JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $197.98 | Market Cap: $19.0 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation
JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT)
Market Price (12/14/2025): $197.98Market Cap: $19.0 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Cargo Ground Transportation
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 6.1% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.4% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Future of Freight. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Freight Technology, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 6.1% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Future of Freight. Themes include Last-Mile Delivery, Freight Technology, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.4% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -57% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.3%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.5% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
JBHT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) experienced a significant upward movement of 37.4% between August 31, 2025, and December 14, 2025. This surge was primarily driven by strong third-quarter 2025 earnings and positive analyst sentiment.
1. Robust Q3 2025 Earnings Beat Expectations.
J.B. Hunt Transport Services reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 15, 2025, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.76, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.46 by $0.30. Net earnings increased by 12% to $170.8 million compared to the prior-year period. Total operating revenue was $3.05 billion, slightly above the estimated $3.02 billion, despite a marginal year-over-year decline.
2. Operational Efficiency and Cost Management Initiatives.
The improved profitability in Q3 2025 was largely attributed to J.B. Hunt's effective cost control and enhanced productivity across its segments. The company's "lowering our cost-to-serve" initiative cut over $20 million in expenses during the quarter, contributing to an 8% year-over-year rise in total operating income to $242.7 million. This focus on structural cost removal and operational excellence helped offset increased inflation in areas like insurance, wages, employee benefits, and equipment costs.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| JBHT Return | 18% | 51% | -14% | 16% | -14% | 18% | 81% |
| Peers Return | 30% | 38% | -18% | 45% | 14% | 12% | 173% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| JBHT Win Rate | 58% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 65% | 38% | 58% | 48% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| JBHT Max Drawdown | -35% | -1% | -24% | -5% | -22% | -27% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -5% | -30% | -8% | -17% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: KNX, SNDR, ODFL, XPO, CHRW. See JBHT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | JBHT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 608 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -37.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 58.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 81 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -35.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -53.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 114.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 638 days | 1480 days |
Compare to UHAL, LYFT, KNX, LSTR, ODFL
In The Past
JB Hunt Transport Services's stock fell -29.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/16/2022. A -29.0% loss requires a 40.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to JBHT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.9% | 22.9% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 22.9% | 22.9% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 8.7% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 5.8% | 5.8% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for JB Hunt Transport Services
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 153.07 |
| Mkt Cap | 18.2 |
| Rev LTM | 7,772 |
| Op Inc LTM | 752 |
| FCF LTM | 511 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 210 |
| CFO LTM | 913 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 911 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 18.2 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 20.2 |
| P/E | 30.2 |
| P/CFO | 12.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.6% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 18.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 16.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 9.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 16.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 12.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -17.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -58.3% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Assets by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intermodal (JBI) | 3,391 | 3,270 | 2,858 | 2,426 | 2,217 |
| Dedicated Contract Services (DCS) | 2,355 | 1,952 | 1,630 | 1,482 | 1,445 |
| Other (includes corporate) | 1,389 | 1,160 | 1,003 | 947 | 928 |
| Final Mile Services (FMS) | 634 | 620 | 472 | 486 | 432 |
| Truckload (JBT) | 419 | 474 | 403 | 286 | 241 |
| Integrated Capacity Solutions (ICS) | 350 | 311 | 428 | 301 | 208 |
| Total | 8,538 | 7,787 | 6,794 | 5,928 | 5,471 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/15/2025 | 22.1% | 21.4% | 20.1% |
| 7/15/2025 | 1.7% | 2.1% | -1.7% |
| 4/15/2025 | -7.7% | -3.5% | 9.8% |
| 1/16/2025 | -7.4% | -8.7% | -6.2% |
| 10/15/2024 | 3.1% | 0.6% | 8.6% |
| 7/16/2024 | -6.9% | -6.2% | -6.8% |
| 4/16/2024 | -8.1% | -8.4% | -8.2% |
| 1/18/2024 | 0.9% | 4.7% | 7.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 1.7% | 3.7% | 7.7% |
| Median Negative | -6.9% | -3.1% | -4.5% |
| Max Positive | 22.1% | 21.4% | 20.1% |
| Max Negative | -8.8% | -11.9% | -8.2% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10242025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7242025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4252025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10252024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7262024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4262024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2232024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10272023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2242023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7292022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5022022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |