Five Below (FIVE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $178.51 | Market Cap: $9.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialty Stores
Five Below (FIVE)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $178.51Market Cap: $9.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Specialty Stores
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7% | Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 89% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68% | Key risksFIVE key risks include [1] an aggressive store expansion strategy that is occurring while comparable store sales are declining, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Value-Driven Consumption. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Discount Retail. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Value-Driven Consumption. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Discount Retail. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -2.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 89% |
| Key risksFIVE key risks include [1] an aggressive store expansion strategy that is occurring while comparable store sales are declining, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FIVE Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the 23% stock movement for Five Below (FIVE) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Five Below's Third Quarter Fiscal 2025 Earnings Significantly Beat Expectations.
On December 3, 2025, Five Below reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 financial results that substantially exceeded both the company's guidance and Wall Street's consensus estimates. Net sales increased by 23.1% to $1.038 billion, while comparable sales grew by 14.3%, surpassing the guided range of 5% to 7%. Additionally, adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.68, nearly triple the upper end of the company's own guidance of $0.12 to $0.24.
2. The Company Raised its Full-Year Fiscal 2025 Sales and EPS Outlook.
Following the strong third-quarter performance, Five Below increased its full-year fiscal 2025 sales and EPS guidance. The company now expects total sales to be in the range of $4.62 billion to $4.65 billion, with comparable sales increasing between 9.4% and 10.1%. Adjusted diluted earnings per share for fiscal 2025 are projected to be $5.80 at the midpoint.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FIVE Return | 37% | 18% | -15% | 21% | -51% | 68% | 38% |
| Peers Return | 19% | 2% | 1% | 12% | -1% | 42% | 94% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FIVE Win Rate | 75% | 83% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 52% | 48% | 62% | 47% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FIVE Max Drawdown | -59% | -5% | -45% | -17% | -70% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -20% | -24% | -21% | -24% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DLTR, DG, OLLI, TJX, ROST. See FIVE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FIVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -52.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 109.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -59.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 144.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 175 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -33.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 109 days | 120 days |
Compare to TGT, DG, DLTR, OLLI, DKS
In The Past
Five Below's stock fell -52.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/25/2021. A -52.2% loss requires a 109.1% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FIVE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| 05312019 | FIVE | Five Below | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.9% | -18.7% | -59.4% |
| 10312018 | FIVE | Five Below | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 25.0% | 9.9% | -21.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| 05312019 | FIVE | Five Below | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.9% | -18.7% | -59.4% |
| 10312018 | FIVE | Five Below | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 25.0% | 9.9% | -21.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Five Below
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 146.31 |
| Mkt Cap | 28.1 |
| Rev LTM | 20,494 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,692 |
| FCF LTM | 1,588 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,261 |
| CFO LTM | 2,582 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,620 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 28.1 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 16.2 |
| P/E | 25.7 |
| P/CFO | 17.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 22.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 29.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 49.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 33.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 18.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 17.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 37.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -37.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/3/2025 | 3.2% | 8.6% | |
| 8/27/2025 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% |
| 6/4/2025 | 5.6% | 3.1% | 6.2% |
| 3/19/2025 | 0.7% | 3.0% | -10.7% |
| 12/4/2024 | 10.5% | 4.3% | -3.1% |
| 8/28/2024 | -0.9% | -3.7% | 17.3% |
| 6/5/2024 | -10.6% | -12.2% | -21.6% |
| 3/20/2024 | -15.4% | -12.0% | -28.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 14 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% |
| Median Negative | -5.2% | -9.0% | -11.3% |
| Max Positive | 16.5% | 43.0% | 61.4% |
| Max Negative | -15.4% | -14.7% | -28.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12042025 | 10-Q 11/1/2025 |
| 7312025 | 8282025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6052025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3202025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 8292024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6062024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3212024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 11302023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6022023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3162023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12012022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3302022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |