Reformation (REF)
Market Price (8/6/2026): $16.17 | Market Cap: $-Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Reformation (REF)
Market Price (8/6/2026): $16.17Market Cap: $-Sector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Circular Fashion, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2% Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61% | Key risksREF key risks include [1] its reliance on maintaining unique brand appeal and high customer loyalty, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Eco-friendly Products, Circular Fashion, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -33%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -61% |
| Key risksREF key risks include [1] its reliance on maintaining unique brand appeal and high customer loyalty, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Reformation (REF) stock has gained about 5% since it went public on 7/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Revenue Growth and Direct-to-Consumer Model.
Reformation demonstrated strong financial momentum entering its public debut, with net revenue in fiscal Q1 2026 (ending March 2026) increasing by 30.4% year-over-year to $112.3 million. This performance extended a trend of 20 consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth through Q1 2026. The company's direct-to-consumer strategy accounts for approximately 90% of its sales, contributing to efficient customer acquisition and premium gross margins.
2. Strong Market Positioning in Sustainable Fashion.
The company's identity as a leading carbon-neutral sustainable womenswear brand resonated strongly with investors, tapping into growing consumer demand for eco-friendly apparel. This unique market positioning and brand loyalty differentiate Reformation in the competitive retail fashion industry.
Show more
Reformation (REF) stock has gained about 5% since it went public on 7/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Robust Revenue Growth and Direct-to-Consumer Model.
Reformation demonstrated strong financial momentum entering its public debut, with net revenue in fiscal Q1 2026 (ending March 2026) increasing by 30.4% year-over-year to $112.3 million. This performance extended a trend of 20 consecutive quarters of double-digit revenue growth through Q1 2026. The company's direct-to-consumer strategy accounts for approximately 90% of its sales, contributing to efficient customer acquisition and premium gross margins.
2. Strong Market Positioning in Sustainable Fashion.
The company's identity as a leading carbon-neutral sustainable womenswear brand resonated strongly with investors, tapping into growing consumer demand for eco-friendly apparel. This unique market positioning and brand loyalty differentiate Reformation in the competitive retail fashion industry.
3. Positive Investor Reception Post-IPO.
Despite pricing its initial public offering at $15.00 per share, the low end of its projected range, Reformation's stock experienced immediate investor interest. Shares opened at the IPO price on July 30, 2026, climbed to $15.75 during the first trading day, and closed at $16.24 on July 31, 2026, reflecting an approximately 8.3% gain from its IPO price by the end of its second trading day.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REF | ||
| Market (SPY) | 7.1% | -35.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.2% | 91.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REF | ||
| Market (SPY) | 11.5% | -35.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.9% | 91.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REF | ||
| Market (SPY) | 22.8% | -35.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.8% | 91.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/5/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| REF | ||
| Market (SPY) | 74.1% | -35.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 39.7% | 91.8% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| REF Return | - | - | - | - | - | 6% | 6% |
| Peers Return | 14% | -36% | 70% | 26% | 24% | 2% | 96% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| REF Win Rate | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 37% | 53% | 48% | 52% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| REF Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -57% | -44% | -45% | -51% | -44% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: URBN, ANF, AEO, VNCE, SFIX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/5/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
REF has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -11.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 37 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -13.6% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 15.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 874 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -19.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 105 days |
In The Past
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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REF has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Discretionary sector ETF (XLY) in its place.
| Event | XLY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -21.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.9% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 79 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -35.9% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 56.0% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 874 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 82 days | 140 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -51.0% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 104.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 372 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -21.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 27.9% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Reformation (REF)
Reformation (symbol: REF) is a leading, sustainable womenswear brand that designs and sells modern apparel and accessories. Since its founding in 2009, Reformation has successfully built a global fashion brand that delivers both impressive financial results and a positive environmental impact. The company has demonstrated robust growth, achieving a 34% compound annual growth rate in net revenue from 2015 to 2025, surpassing half a billion dollars in net revenue and acquiring over one million active customers, with strong margins and continued momentum into 2026.
The company distinguishes itself in the highly fragmented fashion industry by challenging conventional retail models. Reformation employs a unique, smarter approach characterized by direct customer connection, precise product forecasting achieved through testing new styles in small quantities and iterating on proven designs. This strategy consistently yields high full-price sales, representing approximately 80% of its direct-to-consumer net revenue from 2021 to 2025. Supported by an efficient supply chain, Reformation maintains industry-leading manufacturing lead times, proving that speed, sustainability, and profitability can coexist in fashion.
Reformation primarily serves a loyal and growing customer base spanning generations and geographies, who express deep brand love and exhibit strong repeat purchasing behavior, contributing significantly to its direct-to-consumer revenue. Operating within the U.S. with less than 1% customer penetration in its core addressable market, the company is well-positioned for substantial long-term growth. Its strategic path forward includes increasing distribution through both direct-to-consumer and wholesale channels, expanding its product assortment, and growing in international markets, all while maintaining its commitment to sustainability outcomes and customer satisfaction.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Reformation:
Lululemon, but for sustainable women's fashion.
The Patagonia of women's apparel.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Apparel: Timeless, modern clothing designed for women.
- Accessories: Fashionable items that complement their apparel offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Reformation (REF) primarily sells directly to individuals (B2C) rather than to other companies. The company emphasizes its "over one million Active Customers" and states that "nearly 70% of our direct-to-consumer ("DTC") net revenue came from our returning customers," indicating a strong focus on individual consumers.
Reformation serves the following categories of customers:
- Sustainability-Conscious Consumers: Customers who are drawn to Reformation's mission to have a "positive impact on people and the planet" and seek out brands that set a "high standard for sustainability in the fashion industry." These customers are influenced by the increased demand for sustainable fashion.
- Fashion-Forward & Modern Style Seekers: Individuals looking for "timeless, modern apparel and accessories" that reflect a "unique brand identity." These customers are "obsessed with" Reformation's products across various categories and occasions, valuing the brand's aesthetic and ability to instill confidence.
- Brand-Loyal & Repeat Purchasers: A significant portion of Reformation's customer base consists of highly engaged individuals who demonstrate "deep brand love," "customer retention," and "repeat purchasing behavior." These customers frequently return to the brand, contributing substantially to DTC net revenue.
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Hali Borenstein, Chief Executive Officer, President and Director
Hali Borenstein joined Reformation in 2014 as Director of Merchandising. She steadily progressed through various roles, including Vice President of Merchandising, Design, and Ecommerce, and then President, before being appointed CEO in June 2020. Prior to Reformation, she started her career in consulting at Bain & Company and later worked in merchandising at a children's clothing company after earning her MBA from the Stanford Graduate School of Business. Borenstein has been instrumental in overseeing significant growth, category expansion, and product innovation at Reformation. She also serves on the Board of Directors for Carter's Inc. Reformation was acquired by the private equity firm Permira in 2019, and Borenstein stepped into the CEO role in 2020, indicating experience managing a company backed by private equity.
Joshua Moore, Chief Financial Officer
Joshua Moore serves as the Chief Financial Officer for Reformation. Before joining Reformation, he held the positions of President, COO, and CFO at The Apparel Group. His extensive finance background includes senior finance roles at various companies such as WORLDPAC, Advance Auto Parts, At Home Group, The Michaels Companies, Best Buy, and Land O'Lakes.
Ivan Tchakarov, Chief Operating Officer
Ivan Tchakarov is the Chief Operating Officer at Reformation. His prior experience includes Director roles at Google Merchant Platform and Google Shopping. He has also held leadership positions at Sears Holdings, UPS, and Accenture.
Kathleen Talbot, Chief Sustainability Officer & VP Operations
Kathleen Talbot holds the position of Chief Sustainability Officer & VP Operations at Reformation. She began her tenure at Reformation in 2013.
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Key Business Risks for Reformation (REF)
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Intense Competition in the Highly Fragmented Fashion Industry: Reformation operates within a highly fragmented fashion industry, which exposes the company to intense competition from both traditional and sustainable fashion brands. This competitive landscape could impact Reformation's market share, pricing strategies, and overall profitability.
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Reliance on Maintaining Brand Appeal and Customer Loyalty: A significant portion of Reformation's success stems from its unique brand identity and strong customer loyalty, with 77% of Active Customers citing Reformation as a favorite brand and nearly 70% of DTC net revenue in 2025 coming from returning customers. Any decline in brand appeal, inability to adapt to evolving fashion trends, or erosion of customer loyalty could significantly impact revenue and market position.
