Royal Caribbean (RCL)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $285.17 | Market Cap: $77.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Royal Caribbean (RCL)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $285.17Market Cap: $77.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.5x |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% | Key risksRCL key risks include [1] a heavy, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 6.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.7% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 26% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 6.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 45% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Experiential Retail, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 4.5x |
| Key risksRCL key risks include [1] a heavy, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
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Royal Caribbean (RCL) experienced a notable decline of approximately 20.8% in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 28, 2025. Several factors contributed to this downward movement:
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<b>1. Analyst Price Target Reductions:</b> Multiple financial analysts lowered their price targets for Royal Caribbean in the latter part of 2025. For instance, UBS Group reduced its price objective from $353.00 to $304.00 in November, while Jefferies lowered its target to $275 from $286 in mid-December. Goldman Sachs also adjusted its price target from $334 to $275 in December, and Barclays moved its target from $342 to $324 around the same time. These revisions signal a more cautious outlook on the stock's future valuation.
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<b>2. Significant Institutional Selling:</b> Voya Investment Management LLC substantially decreased its holdings in Royal Caribbean during the third quarter of 2025. The firm sold 3,964,084 shares, reducing its stake by 90% to 441,681 shares, which were valued at approximately $142.9 million. Such a large institutional divestment can create selling pressure and influence market sentiment negatively.
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<b>3. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss:</b> Although Royal Caribbean reported better-than-expected Earnings Per Share for the third quarter of 2025, its revenue of $5.14 billion fell slightly short of analysts' anticipated $5.17 billion. While the EPS beat was positive, the revenue miss may have contributed to a tempered market reaction or negative sentiment.
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<b>4. Operational Headwinds from Destination Closure and Weather:</b> The company noted that the unplanned extended temporary closure of its exclusive destination in Labadee, Haiti, and recent adverse weather conditions, negatively impacted its fourth-quarter performance. These operational challenges likely raised concerns about potential revenue losses and increased costs.
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<b>5. Negative Commentary from Financial Pundits:</b> Prominent financial commentators like Jim Cramer expressed a less optimistic view on Royal Caribbean in late 2025, stating that the company "has not been as good" compared to competitors and that the broader cruise sector "appeared to have lost its luster." Such public commentary from influential figures can impact investor confidence and contribute to stock price declines.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -12.3% change in RCL stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -22.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 325.78 | 285.67 | -12.31% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 17184.00 | 17437.00 | 1.47% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 20.97% | 23.32% | 11.24% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.59 | 19.11 | -22.32% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 272.00 | 272.00 | 0.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -12.31% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCL | -12.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 27.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.8% | 38.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -7.1% change in RCL stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -25.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 307.51 | 285.67 | -7.10% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16756.00 | 17437.00 | 4.06% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 19.38% | 23.32% | 20.36% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.48 | 19.11 | -25.01% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 269.00 | 272.00 | -1.12% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -7.12% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCL | -7.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 36.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.9% | 43.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 24.3% change in RCL stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 43.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 229.76 | 285.67 | 24.34% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16055.00 | 17437.00 | 8.61% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.21% | 23.32% | 43.91% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.22 | 19.11 | -17.73% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 263.00 | 272.00 | -3.42% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 24.19% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCL | 24.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 66.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.0% | 66.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 505.6% change in RCL stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 167.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 47.17 | 285.67 | 505.60% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7218.66 | 17437.00 | 141.55% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.67 | 4.46 | 167.35% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 255.07 | 272.00 | -6.64% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 502.94% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RCL | 123.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 61.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 37.7% | 60.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RCL Return | -44% | 3% | -36% | 162% | 79% | 29% | 126% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RCL Win Rate | 33% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 67% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RCL Max Drawdown | -83% | -14% | -59% | -1% | -11% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See RCL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RCL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -67.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 210.0% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 342 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -83.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 504.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,463 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 389 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 733.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 659 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Royal Caribbean's stock fell -67.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2021. A -67.7% loss requires a 210.0% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Royal Caribbean (RCL):
- Disney for the high seas: Royal Caribbean offers large-scale, immersive entertainment and vacation experiences, akin to Disney's theme parks, but on massive cruise ships traveling the world.
- A floating all-inclusive resort: Like an all-inclusive resort (e.g., Sandals or Club Med), Royal Caribbean provides a complete vacation package with accommodation, dining, entertainment, and activities bundled into one price, but with the added benefit of traveling to multiple destinations.
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Royal Caribbean (RCL) primarily provides services within the leisure travel industry.- Core Cruise Voyages: These are multi-day sea journeys offering accommodation, transportation, and various amenities to diverse destinations.
- Onboard Hospitality & Entertainment: This encompasses dining, bars, entertainment shows, live music, recreational activities, fitness centers, and spa services provided on the ship.
- Private Destination Experiences: Exclusive access to private islands or beach destinations, offering curated activities, dining, and relaxation options as part of the cruise itinerary.
- Shore Excursions & Land Tours: Guided tours and activities offered at various ports of call, allowing guests to explore local cultures and attractions.
- Ancillary Guest Services: Optional add-ons such as specialty dining packages, beverage packages, internet access, spa treatments, retail purchases, and photography services.
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Royal Caribbean (symbol: RCL) primarily sells its cruise vacations directly to individuals, making it a business-to-consumer (B2C) company. Its major customers fall into the following categories:
- Families: This segment includes multi-generational families, parents with young children, and teenagers. They are attracted by Royal Caribbean's extensive family-friendly amenities, such as kids' clubs (Adventure Ocean), water parks, diverse dining options, and entertainment suitable for all ages.
- Adventure and Experience Seekers: These customers are looking for active and unique vacation experiences. Royal Caribbean's innovative ships are designed with features like rock climbing walls, surf simulators (FlowRider), zip lines, ice-skating rinks, and immersive entertainment, directly appealing to those who desire more than just a relaxing getaway.
- Couples and Adult Groups (including Seniors): This broad category encompasses honeymooners, couples seeking romantic getaways, groups of friends, and retirees. They appreciate the convenience of an all-inclusive vacation that offers a mix of relaxation, gourmet dining, varied entertainment, and opportunities for cultural excursions in multiple destinations, all without the constant logistics of traditional travel.
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- Shell plc (SHEL)
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```htmlJason Liberty, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
Jason Liberty serves as the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Royal Caribbean Group. He joined the company in 2005 as a finance executive and progressed through various leadership roles, including Vice President of Audit and Advisory Services, Vice President of Corporate and Strategic Planning, Senior Vice President of Finance and Strategy, and Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, a position he held from 2013 until his appointment as CEO in January 2022. Before joining Royal Caribbean Group, Mr. Liberty worked as a senior manager at KPMG LLP. He also serves on the Board of Directors of WNS Limited, a business process management public company.
Naftali Holtz, Chief Financial Officer
Naftali Holtz is the Chief Financial Officer for Royal Caribbean Group. He is responsible for overseeing the company's financial planning and analysis, corporate strategy, treasury, corporate tax, investor relations, investments, internal audit, accounting, financial reporting, risk management, and supply chain. Prior to his current role, he served as Senior Vice President of Finance at Royal Caribbean Group. Before joining Royal Caribbean Group in 2019, Mr. Holtz was a managing director and the head of lodging and leisure investment banking at Goldman Sachs. He also served as an officer in the Israeli Air Force.
Michael Bayley, President and Chief Executive Officer, Royal Caribbean International
Michael Bayley is the President and Chief Executive Officer of Royal Caribbean International, Ltd. He has held this position for a significant period, overseeing the operations of one of Royal Caribbean Group's key brands.
Harri U. Kulovaara, Executive Vice President, Maritime & Newbuilding
Harri U. Kulovaara serves as the Executive Vice President of Maritime & Newbuilding for Royal Caribbean Group. In this role, he is responsible for the company's maritime operations and the development of new ships.
R. Alexander Lake, Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary
R. Alexander Lake is the Senior Vice President, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary of Royal Caribbean Group, having joined in June 2021. In this capacity, he holds global responsibility for the Group's legal and compliance functions. Before joining Royal Caribbean Group, Mr. Lake spent over 17 years at World Fuel Services Corporation, a global energy services company, where he most recently served as Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary. He also previously worked as an Assistant General Counsel at America Online Latin America, Inc.
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Key Risks to Royal Caribbean (RCL)
- Heavy Debt Load: Royal Caribbean carries a substantial debt load, largely accumulated during the pandemic. Total loans outstanding were around $20 billion, approximately double its pre-pandemic debt level. The sizable interest expense on this debt significantly impacts operating income and will be a long-term headwind, dampening cash flow that could otherwise be returned to shareholders. This heavy debt burden weakens its balance sheet and presents a significant financial risk, particularly in the event of an economic downturn.
