Five Below (FIVE)
Market Price (5/20/2026): $214.57 | Market Cap: $11.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialty Stores
Five Below (FIVE)
Market Price (5/20/2026): $214.57Market Cap: $11.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Specialty Stores
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Value-Driven Consumption. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Discount Retail. | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -69% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 38x Key risksFIVE key risks include [1] an aggressive store expansion strategy that is occurring while comparable store sales are declining, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 38% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Value-Driven Consumption. Themes include Experiential Retail, and Discount Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -69% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 38x |
| Key risksFIVE key risks include [1] an aggressive store expansion strategy that is occurring while comparable store sales are declining, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Five Below reported a strong fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings beat and issued an optimistic fiscal 2026 outlook. The company announced Q4 2025 earnings on March 18, 2026, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $4.31, surpassing analysts' consensus estimate of $4.00 by 7.75%. Net sales for the quarter increased by 24.3% to $1.73 billion, exceeding the $1.71 billion consensus. Comparable sales grew by 15.4%. For fiscal year 2026, Five Below projected net sales in the range of $5.20 billion to $5.30 billion, representing approximately 10% growth at the midpoint, and anticipated comparable sales to increase by 3% to 5%. The diluted income per common share for FY2026 is expected to be between $7.69 and $8.20.
2. The company's aggressive store expansion strategy and new store productivity fueled growth. Five Below plans to open approximately 150 net new stores in fiscal 2026, following 150 net new store openings in fiscal 2025, bringing its total to 1,921 locations across 46 states. This expansion is directly contributing to revenue growth and overall business momentum, with management highlighting accelerating new store productivity and strong performance in newly entered markets.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.9% change in FIVE stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.9% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 191.64 | 214.39 | 11.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,427 | 4,427 | 0.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 34.3 | 38.4 | 11.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55 | 55 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FIVE | 11.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 6.3% | 44.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.9% | 34.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 36.3% change in FIVE stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 21.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 157.27 | 214.39 | 36.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 4,232 | 4,427 | 4.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 31.7 | 38.4 | 21.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55 | 55 | -0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 36.3% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FIVE | 36.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.2% | 45.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -3.7% | 38.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 182.5% change in FIVE stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 133.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 75.89 | 214.39 | 182.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,877 | 4,427 | 14.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.5 | 38.4 | 133.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 55 | 55 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 182.5% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FIVE | 182.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 33.8% | 55.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | 17.5% | 46.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.6% change in FIVE stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 43.9% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 197.36 | 214.39 | 8.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 3,076 | 4,427 | 43.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.5% | 7.0% | -18.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 41.9 | 38.4 | -8.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 56 | 55 | 0.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FIVE | 8.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 83.3% | 42.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | 59.4% | 41.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FIVE Return | 18% | -15% | 21% | -51% | 79% | 16% | 25% |
| Peers Return | 2% | 1% | 12% | -1% | 39% | -11% | 42% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 97% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FIVE Win Rate | 83% | 50% | 67% | 42% | 75% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 48% | 62% | 47% | 65% | 36% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FIVE Max Drawdown | -29% | -46% | -33% | -70% | -47% | -16% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -31% | -29% | -31% | -20% | -26% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: DLTR, DG, OLLI, TJX, ROST. See FIVE Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/19/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FIVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -18.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 22.2% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 57 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 229 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -55.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 123.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 167 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Five Below's stock fell -39.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 64.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | FIVE | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 64.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 34 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.4% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 41 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.6% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 66 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -45.6% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 83.8% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 229 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -55.2% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 123.3% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 167 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -26.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 35.2% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 15 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -27.2% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.4% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 98 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -32.2% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.5% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 127 days | 15 days |
In The Past
Five Below's stock fell -39.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 64.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Five Below (FIVE)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for Five Below:
- A trendier Dollar Tree.
- Claire's meets Dollar Tree.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Five Below (FIVE) offers a variety of products across several categories:
- Fashion and Beauty Accessories: Offers a wide range of personal accessories including socks, sunglasses, jewelry, apparel, and various cosmetics.
- Home Décor and Lifestyle Items: Provides products to personalize living spaces, such as lamps, posters, blankets, pillows, and storage options.
- Sports, Games, and Toys: Sells sporting goods, fitness accessories, board games, puzzles, collectibles, and various indoor and outdoor toys.
- Tech Accessories and Media: Features accessories for cell phones, tablets, and audio devices, alongside books, video games, and DVDs.
- Arts & Crafts and School Supplies: Supplies creative activity kits, art materials, and trend-right school essentials including backpacks and notebooks.
- Party and Seasonal Merchandise: Provides goods for parties, decorations, greeting cards, and items for everyday and special occasion celebrations.
- Candy, Snacks, and Drinks: Offers an assortment of classic and novelty candies, snack foods, and chilled beverages.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Five Below, Inc. primarily sells its products directly to individual consumers through its network of retail stores across the United States. The company operates as a specialty value retailer, offering a wide array of merchandise at affordable price points.
Based on the company description, the major categories of customers Five Below serves are:
- Tweens and Teens: This is explicitly stated as the company's primary target demographic. These customers are likely purchasing accessories, apparel, tech gadgets, games, toys, school supplies, and items to personalize their living spaces.
- Parents and Guardians: While tweens and teens are the primary focus, parents and guardians often shop at Five Below for items for their children, including school supplies, toys, craft kits, party supplies, and gifts. The value pricing would be particularly attractive to this customer group.
- General Adult Consumers/Gift Givers: The broad assortment of products, including home decor, party goods, seasonal items, candy, and novelty gifts, also appeals to a wider adult audience looking for affordable items for personal use, gifts, or specific occasions and celebrations.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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AI Analysis | Feedback
Winnie Park, Chief Executive Officer
Winnie Park was appointed Chief Executive Officer and a member of the Board of Directors of Five Below, effective December 16, 2024. An accomplished retail executive with over three decades of experience, Ms. Park previously served as Chief Executive Officer of Forever 21 since January 2022, where she led a brand refresh and launched omnichannel capabilities. She also held roles as Executive Vice President, Global Marketing and eCommerce, and Global VP, GMM, Merchandising, at Duty Free Shoppers, a division of LVMH, where she launched the company's first global eCommerce site. Her background also includes leading Women's Merchandising for Dockers at Levi Strauss & Co. and working in fashion retail and consumer digital at McKinsey. Ms. Park served on the board of Dollar Tree from 2020 to 2024.
Daniel Sullivan, Chief Financial Officer
Daniel Sullivan was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Five Below, effective October 6, 2025. He brings approximately 35 years of experience in finance, operations, and strategic leadership, having served as a two-time public company CFO. Prior to joining Five Below, Mr. Sullivan was Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer at Edgewell Personal Care. His previous experience also includes CFO positions at Party City, Ahold USA, and CFO and COO roles at Heineken USA and Heineken International.
Kenneth R. Bull, Chief Operating Officer
Kenneth R. Bull serves as the Chief Operating Officer of Five Below. He previously served as interim President and CEO from July to December 2024 and was the Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer of Five Below from 2012 to July 2023. Mr. Bull joined Five Below in 2005 as Senior Vice President, Finance. Before his tenure at Five Below, he was the Finance Director and Treasurer for Urban Outfitters, Inc. from 1999 to 2003, and held senior finance roles at Asian American Partners d/b/a Eagle's Eye.
Michelle Israel, Chief Merchandising Officer
Michelle Israel was appointed Chief Merchandising Officer of Five Below, effective October 6, 2025. She brings nearly 35 years of retail experience to the role. Most recently, Ms. Israel served as Senior Vice President and General Merchandise Manager, Beauty and Center Core, at Macy's. She also has experience leading Macy's value brands and Bloomingdale's The Outlet.
Eric M. Specter, Chief Administrative Officer
Eric M. Specter has served as Chief Administrative Officer of Five Below since July 2014. With a career spanning over 30 years in retail, he was previously Executive Vice President and Chief Integration Officer of Ascena Retail Group, Inc. from 2012 to 2014. Prior to that, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Charming Shoppes Inc. from 1997 until its acquisition by Ascena in 2012. During his time at Charming Shoppes, he helped grow the company from approximately 300 to over 2000 stores.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Five Below's business:
- Tariffs and Supply Chain Disruptions: Five Below faces significant risk from tariffs, with approximately 60% of its cost of goods tied to products sourced from China. New or increased tariffs directly lead to higher procurement costs, which are expected to lower operating margins by as much as 200 basis points. Additionally, global supply chain disruptions pose a threat to maintaining inventory levels and meeting customer demand, potentially causing delays, increased costs, and logistical challenges. While the company is exploring supply chain diversification, this is a longer-term strategy.
- Competitive Intensity and Market Saturation: The discount retail sector is highly competitive, with rivals such as Dollar Tree and Dollar General, as well as e-commerce platforms like Temu, exerting pressure on Five Below's "extreme value" proposition. The company's aggressive expansion strategy through new store openings also carries the risk of market saturation, which could lead to diminishing returns from new locations and increased cannibalization of sales from existing stores. Maintaining its pricing strategy of $5 and below in an inflationary environment may become challenging, potentially forcing the company to adjust prices or accept lower margins, thereby eroding its value proposition and customer loyalty.
- Declining Consumer Discretionary Spending: Five Below's business is particularly sensitive to shifts in consumer discretionary spending. Prolonged inflationary pressures have led consumers to prioritize essential purchases over discretionary items, impacting sales in categories that represent a significant portion of Five Below's offerings. Weak consumer spending and a general pullback in discretionary purchases directly affect the company, which relies heavily on non-essential, trend-driven merchandise. This macroeconomic headwind has contributed to declining net income and earnings for Five Below in recent quarters, alongside negative comparable store sales growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rise of ultra-low-cost online retailers such as Temu, Shein, and TikTok Shop represents a clear emerging threat to Five Below. These platforms directly compete by offering a vast array of inexpensive, trend-right products, including accessories, home decor, tech gadgets, and novelty items, which significantly overlap with Five Below's merchandise. They target the same tween and teen demographic and leverage social media for viral marketing, potentially diverting a substantial portion of Five Below's core customers' discretionary spending for low-priced goods due to their competitive pricing and direct-to-consumer model.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Five Below (symbol: FIVE) operates as a specialty value retailer in the United States, primarily serving tween and teen customers with a diverse range of products. The addressable markets for their main product and service categories in the U.S. are substantial:
- Fashion Accessories: The U.S. fashion accessories market generated a revenue of USD 222,074.1 million in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 342,988.5 million by 2030. Another estimate indicates the U.S. market is projected to reach USD 289.34 billion by 2026.
- Home Decor: The U.S. home decor market generated a revenue of USD 237,874.2 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 392,556.1 million by 2030. The mass-market segment accounted for 69.47% of the U.S. home decor market share in 2025.
- Toys and Games: The U.S. toys and games market reached a valuation of USD 30 billion in 2023. U.S. retail sales of toys generated $30.3 billion in 2025.
- Arts and Crafts Supplies: The U.S. art supplies market size was USD 3.7 billion in 2024, with expectations to reach USD 4.9 billion by 2030. The United States Art and Crafts Market size, valued at USD 5193.84 million in 2024, is expected to expand to USD 9052.12 million by 2033.
- Stationery Products (including school supplies): The United States stationery products market size was valued at USD 34.72 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 42.96 billion by 2033.
- Party Supplies: The United States Party Supplies Market size, valued at USD 5137.48 million in 2024, is expected to expand to USD 11260.1 million by 2033. North America, which includes the U.S., is the largest market for party supplies, accounting for approximately 45% of the global market share.
- Candy and Snacks: The U.S. candy market was estimated at USD 16.5 billion in 2023 and valued at USD 16.95 billion in 2024. The United States confectionery market size reached USD 41.2 billion in 2025. The United States snacks market size reached approximately USD 362.16 billion in 2025.
- Consumer Electronics Accessories (for cell phones, tablets, audio, and computers): The U.S. mobile accessories market size was USD 22.15 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 43.17 billion by 2033. The North American consumer electronic accessories market was valued at approximately USD 15 billion in 2023.
- Discount Department Stores/General Merchandise Stores: The Discount Department Store industry in the U.S. is projected to have a revenue of $107.3 billion for 2025. The discount department stores market size has grown to $503.2 billion in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Five Below (symbol: FIVE) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:- New Store Expansion: The company continues to increase its physical footprint by opening new stores across the United States. For example, Five Below opened 49 new stores in Q3 2025, bringing its total to over 1,900 locations, and plans to open 150 net new stores in the coming year. This ongoing expansion is a direct contributor to top-line growth.
- Strong Comparable Sales Growth: Five Below has demonstrated robust comparable sales increases, driven by both higher customer transactions and an increased average ticket size. In Q3 2025, comparable sales rose by 14.3%, and the company projected a full fiscal year 2025 comparable sales growth of about 12.5%. This indicates effective merchandising and strong customer demand.
