Tearsheet

CECO Environmental (CECO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $54.5 | Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

CECO Environmental (CECO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $54.5
Market Cap: $1.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 104%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Wastewater Management, Show more.
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 92%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Water Infrastructure, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Infrastructure. Themes include Wastewater Management, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.8%, Dist 3Y High is -1.8%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 104%
4 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 92%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CECO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for CECO Environmental (CECO) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance. CECO Environmental reported robust results for the third quarter of 2025, with orders increasing by 44% to $232.9 million, backlog growing by 64% to $719.6 million, and revenue rising by 46% to $197.6 million year-over-year. The company also saw a 62% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $23.2 million and a 71% surge in free cash flow to $19.0 million.

2. Exceeding Analyst Expectations for Q3 2025. The company surpassed analyst consensus estimates for its third-quarter performance, reporting a non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.26 against an estimated $0.25. Additionally, quarterly revenue of $197.60 million exceeded analyst estimates of $190.36 million.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CECO Return-9%-10%87%74%49%73%583%
Peers Return77%2%5%1%49%6%206%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CECO Win Rate42%33%58%67%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate50%56%46%48%56%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CECO Max Drawdown-52%-15%-32%-8%-8%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-31%-24%-18%-4%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WM, CWST, GEO, FTEK, MDRN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCECOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven119.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven93 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven118.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven142 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-71.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven252.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven211 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-90.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven968.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1792 days1480 days

Compare to WM, CWST, GEO, FTEK, MDRN


In The Past

CECO Environmental's stock fell -54.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -54.4% loss requires a 119.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About CECO Environmental (CECO)

Better Bets than CECO Environmental (CECO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CECO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CECO Environmental

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CECOWMCWSTGEOFTEKMDRNMedian
NameCECO Env.Waste Ma.Casella .GEO Fuel TechModern M. 
Mkt Price54.50216.1595.6817.101.83-54.50
Mkt Cap1.987.16.12.40.1-2.4
Rev LTM71824,7841,7952,53125-1,795
Op Inc LTM484,37293279-4-93
FCF LTM-172,40278263-26
FCF 3Y Avg132,05974147-0-74
CFO LTM-25,8563432083-208
CFO 3Y Avg255,1682712570-257

Growth & Margins

CECOWMCWSTGEOFTEKMDRNMedian
NameCECO Env.Waste Ma.Casella .GEO Fuel TechModern M. 
Rev Chg LTM29.9%15.9%20.5%4.4%-5.7%-15.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg21.9%8.6%19.6%3.1%-2.0%-8.6%
Rev Chg Q45.8%14.9%17.9%13.1%-4.6%-14.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM9.5%3.5%4.3%3.2%-1.4%-3.5%
Op Mgn LTM6.7%17.6%5.2%11.0%-17.7%-6.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.0%18.4%6.9%13.3%-12.7%-7.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.2%-0.5%-0.5%0.5%--0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.3%23.6%19.1%8.2%11.9%-11.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.8%23.3%18.2%10.5%0.7%-10.5%
FCF/Rev LTM-2.4%9.7%4.4%1.0%10.7%-4.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.8%9.3%5.2%6.0%-0.7%-5.2%

Valuation

CECOWMCWSTGEOFTEKMDRNMedian
NameCECO Env.Waste Ma.Casella .GEO Fuel TechModern M. 
Mkt Cap1.987.16.12.40.1-2.4
P/S2.53.63.41.13.8-3.4
P/EBIT18.621.873.15.9-60.7-18.6
P/E34.934.7394.811.9-31.0-34.7
P/CFO-796.815.217.613.631.8-15.2
Total Yield2.9%4.3%0.3%8.4%-3.2%-2.9%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%-0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.5%2.6%1.4%11.3%-2.4%-2.5%
D/E0.10.30.20.60.0-0.2
Net D/E0.10.30.20.5-0.3-0.2

Returns

CECOWMCWSTGEOFTEKMDRNMedian
NameCECO Env.Waste Ma.Casella .GEO Fuel TechModern M. 
1M Rtn4.8%9.8%7.8%1.7%-30.7%-4.8%
3M Rtn17.4%-3.3%0.1%-18.7%-36.0%--3.3%
6M Rtn104.0%-8.9%-18.3%-36.2%9.6%--8.9%
12M Rtn68.9%-2.6%-16.0%-36.5%77.7%--2.6%
3Y Rtn346.7%32.9%10.4%49.6%27.1%-32.9%
1M Excs Rtn4.8%9.9%7.9%1.8%-30.6%-4.8%
3M Excs Rtn6.4%-8.9%-5.2%-24.5%-42.0%--8.9%
6M Excs Rtn89.2%-23.6%-33.0%-50.9%-5.1%--23.6%
12M Excs Rtn56.5%-17.5%-29.0%-53.6%57.5%--17.5%
3Y Excs Rtn272.5%-35.2%-60.1%-5.6%-30.9%--30.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Engineered Systems segment432333263271255
Industrial Process Solutions segment148150142135 
Corporate and Other2021121418
Fluid Handling and Filtration Segment    72
Industrial Solutions segment    65
Total600505416419409


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,195,811
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-17.8%
Average Daily Volume395,186
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.56
Basic Shares Quantity35,359,969
Short % of Basic Shares6.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241029202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024430202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023305202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231107202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022306202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221107202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022808202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021314202210-K 12/31/2021