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Supply Chain Disruptions and Maintaining Operational Efficiency: Reformation prides itself on its efficient supply chain and industry-leading manufacturing lead times, with 50% of its product arriving at distribution centers in 60 days or less. Disruptions to this supply chain, such as issues with raw material availability, manufacturing processes, logistics, or increased operational costs, could impair the company's ability to produce and deliver products efficiently, thereby affecting financial performance and customer satisfaction.
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Reformation (REF) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:
- Increased Distribution: The company plans to expand its reach by increasing distribution through both its direct-to-consumer (DTC) and wholesale channels.
- Product Assortment Expansion: Reformation intends to grow by expanding its product assortment within existing and new product categories, catering to a wider range of customer preferences and occasions.
- International Market Growth: A significant driver of future revenue will be the company's focus on growing its presence in international markets, thereby expanding its customer base beyond current geographies.
- Customer Acquisition and Retention: Reformation aims to continue acquiring new customers by enhancing brand awareness and geographic reach, while also maintaining its strong customer retention and repeat purchasing behavior among existing loyal customers.
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Share Repurchases
- Reformation plans to utilize approximately $9.5 million of its IPO net proceeds to repurchase outstanding shares and stock options from certain executives and employees as part of a "synthetic secondary" offering.
- As of December 2025, Reformation had a 1-Year Share Buyback Ratio and a 3-Year Share Buyback Ratio of 0.00%, indicating no significant share repurchases in the years leading up to its IPO.
Share Issuance
- Reformation priced its initial public offering (IPO) on July 29, 2026, offering 14,062,500 common shares at $15.00 per share.
- The company issued 9,478,821 new shares in the IPO, while existing stockholders sold 4,583,679 shares.
- The IPO is expected to generate approximately $134.5 million in net proceeds for the company, which will be used for general corporate purposes and debt reduction.
Inbound Investments
- The company's initial public offering in July 2026, where it generated $134.5 million in net proceeds from the issuance of new shares, represents a significant inbound investment.
Capital Expenditures
- Reformation's Capital Expenditure for the six months ending December 2025 was approximately $44.54 million.
- The company is considered a "Capex-Heavy Grower" as it invests significantly in growth initiatives, including expanding its store count and enhancing its technology-enabled retail model.
- As of Q1 2026, Reformation operated 66 stores, with 49 utilizing its patented "Retail X" store concept, indicating ongoing investment in its physical retail presence.
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 16.98 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.0 |
| Rev LTM | 5,283 |
| Op Inc LTM | 424 |
| FCF LTM | 150 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 255 |
| CFO LTM | 446 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 486 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 41.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 47.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
Price Behavior
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Up Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Down Beta | � | � | � | � | � | � |
| Up Capture | 113% | 47% | 30% | 12% | 5% | 1% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Down Capture | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% | -0% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REF | 7.0% | 84.2% | 5.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 9.2% | 19.4% | 0.33 | 91.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 23.1% | 12.9% | 1.34 | -35.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 25.4% | 28.3% | 0.79 | -45.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 29.5% | 19.8% | 1.19 | 50.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.4% | 13.7% | 0.74 | -40.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -44.6% | 42.9% | -1.25 | -71.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REF | 1.4% | 84.2% | 5.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.3% | 24.1% | 0.22 | 91.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.4% | 17.2% | 0.60 | -35.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.2% | 18.6% | 0.79 | -45.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.1% | 19.6% | 0.31 | 50.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.9% | 0.03 | -40.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.9% | 53.0% | 0.37 | -71.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with REF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| REF | 0.7% | 84.2% | 5.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.4% | 22.2% | 0.51 | 91.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.73 | -35.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.0% | 16.2% | 0.60 | -45.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 18.0% | 0.31 | 50.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.9% | 20.7% | 0.20 | -40.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.2% | 66.2% | 0.98 | -71.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 06/25/2026 | S-1 |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 06/25/2026 | S-1 |
Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Apparel Retail Resources |
| Apparel News |
| Just Style |
| Sourcing Journal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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