P/E Multiple	7.28	8.09	11.06%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	44.46	43.54	2.06%
Cumulative Contribution			9.44%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2024 to 12/23/2025

	Return	Correlation
GRBK	9.5%
Market (SPY)	16.7%	37.2%
Sector (XLY)	7.3%	48.4%

Fundamental Drivers

The 159.3% change in GRBK stock from 12/24/2022 to 12/23/2025 was primarily driven by a 117.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.

	12242022	12232025	Change
Stock Price ($)	24.27	62.92	159.25%
Change Contribution By	LTM	LTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)	1778.95	2113.17	18.79%
Net Income Margin (%)	16.85%	16.03%	-4.91%
P/E Multiple	3.73	8.09	117.09%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)	46.03	43.54	5.41%
Cumulative Contribution			158.49%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2023 to 12/23/2025

	Return	Correlation
GRBK	19.7%
Market (SPY)	48.4%	38.4%
Sector (XLY)	38.2%	44.5%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	Total [1]
Returns
GRBK Return	100%	32%	-20%	114%	9%	12%	452%
Peers Return	22%	50%	-20%	90%	6%	1%	199%
S&P 500 Return	16%	27%	-19%	24%	23%	17%	114%
Monthly Win Rates [3]
GRBK Win Rate	83%	42%	42%	58%	75%	50%
Peers Win Rate	68%	75%	40%	63%	60%	43%
S&P 500 Win Rate	58%	75%	42%	67%	75%	73%
Max Drawdowns [4]
GRBK Max Drawdown	-49%	-16%	-42%	0%	-6%	-5%
Peers Max Drawdown	-56%	-5%	-42%	0%	-6%	-19%
S&P 500 Max Drawdown	-31%	-1%	-25%	-1%	-2%	-15%

[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, TOL, TMHC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/23/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique Key	Event	GRBK	S&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock	2022 Inflation Shock
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss	% Loss	-45.1%	-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	82.2%	34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	230 days	464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic	2020 Covid Pandemic
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss	% Loss	-54.3%	-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	118.8%	51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	114 days	148 days
2018 Correction	2018 Correction
2018 Correction% Loss	% Loss	-43.5%	-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	77.0%	24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	396 days	120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis	2008 Global Financial Crisis
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss	% Loss	-97.8%	-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven	% Gain to Breakeven	4432.0%	131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to Breakeven	Time to Breakeven	Not Fully Recovered days	1,480 days

Compare to CVCO, DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR

In The Past

Green Brick Partners's stock fell -45.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -45.1% loss requires a 82.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Business Description Analogies Products Customers Suppliers Management Key Risks Emerging Threats Market Size Revenue Drivers Capital Allocation

Green Brick Partners, Inc. operates as a homebuilding and land development company in the United States. It operates through Builder operations Central, Builder operations Southeast, and Land development segments. The company is involved in the land acquisition and development, entitlements, design, construction, title and mortgage services, marketing, and sale of townhomes, patio homes, single family homes, and luxury homes in residential neighborhoods, and master planned communities. As of December 31,2021, the company owns or controls approximately 28,600 home sites in Dallas-Forth Worth, Atlanta metropolitan areas, and the Treasure Coast, Florida market. The company sells its homes through sales representatives and independent realtors. Green Brick Partners, Inc. was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

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Green Brick Partners is like Apple for homes.
Green Brick Partners is like General Motors for houses.
Green Brick Partners is like Hermes for luxury home communities.

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Single-Family Homes: Constructs and sells new single-family detached houses in master-planned communities and infill locations.
Townhomes/Attached Homes: Builds and sells new attached residential units, such as townhouses.
Land Development: Acquires, entitles, and develops land parcels into residential lots primarily for its own homebuilding divisions.

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Green Brick Partners (GRBK) is a diversified homebuilding and land development company that designs, constructs, and sells homes in various metropolitan areas. As a homebuilder, its primary customers are individuals purchasing new homes. Based on its business model, Green Brick Partners sells primarily to individuals, not other companies.

The company serves the following categories of individual customers:

First-time Homebuyers: This category includes individuals or couples who are purchasing a home for the very first time. They often look for more affordable, entry-level homes and may be driven by factors such as marriage, starting a family, or establishing financial independence.
Move-up Homebuyers: These are individuals or families who already own a home but are looking to purchase a larger, newer, or more amenity-rich property. Their motivations often include needing more space due to a growing family, seeking better school districts, career advancement, or a desire for upgraded features and communities.
Active Adult/Empty Nesters/Downsizers: This category typically consists of older individuals or couples whose children have grown and left home. They often seek smaller, lower-maintenance homes, sometimes in age-restricted communities, that offer convenience, accessibility, and specific lifestyle amenities like golf courses, clubhouses, or fitness centers.

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James R. Brickman, Co-founder, CEO & Director

Co-founded Green Brick Partners with David Einhorn.
Founded and is the President of Centre Living Homes.
Was the founding manager and advisor of JBGL Capital LP (since 2008) and JBGL Builder Finance LLC (since 2010), which was the predecessor to Green Brick Partners. JBGL was formed after the 2008 housing market collapse to purchase lots and lend money to distressed builders.
Managed various joint ventures and limited partnerships involved in developing and building office, multi-family, condominium, and single-family homes, entitling land, and supervising a property management company.
Previously served as Chairman and CEO of Princeton Homes Ltd. and Princeton Realty Corporation, which developed land, constructed custom single-family homes, and managed apartments.

Jeffery Cox, Interim Chief Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer

Appointed Interim CFO on March 17, 2025.
Has over 20 years of experience in the homebuilding industry.
Led efforts to launch the Company's wholly-owned mortgage subsidiary and oversees the operations of Green Brick Title.
Served as Regional Vice President of Finance, West Coast, for Richmond American Homes from October 2020 to June 2023.
Served as Division Controller for Lennar from July 2016 to October 2020.

Jed T. Dolson, President & Chief Operating Officer

Joined Green Brick in 2010 as a primary development consultant through his consulting firm, Pecos One LLC.
Served as Head of Land Acquisition and Development for Green Brick Partners from 2013 to 2017.
Was President of the Texas Region, where he oversaw Green Brick's majority ownership positions in Centre Living Homes, CB JENI Homes, Normandy Homes, Southgate Homes, and Trophy Signature Homes.
Previously worked at Jones & Boyd Engineering and served as Director of Development for a local private residential developer for five years.

Neal Suit, Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Chief Risk and Compliance Officer

Joined Green Brick Partners in 2021.
Has over 20 years of legal experience, with a significant focus on the real estate and construction industries.
Served as the Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Corporate Secretary of Legacy Housing Corporation, playing a key role in their successful IPO in December 2018.

Bobby L. Samuel III, Executive Vice President of Land

Joined Green Brick in 2018 as the National Vice President of Land and was promoted to Executive Vice President of Land in March 2025.
Oversees the land acquisition and development activities of Green Brick and its subsidiary builders.
Prior to joining Green Brick Partners, he served as the Vice President of Land for Taylor Morrison.

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The key risks to Green Brick Partners' business are primarily rooted in the highly cyclical nature of the homebuilding industry and its susceptibility to broader macroeconomic conditions, particularly interest rates.

Cyclical Nature of the Homebuilding Industry and Macroeconomic Factors: The residential homebuilding industry is inherently cyclical and highly sensitive to general economic conditions. Factors such as employment levels, consumer confidence, income, and the availability and volatility of mortgage financing directly impact demand for new homes. Inflation and the trajectory of mortgage rates, whether they decline, remain high, or rise further, create significant uncertainty and can severely affect Green Brick Partners' business, financial condition, and results of operations.
Geographic Concentration: Green Brick Partners' operations are concentrated in specific high-growth markets, primarily the Dallas-Fort Worth, Atlanta, Houston metropolitan areas, and the Treasure Coast, Florida market. While this focus has contributed to its growth, adverse economic or market conditions, or significant changes in local regulations or demographics within these concentrated regions, could disproportionately and negatively impact the company's performance.
Labor and Raw Material Shortages and Price Fluctuations: The company faces risks related to the availability and cost of labor and raw materials. Shortages of skilled labor or significant fluctuations in the prices of building materials can delay land development and home construction. Such delays or increased costs could materially and adversely affect Green Brick Partners' business, profitability, and project timelines.

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Green Brick Partners (symbol: GRBK) primarily operates as a diversified homebuilding and land development company, encompassing land acquisition, development, home construction, and related services such as mortgage and title services. The company focuses its operations in high-growth U.S. Sunbelt markets, including Texas (Dallas-Fort Worth, Austin), Georgia (Atlanta), and Florida (Florida's Treasure Coast/South Florida). Below are the addressable market sizes for residential homebuilding in these key regions:

Dallas-Fort Worth, Texas: The housing market in Dallas-Fort Worth had a median home price of approximately $418,000 in 2025. The median sale price was $388,035 in the 30 days leading up to November 2025. As of August 2025, the median sale price was $397,333. The average home value in the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington area was $363,356 as of September 30, 2025. In August 2025, active listings in Dallas-Fort Worth reached almost 32,000.
Atlanta, Georgia: The total value of the housing market in Atlanta was nearly $1.3 trillion as of August 2024. In the 30 days leading up to November 2025, the median sale price for homes in Atlanta was $429,349. As of September 2025, the median sale price in Atlanta was $390,000. The average home value in Atlanta was $392,310 as of September 2025.
Florida (South Florida/Treasure Coast): The median closed price across Florida was $408,805 in Q3 2025. The median single-family home price in Florida was $410,000 at the end of September 2025. In September 2025, the median sale price for homes in Florida was $404,600. The average home value in Florida was $377,066 as of September 2025.

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Green Brick Partners (GRBK) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next two to three years through several key strategies:

Expansion into New Markets: The company is strategically expanding its presence by introducing its Trophy Signature Homes brand into new geographic markets, notably including Houston. This geographic diversification is anticipated to broaden its customer base and revenue streams.
Increased Land Acquisition and Community Count: Green Brick Partners has demonstrated a proactive approach to securing future growth by significantly increasing its total lots owned and controlled. The company has also committed substantial capital to land development, laying the groundwork for an expanded number of active selling communities.
Growth of Trophy Signature Homes: Trophy Signature Homes is consistently highlighted as a key growth engine for Green Brick Partners. This brand continues to represent a substantial and growing proportion of the company's total home deliveries and new home orders, indicating its increasing contribution to overall revenue.
Higher Home Closings and Net New Orders: Despite market challenges, Green Brick Partners has focused on increasing both the number of home closings and net new home orders. This emphasis on sales volume and execution is a direct driver of revenue.
Strategic Focus on Infill and Infill-Adjacent Locations: A significant portion, over 80%, of Green Brick Partners' annual revenues is consistently generated from desirable infill and infill-adjacent submarkets. Maintaining and expanding operations in these high-demand areas is a core strategy for sustained revenue growth due to strong buyer interest and pricing power.

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Share Repurchases

Since 2022, Green Brick Partners has repurchased approximately 7.9 million shares, leading to a reduction of about 16% in its outstanding share count.
In the first half of 2025 (nine months ended September 30, 2025), the company repurchased approximately $60.1 million worth of shares.
As of September 30, 2025, a remaining authorization of $39.9 million was available under the 2025 Repurchase Plan.

Share Issuance

No information was found regarding direct share issuances by Green Brick Partners within the last 3-5 years. Secondary offerings by selling stockholders occurred in September 2023 for 850,000 shares and in January 2021 for 6,000,000 shares, from which Green Brick Partners did not receive any proceeds.

Inbound Investments

No specific information was found concerning large inbound investments (e.g., capital injections from strategic partners or private equity firms) in Green Brick Partners over the last 3-5 years.

Outbound Investments

No specific information was found regarding Green Brick Partners making strategic investments in other companies over the last 3-5 years. The company has focused on internal growth initiatives, such as the expansion of its Trophy Signature Homes brand into new markets and the launch of Green Brick Mortgage.

Capital Expenditures

Green Brick Partners expects to invest approximately $300 million in land development during 2025.
Land development spending totaled approximately $206 million in 2024, $208 million in 2023, $212 million in 2022, and $123 million in 2021.
The primary focus of capital expenditures is on acquiring and developing land, particularly in high-growth markets such as Texas, Georgia, and Florida, with a strategic emphasis on infill and infill-adjacent submarkets.

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Red Rock Resorts

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for GRBK: 6.6%)

MELI (36.9%)

MercadoLibre

DASH (24.5%)

DoorDash

BKNG (13.0%)

Booking

AMZN (10.9%)

Amazon.com

HD (7.5%)

Home Depot

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for GRBK: 6.1%)

MELI (39.5%)

MercadoLibre

BKNG (17.8%)

Booking

AMZN (11.3%)

Amazon.com

TSLA (9.3%)

Tesla

TJX (6.2%)

TJX Companies

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for GRBK: 20.8%)

MCD (46.1%)

McDonald's

BKNG (34.5%)

Booking

RCL (26.4%)

Royal Caribbean

ABNB (22.6%)

Airbnb

HLT (22.0%)

Hilton Worldwide

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.7%)

MCD (39.9%)

McDonald's

BKNG (33.2%)

Booking

AMZN (18.1%)

Amazon.com

TSLA (16.5%)

Tesla

HD (10.6%)

Home Depot

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.5%)

BKNG (31.9%)

Booking

MCD (28.1%)

McDonald's

HD (8.4%)

Home Depot

LOW (8.4%)

Lowe's Companies

TJX (7.5%)

TJX Companies

Higher Total Yield (Value for GRBK: 12.4%)

BYD (27.2%)

Boyd Gaming

GHC (15.5%)

Graham

TMHC (14.7%)

Taylor Morrison Home

HRB (13.5%)

H&R Block

LKQ (13.2%)

LKQ

All Other Sectors

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/S (Values for GRBK: 6.1% | 1.3x)

UNH (11.4% | 0.7x)

UnitedHealth

MCK (12.6% | 0.3x)

McKesson

CVS (7.7% | 0.3x)

CVS Health

ELV (8.4% | 0.4x)

Elevance Health

CI (13.6% | 0.3x)

Cigna

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/Op Inc (Values for GRBK: 6.1% | 6.2x)

FISV (6.8% | 6.0x)

Fiserv

FI (7.5% | 5.5x)

Fiserv

IBKR (48.1% | 3.5x)

Interactive Brokers

RCI (11.8% | 4.1x)

Rogers Communications

JEF (14.6% | 2.9x)

Jefferies Financial

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for GRBK: 6.6%)

NVDA (65.2%)

NVIDIA

AVGO (23.9%)

Broadcom

META (21.3%)

Meta Platforms

MSFT (15.6%)

Microsoft

GOOGL (13.4%)

Alphabet

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for GRBK: 6.1%)

NVDA (91.6%)

NVIDIA

AVGO (25.2%)

Broadcom

META (17.3%)

Meta Platforms

MSFT (13.2%)

Microsoft

GOOGL (11.0%)

Alphabet

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for GRBK: 20.8%)

NVDA (58.8%)

NVIDIA

MSFT (46.3%)

Microsoft

META (43.2%)

Meta Platforms

GOOGL (32.2%)

Alphabet

AAPL (31.9%)

Apple

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.7%)

META (56.8%)

Meta Platforms

MSFT (50.0%)

Microsoft

NVDA (44.4%)

NVIDIA

GOOGL (39.3%)

Alphabet

AAPL (26.6%)

Apple

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.5%)

NVDA (41.3%)

NVIDIA

MSFT (26.6%)

Microsoft

META (23.7%)

Meta Platforms

AAPL (23.5%)

Apple

GOOGL (19.1%)

Alphabet

Higher Total Yield (Value for GRBK: 12.4%)

CMCSA (25.4%)