- Expansion of Higher Price Point Offerings (Five Beyond Strategy): Five Below has successfully integrated items priced above the traditional $5 threshold throughout its stores, moving beyond dedicated "Five Beyond" sections. This strategy has proven effective in increasing average ticket size and overall sales by appealing to customers willing to spend more for perceived value and on-trend products.
- Customer-Centric Merchandising and Value Proposition: The company emphasizes a customer-centric strategy, focusing on Gen Z and millennial customers by offering "trend-right merchandise at exceptional value." This approach helps attract and retain its core demographic, driving consistent demand for its product assortment.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Five Below's board of directors approved a stock repurchase program for up to $100 million of its common shares through June 2025.
- Annual share buybacks for Five Below were approximately $40.213 million in 2025, $80.541 million in 2024, and $40.007 million in 2023.
- The full-year fiscal 2025 outlook did not include the impact of any potential share repurchases.
Share Issuance
- Net proceeds from the issuance of common stock were $477,000 for the year-to-date period ended November 1, 2025, and $600,000 for the comparable period in fiscal 2024.
- Net proceeds from the issuance of common stock also amounted to $477,000 for the year-to-date period ended August 2, 2025, and $600,000 for the comparable period in fiscal 2024.
- The issuance of common stock to employees under the employee stock purchase plan contributed $477,000 in the period ending August 2, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Purchases of investment securities and other investments were $(246,311) for the year-to-date period ended November 1, 2025, compared to $(4,508) for the comparable period in fiscal 2024.
- For the year-to-date period ended August 2, 2025, purchases of investment securities and other investments were $(95,648), versus $(4,508) for the same period in fiscal 2024.
Capital Expenditures
- Gross capital expenditures are expected to be approximately $200 million for the full year of Fiscal 2025, which was a revision from an earlier expectation of $210 million.
- Capital expenditures totaled $(133.960 million) for the year-to-date period ended November 1, 2025, and $(271.855 million) for the comparable period in fiscal 2024.
- The primary focus of capital expenditures is on opening new stores, with plans to open approximately 150 net new stores in Fiscal 2025, including new sites in former Jo-Ann Fabrics locations.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Five Below Earnings Notes | 12/28/2026 | |
| Five Below Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Is Five Below Stock Outperforming Its Rivals? | 08/13/2025 | |
| Better Bet Than FIVE Stock: Pay Less Than Five Below To Get More From BKNG, RCL | 08/12/2025 | |
| FIVE Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Five Below Total Shareholder Return (TSR): -48.2% in 2025 and -16.1% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Five Below (FIVE) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Mid Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 02/18/2026 | |
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | 07/29/2025 |
Trade Ideas
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| 05312019 | FIVE | Five Below | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | -3.9% | -18.7% | -59.4% |
| 10312018 | FIVE | Five Below | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 25.0% | 9.9% | -21.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 127.08 |
| Mkt Cap | 20.4 |
| Rev LTM | 21,081 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,928 |
| FCF LTM | 1,804 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 1,385 |
| CFO LTM | 2,780 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,663 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 10.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.8% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 13.9% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.6% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.3% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 20.4 |
| P/S | 2.3 |
| P/Op Inc | 19.2 |
| P/EBIT | 18.9 |
| P/E | 25.4 |
| P/CFO | 19.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 2.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -17.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -64.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $214.39 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 11.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/19/2012 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -13.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $225.39 | $184.11 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -4.9% | 16.4% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 41.4% | 37.8% |
| Downside Capture | 98.38 | 124.63 |
| Upside Capture | 74.27 | 173.32 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 40.6% | 49.5% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.31 | 1.15 | 1.21 | 1.23 | 1.97 | 1.37 |
| Up Beta | 1.33 | 1.23 | 0.99 | 0.82 | 2.72 | 1.34 |
| Down Beta | 5.96 | 2.28 | 1.97 | 1.33 | 1.66 | 1.49 |
| Up Capture | 75% | 88% | 164% | 210% | 388% | 180% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 21 | 35 | 68 | 135 | 373 |
