Saia (SAIA)


Market Price (11/9/2026): $332.0 | Market Cap: $8.9 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Saia (SAIA)


Market Price (11/9/2026): $332.0
Market Cap: $8.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Cargo Ground Transportation

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%

Key risks
SAIA key risks include [1] squeezed operating margins from rising costs that have outpaced revenue growth and [2] a strained balance sheet from high capital expenditures and increased debt tied to its aggressive network expansion.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, Automation & Robotics, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -87%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.3%
5 Key risks
SAIA key risks include [1] squeezed operating margins from rising costs that have outpaced revenue growth and [2] a strained balance sheet from high capital expenditures and increased debt tied to its aggressive network expansion.

SAIA in ETFs

Weight = SAIA's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.01%
IWB0.01%
IJH0.27%
VB0.11%
IYT1.3%
IJJ0.54%
MDYV0.53%
+19 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 11/1/2026

Saia (SAIA) stock has lost about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Financial Performance: Saia reported record revenue of $982.5 million for fiscal Q3 2026, a 17.0% increase year-over-year, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.41, up 21.4% from an adjusted $2.81 in fiscal Q3 2025, exceeding analyst estimates. This robust performance, driven by an 8.9% increase in tonnage per workday and a 5.8% rise in revenue per shipment excluding fuel surcharge, likely provided significant support to the stock, preventing a decline during the period.

2. Favorable Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Market Dynamics: The LTL freight market experienced a recovery in fiscal Q3 2026, characterized by tightening capacity, increasing average shipment weights, and rising rates across the industry. Saia capitalized on these conditions, implementing a 7.1% general rate increase on July 6, 2026, and achieving average contractual rate renewals of 10.8% during the quarter. This positive macroeconomic backdrop for the LTL sector contributed to Saia's stable stock movement.

Show more
Updated on 11/1/2026

Saia (SAIA) stock has lost about 5% since 7/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q3 2026 Financial Performance: Saia reported record revenue of $982.5 million for fiscal Q3 2026, a 17.0% increase year-over-year, and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.41, up 21.4% from an adjusted $2.81 in fiscal Q3 2025, exceeding analyst estimates. This robust performance, driven by an 8.9% increase in tonnage per workday and a 5.8% rise in revenue per shipment excluding fuel surcharge, likely provided significant support to the stock, preventing a decline during the period.

2. Favorable Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) Market Dynamics: The LTL freight market experienced a recovery in fiscal Q3 2026, characterized by tightening capacity, increasing average shipment weights, and rising rates across the industry. Saia capitalized on these conditions, implementing a 7.1% general rate increase on July 6, 2026, and achieving average contractual rate renewals of 10.8% during the quarter. This positive macroeconomic backdrop for the LTL sector contributed to Saia's stable stock movement.

3. Strategic Network Expansion and Operational Efficiency: Saia continued to leverage its ongoing investments in network expansion, having added 45 terminals and relocated or expanded over 25 other locations since early 2022, increasing its operational door count by approximately 32% and tractor and trailer capacity by more than 35%. The company's "REV Initiative," launched in June 2026, further improved transit times across more than 2,000 lanes, enhancing service levels and driving outsized volume growth. These strategic initiatives reinforce Saia's competitive position and underpin investor confidence.

4. Share Repurchase Program and Strong Free Cash Flow Generation: Saia's Board of Directors authorized a new $250 million common stock repurchase program in fiscal Q3 2026, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. The company also generated more than $240 million of free cash flow year-to-date through fiscal Q3 2026, ending the quarter with $203 million of cash on hand. These strong capital allocation and liquidity metrics provided a financial cushion, helping to stabilize the stock.

5. Mixed Analyst Sentiment and Cost Inflationary Pressures: Despite strong earnings, some analysts adjusted their price targets for Saia downwards during the period (e.g., UBS lowered its target from $504 to $430, and TD Cowen reduced its target from $400 to $393). While the consensus remained a "Moderate Buy," these adjustments may have tempered upward momentum. Furthermore, management indicated expectations for continued cost inflation, including wage increases, health insurance, and benefits costs, as well as capital expenditures projected at 13%-14.5% of revenue for fiscal 2027. These forward-looking cost pressures likely counterbalanced some of the positive Q3 results, contributing to the stock trading largely at the same level.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -4.5% change in SAIA stock from 7/31/2026 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -6.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)731202611082026Change
Stock Price ($)347.63331.90-4.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,3923,5354.2%
Net Income Margin (%)8.2%8.0%-2.3%
P/E Multiple33.531.4-6.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)27270.0%
Cumulative Contribution-4.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2026 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SAIA-4.5% 
Market (SPY)-1.6%42.8%
Sector (XLI)-9.5%53.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.1% change in SAIA stock from 4/30/2026 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -33.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)430202611082026Change
Stock Price ($)448.82331.90-26.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,2533,5358.7%
Net Income Margin (%)7.8%8.0%2.1%
P/E Multiple47.131.4-33.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution-26.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SAIA-26.1% 
Market (SPY)2.6%33.1%
Sector (XLI)-6.6%42.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.5% change in SAIA stock from 10/31/2025 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)1031202511082026Change
Stock Price ($)292.50331.9013.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3,2333,5359.3%
Net Income Margin (%)8.8%8.0%-8.7%
P/E Multiple27.631.413.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution13.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2025 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SAIA13.5% 
Market (SPY)8.7%38.7%
Sector (XLI)5.8%50.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.4% change in SAIA stock from 10/31/2023 to 11/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -33.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)1031202311082026Change
Stock Price ($)358.49331.90-7.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2,7863,53526.9%
Net Income Margin (%)12.1%8.0%-33.7%
P/E Multiple28.431.410.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2727-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution-7.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

10/31/2023 to 11/8/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SAIA-7.4% 
Market (SPY)81.9%39.1%
Sector (XLI)72.0%46.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SAIA Return86%-38%109%4%-28%2%84%
Peers Return75%-24%61%-1%-2%27%164%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SAIA Win Rate67%33%67%67%50%55% 
Peers Win Rate72%37%62%45%52%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%45% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SAIA Max Drawdown-21%-49%-22%-39%-53%-33% 
Peers Max Drawdown-19%-36%-25%-27%-38%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ODFL, XPO, ARCB, KNX, JBHT. See SAIA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 11/6/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventSAIAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-50.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven398 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-16.5%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven19.8%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven37 days18 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-13.2%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven17 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-45.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven84.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven358 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven27 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.9%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven223 days105 days

Compare to ODFL, XPO, ARCB, KNX, JBHT

In The Past

Saia's stock fell -50.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 101.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventSAIAS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-50.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven101.3%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven398 days79 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-45.8%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven84.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven358 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-33.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven51.1%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven27 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-28.9%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.7%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven223 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-53.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven113.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven300 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-59.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven145.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven324 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-43.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven75.8%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven123 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-47.9%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven91.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven134 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-42.3%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven73.2%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven2016 days47 days

Compare to ODFL, XPO, ARCB, KNX, JBHT

In The Past

Saia's stock fell -50.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 101.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Saia (SAIA)

Saia, Inc. (SAIA) is a transportation company operating across North America. Its primary business revolves around providing less-than-truckload (LTL) services, catering to businesses that need to ship freight too large for standard parcel delivery but not enough to fill an entire truck.

The company's core LTL offering handles shipments typically ranging between 400 and 10,000 pounds, making it a crucial service for a wide array of commercial customers. In addition to LTL, Saia offers other value-added logistics services, including non-asset truckload solutions, expedited shipping for time-sensitive deliveries, and broader logistics management capabilities, serving the diverse freight movement needs of businesses throughout North America.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Like UPS or FedEx, but specializing in transporting larger, pallet-sized business shipments across North America, rather than small packages.
  • Think of it as an Uber or Lyft for commercial freight, efficiently consolidating multiple businesses' medium-sized shipments onto trucks.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Less-than-Truckload (LTL) Services: Provides transportation for shipments typically ranging from 400 to 10,000 pounds.
  • Non-Asset Truckload Services: Offers full truckload transportation solutions, often leveraging third-party carriers without owning the assets directly.
  • Expedited Services: Delivers time-sensitive shipments with faster transit times.
  • Logistics Services: Provides comprehensive supply chain management and coordination services to clients.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Saia (SAIA) primarily serves other businesses rather than individuals. As a less-than-truckload (LTL) transportation company, its services are utilized by a wide array of commercial and industrial customers for shipping goods.

Saia does not publicly disclose specific "major customers" by name, as its customer base is highly diversified across numerous industries. No single customer accounts for a material percentage of its total revenue, and therefore, specific major customers are not identified in its public filings.

However, Saia's customer base includes businesses from various sectors that require freight shipping services. These categories of customers include:

  • Manufacturing companies
  • Retailers and wholesale distributors
  • E-commerce businesses

Additionally, Saia serves companies in specialized industries such as the chemical, automotive, and food and beverage sectors, providing essential logistics and transportation for their goods across North America.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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Frederick Holzgrefe President and Chief Executive Officer

Frederick Holzgrefe became President and Chief Executive Officer of Saia in April 2020, having previously served as President and Chief Operating Officer from January 2019, and as Chief Financial Officer from 2014. Before joining Saia, he held roles as Vice President of Business Development and prior to that, Vice President and CFO for a Georgia subsidiary of a major agricultural processor (Golden Peanut Company). His career also includes experience in the food and technology industries, as well as in banking and financial advisory services. He managed Financial Planning and Analysis for Commworks Division of 3Com and was a Senior Finance Manager for The Pillsbury Company, and a Senior Associate for Coopers & Lybrand.

Matthew Batteh Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Matthew Batteh was promoted to Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Saia in May 2024, succeeding Douglas Col. He joined Saia in 2015 and has held various roles within the company, including Vice President of Finance since 2023 and Vice President of Pricing and Analytics from 2020 to 2023. Prior to his tenure at Saia, Mr. Batteh began his career at another large transportation and logistics provider (UPS), where he worked in planning, pricing, and operations.

Raymond Ramu Executive Vice President and Chief Customer Officer

Raymond Ramu was appointed Chief Customer Officer of Saia in 2015 and later named Executive Vice President in 2017. In this role, he is responsible for the strategic direction and management of the customer relationship. Before these appointments, he served as Saia's Vice President of Sales, Eastern Division, starting in 2008. Mr. Ramu started his career in the freight industry at the age of 20 with a regional less-than-truckload carrier.

Patrick Sugar Executive Vice President of Operations

Patrick Sugar joined Saia in 2016 and currently serves as Executive Vice President of Operations. In this position, he oversees the operations of all divisions, regions, and facilities, working closely with the CEO and other executive leaders. Prior to joining Saia, he had a career in engineering and operations management within a prominent packaged goods company. He also held the role of Saia's Vice President of Linehaul and Industrial Engineering, where he was involved in developing and implementing key technologies and strategic planning.

Anthony Norwood Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

Anthony Norwood was named Executive Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at Saia, effective March 2, 2022. He is responsible for all aspects of human resources and the development of the company's human capital strategy. Before Saia, Mr. Norwood held the position of Vice President of HR – Corporate at Trane Technologies from 2020 to 2022 and various HR executive roles at Ingersoll Rand from 2008 to 2020. His earlier career includes HR positions of increasing responsibility at Coca-Cola Bottling Co. Consolidated, Merck & Co., Lucent Technologies' New Ventures Group, and Amoco Corporation.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Saia's business:
  1. General Economic Conditions and Freight Demand Fluctuations: Saia's business is highly sensitive to overall economic conditions, including inflationary pressures, economic downturns, and changes in freight demand. These factors can directly impact shipment volumes, pricing power, and ultimately, the company's revenue and profitability.
  2. Rising Operating Costs: The company faces significant risks from increasing operating costs, particularly volatile fuel prices, rising labor expenses (wages and benefits), and higher insurance costs. These direct costs can erode profit margins and challenge the company's financial performance.
  3. Operational Challenges Inherent in LTL Shipping: As an LTL carrier, Saia is exposed to operational risks such as a higher likelihood of freight damage, loss, and shipping delays due to the multiple handling points involved in the less-than-truckload model. These issues can lead to increased claims, diminished customer satisfaction, and operational inefficiencies.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • The rapid emergence and development of autonomous trucking technology, which could fundamentally alter operational costs, labor requirements, and competitive dynamics within the long-haul segments that often feed into less-than-truckload (LTL) networks.
  • The increasing market penetration and technological sophistication of digital freight brokerage platforms (sometimes referred to as "Uber for freight"), which leverage technology to connect shippers and carriers more efficiently, increasing price transparency and potentially disintermediating traditional LTL and non-asset logistics services offered by companies like Saia.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Saia (symbol: SAIA) operates in several key segments of the North American transportation and logistics market. The addressable markets for their main products and services are outlined below:

  • Less-than-truckload (LTL) services: The United States less-than-truckload market was valued at approximately USD 114 billion in 2025. The North America less-than-truckload market generated a revenue of approximately USD 84.63 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach approximately USD 120.55 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1% from 2025 to 2030.
  • Non-asset truckload services: For full-truckload services, the United States full-truck-load market is estimated at USD 448.65 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 547.89 billion by 2031. The North America road freight transport market, which encompasses both LTL and FTL, is expected to increase from USD 660.24 billion in 2025 to USD 686.58 billion in 2026, reaching USD 839.77 billion by 2031.
  • Expedited services: The United States express delivery market was valued at USD 96.30 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow to USD 127.05 billion by 2031. The North America express delivery market holds a value of USD 114.6 billion.
  • Logistics services: The U.S. logistics market was valued at USD 485 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 854.85 billion by 2034. The North America logistics market reached approximately USD 2,398.14 billion in 2025 and is expected to attain a value of USD 4,019.37 billion by 2035, with a CAGR of 5.30% during the forecast period of 2026-2035.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Saia (SAIA) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
  • Network Expansion and New Terminals: Saia has been actively expanding its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) network by opening new terminals. In 2024, the company opened 21 new terminals, including several acquired from Yellow Corp., expanding its national network to 213 locations. This expansion into newer, "ramping markets" has been a primary driver of increased revenue tonnage and shipments.
  • Increased Market Share through National Network: The expanded national network positions Saia to better serve its existing enterprise customers by accommodating new lanes as these customers grow. It also allows Saia to more effectively compete for freight from national shippers, thereby increasing its overall market share and building density within its network.
  • Strategic Pricing and Strong Contract Renewals: Saia anticipates implementing pricing strategies that stay ahead of cost inflation. The company has demonstrated strong pricing power, with contractual rate increases averaging 4.9% in the fourth quarter of 2025 and 6.6% in January 2026. Furthermore, customer retention rates following general rate increases (GRIs) have been notably high, exceeding 90%, which is above historical levels.
  • Operational Efficiencies and Technology Investments: Saia plans to continue leveraging technology and focusing on network optimization to enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction. While not a direct revenue generator, these investments are crucial for improving service quality, managing costs, and increasing capacity utilization, which indirectly supports revenue growth by allowing for higher volumes and competitive service offerings.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for Saia (SAIA)

Share Issuance

  • In early 2024, Saia executed a secondary equity offering, raising $1 billion gross to fund the acquisition of Yellow Corporation assets, which resulted in a slight dilution of existing ownership.

Outbound Investments

  • In January 2024, Saia acquired 17 freight terminals and leased an additional 11 terminals through the Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings of Yellow Corporation. This acquisition contributed to approximately $235.7 million of Saia's capital expenditures in 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • Saia's net capital expenditures were approximately $1.04 billion in 2024, a significant increase from $437.2 million in 2023 and $365.5 million in 2022.
  • Capital expenditures for 2024 focused on real estate, revenue equipment, and technology, including $235.7 million specifically for the acquisition of properties from Yellow Corporation. The investment supported the expansion of Saia's network, enabling direct service to new geographies and enhancing its national footprint.
  • For 2025, net capital expenditures were $544.1 million, down from 2024, and anticipated capital expenditures for 2026 are projected to be between $350 million and $400 million. Over the past five years (up to December 31, 2025), Saia invested over $2.5 billion in capital expenditures, primarily for real estate, revenue equipment, and technology.

Better Bets vs. Saia (SAIA)

Peer Outperformance in Cargo Ground Transportation

SAIA has trailed 60% of its 15 Cargo Ground Transportation peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it is XPO. Cargo Ground Transportation ranks 10th of 23 industries in Industrials by median 5Y return.
Share of Cargo Ground Transportation constituents that SAIA has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
22%
of 18 industry peers · 17.6% return
3Y
25%
of 16 industry peers · -13.4% return
5Y
40%
of 15 industry peers · -5.7% return
Cargo Ground Transportation peers with revenue growth within 4pp of SAIA's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
SAIA Saia 8.4% 31.4x 17.6%-13.4%-5.7% —
XPO XPO 5.1% 41.2x 25.7%119.4%265.3% +271pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Industrials sector, ranked by 5Y. Cargo Ground Transportation is SAIA's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Marine Transportation 5 28.7%34.6%109.9% MATX 149% · KEX 110%
Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment 14 9.1%66.3%93.0% ALSN 261% · WAB 201% · CAT 183%
Construction & Engineering 28 -21.4%94.1%91.9% FIX 948% · STRL 785% · AGX 563%
Aerospace & Defense 54 -2.0%55.7%55.6% ATI 901% · FTAI 836% · HWM 537%
Trading Companies & Distributors 19 11.5%30.7%29.4% DXPE 293% · AIT 187% · URI 179%
Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components 71 1.0%48.7%28.0% CRS 766% · MLI 290% · SYM 266%
Rail Transportation 7 33.7%69.8%24.9% CSX 48% · UNP 36% · NSC 25%
Building Products 34 -7.3%6.8%12.8% MOD 753% · GFF 340% · TT 128%
Diversified Support Services 35 15.7%39.1%11.9% CXW 197% · OPLN 136% · CTAS 113%
Cargo Ground Transportation ← 16 27.7%13.1%1.3% XPO 265% · R 246% · SNDR 17%
Office Services & Supplies 10 19.6%25.3%-2.8% PBI 146% · HNI 39% · MSA 17%
Industrial Conglomerates 17 14.5%8.0%-4.5% CSW 97% · DD 69% · CSL 68%
Electrical Components & Equipment 39 -7.8%58.1%-7.7% POWL 1421% · VRT 567% · BE 387%
Data Processing & Outsourced Services 6 -10.2%2.7%-13.5% EXLS 59% · BR 19% · G -10%
Research & Consulting Services 13 0.5%-11.2%-24.9% HURN 212% · FCN 37% · BAH 7%
Agricultural & Farm Machinery 16 14.8%-3.4%-26.2% DE 99% · TTC 14% · AGCO 2%
Security & Alarm Services 9 -47.2%35.9%-28.5% BCO 72%
Environmental & Facilities Services 29 -22.8%26.2%-30.4% GEO 194% · CLH 164% · RSG 97%
Passenger Airlines 11 4.0%75.4%-33.9% LTM 3031% · UAL 112% · DAL 103%
Air Freight & Logistics 12 -31.2%-8.1%-40.8% FDX 71% · EXPD 56% · CHRW 49%
Human Resource & Employment Services 22 22.1%-15.8%-42.2% ADP 49% · FA 14% · PAYX 12%
Passenger Ground Transportation 3 -22.5%37.0%-57.3% UBER 49% · CAR -57% · LYFT -69%
Airport Services 4 -42.8%-62.5%-87.2% JOBY -37%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are limited to companies above $2B market cap.

