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Lincoln Educational Services (LINC)


Market Price (6/20/2026): $48.47 | Market Cap: $1.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Education Services

Lincoln Educational Services (LINC)


Market Price (6/20/2026): $48.47
Market Cap: $1.5 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Education Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Heat Pump Technology, EV Charging Infrastructure (Utility Role), Show more.

Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 67x

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 103%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 115%

Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 92%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%

Key risks
LINC key risks include [1] failure to comply with extensive federal regulations like the 90/10 Rule, Show more.

0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 47%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electrification of Everything, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Heat Pump Technology, EV Charging Infrastructure (Utility Role), Show more.
4 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 47x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 67x
5 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 103%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 115%
6 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.7%
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 92%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -2.7%
9 Key risks
LINC key risks include [1] failure to comply with extensive federal regulations like the 90/10 Rule, Show more.

LINC in ETFs

Weight = LINC's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.04%
AVUV0.12%
IWO0.08%
VTWO0.04%
DFAS0.03%
SCHA0.03%
+4 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/18/2026

Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) stock has gained about 35% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance.

Lincoln Educational Services reported robust financial results for its fiscal first quarter ended March 31, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14, exceeding the consensus forecast of $0.04 by 250%. Revenue also outpaced projections, reaching $144.0 million against a forecasted $135.66 million, marking a 22.5% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA saw an 85% increase to $15.5 million. Following these strong results, management raised its full-year 2026 financial guidance, with anticipated revenue now between $590 million and $600 million (up from $580-$590 million) and adjusted EBITDA projected to be between $76 million and $80 million (up from $72-$76 million). This strong performance and optimistic outlook fueled investor confidence.

2. Robust Student Enrollment Growth, Particularly in High-Demand Skilled Trades.

The company experienced significant operational momentum, driven by strong demand for its career-oriented programs. Student starts grew by 19.5% to 5,500 in fiscal Q1 2026 compared to the prior year. This growth was particularly strong in the Transportation and Skilled Trades programs, which account for 80% of Lincoln's total student population, addressing a critical skills gap in the U.S. economy. The total student ending population also rose by 17.6% to 18,702. This consistent increase in enrollment indicates a healthy underlying demand for Lincoln's specialized technical training.

Show more
Updated on 6/18/2026

Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) stock has gained about 35% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Exceptional Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance and Upgraded Full-Year Guidance.

Lincoln Educational Services reported robust financial results for its fiscal first quarter ended March 31, 2026, significantly surpassing analyst expectations. The company posted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.14, exceeding the consensus forecast of $0.04 by 250%. Revenue also outpaced projections, reaching $144.0 million against a forecasted $135.66 million, marking a 22.5% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA saw an 85% increase to $15.5 million. Following these strong results, management raised its full-year 2026 financial guidance, with anticipated revenue now between $590 million and $600 million (up from $580-$590 million) and adjusted EBITDA projected to be between $76 million and $80 million (up from $72-$76 million). This strong performance and optimistic outlook fueled investor confidence.

2. Robust Student Enrollment Growth, Particularly in High-Demand Skilled Trades.

The company experienced significant operational momentum, driven by strong demand for its career-oriented programs. Student starts grew by 19.5% to 5,500 in fiscal Q1 2026 compared to the prior year. This growth was particularly strong in the Transportation and Skilled Trades programs, which account for 80% of Lincoln's total student population, addressing a critical skills gap in the U.S. economy. The total student ending population also rose by 17.6% to 18,702. This consistent increase in enrollment indicates a healthy underlying demand for Lincoln's specialized technical training.

3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Upward Revisions in Price Targets.

Wall Street analysts reacted positively to Lincoln's performance and growth trajectory, leading to a consensus of "Strong Buy" or "Moderate Buy" ratings. Multiple firms raised their price targets for LINC during the period, reflecting increased confidence in the company's future prospects. The average 12-month price target from analysts currently ranges from approximately $50.00 to $57.40, suggesting potential upside from current trading levels. For instance, the average price target from five Wall Street analysts is $57.40.

4. Strategic Growth Initiatives and Operational Efficiency.

Lincoln Educational Services actively pursued several growth initiatives that contributed to its positive stock trend. These include the expansion of programs and the opening of new campuses in underserved, high-demand metropolitan areas, such as Houston, Hicksville, and Rowlett, which were noted to increase costs in Q1 2026 but are strategic investments for future revenue. The company is also leveraging its "Lincoln 10.0 hybrid teaching model" and improving profitability within its nursing programs. Management has outlined long-term targets of $850 million in revenue and $150 million in EBITDA by 2030, reinforcing a clear growth roadmap for investors.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 33.6% change in LINC stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 44.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)22820266192026Change
Stock Price ($)36.2448.4333.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)49554510.1%
Net Income Margin (%)2.9%4.1%44.0%
P/E Multiple79.567.3-15.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3131-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution33.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LINC33.6% 
Market (SPY)9.2%19.2%
Sector (XLY)0.5%8.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 135.3% change in LINC stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 49.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020256192026Change
Stock Price ($)20.5848.43135.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)49554510.1%
Net Income Margin (%)2.9%4.1%44.0%
P/E Multiple45.167.349.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3131-0.4%
Cumulative Contribution135.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LINC135.3% 
Market (SPY)9.9%18.1%
Sector (XLY)-0.5%14.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 103.5% change in LINC stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 55.1% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)53120256192026Change
Stock Price ($)23.8048.43103.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)45454519.9%
Net Income Margin (%)2.7%4.1%55.1%
P/E Multiple60.967.310.6%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3131-1.0%
Cumulative Contribution103.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LINC103.5% 
Market (SPY)28.1%20.3%
Sector (XLY)10.5%14.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The 657.9% change in LINC stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 329.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)53120236192026Change
Stock Price ($)6.3948.43657.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)35354554.3%
Net Income Margin (%)3.5%4.1%18.5%
P/E Multiple15.767.3329.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3031-3.5%
Cumulative Contribution657.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026
ReturnCorrelation
LINC657.9% 
Market (SPY)85.7%33.4%
Sector (XLY)58.4%31.4%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
LINC Return15%-22%73%58%53%93%615%
Peers Return-7%-3%33%64%32%20%210%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%8%98%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LINC Win Rate58%42%75%67%58%100% 
Peers Win Rate45%45%60%53%60%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LINC Max Drawdown-25%-39%-25%-20%-27%-14% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-38%-33%-25%-26%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: UTI, PRDO, LAUR, STRA, APEI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventLINCS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-19.7%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven24.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven50 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-21.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven24 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-37.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven297 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-28.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.7%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven42 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-18.3%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven22.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven11 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-26.9%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.7%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven36 days6 days

Compare to UTI, PRDO, LAUR, STRA, APEI

In The Past

Lincoln Educational Services's stock fell -19.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventLINCS&P 500
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-21.0%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.5%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven24 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-37.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven297 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-28.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.7%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven42 days140 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-26.9%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.7%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven36 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-80.6%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven414.3%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven7 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-92.3%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven1190.7%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven109 days15 days
2013 Taper Tantrum
  % Loss-26.7%-0.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven36.5%0.2%
  Time to Breakeven2287 days1 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-59.1%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven144.5%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven4785 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-28.9%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven40.7%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven5420 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-30.3%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.5%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven116 days1085 days

Compare to UTI, PRDO, LAUR, STRA, APEI

In The Past

Lincoln Educational Services's stock fell -19.7% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 24.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lincoln Educational Services (LINC)

Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) is a publicly traded company providing career-oriented post-secondary education across the United States. The company focuses on equipping high school graduates and working adults with practical skills for immediate employment in various skilled professions. Operating a network of 22 campuses across 14 states under brand names such as Lincoln Technical Institute and Lincoln College of Technology, LINC's primary goal is to offer alternatives to traditional four-year university degrees through specialized training.

