Tearsheet

Dillard's (DDS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $685.99 | Market Cap: $10.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Dillard's (DDS)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $685.99
Market Cap: $10.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 6.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 12%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
  
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 6.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 12%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -10%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 44%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DDS Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate 28.6% stock movement for Dillard's (DDS) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Beat. Dillard's reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 13, 2025, significantly exceeding analyst expectations. The company announced an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $8.31, surpassing the consensus estimate of $6.43 by $1.88. Quarterly revenue also rose 2.9% year-over-year to $1.49 billion, outperforming analyst estimates of $1.41 billion. 2. Significant Dividend Declarations. On November 20, 2025, Dillard's announced a substantial special dividend of $30.00 per share on its Class A and Class B Common Stock. Additionally, the company declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.30 per share. These declarations typically indicate strong financial health and a commitment to returning value to shareholders, which can positively impact stock price. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DDS Return-13%306%39%32%13%58%1062%
Peers Return-7%34%-12%9%-6%30%47%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DDS Win Rate50%75%58%50%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate37%38%22%33%30%41% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DDS Max Drawdown-69%-12%-19%-15%-18%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-3%-23%-16%-15%-20% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TJX, M, KSS, BGO, SBDS. See DDS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDDSS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-51.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven107.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven207 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-69.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven226.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven274 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-43.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven77.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven519 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-93.0%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1335.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven784 days1480 days

Compare to TJX, M, KSS, BGO, SBDS


In The Past

Dillard's's stock fell -51.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -51.8% loss requires a 107.6% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Dillard's (DDS)

Better Bets than Dillard's (DDS)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DDS. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dillard's

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DDSTJXMKSSBGOSBDSMedian
NameDillard'sTJX Comp.Macy's Kohl's Bialgo C.Solo Bra. 
Mkt Price684.96150.0622.4622.97-7.6522.97
Mkt Cap10.7167.36.12.6--8.4
Rev LTM6,58657,92522,70215,886-40715,886
Op Inc LTM7166,476849521--39716
FCF LTM7714,041603480--67603
FCF 3Y Avg7494,358406543-6543
CFO LTM8585,9351,396907--51907
CFO 3Y Avg8626,1451,3831,050-181,050

Growth & Margins

DDSTJXMKSSBGOSBDSMedian
NameDillard'sTJX Comp.Macy's Kohl's Bialgo C.Solo Bra. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.4%4.1%-3.4%-7.2%--17.3%-3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.7%5.3%-4.5%-5.6%--3.5%-3.5%
Rev Chg Q1.4%6.9%-1.9%-5.0%--29.9%-1.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.3%1.6%-0.4%-1.2%--8.8%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM10.9%11.2%3.7%3.3%--9.5%3.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.5%10.7%4.6%2.7%--0.6%4.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.2%-0.1%0.0%--1.2%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM13.0%10.2%6.1%5.7%--12.5%6.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.7%11.2%5.9%6.2%-2.5%6.2%
FCF/Rev LTM11.7%7.0%2.7%3.0%--16.4%3.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg11.1%8.0%1.7%3.2%--0.0%3.2%

Valuation

DDSTJXMKSSBGOSBDSMedian
NameDillard'sTJX Comp.Macy's Kohl's Bialgo C.Solo Bra. 
Mkt Cap10.7167.36.12.6--8.4
P/S1.02.40.10.1--0.6
P/EBIT8.820.64.21.7--6.5
P/E11.327.76.44.6--8.9
P/CFO7.623.22.31.0--4.9
Total Yield15.2%4.9%21.8%36.5%--18.5%
Dividend Yield6.3%1.3%6.2%14.6%--6.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12.3%3.7%10.6%31.9%--11.4%
D/E0.10.11.77.2--0.9
Net D/E-0.10.11.57.0--0.8

Returns

DDSTJXMKSSBGOSBDSMedian
NameDillard'sTJX Comp.Macy's Kohl's Bialgo C.Solo Bra. 
1M Rtn13.8%7.2%12.6%40.1%--49.0%12.6%
3M Rtn22.4%7.9%39.5%44.9%--27.1%22.4%
6M Rtn71.6%17.9%101.4%188.5%--86.5%
12M Rtn64.3%21.8%43.3%61.4%--52.4%
3Y Rtn126.0%95.1%9.0%-7.4%--52.0%
1M Excs Rtn13.8%7.2%12.7%40.1%--49.0%12.7%
3M Excs Rtn14.6%1.4%26.3%34.5%--40.5%14.6%
6M Excs Rtn56.9%3.2%86.7%173.8%--71.8%
12M Excs Rtn50.4%7.3%31.9%50.9%--41.2%
3Y Excs Rtn50.0%22.7%-62.3%-79.5%---19.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail Operations6,4806,7026,3754,1606,012
Construction321214118141191
Service charges and other income122125131132140
Elimination of intersegment revenues-48-45   
Total6,8746,9966,6244,4336,343


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Retail Operations3,3783,2743,2003,0393,387
Construction7155465443
Total3,4493,3293,2463,0933,430


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity871,448
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120257.2%
Average Daily Volume140,329
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.21
Basic Shares Quantity15,622,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025905202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025606202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025328202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241206202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024906202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024607202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024329202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231207202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023901202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023602202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023327202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221202202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022901202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022603202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022329202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211203202110-Q 10/30/2021