Tearsheet

Waste Management (WM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $219.47 | Market Cap: $88.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Waste Management (WM)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $219.47
Market Cap: $88.4 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
Key risks
WM key risks include [1] increased operating and capital costs driven by evolving environmental regulations for contaminants like PFAS and [2] revenue volatility from fluctuating market prices for recyclable commodities.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 5.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
  
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, CFO LTM is 5.9 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.4 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 19%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -16%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -30%
5 Key risks
WM key risks include [1] increased operating and capital costs driven by evolving environmental regulations for contaminants like PFAS and [2] revenue volatility from fluctuating market prices for recyclable commodities.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Based on the available information for Waste Management (WM) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, a specific -2.2% stock movement and its causal factors were not clearly highlighted in the provided news and performance summaries. However, a daily stock price change of approximately -2.03% was observed for WM on October 15, 2025. The general sentiment and reported financial results for Waste Management in the broader period of late 2024 and projections for 2025 indicate overall positive performance and growth. For example, Waste Management reported strong Q4 and full-year 2024 earnings, with revenue surpassing estimates and significant growth in its legacy business. The company's stock price also climbed by 13% since October 2024, and annual variations for 2025 showed a positive 6.85%. There were no specific news events identified that directly explain a decline of -2.2% for the stock within the requested timeframe.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WM Return5%44%-4%16%14%10%112%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WM Win Rate50%75%42%50%67%58% 
Peers Win Rate 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WM Max Drawdown-23%-7%-16%-5%-1%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RSG, ACM, CLH, CWST, MDRN. See WM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-17.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven20.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven53 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-30.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven43.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven367 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-11.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven13.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven173 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,512 days1,480 days

Compare to RSG, ACM, CLH, CWST, MDRN


In The Past

Waste Management's stock fell -17.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/28/2022. A -17.1% loss requires a 20.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Waste Management (WM)

Better Bets than Waste Management (WM)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.3%16.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.6%5.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-0.4%-0.4%-0.4%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Waste Management

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WMRSGACMCLHCWSTMDRNMedian
NameWaste Ma.Republic.AECOM Clean Ha.Casella .Modern M. 
Mkt Price219.77214.7396.69237.8299.44-214.73
Mkt Cap88.666.917.312.76.3-17.3
Rev LTM24,78416,50216,1405,9621,795-16,140
Op Inc LTM4,3723,3281,05965293-1,059
FCF LTM2,4022,52968544178-685
FCF 3Y Avg2,0592,11866134074-661
CFO LTM5,8564,337822816343-822
CFO 3Y Avg5,1683,893782764271-782

Growth & Margins

WMRSGACMCLHCWSTMDRNMedian
NameWaste Ma.Republic.AECOM Clean Ha.Casella .Modern M. 
Rev Chg LTM15.9%4.3%0.2%2.9%20.5%-4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.6%8.5%7.2%6.0%19.6%-8.5%
Rev Chg Q14.9%3.3%1.6%1.3%17.9%-3.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.5%0.8%0.4%0.3%4.3%-0.8%
Op Mgn LTM17.6%20.2%6.6%10.9%5.2%-10.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.4%19.3%5.9%11.3%6.9%-11.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-0.3%0.2%-0.0%-0.5%--0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM23.6%26.3%5.1%13.7%19.1%-19.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg23.3%24.8%5.0%13.4%18.2%-18.2%
FCF/Rev LTM9.7%15.3%4.2%7.4%4.4%-7.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%13.5%4.2%5.9%5.2%-5.9%

Valuation

WMRSGACMCLHCWSTMDRNMedian
NameWaste Ma.Republic.AECOM Clean Ha.Casella .Modern M. 
Mkt Cap88.666.917.312.76.3-17.3
P/S3.64.31.12.13.4-3.4
P/EBIT21.822.9-18.373.1-22.4
P/E34.733.930.732.0394.8-33.9
P/CFO15.216.521.015.217.6-16.5
Total Yield4.3%4.0%4.0%3.1%0.3%-4.0%
Dividend Yield1.5%1.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%-0.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.6%3.6%-3.0%1.4%-2.8%
D/E0.30.2-0.20.2-0.2
Net D/E0.30.2-0.20.2-0.2

Returns

WMRSGACMCLHCWSTMDRNMedian
NameWaste Ma.Republic.AECOM Clean Ha.Casella .Modern M. 
1M Rtn6.1%2.3%-26.7%17.9%11.7%-6.1%
3M Rtn2.3%-4.8%-23.6%0.6%13.7%-0.6%
6M Rtn-5.0%-13.1%-12.0%5.1%-15.4%--12.0%
12M Rtn6.7%5.5%-11.6%-0.7%-6.6%--0.7%
3Y Rtn42.3%69.3%20.1%106.8%22.1%-42.3%
1M Excs Rtn5.3%1.6%-27.4%17.2%11.0%-5.3%
3M Excs Rtn0.8%-6.4%-28.5%-1.1%11.1%--1.1%
6M Excs Rtn-17.4%-25.5%-24.4%-7.3%-27.7%--24.4%
12M Excs Rtn-6.5%-7.2%-23.5%-13.7%-17.3%--13.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-30.4%-5.6%-50.4%32.8%-50.1%--30.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
East Tier10,5339,9407,5406,370 
West Tier9,8979,5407,4616,584 
Other Ancillary2,7112,413   
Recycling Processing and Sales1,5761,760   
Waste management (WM) Renewable Energy276315   
Corporate and Other4650   
Intercompany Elimination-4,613-4,320   
Other  2,9302,2642,195
Solid Waste - Tier 1    4,995
Solid Waste - Tier 2    3,088
Solid Waste - Tier 3    5,177
Total20,42619,69817,93115,21815,455


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
East Tier2,4462,1782,0371,672 
West Tier2,3832,1822,1031,800 
Waste management (WM) Renewable Energy79132   
Other Ancillary-80   
Recycling Processing and Sales-44128   
Corporate and Other-1,281-1,255-1,209-996-906
Other  34-42-161
Solid Waste - Tier 1    1,719
Solid Waste - Tier 2    881
Solid Waste - Tier 3    1,173
Total3,5753,3652,9652,4342,706


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
East Tier14,32814,19414,26914,274 
West Tier11,32211,13411,47611,501 
Corporate and Other3,3923,0522,3721,8105,042
Recycling Processing and Sales2,2821,918   
Waste management (WM) Renewable Energy1,077693   
Other Ancillary783686   
Waste management (WM) Healthcare Solutions0    
Elimination of intercompany investments and advances-361-310-295-304-267
Other  1,2752,0641,648
Solid Waste - Tier 1    7,519
Solid Waste - Tier 2    5,558
Solid Waste - Tier 3    8,243
Total32,82331,36729,09729,34527,743


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5,378,171
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.1%
Average Daily Volume2,330,392
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.31
Basic Shares Quantity403,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares1.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-4.5%-8.0%1.2%
7/28/20253.4%1.2%-1.2%
4/28/2025-0.1%2.5%3.5%
1/30/20256.1%7.3%11.1%
10/28/20245.2%2.9%9.2%
7/24/2024-8.0%-6.8%-3.3%
4/25/2024-1.2%-2.6%-1.8%
2/13/2024-0.2%2.4%5.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101115
# Negative13128
Median Positive3.1%2.9%5.8%
Median Negative-1.2%-2.4%-2.4%
Max Positive6.1%10.5%11.9%
Max Negative-8.0%-8.0%-15.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025729202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025429202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241028202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024425202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023213202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022207202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022426202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0MENKE SEAN E 11042025Buy196.422,000392,8401,436,617Form