- Cyclical Nature of the Industry and Economic Sensitivity: The cruise industry is highly cyclical and dependent on consumer discretionary spending. Demand for cruises is significantly affected by international, national, and local economic conditions. Economic slowdowns, recessions, or geopolitical shifts can lead to consumers postponing or canceling vacations, directly impacting Royal Caribbean's bookings, revenue, and occupancy rates.
- Fluctuations in Operating Costs and External Shocks: Royal Caribbean's operating costs, including fuel, food, payroll, and benefits, are subject to increases due to market forces and economic or geopolitical conditions beyond its control. Increases in these costs can adversely affect future profitability. Additionally, the cruise industry remains vulnerable to external shocks such as health and safety concerns, including the spread of viruses like COVID-19, which could lead to operational shutdowns or a plummet in consumer demand. Regulatory changes and competition also pose ongoing challenges.
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Rapidly accelerating environmental regulations and increasing societal pressure for sustainable travel choices pose a clear emerging threat to Royal Caribbean.
New international and regional maritime regulations (e.g., the International Maritime Organization's revised GHG strategy aiming for net-zero emissions by or around 2050, and the EU Emissions Trading System for shipping starting in 2024) demand significant capital expenditure for fleet modernization, including investments in alternative fuel technologies and shore power capabilities. These regulatory changes will lead to substantial increases in operational costs and the potential for older, less environmentally compliant ships to face restricted access to ports or become obsolete.
Concurrently, growing consumer and societal awareness of climate change and environmental impact could lead to increased "cruise shaming," potentially eroding brand appeal and demand, particularly among younger, more environmentally conscious travelers. This dual pressure from regulatory bodies and public sentiment necessitates a costly and rapid transition for Royal Caribbean's business model to remain viable and competitive.
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Royal Caribbean's main product and service is ocean cruising.
The addressable market sizes for ocean cruising are as follows:
-
Global Ocean Cruise Market:
- In 2024, the global cruise market was valued at approximately USD 25.93 billion.
- This market is projected to reach nearly USD 43.56 billion by 2032.
- Ocean cruises accounted for over 80% of the revenue share in the cruise market in 2022.
-
North America Ocean Cruise Market:
- North America represented the largest revenue-generating market globally, accounting for 50.1% of the global cruise market in 2024.
- Based on a global market size of USD 25.93 billion in 2024, the North American cruise market (primarily ocean cruises) was approximately USD 12.99 billion in 2024.
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Europe Ocean Cruise Market:
- The Europe cruise market generated approximately USD 2.285 billion in revenue in 2024.
- This market is expected to reach approximately USD 4.656 billion by 2030.
- Ocean cruises were the largest revenue-generating segment within the European cruise market in 2024.
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Royal Caribbean (RCL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Increased Capacity and Premium Pricing from New Ships: Royal Caribbean is strategically expanding its fleet with new, innovative ships, which are anticipated to boost capacity and allow for premium pricing. Upcoming additions include Star of the Seas (launching soon), Celebrity Xcel (launching in November), and full-year contributions from ships like Icon of the Seas, Utopia of the Seas, and Silver Ray, which commenced service in 2024. The company plans to introduce seven new ships over the next few years, each designed to deliver premium yields. These new ships are generating strong excitement, attracting new guests, and sailing with solid occupancy, thereby supporting yield expansion.
- Strong Demand and Enhanced Pricing Power: The company continues to experience robust consumer demand across its brand portfolio, translating into higher load factors and increased pricing. Management has consistently highlighted strong close-in demand and guests' willingness to pay premium prices for differentiated vacation experiences, which allows Royal Caribbean to optimize its yield profile. Bookings for 2026 are already at historically high levels with strong rate growth.
- Growth in Onboard and Pre-Cruise Spending: Royal Caribbean is focusing on increasing revenue per guest through higher onboard spending and pre-cruise purchases. This is significantly aided by high digital engagement, with nearly 90% of pre-cruise onboard purchases made through the company's digital platforms, including its app.
- Expansion of Exclusive Destinations: The development and launch of new exclusive destinations, such as the Royal Beach Club in Nassau and Perfect Day Mexico, are expected to generate incremental demand and drive onboard spending. These destinations are designed to enhance itinerary appeal and support premium pricing, particularly within the Caribbean market.
- Strategic Market Expansion: Royal Caribbean's "Trifecta plan" includes strategic initiatives aimed at significant EBITDA growth, such as expansion into emerging markets like Asia-Pacific. This geographical expansion is expected to unlock substantial growth opportunities and contribute to achieving the company's financial targets, including double-digit earnings per share.
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Share Repurchases
- In February 2025, Royal Caribbean's Board of Directors authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $1 billion over the next twelve months.
- As of February 20, 2025, Royal Caribbean initiated this program, repurchasing $100 million in shares through open market transactions.
- Over $414 million in shares were repurchased in the third quarter of 2025.
Share Issuance
- In July 2020, Royal Caribbean Group acquired the remaining one-third stake in Silversea Cruises, partly using 5.2 million shares of Royal Caribbean Group common stock.
- As part of debt management in March 2025, the company exchanged $213 million of 6.00% Convertible Senior Notes for 3.3 million shares and $214 million in cash.
Outbound Investments
- Royal Caribbean Group completed the acquisition of the remaining one-third stake in Silversea Cruises in July 2020.
- In March 2021, Royal Caribbean sold its Azamara brand, including its three-ship fleet, to private equity firm Sycamore Partners for $201 million in an all-cash carve-out transaction.
- In July 2022, Royal Caribbean Group purchased the ultra-luxury cruise ship "Endeavor" for $275 million, which was subsequently renamed Silver Endeavour and added to the Silversea Cruises' fleet.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $1.965 billion in 2020, $2.23 billion in 2021, $2.71 billion in 2022, $3.897 billion in 2023, and $3.268 billion in 2024.
- Expected capital expenditures for the full year 2025 are approximately $5 billion, predominantly related to the company's new ship order book and destination development.
- Significant investments include new ship deliveries such as Utopia of the Seas (July 2024), Star of the Seas (August 2025), and Celebrity Xcel (2025), along with ongoing fleet modernization programs like Celebrity Cruises' $250 million investment in its Solstice Series ships starting 2026 and Royal Caribbean's "Royal Amplified" upgrades for ships like Allure of the Seas (Spring 2025), Ovation, Harmony, and Liberty of the Seas (2026).
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to RCL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
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| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.6% |
| 02292020 | RCL | Royal Caribbean | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -11.9% | 17.1% | -72.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Royal Caribbean
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 175.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 181.3 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 8,074 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 9,896 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 9,276 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 181.3 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 33.0 |
| P/CFO | 16.7 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.7% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 10.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 20.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 100.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 13.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $285.67 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 77.7 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/28/1993 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -21.4% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $275.12 | $279.15 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.9% | 45.3% |
| Downside Capture | 109.93 | 152.90 |
| Upside Capture | 24.45 | 151.21 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 27.4% | 66.2% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.61 | 0.89 | 0.99 | 1.33 | 1.54 | 1.52 |
| Up Beta | 1.40 | 2.09 | 2.10 | 2.05 | 1.61 | 1.64 |
| Down Beta | 1.49 | 1.19 | 0.75 | 1.12 | 1.48 | 1.45 |
| Up Capture | 110% | -34% | -20% | 99% | 195% | 583% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 17 | 26 | 64 | 129 | 405 |
| Down Capture | 196% | 106% | 158% | 133% | 128% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 24 | 36 | 61 | 119 | 344 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of RCL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 21.6% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 45.0% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.56 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 66.4% | 66.0% | -6.0% | 17.0% | 48.7% | 24.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of RCL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 31.5% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 47.7% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.74 | 0.36 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 58.9% | 57.0% | 1.8% | 15.3% | 41.9% | 23.9% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of RCL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCL | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 13.1% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 52.8% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 57.5% | 56.2% | -3.0% | 21.8% | 47.0% | 16.0% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/28/2025 | -8.5% | -13.3% | -16.8% |
| 7/29/2025 | -5.0% | -10.3% | 0.5% |
| 4/29/2025 | 0.1% | 5.8% | 15.9% |
| 1/28/2025 | 12.0% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| 10/29/2024 | 3.2% | 0.4% | 20.1% |
| 7/25/2024 | -7.6% | -4.7% | -4.0% |
| 4/25/2024 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 7.0% |
| 2/1/2024 | -0.4% | -6.3% | -2.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 16 | 16 | 15 |
| # Negative | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 6.0% | 7.2% | 20.1% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -7.6% | -16.9% |
| Max Positive | 12.0% | 18.3% | 97.5% |
| Max Negative | -8.5% | -23.0% | -31.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4292025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2142025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10292024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7252024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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