TFI International (TFII)


Market Price (11/13/2026): $96.22 | Market Cap: $7.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

TFI International (TFII)


Market Price (11/13/2026): $96.22
Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 7.3%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%

Key risks
TFII key risks include [1] a weak freight market's direct impact on its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) segment, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 7.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -35%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 40%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -85%
6 Key risks
TFII key risks include [1] a weak freight market's direct impact on its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) segment, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

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Prices as of 11/12/2026

Oct 30: down 17.1% in one day (S&P 500 down 1.8%)
TFII's price fell following the October 29 report that its Q3 earnings of $1.67 per share missed the $1.75 Zacks Consensus Estimate. The market also declined October 30, with reports discussing Wall Street punishing tech stocks on earnings misses.

Down 42.5% from its Jun 8 high to Oct 30 (S&P 500 up 2.5%)
TFII saw a significant company-specific decline over this period, while the S&P 500 rose. Key daily drops on June 17 and September 16 occurred without company news, with October 30's decline driven by a Q3 earnings miss.

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Prices as of 11/12/2026

Oct 30: down 17.1% in one day (S&P 500 down 1.8%)
TFII's price fell following the October 29 report that its Q3 earnings of $1.67 per share missed the $1.75 Zacks Consensus Estimate. The market also declined October 30, with reports discussing Wall Street punishing tech stocks on earnings misses.

Down 42.5% from its Jun 8 high to Oct 30 (S&P 500 up 2.5%)
TFII saw a significant company-specific decline over this period, while the S&P 500 rose. Key daily drops on June 17 and September 16 occurred without company news, with October 30's decline driven by a Q3 earnings miss.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -28.6% change in TFII stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -32.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611122026Change
Stock Price ($)134.5096.09-28.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,1228,3853.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.1%4.3%2.9%
P/E Multiple32.922.1-32.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)82820.0%
Cumulative Contribution-28.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TFII-28.6% 
Market (SPY)1.4%41.1%
Sector (XLI)-5.8%39.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -32.4% change in TFII stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611122026Change
Stock Price ($)142.1696.09-32.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,8698,3856.6%
Net Income Margin (%)3.8%4.3%12.4%
P/E Multiple39.222.1-43.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)82820.0%
Cumulative Contribution-32.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TFII-32.4% 
Market (SPY)5.6%37.4%
Sector (XLI)-2.7%37.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 8.8% change in TFII stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)1031202511122026Change
Stock Price ($)88.3096.098.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,0488,3854.2%
Net Income Margin (%)4.1%4.3%4.7%
P/E Multiple22.322.1-0.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)83820.4%
Cumulative Contribution8.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TFII8.8% 
Market (SPY)11.9%38.6%
Sector (XLI)10.2%46.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -9.0% change in TFII stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -39.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)1031202311122026Change
Stock Price ($)105.5996.09-9.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,5098,38511.7%
Net Income Margin (%)7.0%4.3%-39.4%
P/E Multiple17.222.128.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)86824.4%
Cumulative Contribution-9.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
TFII-9.0% 
Market (SPY)87.3%43.6%
Sector (XLI)79.1%49.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
TFII Return120%-9%37%1%-22%-6%101%
Peers Return34%-22%52%6%-4%25%103%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%11%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TFII Win Rate75%50%58%50%50%45% 
Peers Win Rate62%43%60%43%52%51% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TFII Max Drawdown-17%-35%-22%-20%-47%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown-18%-37%-25%-22%-36%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UPS, FDX, ODFL, XPO, KNX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/12/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventTFIIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-41.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven309 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven59 days24 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven90 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-33.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven228 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven104 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-34.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven415 days105 days

Compare to UPS, FDX, ODFL, XPO, KNX

In The Past

TFI International's stock fell -41.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 72.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventTFIIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-41.9%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.0%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven309 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-20.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.0%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven90 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-33.9%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.4%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven228 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-52.0%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven108.3%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven104 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-34.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven53.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven415 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-24.0%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven89 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-44.8%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven81.3%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven303 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-39.6%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven65.7%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven100 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-40.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven68.8%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven46 days1085 days

Compare to UPS, FDX, ODFL, XPO, KNX

In The Past

TFI International's stock fell -41.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 72.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TFI International (TFII)

TFI International Inc. (TFII) is a prominent North American transportation and logistics company that provides a comprehensive suite of services across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company aims to move a wide range of goods efficiently, from small packages to full truckloads, catering primarily to businesses requiring reliable shipping solutions across these regions.

The company operates through four main segments, each specializing in distinct transportation needs. Its Package and Courier segment handles the pickup, transport, and delivery of individual items. The Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) segment specializes in consolidating, transporting, and delivering smaller shipments from multiple customers. For larger freight, the Truckload (TL) segment moves full loads directly from origin to destination, offering expedited, flatbed, tank container, and dedicated services, alongside TL brokerage.

Beyond its asset-based transportation, TFI International's Logistics segment provides asset-light services, including freight brokerage, freight forwarding, and transportation management, as well as small parcel delivery. With a substantial fleet of tractors and trailers, supplemented by a network of independent contractors, TFI International offers an integrated and extensive array of services to meet diverse logistical demands for its business customers throughout North America.

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A comprehensive transportation and logistics company, like a blend of FedEx and J.B. Hunt.

Think of it as a highly diversified North American logistics and transportation company, similar to a combination of FedEx (for packages and LTL) and a major truckload carrier like Knight-Swift.

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  • Package and Courier Services: Engages in the pickup, transport, and delivery of smaller items for businesses and consumers.
  • Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Services: Specializes in the pickup, consolidation, transportation, and delivery of smaller freight loads from multiple customers.
  • Truckload (TL) Services: Provides transportation for full loads directly from a single customer to a destination, including specialized equipment and expedited options.
  • Logistics Services: Offers asset-light solutions such as freight brokerage, freight forwarding, transportation management, and small package parcel delivery.

AI Analysis | Feedback

TFI International Inc. (TFII) primarily provides business-to-business (B2B) transportation and logistics services. Its diverse operations, including Package and Courier, Less-Than-Truckload (LTL), Truckload (TL), and Logistics segments, cater to a wide range of companies across various industries such as retail, manufacturing, e-commerce, automotive, and consumer goods. Due to the nature of its diversified logistics and transportation business model, TFI International serves a broad customer base and does not publicly disclose specific "major customers" that account for a significant portion of its revenues. Therefore, it is not possible to list individual customer company names and their symbols.

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Alain Bédard
Chairman of the Board, President and CEO

Alain Bédard, FCPA, graduated in Accounting and Finance from the Université de Sherbrooke. He began his career at KPMG in 1975, becoming a senior auditor. He later served as a Controller in the forest products sector before joining Saputo in 1984, where he rose to Vice-President Finance. In 1996, he assumed management of a regional trucking firm that eventually became TFI International, and he has served as its CEO since January 1996. Mr. Bédard introduced a strategic expansion plan, building a diversified trucking and logistics network through numerous acquisitions and strategic investments across North America. He has held leadership positions in six different companies, including Chairman at Saputo, Inc., and Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer of TransForce Income Fund. Under his leadership, TFI International sold CFI's Truckload, Temp Control, and Mexican non-asset logistics businesses to Heartland Express Inc. for US$525 million in 2022. He also holds a meaningful percentage of insider ownership in TFI International.

David Saperstein
Chief Financial Officer

David Saperstein joined TFI International in 2016 as Vice-President, Mergers & Acquisitions. In this role, he focused on M&A activities throughout the North American transportation industry and led the TFI International team in assessing and coordinating potential opportunities. He was appointed Chief Financial Officer of TFI International in 2019.

Steven Brookshaw
Senior Executive Vice-President

Steven Brookshaw joined TFI International in 2014 through the acquisition of Contrans, a specialized truckload and logistics company. He was appointed Vice-President of Contrans Flatbed Operations in 2007 and later Vice-President of Contrans in 2017. In January 2018, he was named Executive Vice-President of TFI International and was promoted to Senior Executive Vice-President in 2023, overseeing TFI's North American truckload operations. He holds a BBA from Wilfrid Laurier University (1987) and received his CPA and CMA in 1990.

