Republic Services (RSG)
Market Price (10/15/2026): $225.98 | Market Cap: $69.5 BilInvestor Relations Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Republic Services (RSG)
Market Price (10/15/2026): $225.98Market Cap: $69.5 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Environmental & Facilities Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 4.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.7 Bil Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.3 Bil Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.5% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% | Key risksRSG key risks include [1] disruptive and costly labor strikes in multiple key regions. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%, CFO LTM is 4.5 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.7 Bil |
| Stock buyback supportStock Buyback 3Y Total is 2.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 19% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Sustainable Resource Management. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.5% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -22% |
| Key risksRSG key risks include [1] disruptive and costly labor strikes in multiple key regions. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Republic Services (RSG) stock has gained about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Q2 fiscal year 2026 earnings outperformed expectations and led to raised full-year guidance.
Republic Services reported strong financial results for its Q2 fiscal year 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.85, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $1.82. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, reaching $4.43 billion against an estimated $4.36 billion, marking a 4.6% year-over-year increase. Following this performance, Republic Services raised its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting revenue between $17.2 billion and $17.3 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $5.525 billion to $5.55 billion, and EPS from $7.23 to $7.28. This positive financial outlook and strong core pricing, which remained at 5.3% on total revenue, fueled investor confidence. The stock gained +2.37% on August 6, 2026, the day these results were reported.
2. Significant insider buying by major shareholder Cascade Investment LLC demonstrated strong conviction.
Cascade Investment LLC, associated with Bill Gates and a 10% owner, made substantial open-market purchases of Republic Services stock during the period. On August 26-27, 2026, Cascade Investment LLC acquired 560,100 shares at weighted-average prices ranging from approximately $219 to $222 per share. Additionally, on September 1-2, 2026, further purchases included 204,800 shares at $222.68 (valued at approximately $45.6 million) and 329,200 shares at $223.27 (valued at approximately $73.5 million). These transactions represent a significant vote of confidence from a major insider, well exceeding the $5 million threshold.
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Republic Services (RSG) stock has gained about 5% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Q2 fiscal year 2026 earnings outperformed expectations and led to raised full-year guidance.
Republic Services reported strong financial results for its Q2 fiscal year 2026, which ended June 30, 2026. The company announced adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.85, surpassing analyst consensus estimates of $1.82. Revenue also exceeded forecasts, reaching $4.43 billion against an estimated $4.36 billion, marking a 4.6% year-over-year increase. Following this performance, Republic Services raised its full-year 2026 guidance, projecting revenue between $17.2 billion and $17.3 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $5.525 billion to $5.55 billion, and EPS from $7.23 to $7.28. This positive financial outlook and strong core pricing, which remained at 5.3% on total revenue, fueled investor confidence. The stock gained +2.37% on August 6, 2026, the day these results were reported.
2. Significant insider buying by major shareholder Cascade Investment LLC demonstrated strong conviction.
Cascade Investment LLC, associated with Bill Gates and a 10% owner, made substantial open-market purchases of Republic Services stock during the period. On August 26-27, 2026, Cascade Investment LLC acquired 560,100 shares at weighted-average prices ranging from approximately $219 to $222 per share. Additionally, on September 1-2, 2026, further purchases included 204,800 shares at $222.68 (valued at approximately $45.6 million) and 329,200 shares at $223.27 (valued at approximately $73.5 million). These transactions represent a significant vote of confidence from a major insider, well exceeding the $5 million threshold.
3. Positive analyst sentiment and price target adjustments contributed to a favorable outlook.
Throughout the period, numerous Wall Street analysts maintained optimistic ratings and upwardly revised price targets for Republic Services. For example, Citigroup increased its price target from $247.00 to $259.00 with a "Buy" rating on July 10, 2026. The average analyst price target for Republic Services over the past three months stands at $245.00, suggesting an upside potential of 12.97% from the stock's October 9, 2026, closing price of $216.88. The consensus rating among 20 Wall Street analysts is a "Moderate Buy," with 15 "Buy" ratings and 12 "Hold" ratings in the current month.
4. Favorable macroeconomic and industry trends provided a supportive environment.
The waste management sector, in which Republic Services operates, continues to exhibit resilient growth drivers. The global waste management market is projected to expand from an estimated $1.6 trillion in 2026 to $2.4 trillion by 2033, growing at a compound annual growth rate of 6.0%. This growth is underpinned by increasing urbanization, industrialization, and stricter government regulations regarding waste disposal and recycling. The industry also benefits from strong pricing power, with waste pricing consistently running above inflation as operators leverage their capabilities to implement price increases across services. Republic Services' strategic initiatives in recycling infrastructure and fleet electrification also align with broader sustainability trends, which are increasingly valued by the market.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.0% change in RSG stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 4.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 211.77 | 224.44 | 6.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,695 | 16,890 | 1.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.0% | 12.9% | -0.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.2 | 31.6 | 4.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 309 | 308 | 0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.0% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RSG | 6.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.1% | -33.5% |
| Sector (XLI) | -9.8% | -25.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 3.4% change in RSG stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 1.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 217.06 | 224.44 | 3.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,591 | 16,890 | 1.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 12.9% | 12.9% | 0.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.4 | 31.6 | 0.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 310 | 308 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RSG | 3.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 18.6% | -39.7% |
| Sector (XLI) | 3.5% | -20.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.7% change in RSG stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -5.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 226.13 | 224.44 | -0.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 16,366 | 16,890 | 3.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 13.0% | 12.9% | -0.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 33.3 | 31.6 | -5.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 313 | 308 | 1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.7% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RSG | -0.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.5% | -25.4% |
| Sector (XLI) | 9.3% | -11.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 62.9% change in RSG stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 137.74 | 224.44 | 62.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 14,434 | 16,890 | 17.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.9% | 12.9% | 18.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 27.7 | 31.6 | 14.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 317 | 308 | 3.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 62.9% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RSG | 62.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.2% | 14.1% |
| Sector (XLI) | 71.3% | 18.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RSG Return | 47% | -6% | 30% | 23% | 6% | 5% | 146% |
| Peers Return | 35% | -4% | 22% | 23% | 1% | 2% | 98% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RSG Win Rate | 67% | 42% | 58% | 67% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 67% | 45% | 57% | 57% | 52% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RSG Max Drawdown | -8% | -17% | -9% | -8% | -20% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -13% | -26% | -19% | -13% | -22% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WM, WCN, CLH, GFL, CWST. See RSG Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | RSG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -14.4% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 140 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -18.2% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.3% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 123 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 400 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Republic Services's stock fell -0.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.8% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | RSG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 231 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 400 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Republic Services's stock fell -0.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 0.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Republic Services (RSG)
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) is a prominent environmental services company operating throughout the United States. The company specializes in comprehensive waste management, offering a full suite of services for the collection, processing, transfer, and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste and recyclable materials. Essentially, Republic Services provides critical infrastructure and solutions to manage waste and recycling streams for communities and businesses nationwide.
The core products and services provided by Republic Services include curbside collection of waste and recyclable materials, supplying various waste and recycling containers, and renting compactors. Beyond collection, the company operates an extensive network of facilities, including transfer stations, active landfills, and recycling processing centers where it processes and sells commodities like corrugated containers, newsprint, aluminum, and glass. Additionally, Republic Services offers specialized services such as the disposal of non-hazardous solid and liquid materials, as well as in-plant transportation and logistics services for industrial clients. The company also invests in environmental sustainability through landfill gas-to-energy and other renewable energy projects.
Republic Services serves a broad and diverse customer base. Its primary customers include residential households that require curbside waste and recycling pickup, small businesses utilizing compactors and small containers, and large commercial or industrial clients that generate substantial waste and often require specialized logistics and disposal solutions. With operations across 41 states, Republic Services plays a vital role in providing essential environmental services to communities and enterprises across a significant portion of the U.S. market.