Latest Trefis Analyses

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SAIAODFLXPOARCBKNXJBHTMedian
NameSaia Old Domi.XPO ArcBest Knight-S.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Price332.00164.87176.29127.8558.42217.57170.58
Mkt Cap8.934.120.62.99.520.415.0
Rev LTM3,5355,7878,8354,3678,00313,3256,895
Op Inc LTM3781,540935152392960664
FCF LTM2791,174657242753966705
FCF 3Y Avg-431,02832130231731181
CFO LTM6181,4261,1323001,5231,4941,279
CFO 3Y Avg6071,5279832991,0511,4951,017

Growth & Margins

SAIAODFLXPOARCBKNXJBHTMedian
NameSaia Old Domi.XPO ArcBest Knight-S.JB Hunt . 
Rev Chg LTM9.3%3.8%9.5%8.1%7.0%10.6%8.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.4%-0.3%5.1%-0.8%4.9%0.6%2.7%
Rev Chg Q17.0%13.1%12.4%15.5%14.2%20.4%14.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.2%3.3%3.1%3.9%3.5%4.9%3.7%
Op Inc Chg LTM-2.9%10.7%32.4%20.1%22.2%16.3%18.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-4.0%-1.7%26.0%-5.4%7.7%-2.2%-2.0%
Op Mgn LTM10.7%26.6%10.6%3.5%4.9%7.2%8.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.8%26.4%9.4%3.6%3.9%6.9%8.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%0.8%0.7%0.4%1.0%-0.3%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM17.5%24.6%12.8%6.9%19.0%11.2%15.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg18.3%26.5%11.8%7.1%13.6%12.0%12.8%
FCF/Rev LTM7.9%20.3%7.4%5.5%9.4%7.3%7.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-1.7%17.8%0.2%3.0%2.9%5.8%3.0%

Valuation

SAIAODFLXPOARCBKNXJBHTMedian
NameSaia Old Domi.XPO ArcBest Knight-S.JB Hunt . 
Mkt Cap8.934.120.62.99.520.415.0
P/S2.55.92.30.71.21.51.9
P/Op Inc23.522.222.118.824.221.222.1
P/EBIT23.222.123.454.728.821.123.3
P/E31.429.441.099.562.030.236.2
P/CFO14.423.918.29.56.213.714.0
Total Yield3.2%4.1%2.4%1.4%3.0%4.1%3.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.7%0.0%0.4%1.3%0.8%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.1%2.9%-0.5%5.3%2.1%4.4%2.5%
D/E0.00.00.20.20.30.10.1
Net D/E0.0-0.00.20.10.20.10.1

Returns

SAIAODFLXPOARCBKNXJBHTMedian
NameSaia Old Domi.XPO ArcBest Knight-S.JB Hunt . 
1M Rtn-1.4%-9.4%-3.9%-1.2%-9.4%-4.9%-4.4%
3M Rtn-8.8%-23.7%-13.0%-7.2%-16.3%-18.8%-14.7%
6M Rtn-26.2%-16.6%-13.8%5.8%-8.3%-11.0%-12.4%
12M Rtn17.6%18.6%25.2%91.8%27.7%28.2%26.5%
3Y Rtn-13.3%-13.0%118.5%13.0%22.4%30.3%17.7%
1M Excs Rtn2.3%-4.2%1.9%3.4%-5.2%0.4%1.2%
3M Excs Rtn-1.8%-17.5%-7.2%-2.1%-9.8%-13.2%-8.5%
6M Excs Rtn-25.9%-16.3%-13.5%6.1%-8.0%-10.7%-12.1%
12M Excs Rtn8.8%9.3%18.9%73.0%24.1%20.6%19.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-86.7%-88.1%52.3%-60.6%-48.8%-44.3%-54.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Transportation services3,2343,2092,8812,7922,289
Total3,2343,2092,8812,7922,289


