Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW)
Market Price (5/9/2026): $38.27 | Market Cap: $496.7 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail
Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW)
Market Price (5/9/2026): $38.27Market Cap: $496.7 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Other Specialty Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 7.9% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -11% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% | Key risksBBW key risks include [1] changing consumer interests and a potential decline in demand for its unique "make-your-own" interactive experience and [2] vulnerability to tariffs and supply chain disruptions due to its heavy reliance on manufacturing in China and Vietnam. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.3%, FCF Yield is 7.9% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Direct-to-Consumer Brands. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -11% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 19% |
| Key risksBBW key risks include [1] changing consumer interests and a potential decline in demand for its unique "make-your-own" interactive experience and [2] vulnerability to tariffs and supply chain disruptions due to its heavy reliance on manufacturing in China and Vietnam. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Build-A-Bear Workshop reported disappointing fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results that missed analyst expectations for both earnings and revenue.
The company announced diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.26, missing the consensus estimate of $1.27, and quarterly revenue of $154.51 million, which was below the $155.71 million consensus estimate. This performance marked a decrease from $1.62 diluted EPS in the prior year's fourth quarter. Following this announcement on March 12, 2026, the stock declined by 4.4% and continued to drift lower in subsequent weeks.
2. The company provided a cautious fiscal year 2026 outlook, including the ongoing impact of tariffs.
Build-A-Bear Workshop projected total revenues to grow in the mid-single-digits for fiscal year 2026, but pre-tax income was guided to range from a mid-single-digit decline to low single-digit growth. This guidance incorporates a full year of tariff and related costs, which negatively impacted pre-tax income by approximately $6 million in Q4 2025 and $11 million for the full fiscal year 2025. Forecasted earnings growth of 3.7% and revenue growth of 4.1% for FY2026 lagged broader US market expectations.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.3% change in BBW stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -29.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 59.33 | 38.37 | -35.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 526 | 530 | 0.8% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.9% | 9.9% | -9.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 13.4 | 9.5 | -29.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | 0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -35.3% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BBW | -35.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 46.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.6% | 43.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -28.5% change in BBW stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 53.67 | 38.37 | -28.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 523 | 530 | 1.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.3% | 9.9% | -13.1% |
| P/E Multiple | 11.9 | 9.5 | -19.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | 1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -28.5% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BBW | -28.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.5% | 35.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 0.6% | 39.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.7% change in BBW stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 7.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 34.67 | 38.37 | 10.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 496 | 530 | 6.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.4% | 9.9% | -5.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 8.9 | 9.5 | 7.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | 2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 10.7% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BBW | 10.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 30.4% | 35.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 22.8% | 38.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 73.8% change in BBW stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 22.08 | 38.37 | 73.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 468 | 530 | 13.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.3% | 9.9% | -3.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.7 | 9.5 | 43.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 14 | 13 | 11.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 73.8% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| BBW | 73.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 78.7% | 37.2% |
| Sector (XLY) | 66.6% | 38.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BBW Return | 385% | 22% | 3% | 106% | 35% | -39% | 942% |
| Peers Return | 182% | -15% | 13% | 28% | -17% | 17% | 236% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 7% | 95% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BBW Win Rate | 67% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 42% | 20% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 40% | 48% | 48% | 52% | 68% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BBW Max Drawdown | -1% | -36% | -19% | -6% | -27% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -40% | -29% | -29% | -38% | -8% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MAT, HAS, GME, JAKK, FNKO. See BBW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BBW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.7% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 19 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -19.3% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 23.9% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -39.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -76.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 330.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 213 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.5% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 803 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -22.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 6 days |
In The Past
Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock fell -17.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | BBW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -39.8% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.2% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 85 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -76.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 330.4% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 213 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -53.6% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 115.5% | 23.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 803 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -22.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 29.5% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -48.5% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 94.1% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2154 days | 62 days |
| 2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion | ||
| % Loss | -24.3% | -17.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.2% | 21.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 24 days | 123 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -29.6% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.0% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 517 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -79.0% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 375.7% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2025 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -37.9% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.0% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5564 days | 47 days |
In The Past
Build-A-Bear Workshop's stock fell -17.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 21.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a couple of brief analogies for Build-A-Bear Workshop:
The Chipotle for plush toys.
A LEGO Store, but for customizable stuffed animals.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Plush Products to be Stuffed: Unstuffed plush animals that customers can personalize and fill in-store.
- Pre-Stuffed Plush Products: Ready-made stuffed animals available for immediate purchase.
- Sounds and Scents: Customizable additions that can be inserted into stuffed animals for enhanced personalization.
- Clothing, Shoes, and Accessories: A range of apparel and items designed to dress up the stuffed animals.
- Other Toy and Novelty Items: Additional merchandise beyond plush animals and accessories.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) primarily sells its products directly to individuals through its retail stores and e-commerce platforms. The company serves the following major categories of individual customers:
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Children and Families: This is the core demographic, comprising children who engage in the interactive experience of creating a plush animal in-store, along with their parents, grandparents, and guardians who facilitate these purchases or buy products as gifts. The company's experiential retail model is largely designed to appeal to this segment.
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Gift-Givers: Individuals purchasing personalized plush animals and related accessories as gifts for birthdays, holidays, celebrations, or special occasions. While often for children, these gifts can also be for teenagers or adults looking for a unique and sentimental present.
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Adult Collectors and Pop Culture Enthusiasts: Build-A-Bear collaborates with popular entertainment franchises (such as Disney, Marvel, Star Wars, Pokémon, and Animal Crossing) to create licensed plush characters. This attracts adult fans and collectors of these franchises, as well as long-time Build-A-Bear enthusiasts who collect special edition or themed items for themselves.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Sharon Price John, President and Chief Executive Officer
Sharon Price John has served as President and CEO of Build-A-Bear Workshop, Inc. since June 2013. She has over 30 years of experience, primarily in the children's sector, where she has been recognized as a turnaround and change agent. Before joining Build-A-Bear, she was President of the Stride Rite Children's Group LLC at Wolverine World Wide from 2010 to 2013. Her extensive toy industry experience includes senior management roles at Hasbro, where she served as General Manager and Senior Vice President of Global Preschool and the U.S. Toy Division, and at Mattel, working with the Barbie brand and in the Disney licensing division. Ms. John also founded and served as CEO of Checkerboard Toys. Her early career involved advertising at agencies such as DDB Worldwide and Bates USA. She currently serves on the board of directors for Jack in the Box. It has been announced that Ms. John intends to retire effective June 11, 2026.
Voin Todorovic, Chief Financial Officer
Voin Todorovic joined Build-A-Bear Workshop in September 2014 as Chief Financial Officer. Prior to his role at Build-A-Bear, Mr. Todorovic was at Wolverine Worldwide, Inc., a global footwear and apparel company. There, he served as the head of finance and operations for its Lifestyle Group, which includes brands like Sperry Top-Sider, Hush Puppies, Keds, and Stride Rite. From 2011 to 2013, he was Vice President—Finance and Administration of the Stride Rite Children's Group business, and from 2010 to 2011, he was Vice President of the Performance + Lifestyle Group. Mr. Todorovic's career also includes positions of increasing responsibility at Collective Brands, Inc. and Payless ShoeSource.
J. Christopher Hurt, Chief Operations and Experience Officer (Incoming Chief Executive Officer on June 11, 2026)
J. Christopher Hurt joined Build-A-Bear Workshop in April 2015 as Chief Operations Officer, and effective June 2020, he holds the title of Chief Operations and Experience Officer. It has been announced that Mr. Hurt will succeed Sharon Price John as Chief Executive Officer on June 11, 2026, as part of a multi-year planned succession process. Before joining Build-A-Bear, Mr. Hurt was at American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. from 2002 to 2015, holding various senior leadership roles including Senior Vice President, North America. He also held positions at Polo Ralph Lauren and The Procter & Gamble Company.
Jenn Kretchmar, Chief Digital and Merchandising Officer
Jenn Kretchmar joined Build-A-Bear Workshop in August 2014 as Chief Product Officer and Innovation Bear. In March 2016, she was named Chief Merchandising Officer, and effective June 2020, she assumed the role of Chief Digital and Merchandising Officer. Prior to Build-A-Bear, Ms. Kretchmar served as Senior Vice President of Product and Brand Management with the Stride Rite Children's Group of Wolverine Worldwide, Inc., where she was responsible for global product creation strategy for a diverse portfolio of children's footwear brands. Her experience also includes roles at The Timberland Company, Goldbug, and the United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Service. Ms. Kretchmar is also a member of the Board of Directors of Mace Security International, Inc..
Julia Fitzgerald, Chief Marketing Officer
Julia Fitzgerald was appointed Chief Marketing Officer of Build-A-Bear Workshop in March 2023. She brings more than 20 years of experience in creating and implementing marketing strategy, communications, and brand development, with a proven track record of driving digital transformations. Her previous experience includes serving as Chief Marketing Officer at the American Lung Association, and senior-level marketing positions at companies such as Sylvan Learning, Sears, VTech, and Hallmark.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The public company Build-A-Bear Workshop (symbol: BBW) faces several key risks to its business operations:Key Risks to Build-A-Bear Workshop
- External Cost Pressures (Tariffs, Inflation, and Labor Costs): Build-A-Bear Workshop is significantly exposed to external cost pressures, including tariffs and inflation, which directly impact its cost of goods sold and overall profitability. Management has explicitly noted that tariffs are anticipated to result in substantial cost headwinds, with an estimated impact of nearly $11 million for fiscal year 2025 and a reduction of approximately $0.65 in earnings per share (EPS) for the full year. Additionally, rising operational costs, such as increased labor and medical expenses, further contribute to margin pressure and can influence consumer discretionary spending.
- E-commerce Challenges and Evolving Digital Landscape: The company faces challenges in its e-commerce segment due to evolving consumer preferences for digital entertainment and disruptions in the digital advertising landscape. Build-A-Bear Workshop has experienced delays in planned e-commerce advancements, largely attributable to ongoing IT work to upgrade a legacy inventory management system. Furthermore, changes in digital advertising dynamics and the rollout of AI-driven search alterations by platforms like Google have led to declining e-commerce visibility and suppressed traffic to buildabear.com. This resulted in a decrease in e-commerce demand by 13.6% for Q4 and 5.5% for the full year.
- Intense Competition and Reliance on Discretionary Consumer Spending: Build-A-Bear Workshop operates in a highly competitive market with low barriers to entry. It faces competition from direct rivals offering personalized toy experiences, traditional toy manufacturers, online retailers, and smaller independent operators. The company's business model relies heavily on discretionary consumer spending, making it susceptible to macroeconomic conditions, economic downturns, and shifts in consumer confidence, which can impact sales of non-essential items like toys and entertainment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Build-A-Bear Workshop is the increasing shift of children's play and engagement towards digital platforms, virtual worlds, and online communities where they can create, customize, and interact with virtual avatars and digital pets. This trend, exemplified by platforms like Roblox and Minecraft, offers an alternative, often more interactive and persistent, form of companionship and customization that directly competes with the physical, in-store experiential creation of a plush animal.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Build-A-Bear Workshop's addressable market primarily consists of the stuffed animals and plush toys market. The global stuffed animals and plush toys market was estimated at USD 13.68 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 25.94 billion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 8.4% from 2026 to 2033. North America held the largest revenue share in this global market in 2025. For the United States, the stuffed animals and plush toys market size was estimated at USD 3.40 billion in 2023. This market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.1% from 2024 to 2030, reaching an estimated USD 5.13 billion by 2030. The U.S. market accounted for 28.9% of the global stuffed animal and plush toys market revenue in 2030.AI Analysis | Feedback
Build-A-Bear Workshop (BBW) anticipates several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next two to three years:
- International Expansion and New Locations: The company plans to significantly expand its global footprint by adding at least 50 net new experience locations in 2026, with the majority expected to be international partner-operated stores. Build-A-Bear has already doubled its global presence to 36 countries over the past two years. This expansion is expected to accelerate revenue growth as the year progresses.
- Growth in Wholesale Channel: Build-A-Bear is scaling its wholesale business, with a notable expansion of its "Mini Beans" product line into approximately 1,500 Walmart stores. The Mini Beans line has already sold over 3 million units since its launch, indicating strong potential for further wholesale growth.
- New Product Launches and Intellectual Property (IP) Development: The company is focused on introducing new products and developing its intellectual property and content. An example is the "Kabu series," which has generated over 1 million views and more than $1 million in plush sales, showcasing the potential for new offerings to drive revenue.
- Commercial Segment Expansion: Build-A-Bear projects substantial growth in its Commercial segment, with an expected revenue increase of at least 20% for the year, heavily weighted towards the second half. This indicates a strategic focus on expanding revenue streams beyond direct-to-consumer retail.
- Digital and E-commerce Enhancements: Despite facing recent challenges in e-commerce, the company is reinvesting in its digital infrastructure and plans to implement consumer-facing upgrades, such as the online digitization of its "Record Your Voice" offering. These efforts are aimed at optimizing digital marketing capabilities and improving the online shopping experience to drive future e-commerce demand.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Build-A-Bear Workshop adopted a new share repurchase program of up to $100 million on September 11, 2024, authorized through September 30, 2028.
- Under a previous $50 million program authorized in August 2022, approximately $44 million was utilized to repurchase over 1.9 million shares by September 11, 2024.
- For fiscal year 2025, which ended January 31, 2026, the company utilized $27.5 million in cash to repurchase 508,945 shares. As of March 12, 2026, $55.0 million remained under the $100 million authorization.
Capital Expenditures
- For fiscal year 2025, ended January 31, 2026, capital expenditures totaled $25.5 million.
- Build-A-Bear Workshop projects capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026 to be in the range of $22 million to $25 million.
- The primary focus of these expenditures for 2026 is strategic growth and expansion, including the addition of at least 50 net new experience locations, predominantly internationally.
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Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 23.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2,274 |
| Op Inc LTM | 176 |
| FCF LTM | 187 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 100 |
| CFO LTM | 305 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 124 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -7.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.7% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -12.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.5 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/Op Inc | 10.9 |
| P/EBIT | 13.5 |
| P/E | 9.4 |
| P/CFO | 9.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 1.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 21.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 11.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -63.8% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $38.37 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/28/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -48.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $39.55 | $52.84 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -3.0% | -27.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 42.8% | 56.0% |
| Downside Capture | 1.36 | 0.91 |
| Upside Capture | 47.33 | 132.00 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 42.1% | 35.1% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.22 | 1.14 | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.61 | 1.23 |
| Up Beta | 0.78 | 0.92 | 0.69 | 0.86 | 1.59 | 1.27 |
| Down Beta | 1.56 | 1.79 | 1.68 | 2.27 | 1.64 | 1.19 |
| Up Capture | 76% | 23% | 50% | 66% | 166% | 176% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 16 | 25 | 62 | 132 | 387 |
| Down Capture | 457% | 186% | 234% | 152% | 146% | 106% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 27 | 39 | 63 | 119 | 359 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BBW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBW | 8.4% | 55.9% | 0.34 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 21.8% | 18.7% | 0.92 | 37.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.0% | 12.5% | 1.83 | 35.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 39.8% | 27.0% | 1.22 | -3.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 50.6% | 18.0% | 2.21 | -8.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 13.0% | 13.5% | 0.66 | 16.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -17.9% | 42.1% | -0.35 | 20.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BBW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBW | 40.9% | 60.1% | 0.80 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.1% | 23.8% | 0.26 | 38.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.1% | 0.59 | 36.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 20.9% | 17.9% | 0.95 | 0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 13.8% | 19.1% | 0.59 | 8.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 23.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 6.9% | 56.0% | 0.34 | 15.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with BBW | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BBW | 13.2% | 65.7% | 0.47 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.9% | 22.0% | 0.54 | 31.1% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 29.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.4% | 15.9% | 0.69 | -1.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 9.3% | 17.8% | 0.44 | 11.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.8% | 20.7% | 0.24 | 23.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 6.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/12/2026 | -4.4% | -9.3% | -13.8% |
| 12/4/2025 | -15.5% | -7.9% | 10.9% |
| 8/28/2025 | 14.4% | 4.0% | 24.8% |
| 5/29/2025 | 21.6% | 7.9% | 27.1% |
| 3/13/2025 | -0.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| 12/5/2024 | 22.6% | 12.1% | 22.9% |
| 8/29/2024 | 15.8% | 17.5% | 18.3% |
| 5/30/2024 | -13.9% | -14.8% | -20.4% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 17 | 16 |
| # Negative | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 21.0% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -9.3% | -11.5% |
| Max Positive | 39.3% | 67.9% | 81.6% |
| Max Negative | -18.3% | -14.8% | -20.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 01/31/2026 | 04/16/2026 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 04/17/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 04/18/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 04/13/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/09/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/12/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 5.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Pre-tax Income Growth | -5.0% | -1.0% | |||||
| 2026 Net New Unit Growth | 5000.0% | -16.7% | Lowered | Guidance: 6000.0% for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Commercial Revenue Growth | 20.0% | ||||||
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 22.00 Mil | 23.50 Mil | 25.00 Mil | 4.4% | Raised | Guidance: 22.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Depreciation and Amortization | 16.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 16.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2026 Tax Rate | 24.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | Raised | Guidance: 23.0% for 2025 | ||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Pre-tax Income | 62.00 Mil | 66.00 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 66.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net-new-unit growth | 6000.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 6000.0% for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 20.00 Mil | 22.50 Mil | 25.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 22.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Depreciation and amortization | 16.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 16.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Income tax rate | 22.0% | 23.0% | 24.0% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 23.0% for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rotenberg, Lesli | Direct | Sell | 10142025 | 61.34 | 1,000 | 61,336 | 602,621 | Form | |
| 2 | Leavitt, Craig | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 60.61 | 4,000 | 242,421 | 3,887,347 | Form | |
| 3 | Rotenberg, Lesli | Direct | Sell | 10072025 | 59.98 | 1,000 | 59,981 | 649,292 | Form | |
| 4 | Leavitt, Craig | Direct | Sell | 10022025 | 63.30 | 4,250 | 269,010 | 4,313,154 | Form | |
| 5 | Todorovic, Vojin | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9242025 | 72.89 | 2,744 | 199,997 | 4,755,548 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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