Comcast

VZ (18.5%)

Verizon Communications

PFE (13.8%)

Pfizer

TD (12.9%)

Toronto-Dominion Bank

T (12.7%)

AT&T

		Best Bets In Consumer Discretionary Sector
	GRBK	ABNB	BKNG	DUOL	MCD	ETSY	LOPE	ALSN	GRMN	CROX	WH
What You Pay
P/E	8.1	31.7	34.9	21.3	26.3	30.0	22.1	12.1	24.9	21.2	17.4
P/EBIT	6.2	30.8	20.9	77.7	18.1	13.2	14.7	8.8	22.0	18.5	10.2
What You Get
Rev Chg Q	-4.7%	9.7%	12.7%	41.1%	3.0%	2.4%	9.6%	-15.9%	11.7%	3.4%	-3.5%
Rev Chg LTM	6.6%	10.2%	13.0%	39.9%	1.2%	2.0%	7.0%	-4.2%	16.6%	2.0%	3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	6.1%	14.2%	17.8%	41.7%	4.2%	4.9%	6.5%	4.6%	12.2%	14.5%	-2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg	7.4%	40.2%	35.6%	30.3%	27.4%	23.8%	21.8%	21.0%	20.5%	19.8%	19.0%

[1] Choosing top 10 best bets from each sector quarterly is an alpha producing strategy vs sector benchmark
[2] Historical annualized return of 14%, alpha of 2.9%, and sharpe of 0.61

Latest Trefis Analyses

	Title	Topic
0	DASHBOARDS
1	Green Brick Partners Earnings Notes
2	How Low Can Green Brick Partners Stock Really Go?	Return
3	Green Brick Partners vs Cal-Maine Foods: Which Is A Better Investment?	Counter-Intuitive Comparisons
4	How Does Green Brick Partners Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?	Peer Comparison
5	Better Bet Than GRBK Stock: Pay Less Than Green Brick Partners To Get More From CALM, PTCT
6	Why Green Brick Partners Stock Moved: GRBK Stock Has Gained 164% Since 2022 Fiscal End, Primarily Due To Favorable Change In Price To Sales Multiple (P/S)
7	GRBK Dip Buy Analysis
8	Green Brick Partners (GRBK) Valuation Ratios Comparison	Financials
9	Green Brick Partners Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 8.8% in 2024 and 23.0% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average)
10	Time To Buy Green Brick Partners Stock?	Buy or Fear

	Title
0	ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to GRBK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique Key	Date	Ticker	Company	Category	Trade Strategy	6M Fwd Rtn	12M Fwd Rtn	12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE	11302025	BBWI	Bath & Body Works	Dip Buy	DB \| Insider Buys \| Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap	10.6%	10.6%	0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	11262025	HRB	H&R Block	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	4.8%	4.8%	-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	11262025	LRN	Stride	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	2.6%	2.6%	-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	11212025	ABNB	Airbnb	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	19.5%	19.5%	0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield	11212025	MTN	Vail Resorts	Dip Buy	DB \| FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin	3.9%	3.9%	-1.6%
GRBK_9302022_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield	09302022	GRBK	Green Brick Partners	Dip Buy	DB \| Growth \| FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)	64.0%	94.2%	-7.2%

Recent Active Movers

Top Gainers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1D Rtn	YTD Rtn
RZLT	Rezolute	0.3	18.0%	-50.6%
WW	WW International	2.4	14.2%
NRGV	Energy Vault	0.8	10.4%	122.8%
METC	Ramaco Resources	1.0	8.5%	67.0%
UAMY	United States Antimony	0.7	7.9%	240.7%
LION	Lionsgate Studios	2.6	7.4%	-71.0%
GHM	Graham	0.8	7.3%	56.3%
VG	Venture Global	17.0	6.4%
CRK	Comstock Resources	6.7	5.7%	26.6%
SSII	SS Innovations International	1.1	5.5%	-25.0%

Top Losers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1D Rtn	YTD Rtn
TPL	Texas Pacific Land	6.8	-67.3%	-18.9%
GOSS	Gossamer Bio	0.7	-12.9%	263.1%
CSIQ	Canadian Solar	1.6	-11.8%	115.2%
TDUP	ThredUp	0.8	-11.7%	363.3%
LAB	Standard BioTools	0.6	-11.0%	-14.6%
INBX	Inhibrx Biosciences	1.2	-10.8%	407.0%
QBTS	D-Wave Quantum	10.0	-9.5%	246.7%
FDMT	4D Molecular Therapeutics	0.4	-9.3%	41.8%
FBYD	Falcons Beyond Global	0.6	-8.5%	109.8%
PVLA	Palvella Therapeutics	1.1	-8.1%	735.6%

Top Gainers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1W Rtn	YTD Rtn
LUNR	Intuitive Machines	1.9	53.2%	-9.1%
HUT	Hut 8	5.5	42.4%	156.1%
AAOI	Applied Optoelectronics	2.6	40.3%	10.3%
FBYD	Falcons Beyond Global	0.6	39.8%	109.8%
RKLB	Rocket Lab	39.8	39.1%	203.0%
DJT	Trump Media & Technology	3.9	31.9%	-58.5%
SGML	Sigma Lithium	1.5	31.9%	20.2%
ADEA	Adeia	1.9	31.0%	23.9%
TE	T1 Energy	1.1	30.7%
FOLD	Amicus Therapeutics	4.4	30.5%	50.8%

Top Losers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1W Rtn	YTD Rtn
NOW	ServiceNow	32.0	-80.2%	-27.2%
TPL	Texas Pacific Land	6.8	-63.8%	-18.9%
FDMT	4D Molecular Therapeutics	0.4	-31.4%	41.8%
LW	Lamb Weston	5.9	-30.1%	-35.8%
TLRY	Tilray Brands	11.2	-24.5%	-20.8%
OLMA	Olema Pharmaceuticals	2.4	-19.3%	374.6%
INSP	Inspire Medical Systems	2.8	-17.8%	-48.8%
GETY	Getty Images	0.5	-17.6%	-41.7%
TDUP	ThredUp	0.8	-16.4%	363.3%
FRMI	Fermi	5.8	-15.3%

Top Gainers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1M Rtn	YTD Rtn
TE	T1 Energy	1.1	161.4%
WVE	WAVE Life Sciences	2.9	147.9%	41.3%
AAOI	Applied Optoelectronics	2.6	97.5%	10.3%
LUNR	Intuitive Machines	1.9	91.5%	-9.1%
RKLB	Rocket Lab	39.8	91.5%	203.0%
VERA	Vera Therapeutics	3.4	89.4%	27.5%
PL	Planet Labs PBC	6.3	85.8%	413.1%
ANF	Abercrombie & Fitch	5.9	77.2%	-17.2%
ARWR	Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals	9.7	72.6%	271.4%
NRGV	Energy Vault	0.8	68.8%	122.8%

Top Losers

Ticker	Company	Mkt Cap (B)	1M Rtn	YTD Rtn
RZLT	Rezolute	0.3	-75.4%	-50.6%
JANX	Janux Therapeutics	0.9	-51.0%	-73.6%
LENZ	LENZ Therapeutics	0.5	-42.9%	-41.5%
FRMI	Fermi	5.8	-42.5%
GOGO	Gogo	0.6	-35.0%	-43.3%
HPK	HighPeak Energy	0.5	-29.7%	-70.1%
UP	Wheels Up Experience	0.4	-29.2%	-61.8%
ORIC	ORIC Pharmaceuticals	0.6	-28.8%	2.5%
LW	Lamb Weston	5.9	-27.5%	-35.8%
ACLX	Arcellx	3.7	-27.4%	-14.6%

Peer Comparisons for Green Brick Partners

Peers to compare with:

Financials

	GRBK	DHI	LEN	PHM	TOL	TMHC	Median
Name	Green Br.	D.R. Hor.	Lennar	PulteGro.	Toll Bro.	Taylor M.
Mkt Price	62.92	144.47	104.74	117.38	138.29	58.86	111.06
Mkt Cap	2.7	42.7	26.8	23.1	13.4	5.8	18.2
Rev LTM	2,113	34,250	34,766	17,623	10,967	8,378	14,295
Op Inc LTM	439	4,424	3,470	3,395	1,721	1,227	2,558
FCF LTM	158	3,284	-713	1,552	1,026	570	798
FCF 3Y Avg	139	3,154	2,783	1,875	1,052	571	1,463
CFO LTM	162	3,421	-568	1,668	1,112	609	861
CFO 3Y Avg	144	3,305	2,918	1,983	1,130	612	1,557

Growth & Margins

	GRBK	DHI	LEN	PHM	TOL	TMHC	Median
Name	Green Br.	D.R. Hor.	Lennar	PulteGro.	Toll Bro.	Taylor M.
Rev Chg LTM	6.6%	-6.9%	-4.7%	1.8%	1.1%	7.0%	1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg	6.1%	0.9%	3.0%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%	2.7%
Rev Chg Q	-4.7%	-3.2%	-6.4%	-1.6%	2.7%	-1.2%	-2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM	-1.1%	-0.9%	-1.7%	-0.4%	0.8%	-0.3%	-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM	20.8%	12.9%	10.0%	19.3%	15.7%	14.6%	15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg	20.5%	15.4%	13.6%	20.6%	17.3%	14.9%	16.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM	-0.5%	-1.2%	-1.5%	-0.7%	-0.6%	-0.4%	-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM	7.7%	10.0%	-1.6%	9.5%	10.1%	7.3%	8.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg	7.7%	9.4%	8.4%	11.6%	10.7%	7.6%	8.9%
FCF/Rev LTM	7.5%	9.6%	-2.1%	8.8%	9.4%	6.8%	8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg	7.4%	8.9%	8.0%	10.9%	10.0%	7.1%	8.5%

Valuation

	GRBK	DHI	LEN	PHM	TOL	TMHC	Median
Name	Green Br.	D.R. Hor.	Lennar	PulteGro.	Toll Bro.	Taylor M.
Mkt Cap	2.7	42.7	26.8	23.1	13.4	5.8	18.2
P/S	1.3	1.2	0.8	1.3	1.2	0.7	1.2
P/EBIT	6.2	9.7	7.7	6.7	7.8	4.7	7.2
P/E	8.1	11.9	10.0	8.8	9.9	6.8	9.4
P/CFO	16.9	12.5	-47.1	13.8	12.0	9.5	12.3
Total Yield	12.4%	9.5%	12.0%	12.2%	10.4%	14.7%	12.1%
Dividend Yield	0.0%	1.2%	2.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.0%	0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg	6.5%	7.1%	7.3%	9.2%	9.6%	11.1%	8.2%
D/E	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.2
Net D/E	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1