LINC's educational offerings are structured into two main segments: Transportation and Skilled Trades, and Healthcare and Other Professions. In the Transportation and Skilled Trades segment, students can earn associate's degrees, diplomas, or certificates in areas like automotive technology, electrical and HVAC repair, welding, and computerized numerical control. The Healthcare and Other Professions segment provides programs in fields such as nursing, dental and medical assisting, culinary arts, cosmetology, and information technology, all designed to prepare graduates for specific roles within these industries.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Universal Technical Institute (UTI) but for a broader range of careers, including healthcare, culinary arts, and more skilled trades like HVAC and welding.
  • A multi-campus vocational education system, similar to a hands-on, career-focused DeVry University.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) provides the following major educational services:

  • Automotive Technology Education: Offers associate's degrees, diplomas, and certificates for careers in automotive repair and maintenance.
  • Skilled Trades Education: Provides training in fields such as electrical, heating and air conditioning repair, welding, and computerized numerical control.
  • Healthcare Professions Education: Delivers programs for roles like nursing, dental and medical assistant, and medical administrative assistant.
  • Culinary & Hospitality Education: Includes training in culinary arts, therapeutic massage, cosmetology, and aesthetics.
  • Information Technology Programs: Offers various educational programs focused on information technology skills and careers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) primarily sells its educational services to **individuals** rather than other companies. Its major customers are students seeking post-secondary education and career training.

The company serves the following categories of individual customers:

  • High School Graduates: Individuals who have recently completed high school and are seeking to acquire specific career skills or an associate's degree to enter the workforce or advance their education.
  • Working Adults: Individuals already in the workforce who are looking to enhance their skills, change careers, obtain certifications, or earn a degree to advance in their current profession or transition into a new one.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Scott M. Shaw, President & Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Shaw joined Lincoln Educational Services in 2001 and currently serves as President and Chief Executive Officer. Prior to this role, he held positions including President and Chief Operating Officer, Executive Vice President and Chief Administrative Officer, and Senior Vice President of Strategic Planning and Business Development. Before joining Lincoln, Mr. Shaw was a partner at Stonington Partners, Inc. starting in 1994, where he was responsible for identifying, evaluating, acquiring, and overseeing companies, including assisting in their eventual sale. He also served as a consultant to Merrill Lynch Capital Partners Inc., a private investment firm, from 1994 through 2000.

Brian K. Meyers, Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer

Mr. Meyers joined Lincoln Educational Services in 2002 and currently serves as Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. He brings over 25 years of accounting and financial management experience to his role. Before his tenure at Lincoln, Mr. Meyers was Vice President and Controller for Candie's Inc. He began his career in 1989 with Richard A. Eisner (now EisnerAmper LLP), a public accounting firm. Mr. Meyers is a Certified Public Accountant.

Chad D. Nyce, Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Nyce joined Lincoln Educational Services in 2020 and is currently the Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer. Previously, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Innovation Officer at Lincoln. Prior to joining Lincoln, he was the Chief Operating Officer at Strayer University, LLC (a subsidiary of Strategic Education, Inc.) from 2007 to 2019, and Regional Vice President of Operations for InteliStaf Healthcare, Inc. from 2004 to 2007.

Alexandra M. Luster, Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary

Ms. Luster joined Lincoln Educational Services in 1995 and serves as Senior Vice President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary. She has over 30 years of legal experience, overseeing the Company's Legal and Regulatory & Compliance Departments.

Neal Goldstein, Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer

Mr. Goldstein joined Lincoln Educational Services in 2025 as Senior Vice President and Chief Information Officer. Before joining Lincoln, he held the position of Chief Technology Officer at Mutual of America. He has extensive experience in various Chief Technology Officer and Chief Information Officer roles within the financial services industry.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) are primarily associated with the highly regulated nature of the for-profit education industry and the intense competition for student enrollment.

