Tearsheet

TFI International (TFII)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $96.16 | Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

TFI International (TFII)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $96.16
Market Cap: $7.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.0%, FCF Yield is 9.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 43%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Future of Freight, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -68%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -79%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TFII Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the downward pressure on TFI International (TFII) stock during the approximate period from late August 2025 to early December 2025, consistent with a negative movement.

1. Decline in Q3 2025 Financial Results
TFI International reported a significant decline in its third-quarter 2025 financial performance compared to the previous year. Operating income fell to $153.3 million from $201.2 million, net income decreased to $84.7 million from $125.9 million, and diluted earnings per share dropped to $1.02 from $1.48.

2. Reduced Revenue Due to Weaker Market Demand
The company experienced a decrease in total revenue, primarily driven by reduced volumes resulting from weaker end-market demand. Specifically, Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) revenue declined by 11%, Truckload by 7%, and Logistics by 14% compared to the third quarter of 2024, indicating ongoing customer uncertainty impacting business volumes.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TFII Return56%120%-9%37%1%-32%191%
Peers Return30%41%-15%54%10%-3%156%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TFII Win Rate67%75%50%58%50%50% 
Peers Win Rate60%68%40%62%53%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TFII Max Drawdown-49%-1%-35%-1%-4%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-3%-30%-7%-14%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XPO, R, WERN, ODFL, JBHT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTFIIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven64.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven235 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven112.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven106 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven115 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-51.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven103.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven56 days1480 days

Compare to XPO, R, WERN, ODFL, JBHT


In The Past

TFI International's stock fell -39.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 10/28/2021. A -39.3% loss requires a 64.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About TFI International (TFII)

Better Bets than TFI International (TFII)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TFII. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
9.5%9.5%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.5%7.5%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.8%2.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
0.0%0.0%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for TFI International

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TFIIXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameTFI Inte.XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Price93.10139.76178.4928.79150.94187.92145.35
Mkt Cap7.716.57.31.731.718.112.1
Rev LTM8,0488,06712,7082,9915,57512,0498,057
Op Inc LTM6107061,112541,391826766
FCF LTM685232-88-55921790459
FCF 3Y Avg648-206-458-88827388150
CFO LTM9589492,4031911,4611,6101,209
CFO 3Y Avg1,0078082,3293471,5501,6471,278

Growth & Margins

TFIIXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameTFI Inte.XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Rev Chg LTM-2.9%-0.3%1.3%-3.4%-5.9%-1.6%-2.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.0%38.4%2.0%-2.1%-3.3%-6.3%-2.5%
Rev Chg Q-9.9%2.8%-0.3%3.5%-4.3%-0.5%-0.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-2.6%0.7%-0.1%0.9%-1.1%-0.1%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM7.6%8.8%8.8%1.8%24.9%6.9%8.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.9%8.0%8.8%3.9%26.9%7.2%8.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%0.1%0.0%-1.0%-0.4%0.2%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM11.9%11.8%18.9%6.4%26.2%13.4%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%10.1%18.7%10.9%26.8%13.1%12.9%
FCF/Rev LTM8.5%2.9%-0.7%-1.8%16.5%6.6%4.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.1%-2.6%-3.7%-2.7%14.3%3.2%0.3%

Valuation

TFIIXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameTFI Inte.XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Cap7.716.57.31.731.718.112.1
P/S0.91.90.60.55.31.11.0
P/EBIT12.522.97.020.721.215.518.1
P/E22.245.915.362.327.922.525.2
P/CFO7.616.13.28.320.28.08.1
Total Yield6.5%2.2%8.4%3.8%4.4%5.8%5.1%
Dividend Yield2.0%0.0%1.9%2.2%0.8%1.3%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg6.8%-1.8%-8.5%-4.0%2.2%2.8%0.2%
D/E0.40.31.20.50.00.10.3
Net D/E0.40.21.10.40.00.10.3

Returns

TFIIXPORWERNODFLJBHTMedian
NameTFI Inte.XPO Ryder Sy.Werner E.Old Domi.JB Hunt . 
1M Rtn4.2%1.1%6.5%12.1%10.0%10.7%8.3%
3M Rtn-1.9%11.1%-3.5%1.6%2.1%29.6%1.9%
6M Rtn7.6%21.6%21.4%7.6%-6.2%34.9%14.5%
12M Rtn-37.1%-8.9%9.6%-26.9%-30.4%2.8%-17.9%
3Y Rtn-7.9%266.4%112.3%-32.0%1.5%5.9%3.7%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%1.1%6.6%12.1%10.0%10.7%8.3%
3M Excs Rtn-8.6%1.5%-10.2%-4.9%-3.7%24.3%-4.3%
6M Excs Rtn-7.1%6.9%6.6%-7.1%-20.9%20.2%-0.2%
12M Excs Rtn-51.0%-21.8%-5.7%-41.8%-45.9%-13.0%-31.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-79.3%206.7%35.1%-102.3%-66.2%-62.9%-64.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Less-Than-Truckload3,9494,0232,815583719
Truckload1,9362,4512,1631,7321,876
Logistics1,6971,7631,662941772
Corporate00-61  
Eliminations-61-760  
Package and Courier 651641526536
Total7,5218,8127,2203,7813,904


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Less-Than-Truckload4254715738882
Truckload237367230206192
Logistics1601401438457
Eliminations000  
Corporate-6534-75-41-31
Package and Courier 1341087982
Total7581,146979417383


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Less-Than-Truckload2,6892,2762,351594596
Truckload2,0041,8612,3182,1012,067
Logistics1,140732747730422
Corporate450275883553
Eliminations000  
Package and Courier 363380388371
Total6,2845,5065,8843,8473,509


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity809,560
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-7.8%
Average Daily Volume208,495
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.88
Basic Shares Quantity82,523,756
Short % of Basic Shares1.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025103020256-K 9/30/2025
630202572820256-K 6/30/2025
331202542320256-K 3/31/2025
12312024219202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024102120246-K 9/30/2024
630202472520246-K 6/30/2024
331202442520246-K 3/31/2024
12312023216202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023102320236-K 9/30/2023
630202373120236-K 6/30/2023
331202342520236-K 3/31/2023
12312022223202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022102720226-K 9/30/2022
630202272820226-K 6/30/2022
331202242820226-K 3/31/2022
12312021315202240-F 12/31/2021