Returns

	GRBK	DHI	LEN	PHM	TOL	TMHC	Median
Name	Green Br.	D.R. Hor.	Lennar	PulteGro.	Toll Bro.	Taylor M.
1M Rtn	-3.6%	-1.5%	-15.0%	-2.2%	5.1%	-3.1%	-2.7%
3M Rtn	-9.9%	-12.8%	-14.7%	-9.6%	1.4%	-10.8%	-10.4%
6M Rtn	-2.2%	12.1%	-5.4%	11.7%	22.5%	-4.3%	4.7%
12M Rtn	9.5%	4.4%	-22.8%	7.4%	9.8%	-2.8%	5.9%
3Y Rtn	159.3%	66.8%	20.7%	162.5%	180.2%	91.5%	125.4%
1M Excs Rtn	-8.2%	-6.2%	-19.6%	-6.9%	0.4%	-7.8%	-7.3%
3M Excs Rtn	-14.9%	-17.6%	-20.4%	-14.2%	-3.1%	-15.5%	-15.2%
6M Excs Rtn	-12.5%	0.7%	-17.2%	0.3%	11.3%	-15.4%	-6.1%
12M Excs Rtn	-6.8%	-11.3%	-40.8%	-9.1%	-5.1%	-18.4%	-10.2%
3Y Excs Rtn	71.6%	-12.9%	-60.7%	80.3%	102.3%	10.9%	41.2%

Comparison Analyses

	Title
0	How Does Green Brick Partners Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers?

FDIC Bank Data

Bank Capital

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Bank Deposits

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Bank Assets

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Bank Loans

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FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for Morenull

Financials

Annual
Quarterly

$ Mil \| FY: 12/31	LTM	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019
Period End	9/30/2025	12/31/2024	12/31/2023	12/31/2022	12/31/2021	12/31/2020	12/31/2019
Filing Date	10/29/2025	2/26/2025	2/29/2024	2/27/2023	3/1/2022	3/8/2021	3/6/2020
Key Financials
Total Revenue	2,113	2,099	1,778	1,758	1,403	976	792
EBITDA	445	482	359	361	231	126	74
Operating Income	439	477	355	359	228	122	71
Net Income	339	382	285	292	190	114	59
EPS	7.62	8.51	6.20	6.07	3.75	2.25	1.16
Growth Rates
Total Revenue Growth	6.6%	18.1%	1.1%	25.3%	43.7%	23.3%	26.9%
EBITDA Growth	1.3%	34.3%	-0.7%	56.8%	82.8%	69.6%	-3.5%
Operating Income Growth	1.2%	34.3%	-1.1%	57.6%	86.0%	71.8%	-3.9%
Net Income Growth	-3.5%	34.1%	-2.5%	53.5%	67.3%	93.8%	13.6%
Margins
EBITDA Margin	21.0%	23.0%	20.2%	20.6%	16.4%	12.9%	9.4%
Operating Income Margin	20.8%	22.7%	20.0%	20.4%	16.2%	12.5%	9.0%
Net Income Margin	16.0%	18.2%	16.0%	16.6%	13.6%	11.6%	7.4%
Cash & Debt
Total Cash	142	142	180	77	77	19	33
Total Debt	348	345	355	371	340	222	242
Net Debt / (Cash)	206	203	175	295	262	203	208
Cash Flows
Net Cash from Operations	162	26	213	91	-92	35	-22
Free Cash from Operations	158	22	206	89	-94	32	-25
Returns to Shareholders
Dividends	3	3	3	3	-0	-0	-0
Share Repurchases	61	48	46	101	-0	-0	2