Regulatory Compliance and Dependence on Federal Funding

Lincoln Educational Services, like other for-profit educational institutions, faces significant risks due to its heavy reliance on federal student financial aid programs, particularly Title IV funding, which constituted approximately 85% of its revenue in 2025. The for-profit education sector is subject to extensive and evolving federal and state regulations. Changes in policies related to the "90/10 Rule" (requiring at least 10% of revenue from non-federal sources), gainful employment regulations, and financial responsibility standards pose a substantial threat. Non-compliance or adverse changes in these regulations could lead to financial penalties, operational restrictions, increased oversight, or even the loss of eligibility for federal aid, which would severely impact LINC's revenue and operations.

Competition and Enrollment Trends

LINC operates in a highly competitive market, vying for students with other for-profit schools, public colleges, and online education providers. Public institutions often benefit from state appropriations, enabling them to offer lower tuition rates, which can put for-profit schools like Lincoln at a disadvantage. Declines in overall enrollment, increased competition, or shifts in labor market conditions that reduce the perceived value or demand for certain programs could negatively impact student acquisition and retention, leading to reduced revenues.

Operational Execution of Growth Strategy and Capital Intensity

Lincoln Educational Services is actively pursuing a growth strategy that involves campus expansions and relocations, which are capital-intensive undertakings. There is an inherent risk that these expansions or relocations may not proceed as planned or fail to attract sufficient enrollment to justify the investment, potentially impacting near-term margins and free cash flow, which has been negative due to these capital investments. Effective operational execution is crucial for realizing the expected returns from these strategic initiatives.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Online vocational and certificate programs, including specialized bootcamps and micro-credentialing platforms, that offer more flexible, often lower-cost, and sometimes faster pathways to acquire career-specific skills, directly competing with Lincoln Educational Services' in-person programs.

Employer-led and industry-consortium apprenticeship programs that recruit directly from high schools and other entry points, providing on-the-job training and certifications, thereby bypassing traditional post-secondary vocational schools for skilled trades and other technical professions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) operates in several career-oriented post-secondary education sectors across the United States. The addressable markets for its main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:

Transportation and Skilled Trades

  • Automotive Technology: The U.S. job market for automotive technicians is experiencing a significant demand, with an estimated 67,000 positions needing to be filled annually through 2033. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics also estimates that about 76,000 new automotive technicians and mechanics will be required each year for the next ten years to offset retirements and those leaving the industry. In 2023, approximately 37,616 degrees were awarded in Automobile Mechanics Technology in the U.S..
  • Skilled Trades (electrical, HVAC, welding, computerized numerical control, electrical and electronic systems technology): The Trade & Technical Schools industry in the United States, which encompasses these skilled trades, has a market size of an estimated $17.5 billion in 2026. After a decline, enrollment in Skilled Trades Schools grew at a 1.2% CAGR from 2020 to 2023.

Healthcare and Other Professions

  • Nursing Education: The U.S. nursing education market was valued at $9.7 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 5.3% between 2025 and 2034. Another estimate places the U.S. nursing education market at USD 9.7 billion in 2024, with expectations to grow at a 5.3% CAGR between 2025 and 2034.
  • Dental Assistant Training: The U.S. dental assistant job market is projected to grow by 11% from 2022 to 2032, which is faster than the average for all occupations. This translates to about 55,000 new dental assisting job openings annually in the U.S.. Approximately 371,000 dental assistants are currently employed in the U.S..
  • Medical Assistant Training: The U.S. medical assistant job market is expected to grow by 13.8% between 2022 and 2032, with an average of 114,600 job openings available annually. As of May 2023, there were 763,040 medical assistants employed in the United States.
  • Other Healthcare Professions (e.g., medical administrative assistant, claim examiner): These roles fall under the broader U.S. healthcare professional training market, which was estimated at $230.6 million in 2022 and is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.6% from 2023 to 2030.

