Tearsheet

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $52.39 | Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)


Market Price (12/20/2025): $52.39
Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more.
  Key risks
KNX key risks include [1] integration challenges and higher operating costs in its LTL unit from recent acquisitions and [2] significant one-time charges related to exiting its third-party insurance business and settling large auto liability claims.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -52%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 60x
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
6 Key risks
KNX key risks include [1] integration challenges and higher operating costs in its LTL unit from recent acquisitions and [2] significant one-time charges related to exiting its third-party insurance business and settling large auto liability claims.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KNX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) experienced an approximate 20.2% stock movement during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 20, 2025, driven by several key factors: 1. Positive Analyst Upgrades and Price Target Increases: Throughout the specified period, multiple analysts reiterated "Buy" or "Strong Buy" ratings and increased their price targets for KNX. Notably, in October 2025, TD Cowen raised its price target from $44.00 to $53.00, representing a 20.45% increase, while Bank of America Securities upgraded KNX from "Neutral" to "Buy" and boosted its price target from $41.00 to $50.00, a 21.95% increase. These actions signaled strong analyst confidence in the company's future performance.

2. Strategic Fleet Capacity Reductions to Address Market Conditions: Knight-Swift initiated and continued efforts to reduce its fleet capacity. This strategic move aimed to address trucking overcapacity and softer freight demand, with the goal of improving revenue earned per tractor unit despite ongoing cost pressures. The market likely viewed these proactive measures as a positive step towards enhancing efficiency and profitability.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KNX Return18%47%-13%11%-7%1%56%
Peers Return44%53%-23%68%9%-4%199%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KNX Win Rate75%67%25%42%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate65%68%38%62%52%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KNX Max Drawdown-20%-4%-28%-12%-20%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-3%-35%-5%-16%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JBHT, ODFL, SNDR, XPO, SAIA. See KNX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKNXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven260 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven71 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven840 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven379 days1,480 days

Compare to ARCB, ODFL, JBHT, XPO, SAIA


In The Past

Knight-Swift Transportation's stock fell -29.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -29.0% loss requires a 40.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)

Better Bets than Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
KNX_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
34.1%51.4%0.0%
KNX_7312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312018KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%10.9%-26.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.0%18.0%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.8%6.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
3.6%3.6%-0.4%
KNX_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
34.1%51.4%0.0%
KNX_7312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312018KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%10.9%-26.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Knight-Swift Transportation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KNXJBHTODFLSNDRXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.JB Hunt .Old Domi.Schneide.XPO Saia  
Mkt Price52.36197.68157.3927.01138.52320.29147.95
Mkt Cap8.519.033.04.716.38.612.5
Rev LTM7,47812,0495,5755,6148,0673,2336,546
Op Inc LTM3218261,391175706390548
FCF LTM-62790921114232-14173
FCF 3Y Avg-238882732-206-9715
CFO LTM8181,6101,461651949622883
CFO 3Y Avg9471,6471,550699808583877

Growth & Margins

KNXJBHTODFLSNDRXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.JB Hunt .Old Domi.Schneide.XPO Saia  
Rev Chg LTM-0.0%-1.6%-5.9%5.5%-0.3%2.0%-0.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.1%-6.3%-3.3%-5.0%38.4%5.7%-1.6%
Rev Chg Q2.7%-0.5%-4.3%10.4%2.8%-0.3%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%-0.1%-1.1%2.5%0.7%-0.1%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.3%6.9%24.9%3.1%8.8%12.1%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.8%7.2%26.9%4.4%8.0%14.5%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.2%-0.4%-0.2%0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM10.9%13.4%26.2%11.6%11.8%19.2%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.1%13.1%26.8%12.6%10.1%19.0%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.8%6.6%16.5%2.0%2.9%-0.4%2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.0%3.2%14.3%0.6%-2.6%-2.9%0.3%

Valuation

KNXJBHTODFLSNDRXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.JB Hunt .Old Domi.Schneide.XPO Saia  
Mkt Cap8.519.033.04.716.38.612.5
P/S1.11.65.90.82.02.61.8
P/EBIT24.222.823.726.224.521.924.0
P/E59.733.231.241.549.230.237.3
P/CFO10.411.822.67.317.213.812.8
Total Yield2.7%3.9%3.9%3.8%2.0%3.3%3.6%
Dividend Yield1.0%0.9%0.7%1.4%0.0%0.0%0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.1%2.8%2.2%0.9%-1.8%-0.8%0.4%
D/E0.40.10.00.10.30.00.1
Net D/E0.40.10.00.10.20.00.1

Returns

KNXJBHTODFLSNDRXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.JB Hunt .Old Domi.Schneide.XPO Saia  
1M Rtn25.9%23.6%23.7%30.5%9.3%26.5%24.8%
3M Rtn31.2%49.6%12.0%20.9%5.8%3.3%16.5%
6M Rtn23.9%42.4%1.0%14.9%15.6%24.9%19.7%
12M Rtn1.7%19.0%-15.6%-6.6%-4.8%-35.3%-5.7%
3Y Rtn6.4%15.7%12.6%20.8%302.8%47.1%18.3%
1M Excs Rtn23.0%20.7%20.8%27.6%6.4%23.6%21.9%
3M Excs Rtn31.0%49.6%11.4%21.2%3.3%3.7%16.3%
6M Excs Rtn6.4%25.9%-15.5%-0.8%-2.1%5.2%2.2%
12M Excs Rtn-14.4%-0.2%-33.3%-21.8%-25.3%-52.8%-23.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.1%-62.3%-67.6%-60.7%195.1%-37.0%-61.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truckload4,6994,5314,0983,786 
Less-than-truckload (LTL)1,0821,070396391 
Logistics582921817376 
All Other Segments462517-79189131
Intermodal411486459  
Eliminations-94-95306-68-48
Knight – Logistics    353
Knight – Trucking    3,953
Swift – Intermodal    455
Total7,1427,4295,9984,6744,844


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truckload298747784579 
Less-than-truckload (LTL)11912731  
Logistics431349420 
Eliminations0    
Intermodal-114842-1 
All Other Segments-1123714-33-68
Knight – Logistics    22
Knight – Trucking    469
Swift – Intermodal    5
Total3381,092966564427


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,583,876
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.1%
Average Daily Volume2,378,204
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.61
Basic Shares Quantity162,305,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-7.1%-6.1%-12.0%
7/23/2025-0.2%-7.2%-6.4%
4/23/20251.9%-1.1%9.9%
1/22/20254.7%6.1%-5.2%
10/23/2024-1.5%0.6%6.6%
7/24/20246.3%11.1%9.2%
4/17/2024-4.4%-3.1%-1.7%
1/24/20241.6%0.7%2.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141312
# Negative101112
Median Positive2.2%6.1%8.8%
Median Negative-3.3%-3.1%-4.8%
Max Positive11.7%11.1%15.6%
Max Negative-7.1%-8.6%-12.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021