| Down Capture | 303% | 84% | 67% | 98% | 116% | 108% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 22 | 29 | 57 | 116 | 379 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FIVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIVE | 105.1% | 37.8% | 1.99 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.6% | 18.1% | 0.21 | 38.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 25.0% | 12.1% | 1.55 | 49.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 40.0% | 26.8% | 1.23 | 3.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 49.4% | 18.5% | 2.03 | -12.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 9.7% | 13.4% | 0.45 | 26.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -25.6% | 41.9% | -0.59 | 18.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FIVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIVE | 4.0% | 47.5% | 0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.5% | 23.7% | 0.27 | 51.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.2% | 17.0% | 0.65 | 49.7% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.3% | 18.0% | 0.87 | 4.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.0% | 19.4% | 0.45 | 6.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.0% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 35.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 9.4% | 55.6% | 0.38 | 18.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FIVE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FIVE | 16.8% | 45.8% | 0.51 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.3% | 22.0% | 0.51 | 56.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 53.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.0% | 16.0% | 0.67 | 4.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.9% | 0.38 | 15.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 43.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.2% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 14.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/18/2026 | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% |
| 12/3/2025 | 3.2% | 8.6% | 24.0% |
| 8/27/2025 | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% |
| 6/4/2025 | 5.6% | 3.1% | 6.2% |
| 3/19/2025 | 0.7% | 3.0% | -10.7% |
| 12/4/2024 | 10.5% | 4.3% | -3.1% |
| 8/28/2024 | -0.9% | -3.7% | 17.3% |
| 6/5/2024 | -10.6% | -12.2% | -21.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% |
| Median Negative | -6.0% | -9.0% | -11.3% |
| Max Positive | 16.5% | 11.3% | 24.0% |
| Max Negative | -15.4% | -14.7% | -28.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10/31/2025 | 12/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 08/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 08/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/21/2024 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2023 | 11/30/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 08/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/01/2022 | 10-Q |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/30/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/18/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | 1.18 Bil | 1.19 Bil | 1.20 Bil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Net Income | 86.00 Mil | 89.50 Mil | 93.00 Mil | ||||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted Net Income | 88.00 Mil | 91.00 Mil | 94.00 Mil | ||||
| Q1 2026 EPS | 1.55 | 1.61 | 1.67 | ||||
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EPS | 1.57 | 1.63 | 1.69 | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | 5.20 Bil | 5.25 Bil | 5.30 Bil | 13.3% | Higher New | Guidance: 4.63 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Net Income | 429.00 Mil | 443.00 Mil | 457.00 Mil | 42.4% | Higher New | Guidance: 311.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Net Income | 431.00 Mil | 445.00 Mil | 459.00 Mil | 38.2% | Higher New | Guidance: 322.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 EPS | 7.69 | 7.95 | 8.2 | 41.9% | Higher New | Guidance: 5.6 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 7.74 | 8 | 8.25 | 37.8% | Higher New | Guidance: 5.8 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 230.00 Mil | 240.00 Mil | 250.00 Mil | 20.0% | Higher New | Guidance: 200.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 12/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | 1.58 Bil | 1.59 Bil | 1.61 Bil | 66.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 960.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Net Income | 186.00 Mil | 191.00 Mil | 196.00 Mil | 2147.1% | Higher New | Guidance: 8.50 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 EPS | 3.34 | 3.43 | 3.52 | 2186.7% | Higher New | Guidance: 0.15 for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Revenue | 4.62 Bil | 4.63 Bil | 4.65 Bil | 3.5% | Raised | Guidance: 4.48 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Net Income | 306.00 Mil | 311.00 Mil | 316.00 Mil | 17.8% | Raised | Guidance: 264.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 EPS | 5.51 | 5.6 | 5.69 | 17.6% | Raised | Guidance: 4.76 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 200.00 Mil | -4.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 210.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Markee, Richard L | Direct | Sell | 3302026 | 232.04 | 3,000 | 696,120 | 3,070,585 | Form | |
| 2 | Sargent, Ronald | By: Sargent Family Investment LLC | Sell | 3252026 | 231.75 | 10,000 | 2,317,500 | 17,073,950 | Form | |
| 3 | Sargent, Ronald | By: Sargent Family Investment LLC | Sell | 3252026 | 231.28 | 10,000 | 2,312,791 | 19,352,047 | Form | |
| 4 | Bull, Kenneth R | COO | Direct | Sell | 3232026 | 234.14 | 10,000 | 2,341,373 | 21,664,955 | Form |
| 5 | Bull, Kenneth R | COO | Direct | Sell | 1152026 | 202.29 | 1,925 | 389,414 | 20,050,263 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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