Tearsheet

Tandy Leather Factory (TLF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.69 | Market Cap: $22.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Tandy Leather Factory (TLF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.69
Market Cap: $22.9 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 97%, Dividend Yield is 49%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 93%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 108x
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.0%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artisan & Crafting Economy. Themes include Craft Supplies & Tools, DIY & Maker Movement, and Specialized Retail.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 97%, Dividend Yield is 49%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 93%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artisan & Crafting Economy. Themes include Craft Supplies & Tools, DIY & Maker Movement, and Specialized Retail.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 108x
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9%
7 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TLF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The requested time period for the stock movement (August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025) is in the future. Therefore, there is no historical data available for a -12.7% stock movement within this specific timeframe for Tandy Leather Factory (TLF). Publicly available information, including earnings reports for Q3 2025, covers financial performance and operational updates up to September 30, 2025, and some news up to early December 2025, but does not indicate a -12.7% stock decline for the specified future period.

1. No reported -12.7% stock movement for the specified future period.

2. Recent financial reports for TLF include Q3 2025 results.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TLF Return-47%0%42%0%12%-21%-34%
Peers Return76%51%-14%11%9%-3%168%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLF Win Rate8%0%25%42%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate62%68%43%57%48%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLF Max Drawdown-48%0%0%-6%-7%-25% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-11%-38%-25%-26%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-43.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven75.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven898 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-55.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven417.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1583 days1480 days

Compare to TSCO, ULTA, CHWY, BBWI, WINA


In The Past

Tandy Leather Factory's stock fell -43.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 9/7/2022. A -43.1% loss requires a 75.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tandy Leather Factory (TLF)

Better Bets than Tandy Leather Factory (TLF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TLF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tandy Leather Factory

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TLFTSCOULTACHWYBBWIWINAMedian
NameTandy Le.Tractor .Ulta Bea.Chewy Bath & B.Winmark  
Mkt Price2.6954.07544.5233.9519.01430.1644.01
Mkt Cap0.028.624.514.14.01.59.0
Rev LTM7515,39911,65512,3457,370859,512
Op Inc LTM01,4881,5951631,26254712
FCF LTM-795295246378345623
FCF 3Y Avg-076997235475544554
CFO LTM-11,8281,2966111,00145806
CFO 3Y Avg31,5991,3585071,01644762

Growth & Margins

TLFTSCOULTACHWYBBWIWINAMedian
NameTandy Le.Tractor .Ulta Bea.Chewy Bath & B.Winmark  
Rev Chg LTM-0.4%4.3%2.9%9.2%-0.2%3.3%3.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.9%4.5%7.7%9.1%-1.8%1.6%3.1%
Rev Chg Q2.8%7.2%9.3%8.6%1.5%5.2%6.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%1.7%2.1%2.0%0.3%1.3%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM0.3%9.7%13.7%1.3%17.1%64.3%11.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.9%9.9%14.4%0.7%17.0%64.3%12.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%-0.0%-0.1%0.3%-0.4%-0.9%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM-0.7%11.9%11.1%5.0%13.6%53.0%11.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%10.6%12.1%4.4%13.7%52.7%11.4%
FCF/Rev LTM-9.0%6.2%8.2%3.8%10.6%52.8%7.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.6%5.1%8.7%3.1%10.2%52.4%6.9%

Valuation

TLFTSCOULTACHWYBBWIWINAMedian
NameTandy Le.Tractor .Ulta Bea.Chewy Bath & B.Winmark  
Mkt Cap0.028.624.514.14.01.59.0
P/S0.42.01.81.40.920.91.6
P/EBIT107.620.213.295.94.932.026.1
P/E2.127.317.5116.88.642.822.4
P/CFO-50.016.516.228.96.339.516.4
Total Yield96.9%3.7%5.7%0.9%14.3%4.6%5.1%
Dividend Yield48.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%2.7%2.2%1.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.2%2.9%4.7%2.3%9.9%3.0%2.9%
D/E0.40.20.10.00.80.00.1
Net D/E-0.20.20.1-0.00.70.00.1

Returns

TLFTSCOULTACHWYBBWIWINAMedian
NameTandy Le.Tractor .Ulta Bea.Chewy Bath & B.Winmark  
1M Rtn-12.1%3.5%5.2%3.1%-20.5%6.6%3.3%
3M Rtn-11.5%-9.7%2.5%-16.7%-37.0%-4.9%-10.6%
6M Rtn-14.1%10.5%16.9%-28.2%-27.8%5.1%-4.5%
12M Rtn-8.2%-3.5%37.7%1.0%-46.8%8.6%-1.3%
3Y Rtn-22.2%26.7%15.5%-24.4%-53.3%95.7%-3.3%
1M Excs Rtn-12.1%3.5%5.3%3.2%-20.5%6.7%3.3%
3M Excs Rtn-17.1%-15.8%-2.5%-22.9%-44.9%-13.4%-16.5%
6M Excs Rtn-28.8%-4.2%2.2%-42.9%-42.5%-9.7%-19.2%
12M Excs Rtn-22.6%-16.6%27.3%-11.9%-59.4%-5.7%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.1%-44.4%-53.7%-89.9%-121.7%22.6%-71.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Single Segment7680836475
Total7680836475


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,456
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202525.4%
Average Daily Volume13,175
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity8,494,546
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025812202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024510202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023322202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023515202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022331202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022516202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021331202210-K 12/31/2021
93020211220202110-Q 9/30/2021