$ Mil \| FY: 12/31	2025Q3	2025Q2	2025Q1	2024Q4	2024Q3	2024Q2	2024Q1	2023Q4	2023Q3	2023Q2	2023Q1	2022Q4
Period End	9/30/2025	6/30/2025	3/31/2025	12/31/2024	9/30/2024	6/30/2024	3/31/2024	12/31/2023	9/30/2023	6/30/2023	3/31/2023	12/31/2022
Filing Date	10/29/2025	7/30/2025	4/30/2025	2/26/2025	10/30/2024	7/31/2024	5/1/2024	2/29/2024	10/31/2023	8/2/2023	5/3/2023	2/27/2023
Key Financials Quarterly
Total Revenue	499	549	498	567	524	561	447	450	419	456	452	431
Ebitda	99	109	102	135	115	133	99	92	93	95	79	68
Operating Income	97	108	101	133	114	132	98	91	92	94	79	68
Net Income	78	82	75	104	89	105	83	73	72	75	64	56
EPS	1.77	1.86	1.67	2.32	1.99	2.34	1.84	1.60	1.58	1.64	1.38	1.19
Key Financials TTM
Total Revenue TTM	2,113	2,138	2,149	2,099	1,982	1,877	1,773	1,778	1,758	1,747	1,816	1,758
Ebitda TTM	445	461	485	482	439	417	378	359	335	333	366	361
Operating Income TTM	439	456	480	477	434	413	374	355	332	330	364	359
Net Income TTM	339	350	373	382	351	334	304	285	267	269	295	292
Growth Rates Quarterly
Total Revenue Growth	-4.7%	-2.0%	11.2%	26.0%	25.0%	22.9%	-1.0%	4.5%	2.7%	-13.1%	14.8%	-4.7%
EBITDA Growth	-14.1%	-18.4%	3.5%	46.6%	23.8%	41.0%	24.4%	34.1%	2.6%	-25.9%	6.3%	-7.9%
Operating Income Growth	-14.5%	-18.4%	3.3%	47.0%	23.5%	40.9%	24.2%	33.7%	2.3%	-26.3%	6.2%	-7.9%
Net Income Growth	-12.6%	-22.2%	-9.9%	42.2%	23.5%	40.0%	29.8%	31.5%	-1.9%	-25.7%	4.2%	-12.5%
Margins Quarterly
EBITDA Margin	19.8%	19.8%	20.6%	23.7%	22.0%	23.8%	22.1%	20.4%	22.2%	20.7%	17.6%	15.9%
Operating Income Margin	19.5%	19.6%	20.3%	23.5%	21.7%	23.6%	21.8%	20.1%	22.0%	20.5%	17.4%	15.7%
Net Income Margin	15.6%	14.9%	15.1%	18.3%	17.0%	18.8%	18.6%	16.2%	17.2%	16.5%	14.2%	12.9%
Cash & Debt
Total Cash	142	112	103	142	80	170	221	180	304	291	177	77
Total Debt	348	299	296	345	306	318	317	355	355	351	351	371
Net Debt / (Cash)	206	187	193	203	226	148	96	175	51	60	174	295
Cash Flows Quarterly
FCF from Operations	-10	75	69	29	-6	2	1	-19	23	55	155	59
Cash Flows TTM
FCF from Operations TTM	162	166	94	26	-22	6	60	213	292	251	259	91
Returns to Shareholders Quarterly
Dividends	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
Share Repurchases	-0	44	17	0	5	39	4	18	0	13	15	-0
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) Quarterly
ROIC	60.9%	71.6%	69.4%	89.7%	71.0%	107.0%	77.4%	59.8%	81.3%	79.9%	54.1%	35.3%
Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) TTM
ROIC TTM	70.6%	76.9%	85.3%	78.3%	67.5%	80.6%	74.1%	58.2%	73.0%	71.8%	63.4%	47.2%

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020
Builder operations Central	1,271	1,181	940	645	397
Builder operations Southeast	499	530	398	287	364
Land Development	8	46	65	43	31
Total	1,778	1,758	1,403	976	792

Price Behavior

Price Behavior

Market Price	$62.92
Market Cap ($ Bil)	2.7
First Trading Date	06/14/2007
Distance from 52W High	-18.7%
	50 Days	200 Days
DMA Price	$65.38	$64.14
DMA Trend	up	down
Distance from DMA	-3.8%	-1.9%
	3M	1YR
Volatility	35.1%	35.8%
Downside Capture	86.41	96.42
Upside Capture	21.41	90.62
Correlation (SPY)	21.3%	37.2%

GRBK Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

	1M	2M	3M	6M	1Y	3Y
Beta	0.87	0.56	0.69	1.00	0.72	0.99
Up Beta	1.37	1.10	1.41	1.51	0.70	0.90
Down Beta	0.22	0.47	0.42	0.28	0.28	0.62
Up Capture	111%	11%	43%	116%	92%	259%
Bmk +ve Days	12	25	38	73	141	426
Stock +ve Days	10	20	31	64	122	387
Down Capture	66%	75%	77%	114%	108%	104%
Bmk -ve Days	7	16	24	52	107	323
Stock -ve Days	8	20	30	59	124	361

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively

Based On 1-Year Data

		Comparison of GRBK With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
	GRBK	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	7.3%	7.8%	18.8%	72.9%	9.0%	3.7%	-11.4%
Annualized Volatility	35.7%	24.3%	19.5%	19.2%	15.3%	17.2%	35.0%
Sharpe Ratio	0.26	0.25	0.76	2.72	0.36	0.05	-0.14
Correlation With Other Assets		48.2%	37.2%	-5.2%	-2.1%	55.4%	25.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Based On 5-Year Data

		Comparison of GRBK With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
	GRBK	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	22.2%	9.9%	14.8%	18.9%	11.8%	4.7%	35.5%
Annualized Volatility	44.8%	23.8%	17.1%	15.5%	18.7%	18.9%	48.9%
Sharpe Ratio	0.60	0.38	0.70	0.98	0.51	0.16	0.62
Correlation With Other Assets		50.1%	49.5%	11.3%	7.7%	52.5%	22.8%

Based On 10-Year Data

		Comparison of GRBK With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
	GRBK	Sector ETF	Equity	Gold	Commodities	Real Estate	Bitcoin
Annualized Return	24.3%	13.2%	14.8%	15.1%	6.8%	5.4%	69.1%
Annualized Volatility	44.4%	22.0%	18.0%	14.8%	17.6%	20.8%	55.8%
Sharpe Ratio	0.65	0.55	0.71	0.85	0.31	0.23	0.90
Correlation With Other Assets		49.3%	48.1%	5.7%	15.9%	46.7%	13.9%

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date	11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity	1,653,361
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025	3.7%
Average Daily Volume	232,797
Days-to-Cover Short Interest	7.10
Basic Shares Quantity	43,541,000
Short % of Basic Shares	3.8%

Returns Analyses

	Title
0	How Low Can Green Brick Partners Stock Really Go?