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- It's like a public utility company, similar to your electric or water provider, but for managing all of America's garbage and recycling.
- Imagine a massive logistics and infrastructure operation, like a nationwide FedEx or UPS, but specializing in collecting, transporting, and processing non-hazardous waste and recyclable materials instead of packages.
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- Solid Waste Collection, Transfer, and Disposal: Collection, transfer, and disposal services for non-hazardous solid and liquid waste, including curbside pickup and landfill operations.
- Recycling Services: Collection, processing, and sale of recyclable materials such as corrugated containers, newsprint, aluminum, glass, and other commodities.
- Container and Compactor Rental: Provision of recycling and waste containers, as well as compactors, for customer use.
- Specialized Environmental Solutions: Offers in-plant services, transportation, logistics, and management of specialized waste streams through facilities like saltwater disposal wells and deep injection wells.
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Republic Services (RSG) serves a diverse customer base, which can be categorized as follows:
- Residential Customers: This category includes individual households that utilize Republic Services for curbside collection of waste and recyclable materials.
- Small-Container Commercial Customers: These are typically small businesses, retail establishments, and offices that require smaller waste and recycling containers.
- Large-Container Commercial Customers: This category encompasses larger businesses, industrial facilities, and construction sites that generate higher volumes of waste and require larger containers, compactors, and in-plant services.
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Jon Vander Ark, President | Chief Executive Officer
Jon Vander Ark became President and Chief Executive Officer of Republic Services in June 2021. He joined the company in 2013 as executive vice president and chief marketing officer. He subsequently held roles including executive vice president of operations, chief operating officer, and president from 2019 to June 2021, overseeing operations, sales, marketing, business development, safety, engineering, environmental compliance, and fleet management. Prior to Republic Services, he was a partner at McKinsey & Company, where he advised clients in transportation, logistics, manufacturing, and consumer products. Mr. Vander Ark holds a Juris Doctorate from Harvard Law School. He also serves on the board of directors of Lennox International, Inc. and Chances for Children.
Brian DelGhiaccio, EVP, Chief Financial Officer
Brian DelGhiaccio is the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer for Republic Services, a position he assumed in 2020. He joined Republic Services in 1998 and has held various roles of increasing responsibility across the finance organization, including assistant corporate controller, senior director of Financial Planning & Analysis, vice president of Investor Relations, senior vice president of finance, and executive vice president and chief transformation officer. Before joining Republic Services, he worked as a Senior Consultant with Arthur Andersen. Mr. DelGhiaccio earned Bachelor of Science degrees in Accounting and Finance from the University of Arizona. He currently serves on the Board of Directors of Aramark.
Gregg Brummer, EVP, Chief Operating Officer
Gregg Brummer serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Republic Services.
Catharine Ellingsen, EVP, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Ethics and Compliance Officer and Corporate Secretary
Catharine Ellingsen is the Executive Vice President, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Ethics and Compliance Officer, and Corporate Secretary for Republic Services. She is responsible for the company's legal affairs and ethics & compliance program.
Amanda Hodges, EVP, Chief Commercial Officer
Amanda Hodges holds the title of Executive Vice President, Chief Commercial Officer at Republic Services.
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Republic Services (RSG) faces several key risks inherent to the environmental services industry and its specific operations:
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Regulatory and Environmental Compliance Risks: The waste management sector is highly regulated, meaning Republic Services is exposed to significant risks from evolving environmental regulations and enforcement. Changes in areas such as recycling mandates, landfill permitting, rules regarding PFAS (per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances), or renewable natural gas (RNG) credit regimes can materially alter project economics and increase compliance costs. Furthermore, the company faces ongoing legal and reputational risks associated with its landfill operations, including potential issues with gas emissions and groundwater contamination. A recent example includes a $3.01 million fine issued against a Republic Services subsidiary for multiple air quality violations at a landfill in Oregon, highlighting the tangible financial and operational impact of regulatory non-compliance. Increasing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scrutiny and environmental justice concerns also contribute to these regulatory and reputational pressures, potentially affecting the company's ability to secure and retain contracts.
