Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Circular Economy & Recycling, Sustainable Resource Management, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Advanced Recycling Technologies, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

LKQ Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points that contributed to the approximate -9.1% movement in LKQ's stock price during the period from late August 2025 to early December 2025:

1. Disappointing Revenue Performance in Third Quarter 2025: LKQ Corporation reported third-quarter 2025 revenues of $3.5 billion, which fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.52 billion and represented a decline from the $3.58 billion reported in the same period of 2024.

2. Negative Organic Revenue Trend and Revised 2025 Outlook: In the third quarter of 2025, parts and services organic revenues for LKQ decreased by 1.2% year-over-year. The company also revised its 2025 guidance, anticipating a decline in parts and services organic revenues of 2-3% for the full year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LKQ Return-1%71%-9%-9%-21%-18%-9%
Peers Return26%36%-7%24%8%14%143%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LKQ Win Rate58%75%33%42%42%60% 
Peers Win Rate63%62%43%48%57%54% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LKQ Max Drawdown-61%-1%-29%-18%-23%-20% 
Peers Max Drawdown-56%-9%-31%-9%-15%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WCC, POOL, PATK, GPC, ARMK. See LKQ Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLKQS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-29.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-47.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven89.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven804 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-62.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven168.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven781 days1480 days

Compare to WCC, POOL, PATK, GPC, ARMK


In The Past

LKQ's stock fell -29.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/31/2021. A -29.1% loss requires a 41.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About LKQ (LKQ)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LKQ. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
LKQ_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025LKQLKQDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.1%-21.6%-23.7%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
LKQ_4302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield04302025LKQLKQDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-20.1%-21.6%-23.7%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for LKQ

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LKQWCCPOOLPATKGPCARMKMedian
NameLKQ WESCO In.Pool Patrick .Genuine .Aramark  
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Returns

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Parts & services13,17411,93312,14110,96411,878
Other692861948665628
Total13,86612,79413,08911,62912,506


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,382,666
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202512.2%
Average Daily Volume3,049,311
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.06
Basic Shares Quantity258,100,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025724202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025424202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024725202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024423202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231027202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023727202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023427202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021