Tearsheet

Waste Connections (WCN)


Market Price (7/13/2026): $171.07 | Market Cap: $43.7 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Waste Connections (WCN)


Market Price (7/13/2026): $171.07
Market Cap: $43.7 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Environmental & Facilities Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%

Key risks
WCN key risks include [1] significant remediation costs from the ongoing Elevated Temperature Landfill event at its Chiquita Canyon Landfill, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 25%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Infrastructure, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Waste Management Solutions, Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -47%
4 Key risks
WCN key risks include [1] significant remediation costs from the ongoing Elevated Temperature Landfill event at its Chiquita Canyon Landfill, Show more.

WCN in ETFs

Weight = WCN's share of each fund

VTI0.05%
VUG0.11%
VO0.38%
VOT0.86%
VV0.06%

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 7/7/2026

Waste Connections (WCN) stock has gained about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance Exceeded Expectations. Waste Connections reported robust results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ending March 31, 2026) on April 22, 2026, which significantly surpassed analyst estimates. The company delivered adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.23, beating the consensus estimate of $1.19 by $0.04, representing a 3.36% positive surprise. Revenue also rose 6.4% year-over-year to $2.371 billion, exceeding expectations. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA increased by 8.0% year-over-year to $769.5 million, with the adjusted EBITDA margin expanding by 50 basis points to 32.5%, both above expectations.

2. Upgraded Analyst Ratings and Price Targets. Following the strong Q1 2026 results, multiple Wall Street analysts reaffirmed or upgraded their ratings and increased price targets for Waste Connections. Analysts maintain a consensus "Buy" or "Strong Buy" rating on the stock. For instance, Barclays raised its price target to $180 from $176, and BMO Capital increased its target to $208 from $206. JPMorgan also elevated its price target from $195 to $210. The average 12-month price target currently stands between $201.11 and $202.84, implying an upside potential of 18-19% from recent trading levels.

Show more
Updated on 7/7/2026

Waste Connections (WCN) stock has gained about 5% since 3/31/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Performance Exceeded Expectations. Waste Connections reported robust results for fiscal Q1 2026 (ending March 31, 2026) on April 22, 2026, which significantly surpassed analyst estimates. The company delivered adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.23, beating the consensus estimate of $1.19 by $0.04, representing a 3.36% positive surprise. Revenue also rose 6.4% year-over-year to $2.371 billion, exceeding expectations. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA increased by 8.0% year-over-year to $769.5 million, with the adjusted EBITDA margin expanding by 50 basis points to 32.5%, both above expectations.

2. Upgraded Analyst Ratings and Price Targets. Following the strong Q1 2026 results, multiple Wall Street analysts reaffirmed or upgraded their ratings and increased price targets for Waste Connections. Analysts maintain a consensus "Buy" or "Strong Buy" rating on the stock. For instance, Barclays raised its price target to $180 from $176, and BMO Capital increased its target to $208 from $206. JPMorgan also elevated its price target from $195 to $210. The average 12-month price target currently stands between $201.11 and $202.84, implying an upside potential of 18-19% from recent trading levels.

3. Significant Insider Buying Activity. A notable vote of confidence came from Waste Connections' leadership, with President and CEO Ronald J. Mittelstaedt purchasing 50,000 shares at $152.24 per share on May 13, 2026, totaling approximately $7.612 million. This substantial insider acquisition exceeded the $5 million threshold, signaling strong internal belief in the company's future prospects.

4. Strategic Growth Initiatives and Shareholder Returns. Management highlighted ongoing strategic initiatives and a positive outlook for the remainder of 2026. The company anticipates an "outsized M&A year" with approximately $100 million in annualized revenue from acquisitions expected to close by the end of fiscal Q2 or early fiscal Q3. Waste Connections also reported year-to-date share repurchases amounting to 1% of outstanding shares. Furthermore, the company is expanding its renewable natural gas (RNG) portfolio, with one new RNG facility coming online in fiscal Q1 2026 and approximately six more expected by year-end, slated to contribute more meaningfully to EBITDA in 2027 and beyond. These efforts collectively point to sustained growth and enhanced shareholder value.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 5.5% change in WCN stock from 3/31/2026 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120267122026Change
Stock Price ($)162.08171.075.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,4679,6091.5%
Net Income Margin (%)11.4%11.0%-3.5%
P/E Multiple38.541.47.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2562550.2%
Cumulative Contribution5.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 7/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WCN5.5% 
Market (SPY)16.1%-36.8%
Sector (XLI)12.5%-6.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -2.0% change in WCN stock from 12/31/2025 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120257122026Change
Stock Price ($)174.60171.07-2.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,3549,6092.7%
Net Income Margin (%)6.7%11.0%65.0%
P/E Multiple72.141.4-42.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2572550.6%
Cumulative Contribution-2.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 7/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WCN-2.0% 
Market (SPY)11.0%-3.5%
Sector (XLI)17.6%5.3%

Fundamental Drivers

The -7.6% change in WCN stock from 6/30/2025 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.5% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020257122026Change
Stock Price ($)185.21171.07-7.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,0759,6095.9%
Net Income Margin (%)6.9%11.0%58.3%
P/E Multiple76.041.4-45.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2582551.1%
Cumulative Contribution-7.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2025 to 7/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WCN-7.6% 
Market (SPY)23.2%-5.7%
Sector (XLI)24.6%5.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 22.4% change in WCN stock from 6/30/2023 to 7/12/2026 was primarily driven by a 28.7% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)63020237122026Change
Stock Price ($)139.81171.0722.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,4669,60928.7%
Net Income Margin (%)11.4%11.0%-4.0%
P/E Multiple42.241.4-1.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2572550.8%
Cumulative Contribution22.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2023 to 7/12/2026
ReturnCorrelation
WCN22.4% 
Market (SPY)76.3%23.5%
Sector (XLI)76.6%27.2%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
WCN Return34%-2%13%16%3%-3%73%
Peers Return38%-5%25%24%2%6%119%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%10%101%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WCN Win Rate58%33%58%67%42%57% 
Peers Win Rate68%47%57%57%55%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%57% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WCN Max Drawdown-7%-21%-12%-11%-17%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-25%-18%-12%-22%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: WM, RSG, GFL, CLH, CWST. See WCN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 7/10/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventWCNS&P 500
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-10.4%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven11.7%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven47 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-14.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven16.3%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven47 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven114 days140 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-13.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven15.3%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven63 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-12.7%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven14.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven16 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-32.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven220 days1085 days

Compare to WM, RSG, GFL, CLH, CWST

In The Past

Waste Connections's stock fell -2.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 2.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventWCNS&P 500
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-30.3%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven114 days140 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-32.8%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven48.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven220 days1085 days

Compare to WM, RSG, GFL, CLH, CWST

In The Past

Waste Connections's stock fell -2.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 2.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Waste Connections (WCN)

Waste Connections (WCN) is a prominent environmental services company providing non-hazardous waste management solutions throughout the United States and Canada. The company's core business revolves around the entire waste lifecycle, offering collection, transfer, disposal, and resource recovery services. This includes comprehensive municipal solid waste (MSW) services, where it collects waste from various sources, transports it through a network of transfer stations, and ultimately disposes of it in its owned and operated landfills.

In addition to general waste management, Waste Connections specializes in extensive recycling operations, processing a wide array of materials such as paper, plastics, glass, and metals. A unique and significant part of its offerings is dedicated to the oil and natural gas industry, where it provides specialized services for exploration and production (E&P) waste. This includes the treatment, recovery, and safe disposal of drilling fluids, completion fluids, flowback water, and contaminated soils resulting from energy production activities.

The company serves a broad customer base, including residential communities, commercial businesses, municipalities, and industrial clients. Its E&P waste services specifically cater to the needs of the energy sector. With a vast infrastructure comprising numerous collection operations, transfer stations, MSW and E&P landfills, recycling facilities, and E&P waste treatment plants across North America, Waste Connections is a key provider in the waste management and environmental services industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Waste Connections (WCN):

  • The FedEx or UPS for trash and recycling across North America.
  • A utility company for waste, handling everything from household trash to industrial disposal and recycling.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • Non-Hazardous Waste Collection: Gathers non-hazardous waste from residential, commercial, municipal, industrial, and E&P customers.
  • Waste Transfer Services: Operates transfer stations to compact and load waste for transportation to disposal or treatment facilities.
  • Waste Disposal Services: Manages and operates municipal solid waste (MSW) and non-MSW landfills for the final disposal of waste.
  • Recycling and Resource Recovery: Processes and recovers various recyclable materials like paper, plastics, glass, and metals for reuse.
  • Exploration & Production (E&P) Waste Management: Provides specialized treatment, recovery, and disposal services for waste generated by oil and natural gas exploration and production activities.
  • Intermodal Services: Offers rail haul movement of cargo and solid waste containers through a network of intermodal facilities.
  • Equipment Leasing: Provides leasing services for equipment to its customers.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

Waste Connections (WCN) serves a broad range of customers across various sectors. The company does not identify specific major customer companies by name in its description but rather categorizes its diverse client base. As it provides services to individuals (residential customers) as well as businesses and governmental entities, the most appropriate way to describe its major customers is through these categories.

The up to three categories of customers that Waste Connections primarily serves include:

  • Residential customers: Individuals and households that receive non-hazardous waste collection and recycling services.
  • Commercial customers: Businesses and organizations that require waste collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services.
  • Municipal customers: Cities, towns, and local governments for whom Waste Connections provides waste collection, transfer, and disposal services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Ronald J. Mittelstaedt, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Mittelstaedt is a founder of Waste Connections, Inc., established in 1997. He served as the Chief Executive Officer from the company's formation in 1997 until July 2019, at which point he transitioned to the role of Executive Chairman. In April 2023, Mr. Mittelstaedt was reappointed as President and Chief Executive Officer. He has over 35 years of experience in the solid waste industry and also served as President of Waste Connections from its formation through August 2004. Mr. Mittelstaedt also serves as a director of SkyWest, Inc.

Mary Anne Whitney, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Ms. Whitney has been the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Waste Connections since February 2021. She previously held various finance positions for Wheelabrator Technologies from 1990 to 2001. Prior to her current role, Ms. Whitney served in several financial leadership capacities at Waste Connections, including Director of Finance, Vice President - Finance, and Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. She is also a member of the Board of Directors of Vestis Corp.

Jason J. Craft, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Craft has served as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Waste Connections since August 2025. He has a long history with the company, having held various operational roles since November 2003, including Regional Vice President, Senior Vice President – Operations, Divisional Vice President, and District Manager. Additionally, Mr. Craft worked in Waste Connections' Operations Analysis and Integrations department and Internal Audit department. Before joining Waste Connections, he held various accounting positions with The Newark Group Inc. from June 2000 to April 2003.

Derek Tan, Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer

Mr. Tan was appointed Senior Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer of Waste Connections in May 2025. His previous roles at Waste Connections include Vice President – Financial Reporting and Region Controller - Canada. From June 2015 to April 2016, Mr. Tan served as Accounting Director for Quidsi, a subsidiary of Amazon. He also held various District Controller positions within Waste Connections.

James M. Little, Executive Vice President – Engineering and Disposal

Mr. Little has been Executive Vice President – Engineering and Disposal of Waste Connections since July 2019. He previously served as Senior Vice President – Engineering and Disposal and Vice President – Engineering for the company. Prior to his tenure at Waste Connections, Mr. Little held various management positions with Waste Management, Inc. (formerly USA Waste Services, Inc., which acquired Waste Management, Inc. and Chambers Development Co. Inc.).

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Waste Connections (WCN):
  1. Elevated Temperature Landfill (ETLF) Events and Associated Costs: Waste Connections faces significant financial and operational risks due to unpredictable Elevated Temperature Landfill (ETLF) events. Specifically, the Chiquita Canyon Landfill in California has required substantial remediation spending, which began in 2023 and is expected to continue, posing a considerable drain on company resources and impacting financial results.
  2. Rising Fuel and Labor Costs: The company's operational efficiency and margin sustainability are significantly challenged by rising fuel and labor costs. As a waste collection and disposal company, Waste Connections' operations are inherently fuel-intensive and rely heavily on a stable workforce.
  3. Volume Declines and Volatile Commodity Prices: Waste Connections is exposed to risks from potential declines in solid waste volumes, which can be exacerbated by macroeconomic uncertainties. Additionally, the company's recycling services are vulnerable to weak and fluctuating commodity prices for recycled materials, such as cardboard and plastics, which can negatively impact revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • The global transition towards a circular economy and zero-waste initiatives, which aim to significantly reduce overall waste generation and divert materials from traditional landfill disposal.
  • The ongoing decarbonization and global shift away from fossil fuels, which directly threatens the demand for Waste Connections' specialized exploration and production (E&P) waste treatment, recovery, and disposal services.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Waste Connections (WCN) operates in several addressable markets across the United States and Canada. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services are: * Solid Waste Management Market (North America): The North America solid waste management market was valued at approximately USD 77.40 billion in 2025. This market is projected to reach USD 101.25 billion by 2034. * Solid Waste Management Market (United States): The U.S. solid waste management market size was estimated at USD 156.3 billion in 2024. It is projected to reach USD 247.5 billion by 2033. * Waste Management Market (Canada): The waste management market in Canada generated a revenue of USD 74.7 billion in 2025. This market is expected to reach USD 120.8 billion by 2033. * Industrial Waste Management Market (North America), including E&P Waste: The North America Industrial Waste Management Market, which includes waste from the oil and gas sector, is estimated at USD 32.26 billion in 2025. This market is expected to reach USD 43.88 billion by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the expected drivers of future revenue growth for Waste Connections (WCN) over the next 2-3 years:
  • Price-Led Organic Growth: Waste Connections anticipates continued revenue growth driven by core pricing increases in its solid waste services. For example, in 2026, the company targets core solid waste pricing growth of 5% to 5.5%. This strategy has consistently contributed to the company's performance, with solid waste core pricing rising 6.5% in 2025.
  • Strategic Acquisitions: The company actively pursues and completes acquisitions, which add significant annualized revenue. Waste Connections closed 19 acquisitions in 2025, adding approximately $330 million in annualized revenue, and expects $125 million in rollover revenue in 2026 from deals already completed. The company maintains a strong acquisition pipeline, focusing on internalizing waste streams and expanding into new markets.
  • Investments in Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) Projects: Waste Connections is investing in RNG facilities, with capital expenditures including $100 million for RNG projects in 2025 and an estimated $100 million for 2026. These projects are expected to contribute to EBITDA and cash flow, indicating a future revenue stream from clean energy generation.
  • Expansion into Secondary and Rural Markets: Waste Connections' growth strategy includes expanding its presence in less-competitive secondary and rural markets. This approach enables the company to gain higher local market share and establish a more dominant operational position.
  • Operational Improvements and Technology Investments (including AI): While primarily enhancing margins, investments in operational efficiency and technology, such as AI-driven initiatives for dynamic real-time routing and mobile connectivity, are expected to reduce customer calls and improve service. These improvements can support revenue growth by allowing for competitive pricing and improved customer retention.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Waste Connections returned over $830 million to shareholders in 2025 through share repurchases and dividends, with over $500 million attributed to share repurchases.
  • In 2022, the company repurchased shares valued at $425 million.
  • The company renewed its normal course issuer bid (NCIB) in August 2025, authorizing share purchases from August 12, 2025, to August 11, 2026.

Share Issuance

  • The number of shares outstanding has remained relatively stable over the last few years, with 257.89 million in 2025, 258.06 million in 2024, and 257.64 million in 2023.

Outbound Investments

  • In 2025, Waste Connections closed 19 acquisitions, which are expected to add approximately $330 million in annualized revenue.
  • The company completed acquisitions totaling approximately $750 million in annualized revenue during 2024.
  • Waste Connections' acquisition strategy focuses on bolstering its presence, expanding services, and growing its customer base through "tuck-in" acquisitions in new or adjacent markets.

Capital Expenditures

  • For 2026, estimated capital expenditures are approximately $1.25 billion, with about $100 million allocated to Renewable Natural Gas (RNG) and recycling projects.
  • Capital expenditures totaled $1.194 billion in 2025, including approximately $100 million for RNG projects.
  • The company is making significant investments in sustainability, ESG, and AI-driven initiatives, particularly in RNG facilities, which are projected to generate around $200 million of annual EBITDA by 2026.

Better Bets vs. Waste Connections (WCN)

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WCNWMRSGGFLCLHCWSTMedian
NameWaste Co.Waste Ma.Republic.GFL Envi.Clean Ha.Casella . 
Mkt Price171.07233.33219.2039.75304.1396.82195.13
Mkt Cap43.794.167.814.316.16.229.9
Rev LTM9,60925,41316,6956,7006,0581,8778,154
Op Inc LTM1,8674,6703,347370681931,274
FCF LTM1,1403,2902,59497463102801
FCF 3Y Avg1,1892,4222,30610234885769
CFO LTM2,4186,3364,4981,3108713421,864
CFO 3Y Avg2,2915,5364,1301,2717862971,781

Growth & Margins

WCNWMRSGGFLCLHCWSTMedian
NameWaste Co.Waste Ma.Republic.GFL Envi.Clean Ha.Casella . 
Rev Chg LTM5.9%10.9%3.2%6.9%1.9%14.9%6.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg8.8%8.5%5.8%-1.9%4.6%19.0%7.1%
Rev Chg Q6.4%3.5%2.6%5.4%1.9%9.6%4.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.5%0.8%0.6%1.3%0.5%2.2%1.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM9.2%12.2%1.7%70.5%3.7%-9.6%6.4%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg12.8%10.5%10.4%69.8%0.8%-3.1%10.5%
Op Mgn LTM19.4%18.4%20.0%5.5%11.2%4.9%14.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg19.0%18.6%19.8%4.2%11.2%6.2%14.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.1%0.0%0.4%0.1%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM25.2%24.9%26.9%19.6%14.4%18.2%22.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.6%24.0%25.7%19.1%13.5%18.3%21.6%
FCF/Rev LTM11.9%12.9%15.5%1.5%7.6%5.4%9.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.4%10.4%14.3%1.6%5.9%5.2%8.2%

Valuation

WCNWMRSGGFLCLHCWSTMedian
NameWaste Co.Waste Ma.Republic.GFL Envi.Clean Ha.Casella . 
Mkt Cap43.794.167.814.316.16.229.9
P/S4.53.74.12.12.73.33.5
P/Op Inc23.420.120.238.523.666.323.5
P/EBIT25.321.221.421.122.885.222.1
P/E41.433.731.268.240.6861.441.0
P/CFO18.114.815.110.918.418.016.5
Total Yield3.2%4.4%4.3%1.5%2.5%0.1%2.8%
Dividend Yield0.8%1.5%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.6%2.7%3.4%0.6%2.8%1.5%2.7%
D/E0.20.20.20.70.20.20.2
Net D/E0.20.20.20.60.10.20.2

Returns

WCNWMRSGGFLCLHCWSTMedian
NameWaste Co.Waste Ma.Republic.GFL Envi.Clean Ha.Casella . 
1M Rtn9.6%6.3%4.7%10.5%5.7%8.3%7.3%
3M Rtn6.1%2.1%2.4%-7.7%0.6%11.3%2.3%
6M Rtn3.3%6.5%3.9%-6.4%20.0%-3.1%3.6%
12M Rtn-6.0%4.9%-8.1%-15.9%30.6%-12.5%-7.0%
3Y Rtn23.9%45.1%51.7%7.6%83.9%12.2%34.5%
1M Excs Rtn6.0%2.9%2.0%8.8%3.0%7.7%4.5%
3M Excs Rtn-6.3%-10.5%-9.7%-21.7%-10.3%0.6%-10.0%
6M Excs Rtn-7.5%-0.5%-4.0%-14.0%15.6%-13.4%-5.8%
12M Excs Rtn-26.2%-15.9%-28.8%-37.0%11.0%-35.2%-27.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-46.5%-27.5%-20.2%-67.6%13.9%-59.8%-37.0%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Commercial2,9442,6712,4772,1761,813
Residential2,3652,2592,1251,8911,674
Landfill1,5421,5581,4831,3291,233
Transfer1,4621,3491,1981,026859
Industrial and construction roll off1,4391,4031,3331,184954
Exploration and Production (E&P)689522232211139
Recycling240242147205205
Intermodal and other175192172188152
Intercompany-1,389-1,275-1,146-998-879
Total9,4678,9208,0227,2126,151


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2012
Western151
Central116
Eastern52
E&P9
Corporate-11
Total316


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20152014201320122011
Western1,4981,4821,4871,5071,370
Central1,2171,1881,1731,1591,041
Eastern1,177853807827841
E&P1,1141,6101,4851,449 
Corporate11611811213476
Total5,1225,2505,0645,0763,328


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$171.07 
Market Cap ($ Bil)43.7 
First Trading Date05/22/1998 
Distance from 52W High-10.1% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$158.34$165.80
DMA Trenddownindeterminate
Distance from DMA8.0%3.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility28.1%22.5%
Downside Capture-171.33-12.90
Upside Capture-76.89-17.01
Correlation (SPY)-37.8%-5.7%
WCN Betas & Captures as of 6/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.65-0.73-0.60-0.03-0.090.30
Up Beta-0.84-0.64-0.16-0.28-0.200.35
Down Beta0.56-0.13-0.140.550.150.30
Up Capture-35%-69%-45%-15%-11%8%
Bmk +ve Days11244067140429
Stock +ve Days11172959118386
Down Capture-168%-132%-175%-8%-11%51%
Bmk -ve Days10172358112321
Stock -ve Days10243466134364

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WCN
WCN-5.3%22.4%-0.32-
Sector ETF (XLI)22.7%16.7%1.055.4%
Equity (SPY)22.1%12.5%1.31-5.6%
Gold (GLD)23.5%27.8%0.75-4.3%
Commodities (DBC)23.6%18.7%0.992.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)13.4%13.9%0.6731.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-42.5%42.8%-1.17-7.5%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WCN
WCN8.2%19.6%0.32-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.7%17.6%0.6139.7%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6137.9%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.799.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.3%19.5%0.279.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.9%18.9%0.0544.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.8%53.4%0.4410.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with WCN
WCN14.4%19.8%0.64-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.6%20.0%0.6449.8%
Equity (SPY)15.6%17.9%0.7552.7%
Gold (GLD)11.6%16.1%0.598.3%
Commodities (DBC)6.0%18.0%0.2614.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.1%20.7%0.2152.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.6%66.2%0.9910.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6302026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 615202622.9%
Average Daily Volume2.0 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity255.3 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/2/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/22/20267.9%4.6%-0.3%
2/11/2026-8.2%-3.3%-2.8%
10/21/20252.7%0.2%0.7%
7/23/20252.1%2.6%1.3%
4/23/20250.5%1.0%-0.2%
2/12/2025-0.6%-1.1%-2.3%
10/23/2024-1.0%-1.5%5.0%
7/24/2024-2.4%-1.1%2.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121313
# Negative121111
Median Positive1.7%2.8%5.0%
Median Negative-1.1%-1.5%-2.3%
Max Positive7.9%6.9%15.8%
Max Negative-8.2%-7.9%-3.8%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
4/22/20267.9%4.6%-0.3%
2/11/2026-8.2%-3.3%-2.8%
10/21/20252.7%0.2%0.7%
7/23/20252.1%2.6%1.3%
4/23/20250.5%1.0%-0.2%
2/12/2025-0.6%-1.1%-2.3%
10/23/2024-1.0%-1.5%5.0%
7/24/2024-2.4%-1.1%2.8%
4/24/2024-0.6%-2.5%-0.8%
2/13/20244.8%6.9%8.3%
10/25/2023-6.9%-5.6%-2.8%
8/2/2023-0.6%0.6%-3.1%
4/26/2023-2.3%-0.9%-1.7%
2/15/20230.6%-0.5%-0.7%
11/2/20226.6%5.9%12.1%
8/2/20223.5%6.5%6.3%
5/3/2022-2.1%-7.9%-2.6%
2/16/20220.8%1.7%15.8%
10/27/20211.3%2.8%2.6%
8/4/2021-1.0%-0.8%3.0%
4/28/20211.1%5.2%3.6%
2/17/20211.4%0.4%5.8%
10/28/2020-0.1%4.1%5.8%
8/6/2020-1.1%-3.1%-3.8%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121313
# Negative121111
Median Positive1.7%2.8%5.0%
Median Negative-1.1%-1.5%-2.3%
Max Positive7.9%6.9%15.8%
Max Negative-8.2%-7.9%-3.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/23/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/22/202510-Q
06/30/202507/24/202510-Q
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202604/23/202610-Q
12/31/202502/12/202610-K
09/30/202510/22/202510-Q
06/30/202507/24/202510-Q
03/31/202504/24/202510-Q
12/31/202402/13/202510-K
09/30/202410/24/202410-Q
06/30/202407/25/202410-Q
03/31/202404/25/202410-Q
12/31/202302/14/202410-K
09/30/202310/26/202310-Q
06/30/202308/03/202310-Q
03/31/202304/27/202310-Q
12/31/202202/16/202310-K
09/30/202211/03/202210-Q
06/30/202208/03/202210-Q
03/31/202205/04/202210-Q
12/31/202102/17/202210-K
09/30/202110/28/202110-Q
06/30/202108/05/202110-Q
03/31/202104/29/202110-Q
12/31/202002/18/202110-K
09/30/202010/29/202010-Q
06/30/202008/07/202010-Q
03/31/202005/07/202010-Q
12/31/201902/13/202010-K
09/30/201910/29/201910-Q
06/30/201907/30/201910-Q

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Craft, JasonExecutive Vice President & COODirectSell6092026156.591,500234,8875,145,753Form
2Shea, Patrick JamesExec VP, General Counsel & SecDirectSell6092026156.267,5001,171,9153,084,011Form
3Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell5182026155.5650077,780661,130Form
4Mittelstaedt, Ronald JPresident & CEODirectBuy5132026152.2450,0007,611,75045,825,323Form
5Hansen, EricSenior Vice President and CIODirectSell5042026164.826,000988,9252,200,358Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Craft, JasonExecutive Vice President & COODirectSell6092026156.591,500234,8875,145,753Form
2Shea, Patrick JamesExec VP, General Counsel & SecDirectSell6092026156.267,5001,171,9153,084,011Form
3Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell5182026155.5650077,780661,130Form
4Mittelstaedt, Ronald JPresident & CEODirectBuy5132026152.2450,0007,611,75045,825,323Form
5Hansen, EricSenior Vice President and CIODirectSell5042026164.826,000988,9252,200,358Form
6Little, JamesExecutive VP EngineeringDirectSell4292026163.982,605427,1685,640,092Form
7Tan, DerekSR VP Chief Accounting OfficerDirectSell3062026171.031,173200,618240,126Form
8Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell12122025167.592,000335,180209,488Form
9Guillet, Edward EDirectSell10302025174.449,0001,569,9282,596,137Form
10Shea, Patrick JamesExec VP, General Counsel & SecDirectSell8142025188.455,000942,2593,895,487Form
11Nielsen, Iii RobertSR VP OperationsDirectSell8122025190.001,000190,000617,500Form
12Netherton, SusanSR VP People, Training & DevDirectSell7312025191.121,500286,6802,241,073Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Jul 13, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank and community-bank filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Stockbridge Partners LLC$398.2 Mil9.6%16Hold13F
Sunriver Management LLC$52.4 Mil8.9%18New13F
OAKMONT Corp$27.5 Mil5.2%31Hold13F
Harvey Partners, LLC$42.0 Mil3.4%45ADD +15.3%13F
Skye Global Management LP$151.4 Mil3.3%44Hold13F
Gates Foundation Trust$331.2 Mil1.0%22Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Sunriver Management LLC$52.4 Mil8.9%18New13F
Harvey Partners, LLC$42.0 Mil3.4%45ADD +15.3%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Visualize Group LP$40.1 Mil15.0%11Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Stockbridge Partners LLC$398.2 Mil9.6%16Hold13F
Gates Foundation Trust$331.2 Mil1.0%22Hold13F
Skye Global Management LP$151.4 Mil3.3%44Hold13F
Sunriver Management LLC$52.4 Mil8.9%18New13F
Harvey Partners, LLC$42.0 Mil3.4%45ADD +15.3%13F
OAKMONT Corp$27.5 Mil5.2%31Hold13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 7/12/2026