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Economic Sensitivity and Commodity Price Volatility: Republic Services' financial performance is sensitive to economic fluctuations and the cyclical nature of recycled commodity prices. The company's industrial and commercial waste collection volumes can decline during economic slowdowns, directly impacting revenue and growth. Its recycling operations are particularly vulnerable to volatility in the prices of recovered materials such as old corrugated containers, newsprint, aluminum, and glass. Declines in these commodity prices can reduce revenue and negatively affect margins from its recycling processing centers. Additionally, a decrease in non-recurring, event-driven volumes (e.g., large-scale clean-up efforts) can create significant headwinds for revenue comparisons year-over-year.
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Operational Risks, including Safety and Labor Disruptions: The waste management industry is recognized as one of the most hazardous sectors, with high rates of fatal and non-fatal injuries stemming from activities like manual handling, traffic incidents involving collection vehicles, exposure to harmful materials, and falls from height. Poor safety performance not only poses risks to employee well-being but also leads to financial consequences such as lost workdays, increased staff turnover, higher insurance premiums, and potential damage to the company's reputation. The company also faces risks from labor disruptions, which have had a financial impact in the past. Furthermore, the inherent operational challenges of managing extensive infrastructure (including 198 active landfills and 239 transfer stations) require substantial capital expenditure and are increasingly susceptible to climate change hazards like extreme heat and increased precipitation, which can disrupt services, diminish productivity, and damage facilities.
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Republic Services (RSG) operates within several key environmental services markets in the United States. Based on its primary offerings, the addressable markets include solid waste management, waste recycling services, hazardous waste management, and landfill gas-to-energy projects.
- U.S. Solid Waste Management Market: This market, which includes the collection, transfer, and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste, was estimated at USD 156.3 billion in 2024. It is anticipated to grow to USD 247.5 billion by 2033, demonstrating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 5.3% from 2025 to 2033.
- U.S. Waste Recycling Services Market: The market for waste recycling services in the U.S. was valued at USD 13.8 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 21.92 billion by 2032.
- U.S. Hazardous Waste Management Market: The hazardous waste management market in the United States generated revenue of USD 4,660.1 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 7,257.5 million by 2033.
- U.S. Landfill Gas to Renewable Natural Gas Market: The revenue for the U.S. landfill gas to renewable natural gas industry was estimated at USD 11.65 billion in 2023. It is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.8% from 2023 to 2033.
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Republic Services (RSG) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a combination of strategic initiatives and ongoing operational strengths.
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth:
- Price Increases (Average Yield): Republic Services consistently leverages pricing strategies to grow revenue. The company anticipates growth from average yield on total revenue to be in a range of 3.2% to 3.7% in 2026, and average yield on related business revenue is expected to be in a range of 4.0% to 4.5%. This follows core price increases on total revenue of 5.8% in Q4 2025 and 5.9% for the full year 2025.
- Strategic Acquisitions: Acquisitions remain a key component of Republic Services' growth strategy. The company plans to invest approximately $1 billion in value-creating acquisitions in 2026, building on the $1.1 billion invested in acquisitions during 2025. These acquisitions contribute to expanding their business across recycling, waste, and environmental solutions.
- Growth in Environmental Solutions: Despite a temporary organic decline in Q4 2025 due to a non-recurring emergency response project in 2024, the Environmental Solutions business is a focus for continued expansion. Republic Services' acquisition pipeline supports ongoing activity in this segment, indicating a strategic intent to grow these offerings.
