Tearsheet

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $153.0 | Market Cap: $32.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $153.0
Market Cap: $32.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Automation & Robotics. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ODFL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) stock experienced positive movement, such as 0.4%, during the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Exceeded Q3 2025 Earnings Estimates

Old Dominion Freight Line reported third-quarter 2025 earnings per diluted share of $1.28 on October 29, 2025, which surpassed analyst consensus estimates of $1.22.

2. Implementation of a General Rate Increase

The company announced a 4.9% general rate increase (GRI), effective November 3, 2025, signaling a focus on yield management and potentially improving revenue per hundredweight despite softer volumes.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ODFL Return55%84%-20%43%-13%-19%129%
Peers Return47%56%-23%68%4%-9%182%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ODFL Win Rate67%75%33%67%50%40% 
Peers Win Rate67%67%35%62%50%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ODFL Max Drawdown-15%-2%-35%-1%-17%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-4%-36%-6%-16%-32% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ODFL, JBHT, XPO, KNX, SAIA. See ODFL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventODFLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-36.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven56.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven229 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven50 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-31.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven227 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-50.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven615 days1480 days

Compare to ODFL, JBHT, XPO, KNX, SAIA


In The Past

Old Dominion Freight Line's stock fell -36.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/7/2021. A -36.2% loss requires a 56.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ODFL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.4%-2.4%-12.8%
ODFL_2282025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-14.0%-19.4%-28.1%
ODFL_11302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302022ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%29.1%-6.9%
ODFL_5312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312022ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.2%20.6%-10.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
ODFL_9122025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09122025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-2.4%-2.4%-12.8%
ODFL_2282025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper02282025ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-14.0%-19.4%-28.1%
ODFL_11302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11302022ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%29.1%-6.9%
ODFL_5312022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper05312022ODFLOld Dominion Freight LineMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
13.2%20.6%-10.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Old Dominion Freight Line

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ODFLJBHTXPOKNXSAIAMedian
NameOld Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Knight-S.Saia  
Mkt Price------
Mkt Cap------
Rev LTM------
Op Inc LTM------
FCF LTM------
FCF 3Y Avg------
CFO LTM------
CFO 3Y Avg------

Growth & Margins

ODFLJBHTXPOKNXSAIAMedian
NameOld Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Knight-S.Saia  
Rev Chg LTM------
Rev Chg 3Y Avg------
Rev Chg Q------
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM------
Op Mgn LTM------
Op Mgn 3Y Avg------
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM------
CFO/Rev LTM------
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg------
FCF/Rev LTM------
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg------

Valuation

ODFLJBHTXPOKNXSAIAMedian
NameOld Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Knight-S.Saia  
Mkt Cap------
P/S------
P/EBIT------
P/E------
P/CFO------
Total Yield------
Dividend Yield------
FCF Yield 3Y Avg------
D/E------
Net D/E------

Returns

ODFLJBHTXPOKNXSAIAMedian
NameOld Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Knight-S.Saia  
1M Rtn------
3M Rtn------
6M Rtn------
12M Rtn------
3Y Rtn------
1M Excs Rtn------
3M Excs Rtn------
6M Excs Rtn------
12M Excs Rtn------
3Y Excs Rtn------

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Less-than-truckload (LTL) services5,8056,1775,1773,9614,055
Other services6183795454
Total5,8666,2605,2564,0154,109


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,686,268
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.6%
Average Daily Volume2,080,027
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.14
Basic Shares Quantity209,850,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022222202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021