Tearsheet

Toll Brothers (TOL)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $138.77 | Market Cap: $13.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Toll Brothers (TOL)


Market Price (12/23/2025): $138.77
Market Cap: $13.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 7.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.1%
Key risks
TOL key risks include [1] potential margin erosion and impairments tied to its strategy of increasing speculative home inventory.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 7.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -5.1%
5 Key risks
TOL key risks include [1] potential margin erosion and impairments tied to its strategy of increasing speculative home inventory.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TOL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining the stock movement for Toll Brothers (TOL) from August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025: 1. Toll Brothers Announced Q4 FY2025 Financial Results

Toll Brothers reported its fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 results on December 8, 2025. The company announced earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $4.58, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $4.88. However, its revenue for the quarter was $3.42 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $3.32 billion and representing a 2.7% increase year-over-year. 2. Strategic Exit from Multifamily Development Business

In September 2025, Toll Brothers announced its intention to exit the multifamily development business, beginning with the sale of interests in approximately half of its Apartment Living portfolio to Kennedy Wilson for about $380 million. This transaction was substantially completed in December 2025, allowing the company to focus on its core luxury homebuilding business. Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 2.7% change in TOL stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 3.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
922202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)135.96139.662.72%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10876.7910966.720.83%
Net Income Margin (%)12.64%12.28%-2.89%
P/E Multiple9.7310.043.13%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)98.4396.761.70%
Cumulative Contribution2.70%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TOL2.7% 
Market (SPY)2.7%36.8%
Sector (XLY)1.9%53.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 24.7% change in TOL stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 23.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
623202512222025Change
Stock Price ($)112.03139.6624.66%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10659.6110966.722.88%
Net Income Margin (%)12.95%12.28%-5.17%
P/E Multiple8.1110.0423.77%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)99.8996.763.14%
Cumulative Contribution24.54%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TOL24.7% 
Market (SPY)14.4%32.0%
Sector (XLY)14.3%51.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.3% change in TOL stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 24.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1222202412222025Change
Stock Price ($)124.39139.6612.28%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10846.7410966.721.11%
Net Income Margin (%)14.49%12.28%-15.24%
P/E Multiple8.0510.0424.63%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)101.7296.764.87%
Cumulative Contribution12.01%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TOL12.3% 
Market (SPY)16.9%47.0%
Sector (XLY)7.8%59.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 183.0% change in TOL stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 131.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1223202212222025Change
Stock Price ($)49.35139.66183.02%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10275.5610966.726.73%
Net Income Margin (%)12.52%12.28%-1.93%
P/E Multiple4.3310.04131.71%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)112.9296.7614.31%
Cumulative Contribution177.22%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025
ReturnCorrelation
TOL37.0% 
Market (SPY)47.7%45.8%
Sector (XLY)38.4%53.9%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TOL Return12%68%-30%109%23%12%279%
Peers Return21%46%-18%79%5%-3%163%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%113%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TOL Win Rate67%83%42%83%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate68%73%38%58%62%40% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TOL Max Drawdown-65%-3%-43%0%-6%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-51%-6%-41%-0%-6%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, TMHC. See TOL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTOLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-46.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven235 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven256.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven189 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-44.9%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven825 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,287 days1,480 days

Compare to DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, J

In The Past

Toll Brothers's stock fell -46.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -46.0% loss requires a 85.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Toll Brothers (TOL)

Toll Brothers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, builds, markets, sells, and arranges finance for a range of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Traditional Home Building and City Living. It also designs, builds, markets, and sells condominiums through Toll Brothers City Living. In addition, the company develops, owns, and operates golf courses and country clubs; develops and sells land; and develops, operates, and rents apartments, as well as provides various interior fit-out options, such as flooring, wall tile, plumbing, cabinets, fixtures, appliances, lighting, and home-automation and security technologies. Further, it owns and operates architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, insurance, smart home technology, landscaping, lumber distribution, house component assembly, and manufacturing operations. The company serves move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. It has a strategic partnership with Equity Residential to develop new rental apartment communities in the United States markets. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Fort Washington, Pennsylvania.

