Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.8%, FCF Yield is 8.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
  Key risks
LKQ key risks include [1] waning demand for its core replacement parts, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 13%, Dividend Yield is 4.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 8.8%, FCF Yield is 8.6%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 35%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -73%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -108%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 71%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9%
7 Key risks
LKQ key risks include [1] waning demand for its core replacement parts, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LKQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why LKQ stock moved during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to today:

1. Missed Revenue Estimates and Lower Net Income in Q3 2025: LKQ reported third-quarter 2025 revenues of $3.499 billion, falling short of analyst estimates which ranged from $3.52 billion to $3.54 billion. Additionally, net income from continuing operations decreased to $178 million, compared to $187 million in the third quarter of 2024.

2. Decline in North American Organic Revenue and Repairable Claims: During the third quarter of 2025, North American organic revenue on a per-day basis saw a decrease of 30 basis points, alongside a 6% decline in repairable claims, indicating softness in a crucial segment of the market.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LKQ Return-1%71%-9%-9%-21%-16%-7%
Peers Return26%36%-7%24%8%14%144%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LKQ Win Rate58%75%33%42%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%43%48%57%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LKQ Max Drawdown-61%-1%-29%-18%-23%-21% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-9%-31%-9%-15%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WCC, POOL, PATK, GPC, ARMK. See LKQ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLKQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven804 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven781 days1,480 days

Compare to WCC, POOL, PATK, GPC, ARMK


In The Past

LKQ's stock fell -29.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -29.1% loss requires a 41.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LKQ (LKQ)

Better Bets than LKQ (LKQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LKQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
LKQ_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025LKQLKQDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.1%-19.6%-24.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
LKQ_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025LKQLKQDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.1%-19.6%-24.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LKQ

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LKQWCCPOOLPATKGPCARMKMedian
NameLKQ WESCO In.Pool Patrick .Genuine .Aramark  
Mkt Price30.15250.39236.28111.64128.0637.75119.85
Mkt Cap7.812.28.83.617.810.19.4
Rev LTM14,04622,9425,2953,87324,06118,50616,276
Op Inc LTM1,2551,2115892581,4157921,001
FCF LTM676250395183134432322
FCF 3Y Avg795596609290631286602
CFO LTM948330456301666921561
CFO 3Y Avg1,0946906703721,140720705

Growth & Margins

LKQWCCPOOLPATKGPCARMKMedian
NameLKQ WESCO In.Pool Patrick .Genuine .Aramark  
Rev Chg LTM-3.0%5.3%-0.6%6.1%3.3%6.4%4.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg2.4%3.6%-4.7%-7.3%4.1%10.7%3.0%
Rev Chg Q-1.9%12.9%1.3%6.1%4.9%14.3%5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%3.2%0.3%1.5%1.2%3.5%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM8.9%5.3%11.1%6.7%5.9%4.3%6.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.8%5.8%12.3%7.2%6.7%4.1%7.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.1%-0.0%-0.3%0.1%-0.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.7%1.4%8.6%7.8%2.8%5.0%5.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%3.1%12.3%10.0%4.9%4.1%6.4%
FCF/Rev LTM4.8%1.1%7.5%4.7%0.6%2.3%3.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.8%2.7%11.2%7.9%2.7%1.6%4.3%

Valuation

LKQWCCPOOLPATKGPCARMKMedian
NameLKQ WESCO In.Pool Patrick .Genuine .Aramark  
Mkt Cap7.812.28.83.617.810.19.4
P/S0.60.42.20.90.80.50.7
P/EBIT6.58.519.514.316.1-14.3
P/E11.115.927.927.823.831.025.8
P/CFO8.331.225.211.129.011.018.2
Total Yield13.0%7.1%5.2%5.2%7.1%4.3%6.1%
Dividend Yield4.0%0.8%1.6%1.6%2.9%1.1%1.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg7.6%7.4%4.6%13.3%3.2%-7.4%
D/E0.80.60.10.50.3-0.5
Net D/E0.70.60.10.50.3-0.5

Returns

LKQWCCPOOLPATKGPCARMKMedian
NameLKQ WESCO In.Pool Patrick .Genuine .Aramark  
1M Rtn0.9%1.2%-0.7%15.6%2.0%5.1%1.6%
3M Rtn-2.1%17.0%-26.6%5.7%-7.3%1.1%-0.5%
6M Rtn-16.6%42.2%-16.4%25.5%9.4%-5.4%2.0%
12M Rtn-14.8%35.8%-33.0%29.0%11.6%-1.5%5.0%
3Y Rtn-37.7%114.1%-21.3%187.0%-21.1%30.2%4.5%
1M Excs Rtn0.1%0.5%-1.4%14.9%1.2%4.3%0.9%
3M Excs Rtn-3.5%15.3%-28.3%3.0%-7.8%-1.0%-2.3%
6M Excs Rtn-29.0%29.8%-28.8%13.1%-3.0%-17.7%-10.4%
12M Excs Rtn-29.0%21.4%-44.9%15.4%-2.0%-16.0%-9.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-107.7%38.7%-94.1%137.8%-91.8%-40.3%-66.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Parts & services13,17411,93312,14110,96411,878
Other692861948665628
Total13,86612,79413,08911,62912,506


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,961,012
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.4%
Average Daily Volume2,531,411
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.73
Basic Shares Quantity258,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/20253.7%2.7%-0.9%
7/24/2025-17.8%-22.0%-20.0%
2/20/20256.0%6.0%4.7%
10/24/2024-0.3%-1.2%1.0%
7/25/2024-12.4%-6.7%-5.3%
2/22/20243.1%4.9%5.8%
10/26/2023-5.9%-8.1%-1.7%
7/27/2023-4.0%-4.5%-10.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141213
# Negative798
Median Positive3.2%5.3%5.8%
Median Negative-5.9%-6.7%-7.7%
Max Positive6.4%12.1%20.9%
Max Negative-17.8%-22.0%-48.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021