Hospitality Services

  • Culinary Education: The global cooking class market was valued at an estimated $272.39 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach $497.25 billion by 2035. North America accounts for 41% of this market.
  • Cosmetology and Aesthetics: The market size of Cosmetology & Beauty Schools in the U.S. was $2.4 billion in 2024 and is expected to remain $2.4 billion in 2025. The Beauty & Wellness category in trade education was valued at $2.2 billion as of 2024 in the U.S.
  • Therapeutic Massage: Null

Information Technology Programs

  • The United States IT Training Market was valued at $89.76 billion in 2023 and is anticipated to show robust growth with a CAGR of 6.44% through 2029.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Lincoln Educational Services (LINC) is positioned for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market tailwinds:

  1. Growth in Student Enrollment: The company consistently reports strong increases in student starts and overall student population. For example, in Q1 2024, student starts increased by 15.3%, contributing to a nearly 20% revenue growth. The company also saw a 17% year-over-year increase in average student population in Q4 2025, with student starts growing by 15.7%. Looking ahead, Lincoln Educational Services projects an 8-13% growth in student starts for 2026.
  2. Campus Expansion and Relocations: Lincoln Educational Services is actively expanding its physical footprint to reach more students and address market demand. This includes opening new campuses, such as the East Point, Georgia campus, and planning for additional locations. Strategic relocations of existing campuses, like Nashville and Levittown, Pennsylvania, have been completed, and new campuses in Houston, Texas, and Rowlett, Texas (expected early 2027), are part of the growth strategy. The company plans to add approximately two new campus projects per year.
  3. Expansion of High-Demand Programs: The company focuses on replicating and launching new programs in high-demand fields to attract more students. This strategy includes introducing new program offerings and expanding existing successful ones, such as the launch of an electrical program at its South Plainfield, NJ campus and plans for seven program replications. These program innovations enhance the company's market position and align with the demand for skilled trades training.
  4. Leveraging the Lincoln 10.0 Hybrid Instructional Platform: The rollout of the Lincoln 10.0 hybrid teaching model is a key driver for efficiency and accelerated revenue recognition. This platform, which combines hands-on learning with online instruction, is expected to be used in approximately 65% of classes by the end of Q1 2024. The platform enhances flexibility for students and contributes to increased program efficiency and, in some cases, accelerated revenue recognition, particularly in evening programs.
  5. Development of Corporate Partnerships: Lincoln Educational Services is expanding its revenue streams through new and existing corporate partnerships, offering training services beyond traditional student enrollment. Notable examples include a new contract with Container Maintenance Corporation, valued at approximately $6 million over five years, and expanded relationships with companies like Johnson Controls and New Jersey Transit. These partnerships demonstrate a diversification of service offerings and a source of growth.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Capital Allocation Decisions for Lincoln Educational Services (LINC)

  • Share Repurchases
    • Lincoln Educational Services spent $0 on share buybacks in Q3 2024.
  • Capital Expenditures
    • Capital expenditures for 2025 reached $88 million, predominantly focused on growth initiatives.
    • These investments in 2025 were mainly allocated to major expansion projects, including relocating campuses in Nashville and Philadelphia, and opening a new campus in Houston.
    • A similar level of capital investment is planned for 2026, with a primary focus on growth initiatives, campus facilities, and technology to support expansion.

Better Bets vs. Lincoln Educational Services (LINC)

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

LINCUTIPRDOLAURSTRAAPEIMedian
NameLincoln .Universa.Perdoceo.Laureate.Strategi.American. 
Mkt Price48.4340.3532.0336.4375.3352.7244.39
Mkt Cap1.52.22.05.21.61.01.8
Rev LTM5458698551,7381,271659862
Op Inc LTM325523541719862130
FCF LTM-9122126417474124
FCF 3Y Avg-26351812171385295
CFO LTM728223037021888153
CFO 3Y Avg408118829517969130

