Tearsheet

Dillard's (DDS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $648.07 | Market Cap: $10.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Dillard's (DDS)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $648.07
Market Cap: $10.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
Key risks
DDS key risks include [1] inventory management concerns, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
 
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 10%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.8%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 68%
6 Key risks
DDS key risks include [1] inventory management concerns, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DDS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Beat: Dillard's reported its second-quarter earnings on August 14, 2025, which surpassed analyst expectations for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue. The company announced an EPS of $4.66, beating estimates by $0.66, and revenue of $1.54 billion, exceeding projections by $20 million, marking a 2% year-over-year increase. Comparable sales also increased by 1%. This positive performance set a strong tone for the stock as it entered the specified period.

2. Exceptional Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Outperformance: On November 13, 2025, Dillard's once again significantly exceeded analyst consensus estimates for its third-quarter results. The company reported an EPS of $8.31, which was a 29.24% surprise over the estimated $6.43. Quarterly revenue also rose by 2.9% year-over-year to $1.49 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.41 billion. This substantial beat provided a significant boost to the stock price.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DDS Return-13%306%39%32%13%58%1064%
Peers Return-3%36%-17%12%6%31%70%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DDS Win Rate50%75%58%50%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate58%55%38%55%53%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DDS Max Drawdown-69%-12%-19%-15%-18%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-7%-43%-27%-19%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: M, KSS, TJX, ROST, BURL. See DDS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDDSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven207 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven226.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven274 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven519 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1335.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven784 days1,480 days

Compare to TJX, M, KSS, BGO, SBDS


In The Past

Dillard's's stock fell -51.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -51.8% loss requires a 107.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dillard's (DDS)

Better Bets than Dillard's (DDS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DDS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dillard's

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DDSMKSSTJXROSTBURLMedian
NameDillard'sMacy's Kohl's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt. 
Mkt Price647.8123.1322.44155.66182.74268.18169.20
Mkt Cap9.64.82.5160.749.016.913.2
Rev LTM6,62622,71215,75158,97922,02711,19718,889
Op Inc LTM7229085006,6712,624786847
FCF LTM7817978194,4181,963-384808
FCF 3Y Avg7194155704,4761,88576644
CFO LTM8711,5551,2266,4212,7888371,390
CFO 3Y Avg8311,3191,0516,3052,6648711,185

Growth & Margins

DDSMKSSTJXROSTBURLMedian
NameDillard'sMacy's Kohl's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt. 
Rev Chg LTM-1.1%-2.8%-6.1%4.5%3.7%6.8%1.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.8%-4.3%-5.4%6.2%6.0%9.4%2.1%
Rev Chg Q2.7%0.2%-3.6%7.5%10.4%7.1%4.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.6%0.0%-0.8%1.8%2.5%1.6%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM10.9%4.0%3.2%11.3%11.9%7.0%9.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.2%4.4%2.5%10.9%11.7%6.3%8.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.3%-0.1%0.1%-0.1%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM13.1%6.8%7.8%10.9%12.7%7.5%9.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.3%5.7%6.3%11.3%12.8%8.5%9.9%
FCF/Rev LTM11.8%3.5%5.2%7.5%8.9%-3.4%6.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.7%1.8%3.5%8.0%9.0%1.0%5.7%

Valuation

DDSMKSSTJXROSTBURLMedian
NameDillard'sMacy's Kohl's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt. 
Mkt Cap9.64.82.5160.749.016.913.2
P/S1.40.20.22.72.21.51.5
P/EBIT--4.7--20.712.7
P/E16.510.013.031.423.530.120.0
P/CFO11.03.12.025.017.620.214.3
Total Yield10.4%14.1%11.6%4.3%5.3%3.3%7.8%
Dividend Yield4.3%4.1%3.9%1.1%1.1%0.0%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--28.6%--1.2%14.9%
D/E--2.7--0.41.5
Net D/E--2.6--0.31.5

Returns

DDSMKSSTJXROSTBURLMedian
NameDillard'sMacy's Kohl's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt. 
1M Rtn13.4%21.7%41.1%7.2%14.9%-2.2%14.2%
3M Rtn13.4%33.9%30.9%11.5%24.9%2.0%19.2%
6M Rtn69.7%112.8%173.2%27.8%43.4%18.0%56.6%
12M Rtn55.0%45.0%64.1%28.1%22.5%-7.9%36.5%
3Y Rtn153.9%29.1%8.6%109.0%65.7%44.3%55.0%
1M Excs Rtn12.7%21.0%40.4%6.5%14.2%-3.0%13.4%
3M Excs Rtn10.9%31.0%28.5%10.2%24.0%-0.1%17.5%
6M Excs Rtn57.3%100.4%160.8%15.4%31.0%5.6%44.2%
12M Excs Rtn48.7%35.4%51.8%15.1%9.3%-18.6%25.3%
3Y Excs Rtn71.3%-48.5%-64.9%37.6%-6.2%-31.3%-18.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail Operations6,4806,7026,3754,1606,012
Construction321169118141191
Service charges and other income122125131132140
Elimination of intersegment revenues-48    
Total6,8746,9966,6244,4336,343


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail Operations3,3783,2743,2003,0393,387
Construction7155465443
Total3,4493,3293,2463,0933,430


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity851,939
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-2.2%
Average Daily Volume126,058
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.76
Basic Shares Quantity15,613,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/13/2025-4.4%-10.2%2.5%
8/14/20253.4%1.6%17.7%
5/15/20252.4%3.0%0.9%
2/25/2025-4.2%-19.3%-19.6%
11/14/2024-1.4%0.2%4.2%
8/15/20241.2%-0.7%0.8%
5/16/20240.7%2.0%-2.0%
2/26/20240.5%-4.6%1.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive191717
# Negative577
Median Positive3.4%5.8%10.4%
Median Negative-1.6%-9.7%-13.8%
Max Positive22.7%26.8%59.1%
Max Negative-4.4%-19.3%-21.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251205202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025905202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025606202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025328202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241206202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024906202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024607202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024329202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023327202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221202202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/29/2022