- Increased Recycling Processing and Volumes: Investments in the recycling business contribute to revenue growth. Initiatives such as increased volumes at polymer centers and the reopening of a recycling center on the West Coast are expected to offset impacts from fluctuating commodity prices, driving revenue through enhanced processing capabilities and volumes.
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Share Repurchases
- In 2025, Republic Services returned $1.6 billion to shareholders, including $854 million in share repurchases.
- The company returned $900 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in 2023.
- In 2021, Republic Services returned $805 million to shareholders, which included share repurchases.
Outbound Investments
- Republic Services invested $1.1 billion in acquisitions in 2025.
- The company expects to invest approximately $1 billion in acquisitions in 2026, with over $400 million already completed.
- In 2022, Republic Services invested $2.7 billion in acquisitions, which included the significant acquisition of US Ecology.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $1.887 billion in 2025.
- In 2024, capital expenditures totaled $1.85 billion, primarily directed towards property, plant, equipment, and investments in renewable natural gas and recycling infrastructure.
- The company reported annual capital expenditures of $1.631 billion in 2023.
Peer Outperformance in Environmental & Facilities Services
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG | Republic Services | 5.4% | 30.9x | -0.2% | 54.4% | 85.0% | — |
| GEO | GEO | 5.3% | 14.4x | 85.7% | 279.6% | 287.8% | +203pp |
| CLH | Clean Harbors | 5.3% | 38.2x | 33.9% | 99.1% | 196.1% | +111pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Construction & Engineering | 30 | 3.6% | 119.3% | 188.8% | STRL 2085% · FIX 2015% · AGX 871% |
| Marine Transportation | 5 | 67.8% | 60.9% | 150.4% | MATX 189% · KEX 150% |
| Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment | 13 | 1.1% | 43.9% | 96.7% | CAT 346% · ALSN 249% · WAB 230% |
| Aerospace & Defense | 52 | -14.0% | 52.9% | 55.7% | ATI 1028% · FTAI 810% · HWM 602% |
| Rail Transportation | 7 | 26.7% | 60.0% | 44.3% | CSX 57% · UNP 46% · NSC 36% |
| Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components | 72 | 11.5% | 46.3% | 43.7% | CRS 1127% · MLI 517% · SYM 317% |
| Trading Companies & Distributors | 19 | 9.4% | 29.8% | 40.3% | DXPE 466% · AIT 268% · URI 225% |
| Cargo Ground Transportation | 16 | 36.9% | 1.7% | 33.7% | XPO 298% · R 230% · ARCB 63% |
| Diversified Support Services | 34 | 10.9% | 28.4% | 27.1% | CXW 259% · OPLN 148% · CACI 120% |
| Electrical Components & Equipment | 38 | -3.5% | 69.8% | 19.9% | POWL 2181% · BE 1093% · VRT 991% |
| Building Products | 33 | -12.3% | 9.1% | 16.9% | GFF 343% · TT 198% · JCI 151% |
| Agricultural & Farm Machinery | 17 | 10.2% | -4.0% | -3.1% | DE 111% · TTC 12% · AGCO 0% |
| Industrial Conglomerates | 17 | 9.7% | 5.4% | -5.9% | CSW 127% · DD 71% · CSL 67% |
| Environmental & Facilities Services ← | 30 | -37.4% | 16.6% | -7.0% | CECO 864% · GEO 288% · CLH 196% |
| Research & Consulting Services | 13 | -1.1% | -27.2% | -12.2% | HURN 249% · BAH -1% · FCN -3% |
| Security & Alarm Services | 9 | -54.0% | 14.8% | -19.4% | BCO 77% |
| Office Services & Supplies | 9 | 29.0% | 23.1% | -21.7% | PBI 192% · TILE 140% · HNI 48% |
| Data Processing & Outsourced Services | 6 | -28.2% | -10.2% | -23.6% | EXLS 51% · BR 7% · G -21% |
| Passenger Ground Transportation | 3 | -24.2% | 62.7% | -24.4% | UBER 54% · CAR -24% · LYFT -69% |
| Passenger Airlines | 11 | 5.2% | 19.6% | -33.7% | LTM 3045% · UAL 116% · DAL 101% |
| Air Freight & Logistics | 12 | -20.6% | -27.4% | -37.7% | FDX 79% · EXPD 78% · CHRW 70% |
| Human Resource & Employment Services | 22 | 8.1% | -18.3% | -42.4% | ADP 50% · PAYX 6% · FA 3% |
| Airport Services | 4 | -70.5% | -69.3% | -80.9% | JOBY -46% |
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 186.77 |
| Mkt Cap | 28.3 |
| Rev LTM | 8,368 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,319 |
| FCF LTM | 812 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 778 |
| CFO LTM | 1,967 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,833 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 10.0% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 10.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 15.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 22.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 28.3 |