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

	Forward Returns
Earnings Date	1D Returns	5D Returns	21D Returns
10/29/2025	2.5%	-2.1%	4.1%
7/30/2025	-2.9%	2.5%	9.6%
2/26/2025	5.8%	4.6%	2.9%
10/30/2024	-9.4%	-5.8%	-6.2%
7/31/2024	-0.4%	-8.3%	6.4%
2/29/2024	-6.6%	-10.0%	3.1%
8/2/2023	-7.1%	-4.7%	-10.9%
2/27/2023	2.0%	5.8%	12.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS
# Positive	7	6	10
# Negative	10	11	7
Median Positive	4.3%	5.2%	6.7%
Median Negative	-5.8%	-6.7%	-10.9%
Max Positive	13.6%	18.0%	15.9%
Max Negative	-10.9%	-16.5%	-34.8%

	Forward Returns
10/29/2025	2.5%	-2.1%	4.1%
7/30/2025	-2.9%	2.5%	9.6%
2/26/2025	5.8%	4.6%	2.9%
10/30/2024	-9.4%	-5.8%	-6.2%
7/31/2024	-0.4%	-8.3%	6.4%
2/29/2024	-6.6%	-10.0%	3.1%
8/2/2023	-7.1%	-4.7%	-10.9%
2/27/2023	2.0%	5.8%	12.4%
11/2/2022	-6.1%	-8.2%	10.2%
8/3/2022	13.6%	11.4%	-9.0%
3/1/2022	2.7%	-6.7%	-13.4%
11/2/2021	-4.6%	-0.5%	4.4%
8/3/2021	-5.5%	-1.4%	-0.7%
5/4/2021	-10.9%	-16.4%	-16.7%
8/4/2020	4.7%	2.1%	7.0%
3/3/2020	-1.0%	-16.5%	-34.8%
11/7/2019	4.3%	18.0%	15.9%
SUMMARY STATS
# Positive	7	6	10
# Negative	10	11	7
Median Positive	4.3%	5.2%	6.7%
Median Negative	-5.8%	-6.7%	-10.9%
Max Positive	13.6%	18.0%	15.9%
Max Negative	-10.9%	-16.5%	-34.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report Date	Filing Date	Filing
9302025	10292025	10-Q 9/30/2025
6302025	7302025	10-Q 6/30/2025
3312025	4302025	10-Q 3/31/2025
12312024	2262025	10-K 12/31/2024
9302024	10302024	10-Q 9/30/2024
6302024	7312024	10-Q 6/30/2024
3312024	5012024	10-Q 3/31/2024
12312023	2292024	10-K 12/31/2023
9302023	10312023	10-Q 9/30/2023
6302023	8022023	10-Q 6/30/2023
3312023	5032023	10-Q 3/31/2023
12312022	2272023	10-K 12/31/2022
9302022	11022022	10-Q 9/30/2022
6302022	8032022	10-Q 6/30/2022
3312022	5032022	10-Q 3/31/2022
12312021	3012022	10-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

	Owner	Title	Filing Date	Action	Price	Shares	Transacted Value	Value of Held Shares	Form
0	Press Richard S		8202025	Sell	69.75	3,000	209,250	5,999,058	Form
1	Dolson Jed	President and COO	8142025	Sell	66.76	20,000	1,335,200	18,265,870	Form

External Quote Links

0	Y Finance	Barrons
1	TradingView	Morningstar
2	SeekingAlpha	ValueLine
3	Motley Fool	Robinhood
4	CNBC	Etrade
5	MarketWatch	Unusual Whales
6	YCharts	Perplexity Finance
7	FinViz

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Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Market Price (12/24/2025): $62.94 | Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Market Price (12/24/2025): $62.94Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GRBK Stock

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

Market Drivers

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

How Low Can It Go

In The Past

Preserve Wealth

Asset Allocation

About Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

Interactive Breakdown

Better Bets than Green Brick Partners (GRBK)

INDUSTRY: Homebuilding

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/S (Values for GRBK: 6.1% | 1.3x)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/Op Inc (Values for GRBK: 6.1% | 6.2x)

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for GRBK: 6.6%)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for GRBK: 6.1%)

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for GRBK: 20.8%)

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.7%)

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.5%)

Higher Total Yield (Value for GRBK: 12.4%)

SECTOR: Consumer Discretionary

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/S (Values for GRBK: 6.1% | 1.3x)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/Op Inc (Values for GRBK: 6.1% | 6.2x)

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for GRBK: 6.6%)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for GRBK: 6.1%)

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for GRBK: 20.8%)

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.7%)

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.5%)

Higher Total Yield (Value for GRBK: 12.4%)

All Other Sectors

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/S (Values for GRBK: 6.1% | 1.3x)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg | Lower P/Op Inc (Values for GRBK: 6.1% | 6.2x)

Higher Rev Chg LTM (Value for GRBK: 6.6%)

Higher Rev Chg 3Y Avg (Value for GRBK: 6.1%)

Higher Op Mgn LTM (Value for GRBK: 20.8%)

Higher CFO/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.7%)

Higher FCF/Rev LTM (Value for GRBK: 7.5%)

Higher Total Yield (Value for GRBK: 12.4%)

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Financials

Market Price (12/24/2025): $62.94 | Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Market Price (12/24/2025): $62.94
Market Cap: $2.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding