Tearsheet

Toll Brothers (TOL)


Market Price (6/27/2026): $164.11 | Market Cap: $15.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Homebuilding

Toll Brothers (TOL)


Market Price (6/27/2026): $164.11
Market Cap: $15.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Homebuilding

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 7.8%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.0 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.6%

Key risks
TOL key risks include [1] potential margin erosion and impairments tied to its strategy of increasing speculative home inventory.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.2%, FCF Yield is 7.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Stock buyback support
Stock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.0 Bil
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable & Green Buildings, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Energy Efficient Building Materials, Renewable Integration in Buildings, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.0%, Dist 3Y High is -1.0%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.6%
7 Key risks
TOL key risks include [1] potential margin erosion and impairments tied to its strategy of increasing speculative home inventory.

TOL in ETFs

Weight = TOL's share of each fund

VTI0.02%
ITOT0.02%
IWB0.02%
IJH0.37%
VB0.16%
MDYV0.83%
IJJ0.77%
MDY0.41%
+18 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/26/2026

Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat and Robust Full-Year Guidance.

Toll Brothers reported strong financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended April 30, 2026, beating analyst expectations. The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.72, exceeding the consensus estimate of $2.58 by $0.14. Revenue also surpassed expectations, reaching $2.53 billion against an anticipated $2.42 billion. Home sales revenues of $2.51 billion were approximately $110 million above the midpoint of guidance. Furthermore, net signed contract value increased to $2.81 billion, up from $2.60 billion in fiscal Q2 2025, with contracted homes rising to 2,834 from 2,650 units year-over-year. Following this performance, Toll Brothers raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance for home deliveries to 10,400-10,700 units and increased the average delivered price range to $985,000-$1,000,000, along with an improved adjusted gross margin forecast of 26.1%.

2. Increased Shareholder Returns.

The company demonstrated a commitment to enhancing shareholder value through increased dividends and share repurchases. On March 10, 2026, Toll Brothers announced a 4% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, raising it from $0.25 to $0.26 per share. During fiscal Q2 2026, the company repurchased $175 million of its common stock, contributing to a year-to-date total of $226 million, and reaffirmed its target to repurchase $650 million of common stock for the full fiscal year 2026.

Show more
Updated on 6/26/2026

Toll Brothers (TOL) stock has gained about 5% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat and Robust Full-Year Guidance.

Toll Brothers reported strong financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026, which ended April 30, 2026, beating analyst expectations. The company announced an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.72, exceeding the consensus estimate of $2.58 by $0.14. Revenue also surpassed expectations, reaching $2.53 billion against an anticipated $2.42 billion. Home sales revenues of $2.51 billion were approximately $110 million above the midpoint of guidance. Furthermore, net signed contract value increased to $2.81 billion, up from $2.60 billion in fiscal Q2 2025, with contracted homes rising to 2,834 from 2,650 units year-over-year. Following this performance, Toll Brothers raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance for home deliveries to 10,400-10,700 units and increased the average delivered price range to $985,000-$1,000,000, along with an improved adjusted gross margin forecast of 26.1%.

2. Increased Shareholder Returns.

The company demonstrated a commitment to enhancing shareholder value through increased dividends and share repurchases. On March 10, 2026, Toll Brothers announced a 4% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, raising it from $0.25 to $0.26 per share. During fiscal Q2 2026, the company repurchased $175 million of its common stock, contributing to a year-to-date total of $226 million, and reaffirmed its target to repurchase $650 million of common stock for the full fiscal year 2026.

3. Strategic Expansion and Sustained Demand in the Luxury Housing Market.

Toll Brothers continued to expand its presence in the luxury housing market by announcing new community openings and model home grand openings across multiple states from March to June 2026. These included new developments in Redondo Beach, California; Rocklin, California; La Quinta, California; Ashburn, Virginia; Milpitas, California; Peapack, New Jersey; and Peoria, Arizona, with homes often priced well into the millions. This strategy, focusing on affluent buyers and offering extensive customization options (averaging $219,000 in design studio upgrades and options per home in fiscal Q2 2026), allowed the company to maintain strong demand and pricing power in its niche, even as the broader housing market showed signs of softening.

4. Positive Analyst Sentiment.

Following the company's strong fiscal Q1 2026 earnings and its strategic positioning, analyst sentiment turned increasingly positive. BofA Securities, for example, raised its price target for Toll Brothers from $160 to $180 while maintaining a "Buy" rating. Truist Securities also initiated coverage on the stock with a "Buy" rating and set a price target of $190, highlighting the company's strong market position in luxury homes.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 4.6% change in TOL stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)22820266262026Change
Stock Price ($)156.95164.144.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,25311,045-1.8%
Net Income Margin (%)12.3%11.7%-4.9%
P/E Multiple10.912.111.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)96950.6%
Cumulative Contribution4.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TOL4.6% 
Market (SPY)6.6%59.1%
Sector (XLY)-1.9%70.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.8% change in TOL stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020256262026Change
Stock Price ($)139.31164.1417.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,87711,0451.5%
Net Income Margin (%)12.6%11.7%-7.8%
P/E Multiple10.012.121.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)98953.5%
Cumulative Contribution17.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TOL17.8% 
Market (SPY)7.3%49.7%
Sector (XLY)-2.9%62.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 58.7% change in TOL stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 62.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120256262026Change
Stock Price ($)103.45164.1458.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,66011,0453.6%
Net Income Margin (%)12.9%11.7%-9.9%
P/E Multiple7.512.162.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)100955.0%
Cumulative Contribution58.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TOL58.7% 
Market (SPY)25.1%43.6%
Sector (XLY)7.8%57.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 148.7% change in TOL stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 118.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120236262026Change
Stock Price ($)66.01164.14148.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,26511,0457.6%
Net Income Margin (%)12.9%11.7%-9.8%
P/E Multiple5.512.1118.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)1119517.1%
Cumulative Contribution148.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/26/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TOL148.7% 
Market (SPY)81.3%47.8%
Sector (XLY)54.6%56.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TOL Return68%-30%109%23%8%20%296%
Peers Return46%-18%79%5%-5%8%129%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TOL Win Rate83%42%83%58%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate73%38%58%62%40%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TOL Max Drawdown-21%-43%-18%-26%-36%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-41%-22%-25%-23%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, TMHC. See TOL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTOLS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-15.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.0%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven9 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-41.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven224 days427 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.8%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven6 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-40.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven69.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven515 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-32.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven391 days15 days

Compare to DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, TMHC

In The Past

Toll Brothers's stock fell -21.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTOLS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-21.2%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven84 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-41.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.7%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven224 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-70.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven243.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven182 days140 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-40.9%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven69.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven515 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-32.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven47.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven391 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-35.0%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven64 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-29.7%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.3%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven554 days125 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-22.8%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.5%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven362 days47 days

Compare to DHI, LEN, PHM, NVR, TMHC

In The Past

Toll Brothers's stock fell -21.2% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 26.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Toll Brothers (TOL)

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Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) is a leading luxury homebuilder operating across the United States. The company specializes in designing, building, marketing, and selling a wide range of high-end detached and attached homes, including condominiums through its Toll Brothers City Living segment. They also facilitate the financing for these residential properties.

Beyond traditional home construction, Toll Brothers has diversified its operations. This includes developing, owning, and operating golf courses, country clubs, and rental apartment communities, often through strategic partnerships. The company also provides various interior fit-out options for homes and manages integrated architectural, engineering, mortgage, title, and manufacturing operations, ensuring a comprehensive service offering.

Toll Brothers primarily serves an affluent customer base within the luxury residential market. Their clientele includes move-up buyers, empty-nesters, active-adults, and individuals seeking second homes in prestigious communities throughout the U.S.

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Toll Brothers (TOL):

  • The Mercedes-Benz of homebuilders.
  • The Four Seasons of luxury residential communities.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Detached and Attached Luxury Homes: Designs, builds, markets, and sells a range of luxury detached and attached homes within residential communities.
  • Condominiums: Designs, builds, markets, and sells luxury condominiums, typically through its City Living segment.
  • Apartment Rentals: Develops, operates, and rents apartments in various communities, often through strategic partnerships.
  • Land Sales: Develops and sells land, often for residential or commercial use.
  • Golf Courses & Country Clubs: Develops, owns, and operates golf courses and country clubs, which often complement its luxury residential communities.
  • Mortgage and Home Financing Services: Arranges and provides mortgage and financing solutions for home buyers.
  • Title and Insurance Services: Offers title and insurance services to facilitate the home purchasing process.
  • Interior Design and Fit-Out Options: Provides a variety of interior design and fit-out options, including flooring, fixtures, appliances, and home automation technologies for new homes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Customers of Toll Brothers (TOL)

Toll Brothers primarily sells its luxury homes and condominiums directly to individual consumers. The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Move-up buyers
  • Empty-nester buyers
  • Active-adult buyers

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Douglas C. Yearley, Jr. joined Toll Brothers in 1990 and has served as Chief Executive Officer since June 2010 and Chairman of the Board since October 2018. He initially specialized in land acquisitions and project management, learning the homebuilding business from the ground up. Prior to joining Toll Brothers, he practiced law in New Jersey as a commercial litigator. He has held various management positions over his more than 30 years with the company, including Vice President, Senior Vice President, Regional President, and Executive Vice President. Mr. Yearley holds a Bachelor of Science degree from Cornell University in Applied Economics and Business Management and a Juris Doctor degree from Rutgers Law School.

Gregg Ziegler Chief Financial Officer

Gregg Ziegler was promoted to Chief Financial Officer of Toll Brothers in November 2025, a role effective October 31, 2025, after more than 23 years with the Company. He leads the Company's accounting, treasury & finance, tax, investor relations, risk management, internal audit, mortgage, title, and information technology functions. Mr. Ziegler began his career at Toll Brothers in 2002 as an Assistant Finance Director and has held various roles of increasing responsibility, including Senior Vice President in 2010, Treasurer in 2013, and leading the Investor Relations department in May 2024. Before joining Toll Brothers, he was a principal at Katalyst, a venture capital and private equity firm. He also worked as an associate with Berwind Corporation, a family-owned investment management company, and at PricewaterhouseCoopers. Mr. Ziegler holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Accounting and a Master of Business Administration from Villanova University.

Robert Parahus President and Chief Operating Officer

Robert Parahus serves as President and Chief Operating Officer of Toll Brothers, overseeing the Company's national homebuilding operations across 24 states and the District of Columbia. He holds a Bachelor of Science degree in Architectural Engineering from The Pennsylvania State University.

Kellie Hall Chief Human Resources Officer

Kellie Hall began her Human Resources career with Toll Brothers in 1997. She has worked in a variety of roles within the HR organization, leading teams in Recruiting, Employee Relations, Talent Development, and Talent Management before being promoted to Vice President in 2013. In 2021, she was appointed Chief Human Resources Officer. Throughout her career, Ms. Hall has played a key role in mergers & acquisitions, system implementations, change management, and leadership development initiatives.

Timothy Hoban Senior Vice President and General Counsel

Timothy Hoban serves as Senior Vice President and General Counsel of Toll Brothers. He is also the Chief Compliance Officer.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Toll Brothers' business:

  1. Fluctuations in Housing Market Demand, Interest Rates, and Economic Conditions: Toll Brothers' business is highly susceptible to shifts in the housing market, which are influenced by factors such as employment levels, consumer confidence, and the availability of financing. Economic downturns, inflation, and higher interest rates can significantly reduce housing affordability and demand, potentially leading to inventory impairments, increased cancellations of home sales agreements, and reduced profit margins.
  2. Rising Construction Material Costs, Labor Shortages, and Supply Chain Disruptions: The profitability of Toll Brothers is directly impacted by the fluctuating and often increasing costs of essential construction materials like lumber, steel, and concrete. Persistent supply chain disruptions can exacerbate these cost pressures. Additionally, labor shortages within the construction industry can lead to increased labor costs and project delays.
  3. Land Acquisition and Regulatory Risks: A fundamental aspect of Toll Brothers' business involves acquiring suitable land for its luxury residential communities. Risks include the availability of desirable land at reasonable prices and obtaining necessary governmental approvals for development. The company is also subject to regulatory changes, including environmental laws and zoning regulations, which can delay projects and increase operational costs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Toll Brothers operates within several significant addressable markets across the United States. The company's main products and services include the design, construction, marketing, and sale of luxury detached and attached homes, condominiums, and the development and rental of apartments. The addressable markets for Toll Brothers' main products and services in the U.S. are as follows: * Luxury Residential Real Estate Market: The United States Luxury Residential Real Estate Market is expected to grow from USD 291.14 billion in 2025 to USD 298.61 billion in 2026, with projections to reach USD 349.38 billion by 2031, at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.19% over the 2026-2031 period. This market encompasses luxury homes and condominiums, with apartments and condominiums holding a 56.62% share in 2025. Another report estimates the domestic luxury residential real estate market, currently valued at approximately $289 billion, is projected to exceed $338 billion by 2030. * Residential Construction Market (New Builds): The overall U.S. residential construction market size is estimated at USD 1.41 trillion in 2026, growing from a 2025 value of USD 1.35 trillion, and is projected to reach USD 1.76 trillion by 2031, with a CAGR of 4.53% between 2026 and 2031. New-build activity constituted 69.05% of this market in 2025. * Apartment and Condominium Construction Market: The U.S. apartment and condominium construction market was valued at USD 91.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to increase to USD 124.2 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 4.1% during the 2025–2032 period. * Apartment Rental Market: The Apartment Rental industry in the United States is expected to generate revenue of $305.7 billion by the end of 2026.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Toll Brothers (TOL) over the next 2-3 years:
  • Increased Home Deliveries and Community Count Expansion: Toll Brothers anticipates increasing its number of home deliveries, which directly correlates with revenue growth. The company expects to deliver between 11,200 and 11,600 homes for the full fiscal year 2025. Additionally, the company increased its community count by 10% to 408 communities at the end of fiscal year 2024, indicating a broader reach for future sales.
  • Maintaining Strong Average Selling Prices (ASPs): The ability to command higher prices for its luxury homes is a key revenue driver. Toll Brothers reported an increase in its average sales price to $1,033,000 in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026. This consistent pricing power, along with effective cost management, is crucial for sustained profitability and revenue growth.
  • Focus on the Luxury Home Market and Affluent Customer Base: As "America's Luxury Home Builder," Toll Brothers benefits from resilient demand within the luxury segment, targeting move-up, empty-nester, active-adult, and second-home buyers. This strategic focus on affluent buyers helps mitigate broader market cyclicality and supports consistent sales performance.
  • Geographic Diversification and Expansion: The company operates across 24 states and over 60 markets, a diversified footprint that positions it for continued growth. Toll Brothers' multi-year strategy includes widening its geographies and price points, with a particular focus on areas like Texas and Florida to capitalize on regional demand.
  • Favorable Demographic Trends: Demographic tailwinds are expected to support future housing demand. This includes Millennials entering their prime home-buying years and the ongoing transfer of wealth from Baby Boomers to Millennials, both of which are anticipated to drive demand for high-quality new homes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Capital Allocation Decisions (Last 3-5 Years)

Share Repurchases

  • From May 2022 through December 2023, Toll Brothers repurchased approximately 13.3 million shares for an aggregate purchase price of around $800 million.
  • In December 2023, the Board of Directors approved a new 20 million share repurchase authorization to replace the existing program.
  • Toll Brothers increased its projected share repurchases for fiscal 2025 from $500 million to $600 million and plans $650 million in share repurchases for fiscal 2026.

Share Issuance

  • The company's shares outstanding declined by 4.69% in 2025 from 2024, by 5.69% in 2024 from 2023, and by 5.91% in 2023 from 2022, indicating a net reduction in shares through repurchases rather than significant issuances.

Inbound Investments

  • In August 2021, Toll Brothers established a strategic partnership with Equity Residential to develop new rental apartment communities, targeting nearly $1.9 billion in new rental communities over three years.
  • Under this partnership, Equity Residential committed to investing 75% of the equity for each project, with an initial minimum co-investment target of approximately $750 million in combined equity.

Outbound Investments

  • As part of the strategic partnership with Equity Residential formed in August 2021, Toll Brothers committed to investing 25% of the equity for developing new rental apartment communities.
  • In September 2025, Toll Brothers announced an agreement to sell its interests in approximately half of its Apartment Living portfolio and its operating platform for $380 million, with plans to fully exit the multifamily business.

Capital Expenditures

  • Fiscal 2024 free cash flow of $936.52 million supported capital expenditures, dividends, and strategic investments.
  • In the fourth quarter ended October 31, 2025, the company spent approximately $580.0 million on land to purchase approximately 3,214 lots.
  • Toll Brothers focuses on driving return on equity through more capital-efficient land buying, product optimization, and other strategies.
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Better Bets vs. Toll Brothers (TOL)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TOLDHILENPHMNVRTMHCMedian
NameToll Bro.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Taylor M. 
Mkt Price164.14166.2993.52137.616,828.6271.81150.88
Mkt Cap15.647.922.926.419.06.920.9
Rev LTM11,04533,34833,17516,8289,8207,61313,937
Op Inc LTM1,6173,9202,2702,7471,5389901,944
FCF LTM1,2153,498-901,7781,2316881,223
FCF 3Y Avg1,0502,8151,9681,6211,3124521,467
CFO LTM1,3123,652721,8971,2537301,283
CFO 3Y Avg1,1282,9612,1291,7321,3394921,536

Growth & Margins

TOLDHILENPHMNVRTMHCMedian
NameToll Bro.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Taylor M. 
Rev Chg LTM3.6%-5.6%-7.2%-5.9%-7.5%-9.0%-6.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.7%-0.1%-0.7%1.0%-1.4%-1.9%-0.4%
Rev Chg Q-7.6%-2.3%-13.3%-12.4%-21.7%-26.8%-12.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.8%-0.5%-3.0%-2.8%-5.0%-6.3%-2.9%
Op Inc Chg LTM-9.0%-26.7%-51.1%-26.8%-20.7%-21.0%-23.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-0.9%-15.7%-27.5%-6.9%-8.9%-10.3%-9.6%
Op Mgn LTM14.6%11.8%6.8%16.3%15.7%13.0%13.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.8%14.6%11.9%19.6%17.6%14.2%15.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.6%-0.5%-1.2%-0.9%-0.7%-1.0%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM11.9%11.0%0.2%11.3%12.8%9.6%11.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.5%8.5%6.0%10.2%13.3%6.3%9.3%
FCF/Rev LTM11.0%10.5%-0.3%10.6%12.5%9.0%10.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.8%8.1%5.6%9.5%13.1%5.8%8.8%

Valuation

TOLDHILENPHMNVRTMHCMedian
NameToll Bro.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Taylor M. 
Mkt Cap15.647.922.926.419.06.920.9
P/S1.41.40.71.61.90.91.4
P/Op Inc9.712.210.19.612.37.09.9
P/EBIT9.712.210.19.911.67.010.0
P/E12.115.112.812.915.310.312.9
P/CFO11.913.1316.013.915.29.513.5
Total Yield8.6%7.7%10.1%8.4%6.5%9.7%8.5%
Dividend Yield0.3%1.0%2.2%0.7%0.0%0.0%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.4%6.6%4.7%7.1%6.1%7.6%6.8%
D/E0.20.10.20.10.10.40.2
Net D/E0.10.10.1-0.0-0.00.30.1

Returns

TOLDHILENPHMNVRTMHCMedian
NameToll Bro.D.R. Hor.Lennar PulteGro.NVR Taylor M. 
1M Rtn17.3%12.5%2.8%15.8%12.0%21.1%14.1%
3M Rtn25.4%24.3%4.2%20.3%5.9%25.3%22.3%
6M Rtn18.4%14.3%-10.0%15.9%-7.5%20.2%15.1%
12M Rtn45.3%32.3%-13.3%32.8%-6.2%18.5%25.4%
3Y Rtn114.9%39.3%-22.3%79.0%7.9%50.6%44.9%
1M Excs Rtn19.5%14.7%5.0%18.0%14.2%23.3%16.4%
3M Excs Rtn9.9%9.1%-10.3%4.2%-9.0%8.4%6.3%
6M Excs Rtn12.7%9.4%-16.3%11.3%-13.4%15.6%10.3%
12M Excs Rtn27.9%11.4%-33.9%13.2%-25.8%-1.1%5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn52.4%-24.4%-88.0%17.4%-55.1%-17.0%-20.7%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment10,967    
Corporate and other 02-11
Home building 10,5639,8649,712 
Land sales and other revenues 283129564359
City Living    371
Traditional Home Building    8,060
Total10,96710,8479,99510,2768,790


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Home building10,6039,8479,611  
Corporate and other2,7652,6802,6772,8772,815
City Living   333540
Traditional Home Building   8,3287,711
Total13,36812,52712,28911,53811,066


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$164.14 
Market Cap ($ Bil)15.6 
First Trading Date12/30/1987 
Distance from 52W High-1.0% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$142.06$140.83
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA15.5%16.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility43.1%35.3%
Downside Capture84.6791.19
Upside Capture122.78115.98
Correlation (SPY)53.6%43.6%
TOL Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.392.331.881.451.251.12
Up Beta5.883.092.732.331.971.14
Down Beta4.202.921.461.140.910.76
Up Capture118%86%102%102%118%223%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days8202456122389
Down Capture407%318%210%130%108%107%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days12213968128359

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TOL
TOL48.8%35.3%1.18-
Sector ETF (XLY)8.0%18.5%0.2857.9%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.4%1.2643.1%
Gold (GLD)21.8%27.7%0.7018.2%
Commodities (DBC)21.8%18.6%0.92-32.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)16.1%13.6%0.8552.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.7%42.5%-1.2715.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TOL
TOL25.2%36.2%0.70-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.7%23.9%0.2460.9%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6157.1%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.7912.7%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%19.5%0.280.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.9%0.0858.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.7%54.0%0.3924.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TOL
TOL20.8%41.2%0.60-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.5%22.1%0.5257.9%
Equity (SPY)15.2%18.0%0.7254.7%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.1%0.6011.3%
Commodities (DBC)5.9%18.0%0.2613.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2354.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)54.6%66.4%0.9516.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4.5 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120265.2%
Average Daily Volume1.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.3 days
Basic Shares Quantity95.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.7%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/23/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/19/20269.8%12.7%25.4%
2/17/2026-2.3%-2.6%-16.4%
12/8/2025-2.4%3.1%-0.5%
8/19/2025-0.6%4.2%5.8%
5/20/2025-0.5%-0.3%3.6%
2/18/2025-5.9%-6.1%-12.3%
12/9/2024-6.9%-14.0%-20.9%
8/20/20245.6%7.7%14.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141411
# Negative101013
Median Positive3.8%6.1%14.4%
Median Negative-4.1%-3.6%-7.8%
Max Positive9.8%12.7%25.4%
Max Negative-8.5%-14.0%-20.9%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/19/20269.8%12.7%25.4%
2/17/2026-2.3%-2.6%-16.4%
12/8/2025-2.4%3.1%-0.5%
8/19/2025-0.6%4.2%5.8%
5/20/2025-0.5%-0.3%3.6%
2/18/2025-5.9%-6.1%-12.3%
12/9/2024-6.9%-14.0%-20.9%
8/20/20245.6%7.7%14.7%
5/21/2024-8.5%-9.0%-10.1%
2/20/20243.9%7.5%19.4%
12/5/20231.9%6.0%14.4%
8/22/20233.9%4.0%-3.0%
5/23/20232.1%6.2%19.4%
2/21/20233.0%7.5%3.6%
12/6/20227.7%10.1%16.1%
8/23/20221.3%-2.0%-7.8%
5/24/20228.0%12.0%1.1%
2/22/2022-6.4%2.7%-5.3%
12/7/20211.7%-1.5%-3.5%
8/24/20214.3%4.9%-1.9%
5/25/20213.8%3.0%-8.3%
2/23/20213.2%-0.6%-0.6%
12/7/2020-7.9%-9.0%-9.9%
8/25/2020-2.1%-4.7%3.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141411
# Negative101013
Median Positive3.8%6.1%14.4%
Median Negative-4.1%-3.6%-7.8%
Max Positive9.8%12.7%25.4%
Max Negative-8.5%-14.0%-20.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202605/29/202610-Q
01/31/202602/27/202610-Q
10/31/202512/19/202510-K
07/31/202508/28/202510-Q
04/30/202505/29/202510-Q
01/31/202502/28/202510-Q
10/31/202412/20/202410-K
07/31/202409/04/202410-Q
04/30/202405/31/202410-Q
01/31/202403/01/202410-Q
10/31/202312/21/202310-K
07/31/202308/31/202310-Q
04/30/202306/01/202310-Q
01/31/202303/02/202310-Q
10/31/202212/19/202210-K
07/31/202209/01/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
04/30/202605/29/202610-Q
01/31/202602/27/202610-Q
10/31/202512/19/202510-K
07/31/202508/28/202510-Q
04/30/202505/29/202510-Q
01/31/202502/28/202510-Q
10/31/202412/20/202410-K
07/31/202409/04/202410-Q
04/30/202405/31/202410-Q
01/31/202403/01/202410-Q
10/31/202312/21/202310-K
07/31/202308/31/202310-Q
04/30/202306/01/202310-Q
01/31/202303/02/202310-Q
10/31/202212/19/202210-K
07/31/202209/01/202210-Q
04/30/202206/02/202210-Q
01/31/202203/03/202210-Q
10/31/202112/17/202110-K
07/31/202109/02/202110-Q
04/30/202106/03/202110-Q
01/31/202103/08/202110-Q
10/31/202012/22/202010-K
07/31/202009/04/202010-Q
04/30/202006/08/202010-Q
01/31/202003/10/202010-Q
10/31/201912/26/201910-K
07/31/201909/05/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 6/1/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 5/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q3 2026 Deliveries2,6002,6502,7008.2% RaisedGuidance: 2,450 for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Average Delivered Price per Home0.96 Mil0.97 Mil0.98 Mil-0.5% LoweredGuidance: 0.98 Mil for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin 25.25% -1.0%-0.2%LoweredGuidance: 25.5% for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 SG&A, as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenues 0.1 -6.5%-0.7%RaisedGuidance: 0.11 for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Period-End Community Count 475 4.4% RaisedGuidance: 455 for Q2 2026
Q3 2026 Tax Rate 26.0% 0 AffirmedGuidance: 26.0% for Q2 2026
2026 Deliveries10,40010,55010,7000.5% RaisedGuidance: 10,500 for 2026
2026 Average Delivered Price per Home0.98 Mil0.99 Mil1.00 Mil1.3% RaisedGuidance: 0.98 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin 26.1% 0.4%0.1%RaisedGuidance: 26.0% for 2026
2026 SG&A, as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenues 0.1 -1.5%-0.2%RaisedGuidance: 0.1 for 2026
2026 Period-End Community Count4804854900 AffirmedGuidance: 485 for 2026
2026 Tax Rate 25.5% 0 AffirmedGuidance: 25.5% for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 2/17/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q2 2026 Deliveries2,4002,4502,50032.4% RaisedGuidance: 1,850 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Average Delivered Price per Home0.97 Mil0.98 Mil0.98 Mil-1.0% LoweredGuidance: 0.99 Mil for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin 25.5% -2.9%-0.8%LoweredGuidance: 26.25% for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 SG&A, as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenues 0.11 -24.6%-3.5%LoweredGuidance: 0.14 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Period-End Community Count 455 2.2% RaisedGuidance: 445 for Q1 2026
Q2 2026 Tax Rate 26.0% 12.1%2.8%RaisedGuidance: 23.2% for Q1 2026
2026 Deliveries10,30010,50010,7000 AffirmedGuidance: 10,500 for 2026
2026 Average Delivered Price per Home0.97 Mil0.98 Mil0.99 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 0.98 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted Home Sales Gross Margin 26.0% 00AffirmedGuidance: 26.0% for 2026
2026 SG&A, as a Percentage of Home Sales Revenues 0.1 00AffirmedGuidance: 0.1 for 2026
2026 Period-End Community Count4804854900 AffirmedGuidance: 485 for 2026
2026 Other Income, Income from Unconsolidated Entities, and Gross Margin from Land Sales and Other 1.3E10% 0 AffirmedGuidance: 1.3E10% for 2026
2026 Tax Rate 25.5% 00AffirmedGuidance: 25.5% for 2026
2026 Community Count Growth8.0%9.0%10.0%  Higher New

Insider Activity

Updated 6/18/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Yearley, Douglas C JRExecutive ChairmanDirectSell6182026156.5877,95712,206,37550,301,718Form
2East, Stephen F DirectSell4162026139.701,000139,7001,877,847Form
3McLean, John A DirectSell3042026153.432,313354,8892,664,964Form
4Yearley, Douglas C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell3022026159.1527,0144,299,30851,128,246Form
5Yearley, Douglas C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell2262026160.4245,1167,237,60951,536,600Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Yearley, Douglas C JRExecutive ChairmanDirectSell6182026156.5877,95712,206,37550,301,718Form
2East, Stephen F DirectSell4162026139.701,000139,7001,877,847Form
3McLean, John A DirectSell3042026153.432,313354,8892,664,964Form
4Yearley, Douglas C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell3022026159.1527,0144,299,30851,128,246Form
5Yearley, Douglas C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell2262026160.4245,1167,237,60951,536,600Form
6Shapiro, Paul E DirectSell1162026146.683,965581,58117,407,816Form
7Sandstrom, Katherine M DirectBuy10172025126.87688,6278,627Form
8Yearley, Douglas C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell9102025148.0820,1452,983,10639,385,586Form
9Shapiro, Paul E DirectSell9082025147.653,812562,84817,534,070Form
10Pritchett, Wendell E DirectSell9022025138.712,500346,7831,874,154Form
11Yearley, Douglas C JRChief Executive OfficerDirectSell9022025138.2625,0003,456,38539,557,220Form
12Connor, Martin PChief Financial OfficerDirectSell8282025137.515,350735,6652,099,465Form
13Grubb, Michael JSVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell8252025140.6350070,315272,682Form
14Parahus, RobertPresident & COODirectSell8222025130.849,8311,286,2502,576,424Form
15East, Stephen F DirectSell7172025115.332,500288,3251,474,726Form
16Grubb, Michael JSVP & Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell7152025120.0050060,000292,680Form
17Garvey, Christine TrustSell7152025119.8277092,2581,388,663Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/26/2026