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Here are a few analogies for Toll Brothers (TOL):

  • The Mercedes-Benz of homebuilders
  • The Ritz-Carlton of residential development

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  • Luxury Single-Family Homes: Toll Brothers designs, builds, and sells spacious, high-end detached homes primarily in affluent suburban communities.
  • Luxury Townhomes & Condominiums: The company constructs premium attached housing options, including multi-story townhomes and units within multi-family condominium buildings, often in desirable urban or suburban areas.
  • Active Adult (55+) Communities: Toll Brothers develops and sells homes within age-restricted communities specifically tailored for adults aged 55 and over, featuring specialized amenities and lifestyles.
  • Urban High-Rise Condominiums: They build and sell luxury condominium units in high-rise buildings located in prime metropolitan city centers.
  • Luxury Rental Apartment Communities: Through its apartment living division, Toll Brothers develops and builds upscale multi-family rental properties, which are either held for lease or sold to institutional partners.

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Toll Brothers (symbol: TOL) primarily sells its luxury homes and communities to **individual customers** rather than to other companies.

The company serves the following categories of individual customers:

  1. Affluent Individual Homebuyers: This is Toll Brothers' core customer base. These are typically high-net-worth individuals, couples, or families seeking a primary residence. They are often move-up buyers, empty-nesters, or those relocating for lifestyle reasons, who prioritize luxury features, customizable options, larger homes, and communities with premium amenities such such as clubhouses, pools, and fitness centers in desirable suburban or urban-adjacent locations.

  2. Active Adult (55+) Homebuyers: Through their dedicated "Toll Brothers Active Adult" division, they cater to individuals aged 55 and older. These customers are typically empty-nesters or retirees looking for age-restricted communities that offer a low-maintenance lifestyle, often with extensive community amenities like golf courses, clubhouses, fitness centers, and social activities. They seek homes designed for ease of living, often with first-floor primary suites.

  3. Urban Luxury Condominium Buyers: Via their "Toll Brothers City Living" division, the company serves affluent individuals and couples seeking high-rise condominiums in major urban centers. These customers prioritize prime locations, luxury finishes, concierge services, and sophisticated building amenities such as rooftop terraces, fitness centers, and resident lounges, often appealing to professionals or those seeking an upscale urban lifestyle without the maintenance of a single-family home.

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Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Doug Yearley joined Toll Brothers in 1990 and has held various management positions, specializing in land acquisitions and project management. He became an officer of the Company in 1994, was promoted to Chief Executive Officer in June 2010, and was elected Chairman of the Board in October 2018, succeeding founder Bob Toll. In 2024, Barron's magazine recognized him as one of the 25 Top CEOs. Yearley holds a Bachelor of Science degree from Cornell University and a Juris Doctor degree from Rutgers Law School.

Gregg Ziegler Chief Financial Officer

Gregg Ziegler was promoted to Chief Financial Officer in November 2025, after more than 23 years with Toll Brothers. He began his career at the company in 2002 as an Assistant Finance Director. Prior to joining Toll Brothers, Ziegler was a principal at Katalyst, a venture capital and private equity firm. From 1997 to 2000, he served as an associate with Berwind Corporation, a family-owned investment management company, and worked at PricewaterhouseCoopers from 1995 to 1997. He holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting and a Master of Business Administration from Villanova University.

Robert Parahus President and Chief Operating Officer

Rob Parahus serves as President and Chief Operating Officer of Toll Brothers. He was promoted to this role in 2020.

Wendy Marlett Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer

Wendy Marlett joined Toll Brothers in June 2019 as a Senior Vice President and was appointed Chief Marketing Officer in November 2019, later becoming Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer in December 2021. She is responsible for overseeing the company's Marketing, Sales, Design Studio, and Customer Experience Departments. Before Toll Brothers, she was Chief Marketing Officer and Executive Vice President of Sales, Marketing, and Communications at CalAtlantic and its predecessor, Standard Pacific, from 2010 to 2018, and held a similar role at KB Home from 1995 to 2010.

Timothy Hoban Senior Vice President and General Counsel

Timothy Hoban began his career with Toll Brothers in 2005 as Regional Counsel in California. He moved to Pennsylvania in 2011 to take on a leadership role in the Legal Department as Chief Litigation Counsel. In 2020, Hoban was appointed General Counsel, overseeing all of Toll Brothers' legal affairs, including corporate governance, litigation, corporate transactions, and regulatory compliance.

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The key risks to Toll Brothers' business operations are primarily centered around the broader economic and housing market conditions, the volatility of construction costs and supply chains, and the inherent risks associated with its strategy regarding speculative home inventory.

  1. Economic and Housing Market Conditions: Toll Brothers' business is highly sensitive to overall economic conditions and the state of the housing market. Factors such as fluctuating interest rates directly impact housing affordability for potential buyers and borrowing costs for the company, which can significantly influence demand and sales volume. Economic downturns, employment levels, and consumer confidence also play a crucial role in determining market demand for luxury homes. Recent reports indicate that disappointing earnings and stock performance have been attributed to increased pressure from higher interest rates and strained housing affordability.
  2. Cost and Availability of Materials, Labor, and Supply Chain Disruptions: The homebuilding industry relies heavily on the availability and stable pricing of essential raw materials like lumber, other building components, and skilled labor. Disruptions in the supply chain or significant increases in the cost of these inputs can lead to project delays, increased construction costs, and ultimately, pressure on profit margins.
  3. Speculative Home Inventory and Margin Pressures: Toll Brothers has a strategy that includes increasing the number of speculative homes (homes built without a buyer already in place). While this can accelerate sales, it introduces significant inventory risk if market conditions soften or demand unexpectedly declines. A weakened demand environment could necessitate price reductions and increased incentives to sell these homes, directly leading to margin erosion and potential impairments.

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Toll Brothers (TOL) operates in several key markets for its main products and services, primarily within the United States.

Main Products/Services and Addressable Markets:

  • Luxury Home Building (Single-Family, Attached Homes, Condominiums): The U.S. luxury residential real estate market is valued at approximately USD 289.38 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 338.57 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.19% over 2025-2030. Another report estimates the global ready-to-move-in luxury home market at US$ 580 billion in 2024, with the North American market expected to be valued at US$ 149.1 billion in 2024. This global market is projected to reach US$ 1,173 billion by the end of 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 7.3% between 2024 and 2034. Key cities such as New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Miami, and Washington D.C. are prominent within this market.
  • Active-Adult (55+) Communities: The U.S. active adults (55+) community market was estimated at USD 635.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 906.6 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 4.02% from 2025 to 2033. This market was also estimated at USD 587.7 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.02% by 2030.
  • Master-Planned Communities: null
  • For-Rent Apartment Communities and Luxury Student Housing: null
  • Ancillary Businesses (e.g., Mortgage, Architectural, Engineering, Land Development): null

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Toll Brothers (TOL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies, including increasing home deliveries, maintaining strong average selling prices, expanding into new markets, and focusing on its affluent customer base.

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:

  • Increased Home Deliveries and Community Count Expansion: Toll Brothers anticipates increasing its number of home deliveries, which directly correlates with revenue growth. The company expects to deliver approximately 11,200 homes for the full fiscal year 2025. This growth in deliveries is supported by an expected increase in community count, projected to be between 440 and 450 by the end of the fiscal year, which is intended to support 8-10% year-over-year growth.
  • Maintaining Strong Average Selling Prices (ASP) for Luxury Homes: The company emphasizes a strategy of "strategically balancing price and pace in order to maximize profitability and returns." Toll Brothers projects an average selling price for homes delivered in fiscal year 2025 to be between $950,000 and $960,000. The sustained demand for luxury homes and the company's focus on affluent buyers enable it to maintain high average selling prices, contributing significantly to overall revenue.
  • Geographic Expansion and Diversification of Product Offerings: Toll Brothers is actively expanding its national footprint across various states and markets. The company maintains operations in 24 states and over 60 markets, strategically positioning itself for continued growth. Recent announcements highlight new luxury community launches across key U.S. markets, including Arizona, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Oregon, and Nevada, which aim to address diverse buyer segments through premium offerings. This expansion into new geographies and the diversification of product lines are integral to widening its customer base and increasing revenue streams.
  • Resilience and Focus on the Affluent Customer Base: Despite broader "affordability pressures and uncertain economic conditions," Toll Brothers has observed the "resilience of our luxury business and more affluent customer base." The company's core focus remains on affluent buyers, allowing it to capture premium market share and sustain demand for its luxury homes, thereby driving revenue.

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Share Repurchases

  • Toll Brothers repurchased approximately $627.9 million of common stock in fiscal year 2024.
  • In fiscal year 2023, the company repurchased approximately $565.9 million of stock.
  • A new 20 million share repurchase authorization was approved in December 2023, replacing a previous authorization under which approximately $800 million of shares were repurchased between May 2022 and December 2023. The company reduced its outstanding share count by nearly 5% in fiscal 2024.

