Toll Brothers (TOL)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $138.77 | Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding
Toll Brothers (TOL)
Market Price (12/23/2025): $138.77Market Cap: $13.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Homebuilding
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 7.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.1% | Key risksTOL key risks include [1] potential margin erosion and impairments tied to its strategy of increasing speculative home inventory. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.2%, FCF Yield is 7.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -5.1% |
| Key risksTOL key risks include [1] potential margin erosion and impairments tied to its strategy of increasing speculative home inventory. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the stock movement for Toll Brothers (TOL) from August 31, 2025, to December 23, 2025: 1. Toll Brothers Announced Q4 FY2025 Financial ResultsToll Brothers reported its fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 results on December 8, 2025. The company announced earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $4.58, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $4.88. However, its revenue for the quarter was $3.42 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $3.32 billion and representing a 2.7% increase year-over-year. 2. Strategic Exit from Multifamily Development Business
In September 2025, Toll Brothers announced its intention to exit the multifamily development business, beginning with the sale of interests in approximately half of its Apartment Living portfolio to Kennedy Wilson for about $380 million. This transaction was substantially completed in December 2025, allowing the company to focus on its core luxury homebuilding business. Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 2.7% change in TOL stock from 9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 3.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9222025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 135.96 | 139.66 | 2.72% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10876.79 | 10966.72 | 0.83% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.64% | 12.28% | -2.89% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.73 | 10.04 | 3.13% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 98.43 | 96.76 | 1.70% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 2.70% |
Market Drivers
9/22/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOL | 2.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 2.7% | 36.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.9% | 53.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.7% change in TOL stock from 6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 23.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6232025 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 112.03 | 139.66 | 24.66% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10659.61 | 10966.72 | 2.88% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.95% | 12.28% | -5.17% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.11 | 10.04 | 23.77% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 99.89 | 96.76 | 3.14% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.54% |
Market Drivers
6/23/2025 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOL | 24.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 14.4% | 32.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 14.3% | 51.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.3% change in TOL stock from 12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 24.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12222024 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 124.39 | 139.66 | 12.28% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10846.74 | 10966.72 | 1.11% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.49% | 12.28% | -15.24% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.05 | 10.04 | 24.63% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 101.72 | 96.76 | 4.87% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.01% |
Market Drivers
12/22/2024 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOL | 12.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.9% | 47.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.8% | 59.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 183.0% change in TOL stock from 12/23/2022 to 12/22/2025 was primarily driven by a 131.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12232022 | 12222025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 49.35 | 139.66 | 183.02% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 10275.56 | 10966.72 | 6.73% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.52% | 12.28% | -1.93% |
| P/E Multiple | 4.33 | 10.04 | 131.71% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 112.92 | 96.76 | 14.31% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 177.22% |
Market Drivers
12/23/2023 to 12/22/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| TOL | 37.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 47.7% | 45.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 38.4% | 53.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| TOL Return | 12% | 68% | -30% | 109% | 23% | 12% | 279% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 46% | -18% | 79% | 5% | -3% | 163% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 17% | 113% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| TOL Win Rate | 67% | 83% | 42% | 83% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 73% | 38% | 58% | 62% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| TOL Max Drawdown | -65% | -3% | -43% | 0% | -6% | -28% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -6% | -41% | -0% | -6% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, TMHC. See TOL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/22/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | TOL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -46.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 235 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -72.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 256.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 189 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 825 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -59.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 147.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,287 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, J
In The Past
Toll Brothers's stock fell -46.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/10/2021. A -46.0% loss requires a 85.2% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for Toll Brothers (TOL):
- The Mercedes-Benz of homebuilders
- The Ritz-Carlton of residential development
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- Luxury Single-Family Homes: Toll Brothers designs, builds, and sells spacious, high-end detached homes primarily in affluent suburban communities.
- Luxury Townhomes & Condominiums: The company constructs premium attached housing options, including multi-story townhomes and units within multi-family condominium buildings, often in desirable urban or suburban areas.
- Active Adult (55+) Communities: Toll Brothers develops and sells homes within age-restricted communities specifically tailored for adults aged 55 and over, featuring specialized amenities and lifestyles.
- Urban High-Rise Condominiums: They build and sell luxury condominium units in high-rise buildings located in prime metropolitan city centers.
- Luxury Rental Apartment Communities: Through its apartment living division, Toll Brothers develops and builds upscale multi-family rental properties, which are either held for lease or sold to institutional partners.
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```htmlToll Brothers (symbol: TOL) primarily sells its luxury homes and communities to **individual customers** rather than to other companies.
The company serves the following categories of individual customers:
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Affluent Individual Homebuyers: This is Toll Brothers' core customer base. These are typically high-net-worth individuals, couples, or families seeking a primary residence. They are often move-up buyers, empty-nesters, or those relocating for lifestyle reasons, who prioritize luxury features, customizable options, larger homes, and communities with premium amenities such such as clubhouses, pools, and fitness centers in desirable suburban or urban-adjacent locations.
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Active Adult (55+) Homebuyers: Through their dedicated "Toll Brothers Active Adult" division, they cater to individuals aged 55 and older. These customers are typically empty-nesters or retirees looking for age-restricted communities that offer a low-maintenance lifestyle, often with extensive community amenities like golf courses, clubhouses, fitness centers, and social activities. They seek homes designed for ease of living, often with first-floor primary suites.
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Urban Luxury Condominium Buyers: Via their "Toll Brothers City Living" division, the company serves affluent individuals and couples seeking high-rise condominiums in major urban centers. These customers prioritize prime locations, luxury finishes, concierge services, and sophisticated building amenities such as rooftop terraces, fitness centers, and resident lounges, often appealing to professionals or those seeking an upscale urban lifestyle without the maintenance of a single-family home.
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Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Doug Yearley joined Toll Brothers in 1990 and has held various management positions, specializing in land acquisitions and project management. He became an officer of the Company in 1994, was promoted to Chief Executive Officer in June 2010, and was elected Chairman of the Board in October 2018, succeeding founder Bob Toll. In 2024, Barron's magazine recognized him as one of the 25 Top CEOs. Yearley holds a Bachelor of Science degree from Cornell University and a Juris Doctor degree from Rutgers Law School.
Gregg Ziegler Chief Financial Officer
Gregg Ziegler was promoted to Chief Financial Officer in November 2025, after more than 23 years with Toll Brothers. He began his career at the company in 2002 as an Assistant Finance Director. Prior to joining Toll Brothers, Ziegler was a principal at Katalyst, a venture capital and private equity firm. From 1997 to 2000, he served as an associate with Berwind Corporation, a family-owned investment management company, and worked at PricewaterhouseCoopers from 1995 to 1997. He holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting and a Master of Business Administration from Villanova University.
Robert Parahus President and Chief Operating Officer
Rob Parahus serves as President and Chief Operating Officer of Toll Brothers. He was promoted to this role in 2020.
Wendy Marlett Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer
Wendy Marlett joined Toll Brothers in June 2019 as a Senior Vice President and was appointed Chief Marketing Officer in November 2019, later becoming Executive Vice President and Chief Marketing Officer in December 2021. She is responsible for overseeing the company's Marketing, Sales, Design Studio, and Customer Experience Departments. Before Toll Brothers, she was Chief Marketing Officer and Executive Vice President of Sales, Marketing, and Communications at CalAtlantic and its predecessor, Standard Pacific, from 2010 to 2018, and held a similar role at KB Home from 1995 to 2010.
Timothy Hoban Senior Vice President and General Counsel
Timothy Hoban began his career with Toll Brothers in 2005 as Regional Counsel in California. He moved to Pennsylvania in 2011 to take on a leadership role in the Legal Department as Chief Litigation Counsel. In 2020, Hoban was appointed General Counsel, overseeing all of Toll Brothers' legal affairs, including corporate governance, litigation, corporate transactions, and regulatory compliance.
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The key risks to Toll Brothers' business operations are primarily centered around the broader economic and housing market conditions, the volatility of construction costs and supply chains, and the inherent risks associated with its strategy regarding speculative home inventory.
- Economic and Housing Market Conditions: Toll Brothers' business is highly sensitive to overall economic conditions and the state of the housing market. Factors such as fluctuating interest rates directly impact housing affordability for potential buyers and borrowing costs for the company, which can significantly influence demand and sales volume. Economic downturns, employment levels, and consumer confidence also play a crucial role in determining market demand for luxury homes. Recent reports indicate that disappointing earnings and stock performance have been attributed to increased pressure from higher interest rates and strained housing affordability.
- Cost and Availability of Materials, Labor, and Supply Chain Disruptions: The homebuilding industry relies heavily on the availability and stable pricing of essential raw materials like lumber, other building components, and skilled labor. Disruptions in the supply chain or significant increases in the cost of these inputs can lead to project delays, increased construction costs, and ultimately, pressure on profit margins.
- Speculative Home Inventory and Margin Pressures: Toll Brothers has a strategy that includes increasing the number of speculative homes (homes built without a buyer already in place). While this can accelerate sales, it introduces significant inventory risk if market conditions soften or demand unexpectedly declines. A weakened demand environment could necessitate price reductions and increased incentives to sell these homes, directly leading to margin erosion and potential impairments.
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Toll Brothers (TOL) operates in several key markets for its main products and services, primarily within the United States.
Main Products/Services and Addressable Markets:
- Luxury Home Building (Single-Family, Attached Homes, Condominiums): The U.S. luxury residential real estate market is valued at approximately USD 289.38 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 338.57 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 3.19% over 2025-2030. Another report estimates the global ready-to-move-in luxury home market at US$ 580 billion in 2024, with the North American market expected to be valued at US$ 149.1 billion in 2024. This global market is projected to reach US$ 1,173 billion by the end of 2034, expanding at a CAGR of 7.3% between 2024 and 2034. Key cities such as New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Miami, and Washington D.C. are prominent within this market.
- Active-Adult (55+) Communities: The U.S. active adults (55+) community market was estimated at USD 635.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 906.6 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 4.02% from 2025 to 2033. This market was also estimated at USD 587.7 billion in 2022 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.02% by 2030.
- Master-Planned Communities: null
- For-Rent Apartment Communities and Luxury Student Housing: null
- Ancillary Businesses (e.g., Mortgage, Architectural, Engineering, Land Development): null
AI Analysis | Feedback
Toll Brothers (TOL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies, including increasing home deliveries, maintaining strong average selling prices, expanding into new markets, and focusing on its affluent customer base.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Increased Home Deliveries and Community Count Expansion: Toll Brothers anticipates increasing its number of home deliveries, which directly correlates with revenue growth. The company expects to deliver approximately 11,200 homes for the full fiscal year 2025. This growth in deliveries is supported by an expected increase in community count, projected to be between 440 and 450 by the end of the fiscal year, which is intended to support 8-10% year-over-year growth.
- Maintaining Strong Average Selling Prices (ASP) for Luxury Homes: The company emphasizes a strategy of "strategically balancing price and pace in order to maximize profitability and returns." Toll Brothers projects an average selling price for homes delivered in fiscal year 2025 to be between $950,000 and $960,000. The sustained demand for luxury homes and the company's focus on affluent buyers enable it to maintain high average selling prices, contributing significantly to overall revenue.
- Geographic Expansion and Diversification of Product Offerings: Toll Brothers is actively expanding its national footprint across various states and markets. The company maintains operations in 24 states and over 60 markets, strategically positioning itself for continued growth. Recent announcements highlight new luxury community launches across key U.S. markets, including Arizona, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Oregon, and Nevada, which aim to address diverse buyer segments through premium offerings. This expansion into new geographies and the diversification of product lines are integral to widening its customer base and increasing revenue streams.
- Resilience and Focus on the Affluent Customer Base: Despite broader "affordability pressures and uncertain economic conditions," Toll Brothers has observed the "resilience of our luxury business and more affluent customer base." The company's core focus remains on affluent buyers, allowing it to capture premium market share and sustain demand for its luxury homes, thereby driving revenue.
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Share Repurchases
- Toll Brothers repurchased approximately $627.9 million of common stock in fiscal year 2024.
- In fiscal year 2023, the company repurchased approximately $565.9 million of stock.
- A new 20 million share repurchase authorization was approved in December 2023, replacing a previous authorization under which approximately $800 million of shares were repurchased between May 2022 and December 2023. The company reduced its outstanding share count by nearly 5% in fiscal 2024.
Share Issuance
- While share repurchases have significantly reduced the outstanding share count, Toll Brothers issues shares primarily in the form of equity awards.
- In fiscal year 2024, the estimated number of shares underlying performance-based Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) to be issued was 67,499, with a weighted-average fair value of $33.98 per share.
- In fiscal year 2023, the estimated number of shares underlying performance-based RSUs to be issued was 126,068, with a weighted-average fair value of $34.70 per share.
Inbound Investments
- No information was found regarding large inbound investments made in Toll Brothers by third-parties such as strategic partners or private equity firms.
Outbound Investments
- Toll Brothers makes investments in unconsolidated entities, often for-rent apartment projects and high-rise urban luxury condominiums, with joint venture partners.
- As of October 31, 2024, the company had investments of approximately $1.01 billion in these unconsolidated entities.
- Commitments to invest or advance up to an additional $312.8 million to these entities were outstanding as of October 31, 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- Toll Brothers' primary capital allocation in this category is directed towards land acquisition and development for its homebuilding operations.
- Significant land acquisitions in fiscal year 2024 included approximately $463.2 million in the first quarter, $472.0 million in the second quarter, and $258.6 million in the fourth quarter for purchasing lots. In fiscal year 2023, the company spent approximately $430.9 million in the fourth quarter on land to purchase approximately 3,352 lots.
- Expenditures for property, construction, and office equipment (net) amounted to $321.166 million in fiscal year 2024 and $323.990 million in fiscal year 2023. The company plans to continue investing in land to grow its community count in fiscal year 2025, providing a foundation for growth into fiscal year 2026 and beyond.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to TOL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 10.7% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.9% | 3.9% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.9% | 19.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.5% | 7.5% | -1.6% |
| 09302023 | TOL | Toll Brothers | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 75.8% | 111.9% | -7.6% |
| 05312019 | TOL | Toll Brothers | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.2% | -5.8% | -60.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Toll Brothers
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 129.38 |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 |
| Rev LTM | 14,295 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,589 |
| FCF LTM | 1,159 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,652 |
| CFO LTM | 1,216 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,720 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 22.3 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 7.9 |
| P/E | 10.1 |
| P/CFO | 12.4 |
| Total Yield | 11.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 2.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 79.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -12.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $139.66 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 13.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 12/30/1987 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -5.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $135.54 | $121.51 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 3.0% | 14.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 29.3% | 34.9% |
| Downside Capture | 91.97 | 112.30 |
| Upside Capture | 93.10 | 106.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.3% | 47.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.07 | 0.82 | 0.87 | 1.01 | 0.86 | 1.06 |
| Up Beta | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.42 | 1.43 | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Down Beta | 0.12 | 0.79 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 0.73 |
| Up Capture | 159% | 76% | 68% | 129% | 94% | 257% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 21 | 30 | 66 | 124 | 404 |
| Down Capture | 104% | 83% | 91% | 81% | 116% | 104% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 21 | 33 | 60 | 125 | 344 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of TOL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 6.1% | 3.1% | 14.7% | 67.3% | 6.8% | -0.5% | -16.6% |
| Annualized Volatility | 35.1% | 24.7% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 35.4% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.22 | 0.07 | 0.57 | 2.54 | 0.23 | -0.18 | -0.25 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 60.8% | 48.4% | 0.3% | 3.7% | 58.6% | 28.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of TOL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 27.0% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% | 5.1% | 35.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 36.2% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.9% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.75 | 0.39 | 0.71 | 0.98 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 0.63 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 59.7% | 57.0% | 12.0% | 7.9% | 57.7% | 23.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of TOL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 16.6% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 69.9% |
| Annualized Volatility | 41.0% | 22.0% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.51 | 0.56 | 0.71 | 0.84 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 57.9% | 55.4% | 8.6% | 17.9% | 55.0% | 15.5% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/8/2025 | -2.4% | 3.1% | |
| 8/19/2025 | -0.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% |
| 5/20/2025 | -0.5% | -0.3% | 3.6% |
| 2/18/2025 | -5.9% | -6.1% | -12.3% |
| 12/9/2024 | -6.9% | -14.0% | -20.9% |
| 8/20/2024 | 5.6% | 7.7% | 14.7% |
| 5/21/2024 | -8.5% | -9.0% | -10.1% |
| 2/20/2024 | 3.9% | 7.5% | 19.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 14 | 10 |
| # Negative | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| Median Positive | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.9% | -5.4% | -7.8% |
| Max Positive | 8.0% | 12.0% | 19.4% |
| Max Negative | -14.6% | -14.0% | -51.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12192025 | 10-K 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 8282025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 5292025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 2282025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12202024 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9042024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 5312024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3012024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12212023 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6012023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3022023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12192022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6022022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3032022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. | Chief Executive Officer | 9102025 | Sell | 148.08 | 20,145 | 2,983,106 | 39,385,586 | Form |
| 1 | Yearley Douglas C. Jr. | Chief Executive Officer | 9022025 | Sell | 138.26 | 25,000 | 3,456,385 | 39,557,220 | Form |
| 2 | Pritchett Wendell E. | 9022025 | Sell | 138.71 | 2,500 | 346,783 | 1,874,154 | Form | |
| 3 | Connor Martin P. | Chief Financial Officer | 8282025 | Sell | 137.51 | 5,350 | 735,665 | 2,099,465 | Form |
| 4 | Grubb Michael J. | SVP & Chief Accounting Officer | 8252025 | Sell | 140.63 | 500 | 70,315 | 272,682 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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