Maurizio Lelli
Vice-President and General Manager, TForce Freight Canada

Maurizio Lelli joined TFI International in 2009 through the acquisition of ATS, which now operates as TForce Integrated Solutions. He possesses decades of expertise in the package and courier transportation industry and the less-than-truckload (LTL) segment, having started his career in 1990 with Purolator and later holding key roles at Manitoulin Transport. He was appointed Vice-President of Operations for TForce Freight Canada in 2022 and promoted to Vice-President and General Manager in 2025.

Joel Andre
Vice-President, Human Resources

Joel Andre joined TFI International in 2019 as Director of Human Resources and was promoted to Vice-President, Human Resources in 2023. In this role, he leads the development and execution of the company's labor and employment strategies. He has held senior human resources roles across various industries, including transportation, logistics, and manufacturing. He holds bachelor's and master's degrees from York University and is a Certified Human Resources Leader (CHRL).

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The key risks to TFI International's business are:

  1. Economic Downturns and Freight Market Weakness: TFI International's financial health is highly vulnerable to economic downturns, which can significantly reduce demand for its transportation and logistics services. A recession or prolonged economic slowdown directly leads to decreased shipping volumes, lower freight rates, and consequently, reduced revenues and compressed profit margins across all its segments. This risk has been particularly evident during periods described as a "freight recession," where weak industrial volumes and overstocked inventories have crushed demand for trucking services, impacting the company's earnings and cash flow.
  2. Rising Operational Costs: The company faces significant pressure from increasing operational expenses. Fluctuations in fuel prices directly impact operating costs, and while TFI aims to recover these from customers, success is not always guaranteed. Additionally, labor shortages in the trucking industry drive up wages and recruitment costs, further squeezing profit margins. Inflation also affects maintenance and supply costs, contributing to overall profitability challenges.
  3. Intense Competition and Pricing Pressure: The transportation and logistics industry is highly competitive. TFI International operates in a market characterized by numerous players and, at times, overcapacity in the trucking sector. This intense competition can lead to significant pricing pressure, particularly in segments like Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) in the U.S., where maintaining or improving margins can be challenging. The need to secure contracts in a competitive environment, especially during economic downturns, can further exacerbate this pricing pressure.

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1. Autonomous Trucking Technology: The active development and piloting of autonomous trucking technology by various companies pose a significant emerging threat. This technology promises to drastically reduce labor costs associated with drivers, a substantial portion of TFI's operating expenses given its large fleet of tractors and independent contractors. Companies that successfully deploy autonomous fleets could gain a substantial cost advantage, potentially disrupting the competitive landscape for TFI's Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and Truckload (TL) segments and requiring massive capital investment from TFI to remain competitive or risking obsolescence of their current asset-heavy model.

2. Digital Freight Brokerage Platforms: The proliferation of sophisticated digital freight brokerage platforms (e.g., Uber Freight, Convoy) that leverage technology to connect shippers and carriers more efficiently and transparently threatens TFI's Logistics segment and potentially its asset-based operations. These platforms can disintermediate traditional brokers, increase price competition, compress margins, and shift market power, making it more challenging for TFI to secure freight at profitable rates and eroding the value proposition of traditional brokerage services.

3. E-commerce Companies' Insourcing of Logistics: Major e-commerce retailers (e.g., Amazon, Walmart) are significantly investing in and expanding their own proprietary logistics and delivery networks. This insourcing strategy directly threatens TFI's Package and Courier segment by reducing the volume available to third-party carriers. As these large customers build out their "last-mile" and "middle-mile" capabilities, they become direct competitors, diminishing market share and revenue opportunities for traditional transportation providers like TFI.

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TFI International Inc. (TFII) operates across several key transportation and logistics segments in North America. The addressable markets for their main products and services are substantial:

Package and Courier Services

  • The North America Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP) market was valued at approximately USD 216.19 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 280.7 billion by 2031, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.45% from 2026 to 2031. Other estimates place the North America CEP market at USD 136.11 billion in 2025, expected to reach USD 239.15 billion by 2033, with a CAGR of 7.3% during the forecast period.
  • In the United States, the courier, express, and parcel (CEP) market was valued at USD 139.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 178.8 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 2.69% from 2026 to 2034. The US domestic CEP market alone was estimated at USD 136 billion in 2024.
  • The Mexico courier, express, and parcel (CEP) market size is projected to expand from USD 2.77 billion in 2025 to USD 4.02 billion by 2031, registering a 6.43% CAGR between 2026 and 2031. Another source indicates the Mexico CEP market size reached USD 6.6 billion in 2025, with an expectation to reach USD 12.3 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 6.91% during 2026-2034.

Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Services

  • The North America Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) market generated a revenue of USD 84,628.9 million in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately US$ 120,553.6 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 6.1% from 2025 to 2030. North America accounted for 42% of the global LTL market share in 2024.
  • The United States Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) market size is estimated at USD 114 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 139.6 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.13% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
  • The Canadian LTL shipping market is valued at approximately CAD 5 billion annually.

Truckload (TL) Services

  • The United States full-truck-load (FTL) market is expected to grow from USD 448.65 billion in 2025 to USD 547.89 billion by 2031, at a 3.39% CAGR over 2026-2031. Separately, the U.S. truckload market sees over $875 billion annually in gross freight revenues.
  • The Canada truckload market size was valued at USD 15.0 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 24.6 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 5.62% during 2026-2034. Canada's truckload market also contributes $17 billion to its annual GDP.

Logistics Services (including brokerage, freight forwarding, and transportation management)

  • The North America logistics market was valued at USD 1,478.0 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 1,768.0 billion by 2033, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.0% during 2025-2033. Another report projects the North American freight and logistics market to reach $2.0 trillion by 2031.
  • The North America freight brokerage market was valued at USD 51.7 billion in 2023 and is estimated to register a CAGR of 6% between 2024 and 2032. North America accounted for 32% of the revenue share in the global freight brokerage market in 2023. The North America Freight Brokerage Services Market size is estimated at USD 22.77 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 32.79 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 7.57%.
  • The North America digital freight brokerage market generated a revenue of USD 2,485.9 million in 2024 and is expected to reach US$ 10,229.1 million by 2030, at a robust CAGR of 27.1% from 2025 to 2030.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for TFI International (TFII) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Strategic Acquisitions: TFI International consistently emphasizes strategic acquisitions as a core pillar of its growth strategy. The company has a history of completing numerous acquisitions, including significant ones like Daseke in 2024, to expand its market share, service offerings, and geographic reach across North America. Future growth is expected to continue through disciplined bolt-on acquisitions that are immediately accretive to EPS and free cash flow.
  2. LTL Yield Gains and Density Optimization: The company plans to drive revenue growth through yield gains and density optimization within its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) segment, particularly with TForce Freight. This involves initiatives such as pricing discipline, network optimization, technology-enabled productivity enhancements, and adjustments to the terminal network for improved operational efficiency.
  3. Expansion in Cross-Border Volumes driven by Nearshoring: TFI International is strategically focusing on capturing demand from nearshoring trends, particularly emphasizing cross-border U.S.-Canada lanes and Mexico-adjacent flows. This strategy aims to boost higher-margin specialized segments and expand cross-border LTL, truckload, and dedicated contract logistics services from 2024 to 2026.
  4. Growth in E-commerce and Specialized Services: The company views e-commerce as a significant growth opportunity, with revenue in this segment growing at an 8.5% CAGR from 2012 to Q3 2025. Additionally, TFI is actively leveraging its infrastructure for specialized services, with its data center-related transportation business generating $43 million in revenue in 2025 and broader electric grid-related revenue exceeding $110 million in the same year, demonstrating recent significant growth in these areas.
  5. Recovery in Truckload and Industrial Market Demand: While facing current market headwinds, TFI International anticipates a potential recovery in the industrial sector by late 2025 or early 2026. This expected improvement in market conditions and truckload demand, coupled with economic stimuli and government infrastructure investments, is projected to positively impact future revenue growth.

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Share Repurchases

  • TFI International repurchased over $200 million in common shares during 2025.
  • In October 2023, the company announced an equity buyback plan to repurchase up to 7.1 million common shares, representing 8.33% of its outstanding shares.
  • In October 2024, the company renewed its normal course issuer bid, authorizing the repurchase of up to 7,918,102 common shares, or 10% of its public float.