Share Issuance

  • While share repurchases have significantly reduced the outstanding share count, Toll Brothers issues shares primarily in the form of equity awards.
  • In fiscal year 2024, the estimated number of shares underlying performance-based Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) to be issued was 67,499, with a weighted-average fair value of $33.98 per share.
  • In fiscal year 2023, the estimated number of shares underlying performance-based RSUs to be issued was 126,068, with a weighted-average fair value of $34.70 per share.

Inbound Investments

  • No information was found regarding large inbound investments made in Toll Brothers by third-parties such as strategic partners or private equity firms.

Outbound Investments

  • Toll Brothers makes investments in unconsolidated entities, often for-rent apartment projects and high-rise urban luxury condominiums, with joint venture partners.
  • As of October 31, 2024, the company had investments of approximately $1.01 billion in these unconsolidated entities.
  • Commitments to invest or advance up to an additional $312.8 million to these entities were outstanding as of October 31, 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • Toll Brothers' primary capital allocation in this category is directed towards land acquisition and development for its homebuilding operations.
  • Significant land acquisitions in fiscal year 2024 included approximately $463.2 million in the first quarter, $472.0 million in the second quarter, and $258.6 million in the fourth quarter for purchasing lots. In fiscal year 2023, the company spent approximately $430.9 million in the fourth quarter on land to purchase approximately 3,352 lots.
  • Expenditures for property, construction, and office equipment (net) amounted to $321.166 million in fiscal year 2024 and $323.990 million in fiscal year 2023. The company plans to continue investing in land to grow its community count in fiscal year 2025, providing a foundation for growth into fiscal year 2026 and beyond.

Better Bets than Toll Brothers (TOL)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to TOL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
10.7%10.7%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.9%3.9%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.8%3.8%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.9%19.9%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
TOL_9302023_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%09302023TOLToll BrothersQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
75.8%111.9%-7.6%
TOL_5312019_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312019TOLToll BrothersDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.2%-5.8%-60.0%

Recent Active Movers

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Peer Comparisons for Toll Brothers

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TOLDHILENPHMNVRTMHCMedian
NameToll Bro.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Taylor M. 
Mkt Price139.66145.38106.99119.117,397.0758.86129.38
Mkt Cap13.543.027.323.421.35.822.3
Rev LTM10,96734,25034,76617,62310,4768,37814,295
Op Inc LTM1,7214,4243,4703,3951,7821,2272,589
FCF LTM1,0263,284-7131,5521,2925701,159
FCF 3Y Avg1,0523,1542,7831,8751,4305711,652
CFO LTM1,1123,421-5681,6681,3196091,216
CFO 3Y Avg1,1303,3052,9181,9831,4576121,720

Growth & Margins

TOLDHILENPHMNVRTMHCMedian
NameToll Bro.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Taylor M. 
Rev Chg LTM1.1%-6.9%-4.7%1.8%3.4%7.0%1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.3%0.9%3.0%5.4%1.4%0.7%1.9%
Rev Chg Q2.7%-3.2%-6.4%-1.6%-4.5%-1.2%-2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%-0.9%-1.7%-0.4%-1.2%-0.3%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM15.7%12.9%10.0%19.3%17.0%14.6%15.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg17.3%15.4%13.6%20.6%18.4%14.9%16.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-1.2%-1.5%-0.7%-0.6%-0.4%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM10.1%10.0%-1.6%9.5%12.6%7.3%9.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.7%9.4%8.4%11.6%14.4%7.6%10.0%
FCF/Rev LTM9.4%9.6%-2.1%8.8%12.3%6.8%9.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%8.9%8.0%10.9%14.2%7.1%9.5%

Valuation

TOLDHILENPHMNVRTMHCMedian
NameToll Bro.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Taylor M. 
Mkt Cap13.543.027.323.421.35.822.3
P/S1.21.30.81.32.00.71.2
P/EBIT7.99.77.96.811.24.77.9
P/E10.012.010.28.914.86.810.1
P/CFO12.112.6-48.114.016.19.512.4
Total Yield10.3%9.5%11.7%12.0%6.7%14.7%11.0%
Dividend Yield0.4%1.2%1.9%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.6%7.1%7.3%9.2%6.3%11.1%8.2%
D/E0.20.10.20.10.00.40.2
Net D/E0.10.10.10.0-0.00.30.1

Returns

TOLDHILENPHMNVRTMHCMedian
NameToll Bro.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Taylor M. 
1M Rtn6.1%-0.9%-13.1%-0.8%0.1%-3.1%-0.9%
3M Rtn2.7%-11.2%-11.9%-7.6%-6.7%-10.8%-9.2%
6M Rtn24.7%13.6%-2.5%14.0%0.8%-3.3%7.2%
12M Rtn12.3%5.4%-21.2%8.6%-10.6%-1.5%2.0%
3Y Rtn183.0%67.9%23.3%166.4%59.2%91.5%79.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.4%0.7%-13.2%-0.8%-1.9%-3.5%-1.4%
3M Excs Rtn-0.9%-15.6%-16.2%-11.6%-10.6%-14.1%-12.8%
6M Excs Rtn10.9%-0.1%-16.3%0.4%-11.3%-17.2%-5.7%
12M Excs Rtn-5.1%-13.4%-42.6%-9.3%-27.1%-20.9%-17.1%
3Y Excs Rtn103.5%-11.1%-58.1%82.7%-23.8%11.4%0.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Home building10,6039,8479,611  
Corporate and other2,7652,6802,6772,8772,815
City Living   333540
Traditional Home Building   8,3287,711
Total13,36812,52712,28911,53811,066


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$139.66 
Market Cap ($ Bil)13.7 
First Trading Date12/30/1987 
Distance from 52W High-5.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$135.54$121.51
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA3.0%14.9%
 3M1YR
Volatility29.3%34.9%
Downside Capture91.97112.30
Upside Capture93.10106.57
Correlation (SPY)35.3%47.2%
TOL Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.070.820.871.010.861.06
Up Beta0.951.001.421.430.811.03
Down Beta0.120.790.660.660.540.73
Up Capture159%76%68%129%94%257%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days8213066124404
Down Capture104%83%91%81%116%104%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days12213360125344

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of TOL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 TOLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return6.1%3.1%14.7%67.3%6.8%-0.5%-16.6%
Annualized Volatility35.1%24.7%19.7%19.3%15.2%17.6%35.4%
Sharpe Ratio0.220.070.572.540.23-0.18-0.25
Correlation With Other Assets 60.8%48.4%0.3%3.7%58.6%28.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of TOL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 TOLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return27.0%10.2%15.0%18.9%11.8%5.1%35.8%
Annualized Volatility36.2%23.8%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.9%
Sharpe Ratio0.750.390.710.980.510.180.63
Correlation With Other Assets 59.7%57.0%12.0%7.9%57.7%23.6%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of TOL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 TOLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return16.6%13.3%14.9%14.9%6.7%5.5%69.9%
Annualized Volatility41.0%22.0%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.510.560.710.840.300.230.90
Correlation With Other Assets 57.9%55.4%8.6%17.9%55.0%15.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,795,164
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.4%
Average Daily Volume1,077,994
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.52
Basic Shares Quantity96,758,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/8/2025-2.4%3.1% 
8/19/2025-0.6%4.2%5.8%
5/20/2025-0.5%-0.3%3.6%
2/18/2025-5.9%-6.1%-12.3%
12/9/2024-6.9%-14.0%-20.9%
8/20/20245.6%7.7%14.7%
5/21/2024-8.5%-9.0%-10.1%
2/20/20243.9%7.5%19.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131410
# Negative111014
Median Positive3.8%6.1%10.1%
Median Negative-5.9%-5.4%-7.8%
Max Positive8.0%12.0%19.4%
Max Negative-14.6%-14.0%-51.0%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251219202510-K 10/31/2025
7312025828202510-Q 7/31/2025
4302025529202510-Q 4/30/2025
1312025228202510-Q 1/31/2025
103120241220202410-K 10/31/2024
7312024904202410-Q 7/31/2024
4302024531202410-Q 4/30/2024
1312024301202410-Q 1/31/2024
103120231221202310-K 10/31/2023
7312023831202310-Q 7/31/2023
4302023601202310-Q 4/30/2023
1312023302202310-Q 1/31/2023
103120221219202210-K 10/31/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/31/2022
4302022602202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022303202210-Q 1/31/2022

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Yearley Douglas C. Jr.Chief Executive Officer9102025Sell148.0820,1452,983,10639,385,586Form
1Yearley Douglas C. Jr.Chief Executive Officer9022025Sell138.2625,0003,456,38539,557,220Form
2Pritchett Wendell E. 9022025Sell138.712,500346,7831,874,154Form
3Connor Martin P.Chief Financial Officer8282025Sell137.515,350735,6652,099,465Form
4Grubb Michael J.SVP & Chief Accounting Officer8252025Sell140.6350070,315272,682Form