| P/S | 3.4 |
| P/Op Inc | 34.7 |
| P/EBIT | 45.3 |
| P/E | 38.0 |
| P/CFO | 15.6 |
| Total Yield | 1.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.2% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -1.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 42.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -2.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -41.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recycling and waste business operating primarily in geographic areas located in the western United | 8,630 | 8,130 | 7,573 | 7,107 | 6,511 |
| Recycling and waste business operating primarily in geographic areas located in the southeastern and | 8,244 | 8,084 | 7,756 | 7,029 | 6,338 |
| Environmental solutions | 1,784 | 1,860 | 1,697 | 1,262 | 242 |
| Corporate entities and other | 369 | 344 | 253 | 247 | 230 |
| Intercompany Revenue | -2,436 | -2,386 | -2,314 | -2,134 | -2,026 |
| Total | 16,591 | 16,032 | 14,965 | 13,511 | 11,295 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recycling and waste business operating primarily in geographic areas located in the western United | 2,353 | 1,496 | 1,343 | 1,232 | 1,157 |
| Recycling and waste business operating primarily in geographic areas located in the southeastern and | 2,190 | 1,136 | 967 | 926 | 938 |
| Environmental solutions | 436 | ||||
| Corporate entities and other | 0 | -555 | -601 | -371 | -360 |
| Accretion | -107 | ||||
| Depreciation, depletion and amortization | -1,677 | ||||
| Total | 3,195 | 2,076 | 1,709 | 1,787 | 1,736 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recycling and waste business operating primarily in geographic areas located in the western United | 14,441 | 13,978 | 13,397 | 12,418 | 12,199 |
| Recycling and waste business operating primarily in geographic areas located in the southeastern and | 11,616 | 11,318 | 11,256 | 10,528 | 9,927 |
| Environmental solutions | 5,217 | 4,462 | 4,471 | 4,090 | 1,212 |
| Corporate entities and other | 3,092 | 2,644 | 2,286 | 2,017 | 1,617 |
| Total | 34,366 | 32,402 | 31,410 | 29,053 | 24,955 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $224.44 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 69.0 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/01/1998 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -2.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $216.88 | $214.07 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 3.5% | 4.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| Downside Capture | -19.00 | -45.99 |
| Upside Capture | -25.07 | -37.34 |
| Correlation (S&P 500) | -22.3% | -23.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.09 | -0.15 | -0.66 | -0.69 | -0.38 | 0.16 |
| Up Beta | -1.08 | -0.90 | -1.07 | -0.74 | -0.50 | 0.26 |
| Down Beta | -0.78 | 0.02 | -0.35 | -0.18 | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| Up Capture | -18% | 5% | -51% | -47% | -25% | 4% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 6 | 18 | 27 | 54 | 119 | 412 |
| Down Capture | 73% | 10% | -68% | -130% | -81% | 5% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 16 | 24 | 37 | 72 | 133 | 339 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RSG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG | 1.8% | 19.3% | -0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 11.3% | 17.2% | 0.45 | -11.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 17.1% | 12.7% | 0.96 | -24.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | -0.6% | 29.4% | -0.02 | -13.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 49.3% | 20.7% | 1.82 | 8.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.7% | 13.7% | 0.15 | 32.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -27.9% | 43.7% | -0.63 | -13.5% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RSG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG | 14.1% | 18.5% | 0.60 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 12.4% | 17.6% | 0.53 | 35.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.6% | 17.1% | 0.60 | 32.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.9% | 18.9% | 0.76 | 3.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.0% | 19.5% | 0.39 | 6.8% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.2% | 18.8% | -0.05 | 44.