Tearsheet

GFL Environmental (GFL)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $43.24 | Market Cap: $15.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

GFL Environmental (GFL)


Market Price (12/27/2025): $43.24
Market Cap: $15.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 23%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 19%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -26%
Key risks
GFL key risks include [1] a highly leveraged balance sheet relative to its peers, Show more.
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 23%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 19%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 25%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -26%
6 Key risks
GFL key risks include [1] a highly leveraged balance sheet relative to its peers, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

GFL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for the stock movement of GFL Environmental (symbol: GFL) is from August 31, 2025, to today, December 27, 2025. This period lies in the future, and therefore, actual historical stock performance data and the specific reasons for a -13.6% movement cannot be provided. However, available information from the search results includes analyst forecasts and news releases for this future period.

Based on analyst predictions and company news released for the specified future period, the following points are highlighted:

<br><br><b>1. GFL Environmental announced strong second-quarter 2025 results on July 30, 2025, with revenue, Adjusted EBITDA, and Adjusted Free Cash Flow all exceeding expectations, leading to raised full-year 2025 guidance. The company reported 8.3% organic price and volume growth, excluding divestitures, and an Adjusted EBITDA of $515.1 million, an increase of 14.6% over the prior year.</b>

<br><br><b>2. On October 8, 2025, GFL Environmental announced it would release its third-quarter 2025 financial results on November 5, 2025. The company reported strong Q3 2025 results and raised full-year 2025 guidance, with earnings per share reaching $0.26, surpassing the forecast of $0.12, and revenue reaching $1.68 billion, well above the anticipated $1.22 billion.</b>

<br><br><b>3. On September 25, 2025, William Blair initiated coverage on GFL Environmental with an Outperform rating, citing the company's evolution and strategic refocus on its core solid waste business. Other firms like Truist Securities, BMO Capital, and Barclays also raised price targets or initiated coverage with positive ratings following strong Q2 2025 results.</b>

<br><br><b>4. On November 20, 2025, GFL Environmental Inc. announced a secondary offering of 16,611,295 Subordinate Voting Shares by selling shareholders. This was followed by news on November 21, 2025, that GFL Environmental stock fell after the pricing of this secondary offering.</b>

<br><br><b>5. Analysts' consensus rating for GFL Environmental remained generally positive during this period, with a "Buy" consensus rating as of December 26, 2025, and an average price target of $57.18, forecasting a significant increase in the stock price over the next year. However, some forecasts, updated on December 22, 2025, indicated a bearish sentiment and a potential drop in the stock value by January 23, 2026.</b>

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.2% change in GFL stock from 9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -8.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
926202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)46.6143.24-7.24%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8083.908223.901.73%
Net Income Margin (%)44.62%43.91%-1.60%
P/E Multiple4.734.34-8.28%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)365.82362.081.02%
Cumulative Contribution-7.25%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/26/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
GFL-7.2% 
Market (SPY)4.3%-2.2%
Sector (XLI)3.0%8.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -13.0% change in GFL stock from 6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -36.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
627202512262025Change
Stock Price ($)49.6943.24-12.98%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7990.308223.902.92%
Net Income Margin (%)35.79%43.91%22.69%
P/E Multiple6.804.34-36.24%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)391.36362.087.48%
Cumulative Contribution-13.46%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/27/2025 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
GFL-13.0% 
Market (SPY)12.6%0.9%
Sector (XLI)7.5%11.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The -3.4% change in GFL stock from 12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a -27.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
1226202412262025Change
Stock Price ($)44.7843.24-3.44%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6450.408223.9027.49%
P/S Multiple2.641.90-27.86%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)380.14362.084.75%
Cumulative Contribution-3.66%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/26/2024 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
GFL-3.4% 
Market (SPY)15.8%42.2%
Sector (XLI)18.3%42.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 52.0% change in GFL stock from 12/27/2022 to 12/26/2025 was primarily driven by a 28.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
1227202212262025Change
Stock Price ($)28.4643.2451.95%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6379.708223.9028.91%
P/S Multiple1.641.9015.79%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)368.63362.081.78%
Cumulative Contribution51.91%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2023 to 12/26/2025
ReturnCorrelation
GFL25.9% 
Market (SPY)48.0%35.6%
Sector (XLI)41.3%34.2%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
GFL Return74%30%-23%18%29%-3%160%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
GFL Win Rate60%50%58%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
GFL Max Drawdown-25%-5%-37%-6%-11%-6% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventGFLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven676 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven37 days148 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

GFL Environmental's stock fell -42.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -42.9% loss requires a 75.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About GFL Environmental (GFL)

GFL Environmental Inc. operates as a diversified environmental services company in Canada and the United States. The company offers non-hazardous solid waste management, infrastructure and soil remediation, and liquid waste management services. Its solid waste management business line includes the collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste for municipal, residential, and commercial and industrial customers. The company's infrastructure and soil remediation business line provides remediation of contaminated soils, as well as complementary services, including civil, demolition, and excavation and shoring services. Its liquid waste management business collects, manages, transports, processes, and disposes of a range of industrial and commercial liquid wastes, as well as resells liquid waste products. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Vaughan, Canada.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Think of them as a **Waste Management (WM) or Republic Services (RSG) for solid waste, liquid waste, and soil remediation.**

A **'one-stop shop' for North American environmental services**, handling everything from everyday trash to complex industrial waste and site cleanups.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Major Products/Services of GFL Environmental

  • Solid Waste Services: Provides collection, transfer, recycling, and disposal of non-hazardous solid waste for residential, commercial, and industrial customers.
  • Infrastructure & Soil Remediation Services: Offers earthworks, demolition, and the remediation of contaminated soil and sites, primarily supporting construction and development projects.
  • Liquid Waste Services: Encompasses the collection, transportation, processing, and disposal of hazardous and non-hazardous liquid waste, including industrial wastewaters and used oils.

AI Analysis | Feedback

GFL Environmental (symbol: GFL) primarily sells its services to other companies, governmental entities, and institutions, rather than directly to individuals. The company serves a highly diversified customer base, and as is common for waste management companies, it does not publicly disclose the names of specific major customer companies due to the fragmented nature of the industry and the sheer volume of its clients. Instead, its major customers can be categorized as follows:

  • Municipalities: These are local government bodies that contract with GFL for comprehensive waste management services, including residential collection, recycling, and disposal, as well as managing public and often commercial waste within their jurisdictions. These entities are governmental and do not have public stock symbols.
  • Commercial Businesses: This category encompasses a wide array of enterprises, from small businesses to large corporations, across various sectors such as retail, office buildings, restaurants, hospitality, and service industries. GFL provides solid waste collection, recycling, and disposal services tailored to their specific needs. This customer base is highly diverse and comprises numerous companies, none of which are typically identified as singular "major customers" representing a significant portion of GFL's revenue.
  • Industrial Customers: GFL serves businesses engaged in manufacturing, construction, resource extraction, and other heavy industries. For these clients, GFL offers not only solid waste management but also specialized liquid waste services (e.g., hazardous waste, wastewater) and infrastructure & soil remediation. Similar to commercial customers, this category includes a vast number of diverse companies, and specific major public companies are not individually identifiable as major customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Patrick Dovigi Founder, President & CEO, Chairman of the Board of Directors

Patrick Dovigi founded GFL Environmental in 2007 with a vision to create a comprehensive provider of environmental solutions. Prior to establishing GFL, he served as President for a Canadian environmental services firm from 2004 to 2007 and held Vice President positions at Brovi Investments (2002-2004) and Right Lease (1998-2002). He gained his initial experience in waste management while at Brovi Investments. Under his leadership, GFL has grown through numerous acquisitions of smaller companies. GFL negotiated a recapitalization with private equity firms BC Partners and the Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan in 2018. The company went public in March 2020, marking one of the largest IPOs in Toronto Stock Exchange history.

Luke Pelosi Executive Vice-President and Chief Financial Officer

Luke Pelosi has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of GFL Environmental since October 2018. He initially joined GFL in January 2015 as Director of Mergers & Acquisitions, later becoming Executive Vice President, Corporate Development in October 2016, and interim Chief Financial Officer in January 2017. He played a key role in developing and executing the company's acquisition strategy alongside Patrick Dovigi. Before joining GFL, Mr. Pelosi was a Director in the M&A Advisory group at KPMG LLP, where he provided due diligence services to Canadian private equity market investors, indicating a background in managing companies backed by private equity firms from an advisory capacity.

Billy Soffera Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer Solid Waste

Billy Soffera has been GFL Environmental's Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer for Solid Waste since January 2025, having joined the company as Senior Vice President, Operations in May 2021. He brings over 35 years of leadership and operations experience within the solid waste industry. His previous roles include serving as Vice President at Waste Management, Inc., where he was responsible for integrating the Advanced Disposal Services, Inc. business from October 2020 to April 2021. Prior to that, he was Senior Vice President, Operations at Advanced Disposal Services, Inc. from February 2015 to October 2020, and held increasingly senior positions at Republic Services, Inc. from March 2001 to February 2015.

Mindy Gilbert Executive Vice President and Chief Legal Officer

Mindy Gilbert joined GFL Environmental as Executive Vice-President and General Counsel in October 2018. Before her tenure at GFL, Ms. Gilbert was a lawyer and partner at Davies Ward Philips and Vineberg LLP for over 16 years. Her legal practice concentrated on corporate and commercial law, mergers and acquisitions, and capital markets. She advised clients on various matters, including domestic and international public and private debt and equity offerings, loan financings, and private equity-related transactions.

Joy Grahek Executive Vice-President, Strategic Initiatives

Joy Grahek holds the position of Executive Vice-President, Strategic Initiatives at GFL Environmental.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to GFL Environmental's business are primarily centered around its financial structure, growth strategy, and operational compliance.

  1. High Leverage and Interest Rate Sensitivity: GFL Environmental operates with a highly leveraged capital structure compared to its industry peers. This high debt load makes the company particularly vulnerable to fluctuations in interest rates, which can impact its profitability and ability to service its debt. While the company has made efforts and plans to deleverage, this remains a significant financial risk.
  2. Risks Associated with Acquisition-Led Growth Strategy: A substantial portion of GFL's growth strategy relies on strategic acquisitions. This approach carries inherent risks, including the potential for acquiring underperforming companies, overestimating synergies, difficulties in integrating new businesses, and the ongoing need to incur additional debt to finance future acquisitions, especially in an environment of higher interest rates.
  3. Regulatory and Environmental Compliance / Operational Risks: GFL Environmental faces ongoing risks related to regulatory and environmental compliance, as well as operational challenges. The waste management industry is subject to stringent regulations, and GFL has a documented history of environmental violations and non-compliance incidents, including fires at its facilities. Such issues can lead to increased regulatory scrutiny, significant fines, damage to the company's reputation, and higher operational costs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The global shift towards a circular economy and aggressive waste reduction initiatives represents a clear emerging threat to GFL Environmental's long-term business model. GFL's revenues are largely derived from the collection, processing, and disposal of waste materials. A successful and widespread transition to a circular economy, characterized by significant reductions in waste generation, increased reuse of materials, extended product lifecycles, and advanced recycling technologies, would directly impact the volume of waste available for GFL's services. This trend, supported by increasing governmental regulations (e.g., extended producer responsibility laws, single-use plastic bans) and corporate sustainability targets, aims to decouple economic growth from waste generation, potentially leading to a shrinking addressable market for traditional waste management services over time.

AI Analysis | Feedback

For GFL Environmental, the addressable markets for its main products and services in North America are sized as follows:

  • Solid Waste Management: The North America Solid Waste Management Market is estimated at USD 76.28 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 88.95 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.12% during the forecast period (2025-2030). Another estimate places the North America Solid Waste Management Market at USD 331.09 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 467.12 billion by 2035 with a CAGR of 3.5%.
  • Liquid Waste Management: The North America Liquid Waste Management Market size is estimated at USD 89.38 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 109.79 billion by 2030, at a CAGR of 4.22%. North America also held the largest revenue share of 43% in the global liquid waste management market in 2024, which was valued at USD 100.31 billion.
  • Soil Remediation (Soil Treatment): The North America Soil Treatment Market size is expected to reach USD 18.70 billion in 2025 and grow at a CAGR of 5.90% to reach USD 24.90 billion by 2030. In 2024, this market was estimated at USD 17.60 billion. The global soil remediation market, which includes North America, was estimated at USD 47.82 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach approximately USD 87.13 billion by 2034, growing at a CAGR of 6.89%.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for GFL Environmental (symbol: GFL) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Strategic Acquisitions: GFL Environmental has historically grown through strategic acquisitions, integrating smaller waste management companies to expand its service offerings and geographic reach. This strategy is expected to continue, with the company anticipating deploying approximately $700 million to $900 million annually on acquisitions, which are expected to contribute significantly to revenue in 2026 and beyond.
  2. Pricing Strategies: The company is implementing disciplined pricing strategies, including contract renewals and leveraging opportunities related to ancillary surcharges, to drive revenue growth. GFL expects full-year pricing to be around 6% and is working to shift its pricing strategy with clients away from being tied to the broader Consumer Price Index and toward an index that more accurately reflects the company's internal cost of inflation.
  3. Organic Volume Growth: GFL anticipates continued organic volume growth, supported by the benefits of recent growth investments and improvements in municipal solid waste (MSW) volumes.
  4. Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR) Programs: EPR programs, particularly in Canada, are expected to be a significant contributor to revenue growth. These programs are delivering business earlier than anticipated and are projected to add 75 basis points of incremental revenue growth in 2026, with further opportunities being pursued. GFL expects a revenue contribution of $285 million to $440 million from EPR, RNG, and self-help levers for the 2026 to 2028 period.
  5. Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Projects: GFL is investing in renewable natural gas (RNG) projects, converting landfill gas into RNG. These initiatives are expected to generate new revenue streams and contribute to growth. The company plans to commission 15 renewable natural gas facilities in the coming years, which are projected to generate $175 million of Adjusted EBITDA from 2028. GFL's 2028 financial framework anticipates a revenue contribution from RNG, EPR, and self-help levers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • GFL Environmental announced a new share repurchase program (NCIB) from March 3, 2025, to March 2, 2026, allocating up to $2.25 billion from the net proceeds of its Environmental Services business sale to repurchase subordinate voting shares.
  • Under this program, GFL is authorized to repurchase a maximum of 28,046,256 subordinate voting shares, representing 10% of the public float.
  • As of March 31, 2025, GFL had purchased for cancellation a total of 31,725,083 subordinate voting shares, including 17,050,298 shares directly from BC Partners at US$46.92 per share and 7,056,027 shares in a secondary offering, in addition to shares bought under its NCIB.

Share Issuance

  • In April 2021, certain selling shareholders completed a secondary offering of 17,500,000 subordinate voting shares at US$33.95 per share, generating total gross proceeds of US$594,125,000 for the selling shareholders, with GFL not receiving any proceeds.
  • In November 2021, other selling shareholders intended to offer for sale 12,658,228 subordinate voting shares, from which GFL would not receive any proceeds.
  • In August 2020, GFL announced plans to finance the acquisition of WCA Waste Corporation, in part, through the issuance of US$600 million of Series A convertible preferred shares to affiliates of HPS Investment Partners, LLC.

Inbound Investments

  • In September 2025, GFL completed the sale of a significant stake in Green Infrastructure Partners (GIP) to private equity firm Energy Capital Partners, valuing GIP at $4.25 billion.
  • From this GIP transaction, GFL received $200 million while retaining a 30.1% equity interest in GIP, valued at approximately $895 million.
  • GFL's initial investment of $250 million in GIP in 2022 grew to approximately $1.1 billion in just over three years, representing a 340% return on its investment.

Outbound Investments

  • GFL Environmental has actively pursued strategic acquisitions to expand its operations, completing 46 acquisitions in 2021 alone.
  • Significant acquisitions include WCA Waste for approximately $1.2 billion and select Waste Management and Advanced Disposal assets for $0.86 billion in 2020.
  • In 2021, GFL acquired Terrapure Environmental for approximately $744 million, enhancing its non-hazardous treatment and recycling capabilities. In 2023, GFL deployed $900 million into high-quality acquisitions.

Capital Expenditures

  • GFL spent approximately $300 million on growth investments in 2024 and has targeted $325 million for 2025.
  • Capital expenditures in 2023 and 2024 primarily focused on sustainability-related projects, including Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) and Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR)-related investments.
  • The company's largest RNG facility at the Arbor Hills landfill in Michigan became operational in late 2023, with three additional facilities anticipated to be commissioned by early 2025.

Better Bets than GFL Environmental (GFL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to GFL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
18.7%18.7%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.7%4.7%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.9%6.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
2.6%2.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
6.0%6.0%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for GFL Environmental

Peers to compare with:

Financials

GFLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameGFL Envi.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price43.2423.2624.49305.0978.16273.4060.70
Mkt Cap15.721.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM8,22455,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM5383,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM2262,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg1392,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM1,4363,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg1,2653,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

GFLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameGFL Envi.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM27.5%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.3%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q9.0%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%9.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM6.5%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%12.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.4%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%11.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM17.5%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%19.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg17.3%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%19.4%
FCF/Rev LTM2.7%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%11.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.0%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%12.1%

Valuation

GFLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameGFL Envi.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap15.721.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S1.90.41.04.45.410.03.1
P/EBIT30.26.819.925.122.531.323.8
P/E4.38.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO10.95.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield23.1%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%5.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.8%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.7%
D/E0.50.50.70.20.10.00.4
Net D/E0.50.30.60.20.00.00.3

Returns

GFLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameGFL Envi.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn-4.9%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%-0.4%
3M Rtn-7.2%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn-13.0%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn-3.4%-27.3%14.2%39.2%33.7%6.0%10.1%
3Y Rtn52.0%-3.8%67.7%139.0%79.5%113.4%73.6%
1M Excs Rtn-6.7%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-3.0%
3M Excs Rtn-11.5%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-25.2%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-19.2%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-26.2%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Solid Waste6,6108,4434,4043,2552,461
Environmental Services1,8521,823733  
Corporate00   
Intercompany Revenue-946-1,090   
Infrastructure and soil remediation   527535
Liquid Waste   414351
Total7,5169,1765,1374,1963,347


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$43.24 
Market Cap ($ Bil)15.7 
First Trading Date03/03/2020 
Distance from 52W High-16.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$44.47$47.44
DMA Trendindeterminatedown
Distance from DMA-2.8%-8.8%
 3M1YR
Volatility17.4%24.7%
Downside Capture15.1236.96
Upside Capture-24.0327.98
Correlation (SPY)-2.4%42.2%
GFL Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.15-0.07-0.100.040.510.64
Up Beta0.510.590.460.360.780.79
Down Beta2.24-0.12-0.20-0.060.390.44
Up Capture9%-34%-40%-13%19%36%
Bmk +ve Days12253873141426
Stock +ve Days9172653115372
Down Capture-46%-13%-1%15%46%85%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9233570131370

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of GFL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 GFLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-3.5%19.3%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.3%
Annualized Volatility24.5%18.8%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.200.800.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 42.8%42.1%16.6%9.9%39.3%4.9%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of GFL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 GFLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return9.3%13.8%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility30.2%17.2%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio0.340.650.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 47.6%49.8%11.3%7.5%42.2%22.5%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of GFL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 GFLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return17.9%13.5%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility33.0%19.9%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.570.600.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 43.8%47.0%11.3%11.7%44.4%22.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLI, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity7,124,125
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-2.3%
Average Daily Volume1,227,142
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.81
Basic Shares Quantity362,084,803
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110520256-K 9/30/2025
630202580120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550220256-K 3/31/2025
12312024227202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110820246-K 9/30/2024
630202473120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450120246-K 3/31/2024
12312023223202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023110320236-K 9/30/2023
630202372820236-K 6/30/2023
331202342820236-K 3/31/2023
12312022223202340-F 12/31/2022
9302022110320226-K 9/30/2022
630202272720226-K 6/30/2022
331202250520226-K 3/31/2022
12312021210202240-F 12/31/2021