Share Issuance

  • TFI International's number of outstanding shares decreased from 92.98 million in 2021 to 82.52 million by the end of 2025, indicating no significant share issuance but rather a reduction due to repurchases during this period.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2021, TFI International acquired UPS Freight for approximately $800 million, transforming its North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) segment into TForce Freight.
  • The company acquired Daseke in April 2024 for $1.1 billion, which significantly expanded its Truckload segment by adding approximately 4,900 tractors and 11,000 flatbed and specialized trailers.
  • TFI International completed a total of 37 acquisitions across various sectors and countries, with peak activity in 2024 (7 acquisitions) and 2023 (7 acquisitions), including notable tuck-in deals like Keystone Western in November 2024 and Siemens Transportation Group in 2023.

Capital Expenditures

  • Net capital expenditures for 2026, excluding real estate, are projected to be between $225 million and $250 million.
  • For the fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures amounted to over $273 million. In fiscal year 2024, capital expenditures were $564.8 million.
  • Capital expenditures are primarily focused on internal growth investments, optimizing its U.S. LTL operations, and leveraging infrastructure for growth opportunities such as data centers and the electric grid.

Better Bets vs. TFI International (TFII)

Peer Outperformance in Cargo Ground Transportation

TFII has trailed 73% of its 15 Cargo Ground Transportation peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are XPO, R and JBHT. Cargo Ground Transportation ranks 11th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Cargo Ground Transportation constituents that TFII has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
0%
of 17 industry peers · 11.3% return
3Y
38%
of 16 industry peers · -10.5% return
5Y
27%
of 15 industry peers · -9.7% return
Cargo Ground Transportation peers with revenue growth within 4pp of TFII's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
TFII TFI International 3.9% 22.1x 11.3%-10.5%-9.7% —
XPO XPO 5.1% 43.9x 34.2%122.3%288.1% +298pp
R Ryder System 2.7% 20.5x 64.3%186.7%257.5% +267pp
JBHT JB Hunt Transport Services 0.6% 31.6x 35.5%34.9%19.7% +29pp
SNDR Schneider National 1.7% 35.8x 32.7%37.9%18.6% +28pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Cargo Ground Transportation is TFII's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Construction & Engineering 28 -13.1%102.0%110.3% FIX 1052% · STRL 943% · AGX 661%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 14 12.3%66.8%100.8% ALSN 273% · WAB 218% · CAT 214%
Marine Transportation 5 17.8%34.2%94.4% MATX 141% · KEX 120%
Aerospace & Defense 54 2.3%56.3%60.0% ATI 1004% · FTAI 897% · HWM 608%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 5.6%52.1%34.6% CRS 827% · MLI 285% · SYM 255%
Rail Transportation 7 33.7%77.8%34.3% CSX 59% · UNP 40% · NSC 34%
Diversified Support Services 34 18.4%42.6%32.8% CXW 176% · OPLN 131% · CACI 128%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 14.8%37.2%29.1% DXPE 336% · URI 210% · AIT 195%
Building Products 34 -2.3%10.6%16.1% MOD 833% · GFF 343% · TT 134%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 15.4%8.4%3.7% CSW 102% · DD 76% · CSL 73%
Cargo Ground Transportation ← 16 35.2%17.0%3.5% XPO 288% · R 258% · ARCB 24%
Electrical Components & Equipment 39 -1.7%62.3%2.5% POWL 1567% · VRT 689% · BE 491%
Office Services & Supplies 10 16.3%21.5%0.6% PBI 138% · HNI 39% · MSA 21%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -8.7%1.7%-13.2% EXLS 58% · BR 19% · G -9%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 16 12.0%-3.0%-25.0% DE 102% · TTC 13% · AGCO 1%
Research & Consulting Services 13 1.0%-11.0%-26.2% HURN 219% · FCN 36% · BAH 6%
Passenger Airlines 11 3.7%75.1%-29.8% LTM 3143% · UAL 123% · DAL 113%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -16.5%27.5%-33.6% GEO 237% · CLH 177% · RSG 99%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 20.7%-14.4%-41.4% ADP 49% · FA 18% · PAYX 8%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -31.2%-6.3%-42.6% FDX 74% · EXPD 62% · CHRW 60%
Security & Alarm Services 9 -47.7%42.1%-45.7% BCO 87%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -26.1%32.3%-50.5% UBER 53% · CAR -50% · LYFT -69%
Airport Services 4 -40.6%-60.2%-83.3% JOBY -41%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TFIIUPSFDXODFLXPOKNXMedian
NameTFI Inte.United P.FedEx Old Domi.XPO Knight-S. 
Mkt Price96.22110.61319.31171.48188.6061.73141.04
Mkt Cap7.994.175.435.522.110.028.8
Rev LTM8,38591,36895,3315,7878,8358,0038,610
Op Inc LTM6246,5166,3921,5409353921,237
FCF LTM5756,351-1,174657753753
FCF 3Y Avg6525,035-1,02832231652
CFO LTM8959,288-1,4261,1321,5231,426
CFO 3Y Avg9858,990-1,5279831,0511,051

Growth & Margins

TFIIUPSFDXODFLXPOKNXMedian
NameTFI Inte.United P.FedEx Old Domi.XPO Knight-S. 
Rev Chg LTM4.2%2.1%7.6%3.8%9.5%7.0%5.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.9%-0.6%2.5%-0.3%5.1%4.9%3.2%
Rev Chg Q13.4%6.7%2.7%13.1%12.4%14.2%12.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.2%1.6%0.6%3.3%3.1%3.5%3.2%
Op Inc Chg LTM2.3%-20.7%4.4%10.7%32.4%22.2%7.6%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-4.3%-12.3%3.9%-1.7%26.0%7.7%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM7.4%7.1%6.7%26.6%10.6%4.9%7.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.1%8.4%6.8%26.4%9.4%3.9%8.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.2%-0.3%0.8%0.7%1.0%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM10.7%10.2%-24.6%12.8%19.0%12.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.0%9.9%-26.5%11.8%13.6%12.0%
FCF/Rev LTM6.9%7.0%-20.3%7.4%9.4%7.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.9%5.6%-17.8%0.2%2.9%5.6%

Valuation

TFIIUPSFDXODFLXPOKNXMedian
NameTFI Inte.United P.FedEx Old Domi.XPO Knight-S. 
Mkt Cap7.994.175.435.522.110.028.8
P/S0.91.00.86.12.51.31.1
P/Op Inc12.714.411.823.123.625.618.8
P/EBIT13.113.611.523.025.130.518.3
P/E22.221.319.330.643.965.526.4
P/CFO8.810.1-24.919.56.610.1
Total Yield6.4%10.5%6.5%3.9%2.3%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield1.9%5.8%1.4%0.7%0.0%1.3%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.1%6.0%-2.9%-0.5%2.1%2.9%
D/E0.40.30.50.00.20.30.3
Net D/E0.40.20.3-0.00.20.20.2

Returns

TFIIUPSFDXODFLXPOKNXMedian
NameTFI Inte.United P.FedEx Old Domi.XPO Knight-S. 
1M Rtn-15.0%16.7%9.9%-6.4%4.1%-2.0%1.0%
3M Rtn-34.4%6.5%-5.5%-20.4%-10.6%-15.5%-13.1%
6M Rtn-32.1%16.1%5.7%-13.5%-8.2%-8.8%-8.5%
12M Rtn11.5%22.6%50.9%24.3%34.2%39.5%29.3%
3Y Rtn-10.3%-6.1%72.6%-10.7%122.3%28.9%11.4%
1M Excs Rtn-13.2%16.8%10.9%-5.7%3.2%-1.0%1.1%
3M Excs Rtn-32.0%9.7%-2.1%-16.5%-8.5%-12.4%-10.4%
6M Excs Rtn-33.7%14.5%4.2%-15.1%-9.8%-10.3%-10.1%
12M Excs Rtn2.8%12.7%40.2%12.4%25.1%29.7%18.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-84.8%-81.6%-0.6%-85.9%58.5%-47.0%-64.3%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Less-Than-Truckload3,2713,7033,9494,0232,815
Truckload3,0972,9371,9362,4512,163
Logistics1,5821,8221,6971,7631,662
Corporate0000-61
Eliminations-65-65-61-760
Package and Courier   651641
Total7,8858,3977,5218,8127,220


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Less-Than-Truckload260361425471573
Truckload220252237367230
Logistics131182160140143
Eliminations00000
Corporate-46-77-6534-75
Package and Courier   134108
Total5657197581,146979


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Truckload3,3743,3942,0041,8612,318
Less-Than-Truckload2,4922,6192,6892,2762,351
Logistics1,3791,0991,140732747
Corporate2645545027588
Eliminations00000
Package and Courier   363380
Total7,5097,1666,2845,5065,884


