Tearsheet

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $52.67 | Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $52.67
Market Cap: $8.5 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  Key risks
KNX key risks include [1] integration challenges and higher operating costs in its LTL unit from recent acquisitions and [2] significant one-time charges related to exiting its third-party insurance business and settling large auto liability claims.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -72%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
5 Key risks
KNX key risks include [1] integration challenges and higher operating costs in its LTL unit from recent acquisitions and [2] significant one-time charges related to exiting its third-party insurance business and settling large auto liability claims.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KNX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) experienced notable movements between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. This period saw a significant 20.9% change, influenced by a combination of company-specific earnings, broader industry trends, and analyst sentiment.

1. Knight-Swift's Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Report.
On October 22, 2025, Knight-Swift announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.32, which missed analysts' consensus estimates of $0.37, representing a 13.51% negative surprise. However, revenue for the quarter reached $1.93 billion, surpassing the anticipated $1.90 billion and marking a 2.4% increase year-over-year. Despite the revenue beat, the EPS miss and a 5.9% year-over-year decrease in adjusted EPS (from $0.34 in Q3 2024) primarily due to a $0.10 negative impact from loss contingency and claims accrual, likely contributed to stock fluctuations.

2. Growth in LTL Segment and Operational Efficiencies.
Knight-Swift's Q3 2025 performance showed resilience in revenue growth driven by improvements in its less-than-truckload (LTL) business and operational efficiencies. The LTL segment experienced strong growth, with shipments per day increasing by 14.2% and revenue per shipment rising by 6.6%. The company also announced the harmonization of its LTL business under one consolidated brand, AAA Cooper, signaling a strategic focus on this growing segment. Adjusted operating income for the company improved by 14.2% year-over-year, highlighting effective cost management and strategic initiatives.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KNX Return18%47%-13%11%-7%2%59%
Peers Return44%53%-23%68%9%-3%203%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KNX Win Rate75%67%25%42%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate65%68%38%62%52%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KNX Max Drawdown-20%-4%-28%-12%-20%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-31%-3%-35%-5%-16%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: JBHT, ODFL, SNDR, XPO, SAIA. See KNX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKNXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven260 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven71 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven840 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven379 days1,480 days

Compare to ARCB, ODFL, JBHT, XPO, SAIA


In The Past

Knight-Swift Transportation's stock fell -29.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -29.0% loss requires a 40.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)

Better Bets than Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
KNX_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
34.1%51.4%0.0%
KNX_7312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312018KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%10.9%-26.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
KNX_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
34.1%51.4%0.0%
KNX_7312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312018KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%10.9%-26.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Knight-Swift Transportation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KNXJBHTODFLSNDRXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.JB Hunt .Old Domi.Schneide.XPO Saia  
Mkt Price52.66194.10155.7326.75145.10328.00150.41
Mkt Cap8.518.732.74.717.18.812.9
Rev LTM7,47812,0495,5755,6148,0673,2336,546
Op Inc LTM3218261,391175706390548
FCF LTM-62790921114232-14173
FCF 3Y Avg-238882732-206-9715
CFO LTM8181,6101,461651949622883
CFO 3Y Avg9471,6471,550699808583877

Growth & Margins

KNXJBHTODFLSNDRXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.JB Hunt .Old Domi.Schneide.XPO Saia  
Rev Chg LTM-0.0%-1.6%-5.9%5.5%-0.3%2.0%-0.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.1%-6.3%-3.3%-5.0%38.4%5.7%-1.6%
Rev Chg Q2.7%-0.5%-4.3%10.4%2.8%-0.3%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%-0.1%-1.1%2.5%0.7%-0.1%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM4.3%6.9%24.9%3.1%8.8%12.1%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.8%7.2%26.9%4.4%8.0%14.5%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.2%-0.4%-0.2%0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM10.9%13.4%26.2%11.6%11.8%19.2%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.1%13.1%26.8%12.6%10.1%19.0%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.8%6.6%16.5%2.0%2.9%-0.4%2.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.0%3.2%14.3%0.6%-2.6%-2.9%0.3%

Valuation

KNXJBHTODFLSNDRXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.JB Hunt .Old Domi.Schneide.XPO Saia  
Mkt Cap8.518.732.74.717.18.812.9
P/S0.91.15.30.71.92.51.5
P/EBIT18.315.521.220.622.920.520.5
P/E45.122.527.932.545.928.230.4
P/CFO7.88.020.25.716.112.910.4
Total Yield3.6%5.8%4.4%4.9%2.2%3.5%4.0%
Dividend Yield1.4%1.3%0.8%1.8%0.0%0.0%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.1%2.8%2.2%0.9%-1.8%-0.8%0.4%
D/E0.50.10.00.10.30.00.1
Net D/E0.50.10.00.10.20.00.1

Returns

KNXJBHTODFLSNDRXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.JB Hunt .Old Domi.Schneide.XPO Saia  
1M Rtn26.3%21.1%20.1%29.3%13.4%25.0%23.1%
3M Rtn26.7%44.7%10.0%15.3%11.8%6.4%13.6%
6M Rtn23.9%40.4%0.2%12.7%20.3%25.9%22.1%
12M Rtn-0.9%10.7%-21.2%-9.7%-8.1%-38.4%-8.9%
3Y Rtn0.6%11.9%7.4%15.0%300.6%43.1%13.5%
1M Excs Rtn25.5%20.4%19.4%28.6%12.7%24.3%22.3%
3M Excs Rtn26.5%42.7%8.2%15.3%8.9%2.8%12.1%
6M Excs Rtn11.5%28.1%-12.2%0.3%7.9%13.5%9.7%
12M Excs Rtn-14.6%-1.9%-32.9%-23.5%-18.2%-49.0%-20.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-71.5%-61.4%-63.5%-57.5%222.3%-30.3%-59.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truckload4,6994,5314,0983,786 
Less-than-truckload (LTL)1,0821,070396391 
Logistics582921817376 
All Other Segments462517-79189131
Intermodal411486459  
Eliminations-94-95306-68-48
Knight – Logistics    353
Knight – Trucking    3,953
Swift – Intermodal    455
Total7,1427,4295,9984,6744,844


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truckload298747784579 
Less-than-truckload (LTL)11912731  
Logistics431349420 
Eliminations0    
Intermodal-114842-1 
All Other Segments-1123714-33-68
Knight – Logistics    22
Knight – Trucking    469
Swift – Intermodal    5
Total3381,092966564427


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,583,876
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520252.1%
Average Daily Volume2,378,204
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.61
Basic Shares Quantity162,305,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/2025-7.1%-6.1%-12.0%
7/23/2025-0.2%-7.2%-6.4%
4/23/20251.9%-1.1%9.9%
1/22/20254.7%6.1%-5.2%
10/23/2024-1.5%0.6%6.6%
7/24/20246.3%11.1%9.2%
4/17/2024-4.4%-3.1%-1.7%
1/24/20241.6%0.7%2.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141312
# Negative101112
Median Positive2.2%6.1%8.8%
Median Negative-3.3%-3.1%-4.8%
Max Positive11.7%11.1%15.6%
Max Negative-7.1%-8.6%-12.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021