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 8.5% | 51.8% | 0.34 | 7.0% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with RSG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RSG | 18.1% | 19.3% | 0.81 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.0% | 20.0% | 0.57 | 55.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 53.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.4% | 0.60 | 3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.2% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 13.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 57.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.5% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 10.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/9/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.3% |
| 5/7/2026 | -0.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 2/17/2026 | -2.0% | -0.2% | 0.4% |
| 10/30/2025 | -0.8% | -2.7% | 1.3% |
| 7/29/2025 | -5.8% | -5.7% | -4.5% |
| 4/24/2025 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% |
| 2/13/2025 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% |
| 10/29/2024 | -2.7% | -1.1% | 6.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 19 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.0% | -1.8% | -3.4% |
| Max Positive | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.7% |
| Max Negative | -5.8% | -7.2% | -5.0% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.3% |
| 5/7/2026 | -0.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| 2/17/2026 | -2.0% | -0.2% | 0.4% |
| 10/30/2025 | -0.8% | -2.7% | 1.3% |
| 7/29/2025 | -5.8% | -5.7% | -4.5% |
| 4/24/2025 | 1.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% |
| 2/13/2025 | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.0% |
| 10/29/2024 | -2.7% | -1.1% | 6.8% |
| 7/24/2024 | -5.2% | -2.7% | 3.6% |
| 4/30/2024 | -3.0% | -1.6% | -5.0% |
| 2/27/2024 | 0.8% | -0.4% | 3.8% |
| 10/26/2023 | -0.0% | 3.9% | 9.7% |
| 7/31/2023 | 0.6% | -1.5% | -3.4% |
| 4/27/2023 | 5.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| 2/15/2023 | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% |
| 10/27/2022 | -1.1% | -2.1% | 1.4% |
| 8/4/2022 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% |
| 5/5/2022 | 3.7% | -2.0% | 2.2% |
| 2/10/2022 | -4.4% | -7.2% | 2.2% |
| 10/28/2021 | 3.6% | 2.8% | 6.4% |
| 7/29/2021 | 2.5% | 2.4% | 7.0% |
| 5/5/2021 | 1.3% | -1.4% | -0.1% |
| 2/22/2021 | -0.0% | 2.0% | 8.8% |
| 11/5/2020 | 1.6% | 5.7% | -0.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 19 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 5 |
| Median Positive | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% |
| Median Negative | -2.0% | -1.8% | -3.4% |
| Max Positive | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.7% |
| Max Negative | -5.8% | -7.2% | -5.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/18/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/30/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 04/25/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 07/25/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/27/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 04/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/28/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/06/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/11/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 10/29/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 07/30/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/23/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/07/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/14/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/31/2019 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Updated 9/14/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9142026 | 222.89 | 324,810 | 72,396,344 | 26,090,955,973 | Form | |
| 2 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9142026 | 222.30 | 256,000 | 56,909,273 | 25,950,102,371 | Form | |
| 3 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9102026 | 221.31 | 311,304 | 68,894,299 | 25,777,519,576 | Form | |
| 4 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9102026 | 221.49 | 409,500 | 90,698,742 | 25,729,279,588 | Form | |
| 5 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9082026 | 223.16 | 365,039 | 81,462,209 | 25,832,327,649 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9142026 | 222.89 | 324,810 | 72,396,344 | 26,090,955,973 | Form | |