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$96.09 
Market Cap ($ Bil)7.9 
First Trading Date10/27/2008 
Distance from 52W High-40.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$115.29$128.16
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA-16.7%-25.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility45.1%40.1%
Downside Capture198.14113.65
Upside Capture6.46115.79
Correlation (S&P 500)38.2%39.7%
TFII Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.241.671.751.231.181.07
Up Beta-2.960.551.260.450.531.11
Down Beta5.804.473.751.721.780.70
Up Capture-95%-20%43%69%129%121%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days8162655129376
Down Capture264%234%234%170%116%108%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days14273871121374

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TFII
TFII14.0%40.1%0.42-
Sector ETF (XLI)10.9%18.3%0.4146.7%
Equity (SPY)11.8%13.7%0.5539.4%
Gold (GLD)-6.6%28.9%-0.2422.9%
Commodities (DBC)32.8%21.3%1.22-15.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)9.8%14.2%0.4131.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-28.5%43.4%-0.668.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TFII
TFII-2.0%38.2%0.04-
Sector ETF (XLI)11.6%17.8%0.4955.6%
Equity (SPY)11.6%17.3%0.5051.5%
Gold (GLD)16.2%19.2%0.6810.7%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.305.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.4%18.9%-0.0438.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)3.7%51.5%0.2519.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with TFII
TFII12.0%40.5%0.49-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.5%20.2%0.5852.5%
Equity (SPY)15.5%18.0%0.7351.1%
Gold (GLD)11.1%16.6%0.549.6%
Commodities (DBC)7.6%18.1%0.3316.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)6.2%20.7%0.2542.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.4%66.3%0.9818.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 101520266.0%
Average Daily Volume0.4 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.0 days
Basic Shares Quantity82.2 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/29/20266-K
06/30/202607/27/20266-K
12/31/202502/17/202640-F
09/30/202510/30/20256-K
06/30/202507/28/20256-K
03/31/202504/23/20256-K
12/31/202402/19/202540-F
09/30/202410/21/20246-K
06/30/202407/25/20246-K
03/31/202404/25/20246-K
12/31/202302/16/202440-F
09/30/202310/23/20236-K
06/30/202307/31/20236-K
03/31/202304/25/20236-K
12/31/202202/23/202340-F
09/30/202210/27/20226-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/29/20266-K
06/30/202607/27/20266-K
12/31/202502/17/202640-F
09/30/202510/30/20256-K
06/30/202507/28/20256-K
03/31/202504/23/20256-K
12/31/202402/19/202540-F
09/30/202410/21/20246-K
06/30/202407/25/20246-K
03/31/202404/25/20246-K
12/31/202302/16/202440-F
09/30/202310/23/20236-K
06/30/202307/31/20236-K
03/31/202304/25/20236-K
12/31/202202/23/202340-F
09/30/202210/27/20226-K
06/30/202207/28/20226-K
03/31/202204/28/20226-K
12/31/202103/15/202240-F
09/30/202110/28/20216-K
06/30/202107/26/20216-K
03/31/202104/27/20216-K
12/31/202002/18/202140-F
09/30/202010/23/20206-K

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 13, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Turas Capital Management LP$42.8 Mil10.9%37New13F
CDAM (UK) Ltd$42.9 Mil9.5%11Hold13F
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$147.9 Mil4.8%44New13F
Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc.$117.6 Mil4.4%39TRIM -21.3%13F
Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management Ltd.$26.4 Mil1.9%33TRIM -10.4%13F
Hill City Capital, LP$15.8 Mil0.6%23Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$147.9 Mil4.8%44New13F
Turas Capital Management LP$42.8 Mil10.9%37New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc.$117.6 Mil4.4%39TRIM -21.3%13F
Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management Ltd.$26.4 Mil1.9%33TRIM -10.4%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc.$147.9 Mil4.8%44New13F
Turtle Creek Asset Management Inc.$117.6 Mil4.4%39TRIM -21.3%13F
CDAM (UK) Ltd$42.9 Mil9.5%11Hold13F
Turas Capital Management LP$42.8 Mil10.9%37New13F
Scheer, Rowlett & Associates Investment Management Ltd.$26.4 Mil1.9%33TRIM -10.4%13F
Hill City Capital, LP$15.8 Mil0.6%23Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/12/2026