Growth & Margins

LINCUTIPRDOLAURSTRAAPEIMedian
NameLincoln .Universa.Perdoceo.Laureate.Strategi.American. 
Rev Chg LTM19.9%11.0%17.7%13.8%3.0%3.8%12.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg15.6%21.2%6.8%10.9%6.2%3.1%8.8%
Rev Chg Q22.5%6.7%4.1%15.4%0.8%6.2%6.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM5.1%1.6%1.0%2.1%0.2%1.6%1.6%
Op Inc Chg LTM80.4%-29.1%8.2%19.2%21.1%38.1%20.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg53.7%71.6%11.1%14.9%54.5%1,751.3%54.1%
Op Mgn LTM5.9%6.3%27.5%24.0%15.6%9.4%12.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.9%7.2%28.8%23.1%13.7%7.2%10.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-2.0%0.8%-1.4%0.1%1.1%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM13.3%9.5%26.8%21.3%17.2%13.4%15.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%10.4%24.8%18.4%14.6%10.8%12.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.7%0.1%25.8%15.2%13.7%11.2%12.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-5.8%4.7%23.9%13.6%11.2%8.2%9.7%

Valuation

LINCUTIPRDOLAURSTRAAPEIMedian
NameLincoln .Universa.Perdoceo.Laureate.Strategi.American. 
Mkt Cap1.52.22.05.21.61.01.8
P/S2.82.62.33.01.31.52.4
P/Op Inc46.840.38.512.48.215.614.0
P/EBIT46.536.58.512.98.217.315.1
P/E67.352.011.818.512.623.921.2
P/CFO20.927.08.714.07.510.912.5
Total Yield1.5%1.9%10.4%5.4%11.4%4.2%4.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%1.9%0.0%3.5%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-5.9%3.0%11.1%6.7%6.9%11.2%6.8%
D/E0.10.10.10.10.10.20.1
Net D/E0.10.1-0.30.1-0.0-0.10.0

Returns

LINCUTIPRDOLAURSTRAAPEIMedian
NameLincoln .Universa.Perdoceo.Laureate.Strategi.American. 
1M Rtn2.1%8.8%-4.8%8.4%-5.1%-0.5%0.8%
3M Rtn29.4%14.2%-6.9%9.4%-6.0%-2.2%3.6%
6M Rtn103.1%53.5%10.2%7.7%-4.9%37.4%23.8%
12M Rtn115.0%21.6%1.1%62.0%-7.8%80.1%41.8%
3Y Rtn636.0%517.0%173.1%227.3%10.9%1,255.3%372.1%
1M Excs Rtn-0.1%9.8%-7.0%8.7%-7.2%-3.6%-1.8%
3M Excs Rtn12.9%-5.4%-20.1%-5.2%-19.8%-16.8%-11.1%
6M Excs Rtn98.4%45.4%-0.7%-1.7%-15.9%30.1%14.7%
12M Excs Rtn89.3%-4.1%-22.6%36.9%-32.7%62.4%16.4%
3Y Excs Rtn598.3%409.7%99.3%150.4%-63.8%868.2%280.1%

Comparison Analyses

null

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Campus Operations518433377  
Corporate000  
Transitional0717 
Healthcare and Other Professions   9295
Transportation and Skilled Trades   250241
Total518440378348335


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Campus Operations996448  
Transitional0-2-2-0 
Corporate-68-46-12-33-15
Healthcare and Other Professions   712
Transportation and Skilled Trades   4252
Total3015331649


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20232022202120202019
Campus Operations235190   
Corporate1101001057945
Transitional01   
Healthcare and Other Professions  343328
Transportation and Skilled Trades  157133122
Total345292295245195


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$48.43 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.5 
First Trading Date06/23/2005 
Distance from 52W High-6.9% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$45.12$30.99
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA7.3%56.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility47.5%47.1%
Downside Capture71.5241.38
Upside Capture124.05119.69
Correlation (SPY)20.5%20.2%
LINC Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.200.930.700.680.830.99
Up Beta-1.07-1.05-0.70-0.290.910.80
Down Beta3.644.180.940.840.681.03
Up Capture283%139%157%232%122%279%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days9193271137399
Down Capture316%281%91%-1%58%94%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days11223153112349