| 2 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9142026 | 222.30 | 256,000 | 56,909,273 | 25,950,102,371 | Form | |
| 3 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9102026 | 221.31 | 311,304 | 68,894,299 | 25,777,519,576 | Form | |
| 4 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9102026 | 221.49 | 409,500 | 90,698,742 | 25,729,279,588 | Form | |
| 5 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9082026 | 223.16 | 365,039 | 81,462,209 | 25,832,327,649 | Form | |
| 6 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9082026 | 224.81 | 370,264 | 83,239,457 | 25,941,355,507 | Form | |
| 7 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9032026 | 223.27 | 329,200 | 73,500,699 | 25,680,931,597 | Form | |
| 8 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9032026 | 222.68 | 204,800 | 45,604,191 | 25,539,310,593 | Form | |
| 9 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9012026 | 221.94 | 301,000 | 66,803,529 | 25,409,205,249 | Form | |
| 10 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 9012026 | 221.03 | 251,400 | 55,566,862 | 25,238,611,890 | Form | |
| 11 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8282026 | 219.52 | 284,600 | 62,475,598 | 25,011,121,490 | Form | |
| 12 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8282026 | 221.55 | 275,500 | 61,036,215 | 25,178,940,078 | Form | |
| 13 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8262026 | 221.88 | 269,477 | 59,791,492 | 25,155,623,785 | Form | |
| 14 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8262026 | 222.91 | 301,639 | 67,238,851 | 25,212,546,240 | Form | |
| 15 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8242026 | 220.34 | 191,361 | 42,164,922 | 24,855,472,857 | Form | |
| 16 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8242026 | 220.26 | 208,925 | 46,018,127 | 24,804,205,523 | Form | |
| 17 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8202026 | 222.51 | 178,844 | 39,795,277 | 25,011,369,390 | Form | |
| 18 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8202026 | 217.90 | 200,125 | 43,607,661 | 24,454,017,132 | Form | |
| 19 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8182026 | 214.92 | 206,800 | 44,445,925 | 24,076,592,956 | Form | |
| 20 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8182026 | 215.73 | 149,250 | 32,197,582 | 24,122,375,609 | Form | |
| 21 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8142026 | 215.81 | 188,460 | 40,671,945 | 24,099,434,611 | Form | |
| 22 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8142026 | 215.80 | 174,500 | 37,657,232 | 24,057,499,553 | Form | |
| 23 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8122026 | 216.32 | 240,000 | 51,917,379 | 24,077,905,659 | Form | |
| 24 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 8122026 | 214.89 | 261,664 | 56,228,384 | 23,866,644,933 | Form | |
| 25 | Volpe, Sandra M | Trust | Sell | 6112026 | 211.28 | 1,800 | 380,304 | 12,254 | Form | |
| 26 | Carlsen, Elyse | CAO | Direct | Sell | 5202026 | 216.32 | 360 | 77,877 | 119,411 | Form |
| 27 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 5182026 | 213.31 | 60,700 | 12,947,798 | 23,635,379,797 | Form | |
| 28 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 5182026 | 208.93 | 119,795 | 25,028,957 | 23,137,767,601 | Form | |
| 29 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 5182026 | 207.68 | 307,505 | 63,861,641 | 22,973,927,019 | Form | |
| 30 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 5132026 | 202.24 | 366,000 | 74,020,868 | 22,310,614,010 | Form | |
| 31 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 5132026 | 201.78 | 55,000 | 11,097,837 | 22,185,581,623 | Form | |
| 32 | Cascade, Investment, Llc | Direct | Buy | 5132026 | 197.18 | 78,150 | 15,409,617 | 21,669,092,551 | Form | |
| 33 | Weymouth, Katharine | Direct | Buy | 12112025 | 209.46 | 478 | 100,122 | 1,202,300 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 15, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
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Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Environmental & Facilities Services Resources |
| Waste360 |
| Waste Dive |
| FacilitiesNet |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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