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2006200520042003
Saia60553628
Jevic 399
Corporate and Other  -4-4
Total60584133


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Transportation services255362355357
Total255362355357


Assets by Segment
$ Mil200620052004
Saia473389348
Jevic 151149
Corporate and Other  12
Total473540509


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$331.90 
Market Cap ($ Bil)8.9 
First Trading Date09/12/2002 
Distance from 52W High-31.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$341.60$388.00
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA-2.8%-14.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility39.8%47.2%
Downside Capture82.28149.27
Upside Capture64.78154.16
Correlation (S&P 500)38.8%39.9%
SAIA Betas & Captures as of 10/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.070.531.060.931.321.34
Up Beta-2.131.272.030.881.071.53
Down Beta-0.06-0.03-0.160.521.011.08
Up Capture31%51%109%67%196%154%
Bmk +ve Days12182862130427
Stock +ve Days11213558131379
Down Capture-20%71%119%139%128%109%
Bmk -ve Days10253664121325
Stock -ve Days11222968120372

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SAIA
SAIA17.4%47.2%0.48-
Sector ETF (XLI)7.1%17.8%0.2251.3%
Equity (SPY)9.5%13.6%0.4039.3%
Gold (GLD)1.6%28.7%0.0512.4%
Commodities (DBC)38.4%21.2%1.42-27.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.3%14.2%0.5135.9%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.2%43.6%-0.6113.3%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SAIA
SAIA1.2%51.6%0.21-
Sector ETF (XLI)10.9%17.7%0.4553.2%
Equity (SPY)11.3%17.3%0.4849.0%
Gold (GLD)17.5%19.1%0.744.0%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%19.6%0.30-1.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.3%18.9%-0.0438.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.0%51.6%0.2623.0%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SAIA
SAIA25.3%45.7%0.66-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.0%20.1%0.5655.4%
Equity (SPY)15.0%18.0%0.7052.2%
Gold (GLD)11.9%16.5%0.592.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%18.1%0.339.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.9%20.7%0.2440.2%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.3%1.0015.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1.1 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302026-4.1%
Average Daily Volume0.3 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity26.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 11/9/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20265.7%11.4% 
7/30/2026-11.1%-9.5%-10.5%
4/30/20266.3%6.5%11.9%
2/10/2026-6.8%-5.2%-16.6%
10/30/20252.2%2.0%5.7%
7/25/20257.0%-3.1%2.7%
4/25/2025-30.7%-32.2%-25.4%
2/3/2025-2.0%2.0%-17.3%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141513
# Negative10910
Median Positive6.0%9.8%11.9%
Median Negative-7.8%-5.4%-13.6%
Max Positive14.6%25.9%30.7%
Max Negative-30.7%-32.2%-26.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/20265.7%11.4% 
7/30/2026-11.1%-9.5%-10.5%
4/30/20266.3%6.5%11.9%
2/10/2026-6.8%-5.2%-16.6%
10/30/20252.2%2.0%5.7%
7/25/20257.0%-3.1%2.7%
4/25/2025-30.7%-32.2%-25.4%
2/3/2025-2.0%2.0%-17.3%
10/25/202411.4%17.9%30.7%
7/26/2024-18.9%-19.2%-17.7%
4/26/2024-21.0%-25.2%-26.3%
2/2/202414.3%18.3%24.9%
10/27/2023-8.7%0.1%11.0%
7/28/20233.7%3.6%-0.9%
4/28/202314.6%12.1%9.4%
2/3/2023-0.4%-3.6%1.8%
10/31/20223.5%9.2%22.0%
7/27/20222.4%13.1%7.6%
5/2/20221.4%5.3%-4.1%
2/2/2022-0.2%-5.4%-6.5%
10/28/202113.9%25.9%22.6%
7/29/20218.3%16.3%15.2%
4/28/2021-2.9%-2.1%-6.0%
2/8/20215.5%9.8%16.5%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141513
# Negative10910
Median Positive6.0%9.8%11.9%
Median Negative-7.8%-5.4%-13.6%
Max Positive14.6%25.9%30.7%
Max Negative-30.7%-32.2%-26.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/29/202610-Q
06/30/202607/30/202610-Q
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202504/28/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202610/29/202610-Q
06/30/202607/30/202610-Q
03/31/202604/30/202610-Q
12/31/202502/24/202610-K
09/30/202510/30/202510-Q
06/30/202507/25/202510-Q
03/31/202504/28/202510-Q
12/31/202402/24/202510-K
09/30/202410/25/202410-Q
06/30/202407/26/202410-Q
03/31/202404/26/202410-Q
12/31/202302/23/202410-K
09/30/202310/27/202310-Q
06/30/202307/28/202310-Q
03/31/202304/28/202310-Q
12/31/202202/23/202310-K
09/30/202211/01/202210-Q
06/30/202207/27/202210-Q
03/31/202205/02/202210-Q
12/31/202102/23/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202107/29/202110-Q
03/31/202104/28/202110-Q
12/31/202002/24/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202007/30/202010-Q
03/31/202004/30/202010-Q
12/31/201902/25/202010-K

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 10/30/2026

Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 10/29/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Net Capital ExpendituresReported 350.00 Mil -6.7% LoweredGuidance: 375.00 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/30/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Capital ExpendituresReported350.00 Mil375.00 Mil400.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 375.00 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 11/4/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Norwood, Anthony REVP & CHRODirectSell5212026468.77292136,8812,294,160Form
2Eisnor, Di-AnnDirectSell2192026389.88500194,9402,032,052Form
3Holzgrefe, Frederick J IiiPresident & CEODirectSell2172026388.804,7751,856,5358,842,551Form
4Batteh, Matthew JChief Financial OfficerDirectSell2172026389.03916356,3541,728,860Form
5Benton, Kelly WVP & CAODirectSell2172026389.00800311,2001,228,073Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Norwood, Anthony REVP & CHRODirectSell5212026468.77292136,8812,294,160Form
2Eisnor, Di-AnnDirectSell2192026389.88500194,9402,032,052Form
3Holzgrefe, Frederick J IiiPresident & CEODirectSell2172026388.804,7751,856,5358,842,551Form
4Batteh, Matthew JChief Financial OfficerDirectSell2172026389.03916356,3541,728,860Form
5Benton, Kelly WVP & CAODirectSell2172026389.00800311,2001,228,073Form
6Sugar, Patrick DEVP OperationsDirectSell2172026386.742,7061,046,5193,527,456Form
7Ramu, Raymond RExec. VP & Chief Customer Off.DirectSell2172026387.955,2262,027,4261,408,646Form
8Batteh, Matthew JChief Financial OfficerDirectSell2172026375.711,110417,0372,013,802Form
9Eisnor, Di-AnnDirectSell12102025336.73297100,0091,923,402Form
10Benton, Kelly WVP & CAODirectSell12042025314.431,000314,428971,895Form
11Epps, Donna EDirectSell12012025277.43422117,075396,725Form
12Epps, Donna EDirectBuy12012025277.60422117,145514,106Form
13Ramu, Raymond RExec. VP & Chief Customer Off.DirectSell11202025266.571,000266,5701,306,726Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Nov 9, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Slate Path Capital LP$108.2 Mil1.6%44New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Slate Path Capital LP$108.2 Mil1.6%44New13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Anomaly Capital Management, LP$28.1 Mil1.0%32Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Slate Path Capital LP$108.2 Mil1.6%44New13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 11/8/2026