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LINC
LINC115.5%47.0%1.79-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.3%18.4%0.4915.4%
Equity (SPY)26.5%12.4%1.6120.3%
Gold (GLD)24.2%27.5%0.778.6%
Commodities (DBC)19.8%18.8%0.831.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)11.0%13.7%0.5213.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-40.0%42.5%-1.084.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LINC
LINC44.4%44.1%0.97-
Sector ETF (XLY)7.1%23.8%0.2630.0%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.1%0.6231.4%
Gold (GLD)17.1%18.3%0.762.5%
Commodities (DBC)7.5%19.4%0.295.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)1.9%18.9%0.0024.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)11.0%54.2%0.4012.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with LINC
LINC40.1%57.0%0.82-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.6%22.1%0.5222.7%
Equity (SPY)15.3%18.0%0.7322.8%
Gold (GLD)12.3%16.1%0.635.0%
Commodities (DBC)5.9%18.0%0.267.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.3%20.7%0.2218.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)60.0%66.8%1.004.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date5292026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 51520263.6%
Average Daily Volume0.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity31.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/12/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/11/20261.4%-0.1%-4.2%
2/23/20267.3%11.5%23.6%
11/10/20253.5%0.3%10.3%
8/11/2025-15.1%-19.9%-18.3%
5/12/2025-3.2%-0.1%1.5%
2/24/2025-4.8%-1.9%-15.4%
11/12/20240.7%-8.8%-2.6%
8/8/20244.5%2.5%-2.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151111
# Negative91313
Median Positive1.8%5.0%9.1%
Median Negative-3.3%-4.3%-4.7%
Max Positive23.6%31.2%27.7%
Max Negative-15.1%-19.9%-18.3%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/11/20261.4%-0.1%-4.2%
2/23/20267.3%11.5%23.6%
11/10/20253.5%0.3%10.3%
8/11/2025-15.1%-19.9%-18.3%
5/12/2025-3.2%-0.1%1.5%
2/24/2025-4.8%-1.9%-15.4%
11/12/20240.7%-8.8%-2.6%
8/8/20244.5%2.5%-2.1%
5/6/202410.3%9.5%0.5%
2/26/2024-0.9%-2.8%0.5%
11/6/2023-2.2%-0.8%-1.6%
8/8/2023-0.3%-4.3%-4.7%
5/8/20237.5%12.6%17.6%
2/27/20230.3%5.7%-2.1%
11/7/20221.2%-1.0%-6.2%
8/8/2022-6.8%-15.7%-15.0%
5/9/2022-8.7%-19.0%-4.9%
2/28/20220.0%-5.4%-3.0%
11/8/20211.8%1.7%7.5%
8/9/2021-3.3%-5.6%-11.6%
5/10/20210.6%1.4%5.4%
3/3/20210.0%3.2%9.1%
11/12/20207.1%5.0%10.8%
8/11/202023.6%31.2%27.7%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive151111
# Negative91313
Median Positive1.8%5.0%9.1%
Median Negative-3.3%-4.3%-4.7%
Max Positive23.6%31.2%27.7%
Max Negative-15.1%-19.9%-18.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/04/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202303/05/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202203/07/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/11/202610-Q
12/31/202503/02/202610-K
09/30/202511/10/202510-Q
06/30/202508/11/202510-Q
03/31/202505/12/202510-Q
12/31/202403/04/202510-K
09/30/202411/12/202410-Q
06/30/202408/08/202410-Q
03/31/202405/06/202410-Q
12/31/202303/05/202410-K
09/30/202311/06/202310-Q
06/30/202308/07/202310-Q
03/31/202305/08/202310-Q
12/31/202203/07/202310-K
09/30/202211/07/202210-Q
06/30/202208/08/202210-Q
03/31/202205/09/202210-Q
12/31/202103/03/202210-K
09/30/202111/08/202110-Q
06/30/202108/09/202110-Q
03/31/202105/10/202110-Q
12/31/202003/09/202110-K
09/30/202011/12/202010-Q
06/30/202008/13/202010-Q
03/31/202005/13/202010-Q
12/31/201903/06/202010-K
09/30/201911/14/201910-Q
06/30/201908/14/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 6/1/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/11/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue590.00 Mil595.00 Mil600.00 Mil1.7% RaisedGuidance: 585.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EBITDA76.00 Mil78.00 Mil80.00 Mil5.4% RaisedGuidance: 74.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Net income23.00 Mil24.50 Mil26.00 Mil14.0% RaisedGuidance: 21.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Diluted EPS0.740.790.8313.8% RaisedGuidance: 0.69 for 2026
2026 Capital expenditures70.00 Mil72.50 Mil75.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 72.50 Mil for 2026
2026 Student starts0.10.120.1414.3% RaisedGuidance: 0.1 for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/23/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue580.00 Mil585.00 Mil590.00 Mil15.3% Higher NewActual: 507.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Adjusted EBITDA72.00 Mil74.00 Mil76.00 Mil12.1% Higher NewActual: 66.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Net Income20.00 Mil21.50 Mil23.00 Mil19.4% Higher NewActual: 18.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Diluted EPS0.640.690.74  Higher New
2026 Capital Expenditures70.00 Mil72.50 Mil75.00 Mil-6.4% Lower NewActual: 77.50 Mil for 2025
2026 Student starts growth8.0%10.5%13.0%-32.3%-5.0%Lower NewActual: 15.5% for 2025
2027 Revenue 600.00 Mil 2.6% Higher NewGuidance: 585.00 Mil for 2026
2027 Adjusted EBITDA 90.00 Mil 21.6% Higher NewGuidance: 74.00 Mil for 2026

Insider Activity

Updated 6/15/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Luster, Alexandra MSVP and General CounselDirectSell615202644.6418,007803,8323,676,372Form
2Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell615202646.8837,0001,734,71281,248,551Form
3Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell615202647.8711,812565,39085,286,051Form
4Carney, Kevin M the Kevin M. Carney Living TrustSell610202648.003,000144,0001,201,872Form
5Luster, Alexandra MSVP and General CounselDirectSell609202650.111,99399,8695,029,190Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Luster, Alexandra MSVP and General CounselDirectSell615202644.6418,007803,8323,676,372Form
2Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell615202646.8837,0001,734,71281,248,551Form
3Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell615202647.8711,812565,39085,286,051Form
4Carney, Kevin M the Kevin M. Carney Living TrustSell610202648.003,000144,0001,201,872Form
5Luster, Alexandra MSVP and General CounselDirectSell609202650.111,99399,8695,029,190Form
6Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell605202651.1325,2081,288,95191,106,942Form
7Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell605202650.1081,5044,083,38390,530,721Form
8Pryor, Felecia J DirectSell604202649.702,00099,400735,610Form
9Burke, James J JR DirectSell526202648.3615,807764,4272,137,415Form
10Burke, James J JR DirectSell518202649.5416,000792,6402,972,648Form
11Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell518202650.111,985  Form
12Burke, James J JR DirectSell518202651.761939,9903,934,019Form
13Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell518202651.1647,836  Form
14Meyers, Brian KCFO and TreasurerDirectSell513202649.9840,0702,002,6998,032,386Form
15Nyce, Chad DEVP & Chief Operating OfficerDirectSell312202636.508,450308,4256,358,519Form
16Young, Sylvia Jean DirectSell309202635.817,959285,012454,680Form
17Plater, Michael A DirectSell302202635.7317,256616,557627,705Form
18Juniper, Investment Company, LlcJuniper Targeted Opportunity Fund, L.P.Sell227202634.55275,0009,500,64572,146,551Form
19Burke, James J JR DirectSell226202634.873,214112,0722,570,024Form
20Burke, James J JR DirectSell226202634.695,343185,3492,668,251Form
21Carney, Kevin M the Kevin M. Carney Living TrustSell1205202522.1813,866307,548550,574Form
22Carney, Kevin M the Kevin M. Carney Living TrustSell1205202522.647,604172,155875,919Form
23Nyce, Chad DEVP & Chief Operating OfficerDirectSell609202522.936,200142,1663,902,892Form
24Rose, Carlton DirectSell602202523.6330,000708,900361,421Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/19/2026