Tearsheet

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $50.75 | Market Cap: $8.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $50.75
Market Cap: $8.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more.
  
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 39%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Autonomous Trucks, Freight Technology, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -76%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

KNX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX) experienced a dynamic period between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, with its stock movement influenced by several key factors. The stock's closing price was approximately $48.84 as of December 2, 2025.

1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings Report: Knight-Swift reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 22, 2025, which presented a mixed picture. The company surpassed revenue expectations, reaching $1.93 billion against a forecast of $1.90 billion, marking a 2.4% increase year-over-year. However, GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.05, a significant decrease from $0.19 in the same quarter of 2024, and adjusted EPS of $0.32 fell short of the forecasted $0.37. Consolidated operating income saw a 38.2% decrease year-over-year, primarily due to substantial impairment charges and increased insurance and claims costs. Despite these challenges, adjusted operating income increased by 4.2% year-over-year, driven by growth in the Less-Than-Truckload (LTL), warehousing, and leasing segments.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Adjustments: Several financial analysts adjusted their ratings and price targets for KNX during this period, contributing to investor sentiment. Deutsche Bank upgraded Knight-Swift from a "hold" to a "buy" rating and increased its price target from $43.00 to $53.00 on October 2, 2025. Stifel Nicolaus also raised its price target to $52.00 and reiterated a "buy" rating on October 23, 2025. Morgan Stanley maintained an "overweight" rating, although slightly lowering its target price from $68.00 to $67.00 on October 6, 2025. As of December 1, 2025, the company held an average analyst rating of "Moderate Buy" with a consensus target price of $53.29.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
KNX Return18%47%-13%11%-7%-7%45%
Peers Return55%83%-29%81%1%-13%219%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
KNX Win Rate75%67%25%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate63%72%38%67%50%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
KNX Max Drawdown-20%-4%-28%-12%-20%-28% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-3%-40%-4%-17%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ARCB, ODFL, JBHT, XPO, SAIA. See KNX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventKNXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven40.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven260 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-28.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven71 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven840 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-41.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven69.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven379 days1480 days

Compare to ARCB, ODFL, JBHT, XPO, SAIA


In The Past

Knight-Swift Transportation's stock fell -29.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/29/2021. A -29.0% loss requires a 40.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)

Better Bets than Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to KNX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
KNX_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
34.1%51.4%0.0%
KNX_7312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312018KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%10.9%-26.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
KNX_5312019_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312019KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
34.1%51.4%0.0%
KNX_7312018_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312018KNXKnight-Swift TransportationDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.0%10.9%-26.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Knight-Swift Transportation

Peers to compare with:

Financials

KNXARCBODFLJBHTXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.ArcBest Old Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Saia  
Mkt Price50.7268.62150.94187.92139.76326.22145.35
Mkt Cap8.21.631.718.116.58.712.6
Rev LTM7,4784,0395,57512,0498,0673,2336,526
Op Inc LTM3211111,391826706390548
FCF LTM-6266921790232-14149
FCF 3Y Avg-283827388-206-9740
CFO LTM8182411,4611,610949622883
CFO 3Y Avg9473041,5501,647808583877

Growth & Margins

KNXARCBODFLJBHTXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.ArcBest Old Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Saia  
Rev Chg LTM-0.0%-5.3%-5.9%-1.6%-0.3%2.0%-0.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.1%-5.8%-3.3%-6.3%38.4%5.7%-1.6%
Rev Chg Q2.7%-1.4%-4.3%-0.5%2.8%-0.3%-0.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%-0.4%-1.1%-0.1%0.7%-0.1%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM4.3%2.7%24.9%6.9%8.8%12.1%7.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.8%3.8%26.9%7.2%8.0%14.5%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.1%-0.4%0.2%0.1%-0.2%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM10.9%6.0%26.2%13.4%11.8%19.2%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg13.1%7.1%26.8%13.1%10.1%19.0%13.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.8%1.6%16.5%6.6%2.9%-0.4%2.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.0%1.9%14.3%3.2%-2.6%-2.9%1.0%

Valuation

KNXARCBODFLJBHTXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.ArcBest Old Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Saia  
Mkt Cap8.21.631.718.116.58.712.6
P/S0.90.45.31.11.92.51.5
P/EBIT18.311.121.215.522.920.519.4
P/E45.116.327.922.545.928.228.1
P/CFO7.86.620.28.016.112.910.4
Total Yield3.6%6.8%4.4%5.8%2.2%3.5%4.0%
Dividend Yield1.4%0.7%0.8%1.3%0.0%0.0%0.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.1%3.8%2.2%2.8%-1.8%-0.8%1.1%
D/E0.50.30.00.10.30.00.2
Net D/E0.50.20.00.10.20.00.2

Returns

KNXARCBODFLJBHTXPOSAIAMedian
NameKnight-S.ArcBest Old Domi.JB Hunt .XPO Saia  
1M Rtn15.6%-4.1%10.0%10.7%1.1%14.6%10.3%
3M Rtn16.4%-5.2%2.1%29.6%11.1%12.1%11.6%
6M Rtn14.4%8.1%-6.2%34.9%21.6%23.1%18.0%
12M Rtn-9.3%-36.5%-30.4%2.8%-8.9%-40.5%-19.8%
3Y Rtn-7.5%-13.9%1.5%5.9%266.4%37.2%3.7%
1M Excs Rtn15.6%-4.1%10.0%10.7%1.1%14.7%10.4%
3M Excs Rtn9.6%-13.0%-3.7%24.3%1.5%4.4%2.9%
6M Excs Rtn-0.3%-6.7%-20.9%20.2%6.9%8.3%3.3%
12M Excs Rtn-26.8%-53.6%-45.9%-13.0%-21.8%-56.2%-36.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.4%-85.4%-66.2%-62.9%206.7%-29.4%-64.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truckload4,6994,5314,0983,786 
Less-than-truckload (LTL)1,0821,070396391 
Logistics582921817376 
All Other Segments462517-79189131
Intermodal411486459  
Eliminations-94-95306-68-48
Knight – Logistics    353
Knight – Trucking    3,953
Swift – Intermodal    455
Total7,1427,4295,9984,6744,844


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Truckload298747784579 
Less-than-truckload (LTL)11912731  
Logistics431349420 
Eliminations0    
Intermodal-114842-1 
All Other Segments-1123714-33-68
Knight – Logistics    22
Knight – Trucking    469
Swift – Intermodal    5
Total3381,092966564427


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,407,183
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.1%
Average Daily Volume2,651,548
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.17
Basic Shares Quantity162,305,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022803202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021