Tearsheet

Upbound (UPBD)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $17.655 | Market Cap: $1.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Computer & Electronics Retail

Upbound (UPBD)


Market Price (12/25/2025): $17.655
Market Cap: $1.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Computer & Electronics Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 14%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 172%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
  Key risks
UPBD key risks include [1] its substantial debt load and restrictive covenants, Show more.
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), and Platform as a Service (PaaS).
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 17%, Dividend Yield is 8.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 13%, FCF Yield is 14%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -31%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cloud Computing. Themes include Hybrid Cloud Solutions, Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS), and Platform as a Service (PaaS).
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -88%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -88%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 172%
5 Key risks
UPBD key risks include [1] its substantial debt load and restrictive covenants, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UPBD Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

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1. Recent Negative Stock Performance. Leading up to late December 2025, Upbound Group (UPBD) experienced a consistent downward trend, with the stock falling for seven consecutive days and declining by 8.17% in the 10 days leading up to December 19, 2025.

2. Projected Continued Decline based on Short-Term Trends. As of December 19, 2025, the stock was caught in a broad and decreasing short-term trend, with an analytical forecast predicting a further decline of approximately 27.76% over the subsequent three months.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -26.3% change in UPBD stock from 9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -19.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
924202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)23.9517.66-26.25%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4481.994577.842.14%
Net Income Margin (%)2.28%1.85%-19.01%
P/E Multiple13.2611.85-10.58%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)56.5356.70-0.30%
Cumulative Contribution-26.25%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/24/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
UPBD-26.3% 
Market (SPY)4.4%49.0%
Sector (XLY)2.3%63.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -25.2% change in UPBD stock from 6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -32.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
625202512242025Change
Stock Price ($)23.6217.66-25.23%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4400.964577.844.02%
Net Income Margin (%)2.74%1.85%-32.65%
P/E Multiple10.9611.858.17%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)55.9556.70-1.35%
Cumulative Contribution-25.24%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/25/2025 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
UPBD-25.2% 
Market (SPY)14.0%45.4%
Sector (XLY)15.3%58.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The -36.6% change in UPBD stock from 12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -36.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1224202412242025Change
Stock Price ($)27.8417.66-36.56%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4259.434577.847.48%
Net Income Margin (%)1.91%1.85%-3.25%
P/E Multiple18.7411.85-36.76%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)54.7056.70-3.66%
Cumulative Contribution-36.64%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/24/2024 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
UPBD-36.6% 
Market (SPY)15.8%47.3%
Sector (XLY)5.3%54.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The -8.1% change in UPBD stock from 12/25/2022 to 12/24/2025 was primarily driven by a -78.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1225202212242025Change
Stock Price ($)19.2317.66-8.15%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)4426.364577.843.42%
Net Income Margin (%)0.44%1.85%318.43%
P/E Multiple54.5411.85-78.27%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)55.3856.70-2.39%
Cumulative Contribution-8.20%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/25/2023 to 12/24/2025
ReturnCorrelation
UPBD-41.8% 
Market (SPY)48.9%44.9%
Sector (XLY)38.7%48.8%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UPBD Return40%28%-50%58%-10%-35%-18%
Peers Return�-45%-67%14%0%-16%�
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%115%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UPBD Win Rate75%58%42%58%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate62%33%33%46%46%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UPBD Max Drawdown-58%-0%-62%-1%-19%-42% 
Peers Max Drawdown�-51%-75%-33%-30%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PRG, KPLT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/24/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUPBDS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-73.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven272.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven157.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven135 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-46.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven87.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven108 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-61.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven158.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven780 days1,480 days

Compare to BBY, GME, UPBD

In The Past

Upbound's stock fell -73.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/27/2021. A -73.1% loss requires a 272.3% gain to breakeven.

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About Upbound (UPBD)

Rent-A-Center, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, leases household durable goods to customers on a lease-to-own basis. The company operates in four segments: Rent-A-Center Business, Acima, Mexico, and Franchising. It offers furniture and accessories, appliances, consumer electronics, computers, tablets and smartphones, tools, tires, handbags, and other accessories under rental purchase agreements. The company also provides merchandise on an installment sales basis; and the lease-to-own transaction to consumers who do not qualify for financing from the traditional retailer through kiosks located within retailer's locations. It operates retail installment sales stores under the Get It Now and Home Choice names; lease-to-own and franchised lease-to-own stores under the Rent-A-Centre, ColorTyme, and RimTyme names; and rentacenter.com, an e-commerce platform. As of December 31, 2021, the company owned and operated approximately 1,846 stores in the United States and Puerto Rico, including 45 retail installment sales stores; 35 Acima staffed locations in North Carolina; and 123 stores in Mexico, as well as franchised 466 lease-to-own stores in 32 states. Rent-A-Center, Inc. was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

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Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Upbound:

  • Upbound is the Terraform for Kubernetes infrastructure.
  • Upbound is the VMware for cloud infrastructure in Kubernetes.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Upbound KOTS (Kubernetes Off-The-Shelf): A software platform that empowers vendors to distribute, manage, and update their Kubernetes applications for on-premise, air-gapped, and hybrid cloud customer environments.
  • Embedded Cluster: A solution enabling software vendors to package and deploy a complete, lightweight Kubernetes cluster alongside their application for simplified customer installation.
  • Troubleshoot.sh: An open-source framework and tool used for collecting diagnostics and debugging Kubernetes applications in complex customer environments.
  • Professional Services & Support: Services offering expert assistance for implementing, customizing, and providing ongoing support for Upbound's application delivery solutions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Upbound (symbol: UPBD) primarily sells its cloud-native computing solutions and products built around Crossplane to other companies, making it a Business-to-Business (B2B) company.

Based on their publicly available information, including customer case studies and testimonials on their official website, major customers include large enterprises across various sectors. While specific revenue contributions from individual customers are not disclosed, the following are prominent examples of companies that utilize Upbound's offerings for their cloud infrastructure and operations:

  • ADP (Automatic Data Processing) - Symbol: ADP
  • ServiceNow - Symbol: NOW
  • T-Mobile US, Inc. - Symbol: TMUS
  • UBS Group AG - Symbol: UBS
  • Deutsche Telekom AG - Symbol: DTEGY (ADR)

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Fahmi Karam, Chief Executive Officer

Fahmi Karam was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Upbound Group, Inc. effective June 1, 2025. He joined Upbound in October 2022, and previously served as the Chief Financial Officer of Santander Consumer USA since September 2019. Prior to that, he held roles as Santander’s Head of Pricing and Analytics from May 2018 to September 2019 and as Executive Vice President, Strategy and Corporate Development from September 2015 to May 2018. Mr. Karam has over 20 years of experience in finance and accounting.

Hal Khouri, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Hal Khouri will join Upbound Group, Inc. as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective November 10, 2025. He brings over 30 years of experience in consumer-based banking, financial services, leasing, retail, consulting, and government service. Most recently, he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at goeasy Ltd. from August 2019 through November 2025. Before goeasy, Mr. Khouri held the CFO position at Walmart Canada Bank (now Fairstone Bank of Canada) and JPMorgan Chase Canada Bank, and also held senior roles at MBNA Canada, Deloitte, and the Ontario Ministry of Finance.

Rebecca Wooters, Executive Vice President, Chief Growth Officer

Rebecca Wooters serves as the Executive Vice President and Chief Growth Officer for Upbound Group, Inc. Her role involves leveraging deep experience in digital transformation to align with Upbound's strategic initiatives to expand offerings and optimize customer engagement.

Anthony Blasquez, Executive Vice President, Rent-A-Center Business

Anthony Blasquez is the Executive Vice President of Rent-A-Center Business for Upbound Group, Inc.

Tyler Montrone, Executive Vice President, Acima

Tyler Montrone serves as the Executive Vice President of Acima for Upbound Group, Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Upbound (UPBD) are primarily centered around its substantial debt load, credit stress within its Acima segment, and potential regulatory scrutiny and ongoing litigation.

  1. High Leverage and Debt-Related Risks: Upbound carries a significant amount of debt, leading to high interest expenses and a elevated net leverage ratio compared to its industry peers. This substantial debt creates a risk of permanent losses for shareholders if earnings decline, making it harder for the company to meet its financial obligations. Additionally, covenant agreements with debt holders could restrict Upbound's ability to pursue certain transactions and limit revenue growth opportunities.
  2. Credit Stress in Acima Segment: The Acima segment, a key growth driver for Upbound, faces challenges from rising lease charge-offs and increasingly tighter underwriting standards. These factors are anticipated to slow future gross merchandise volume (GMV) growth and could put pressure on the company's valuation multiples, indicating a risk to profitability stemming from the credit quality of its customer base.
  3. Regulatory Scrutiny and Litigation: The lease-to-own (LTO) industry, in which Upbound operates, is subject to scrutiny from consumer protection regulators. There is a risk of new regulations being introduced, such as caps on cash prices or lease multiples, which could fundamentally alter Upbound's business model. Furthermore, the Acima segment is currently involved in litigation with the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) concerning alleged illegal lending practices.

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Upbound Group, Inc. (symbol: UPBD) operates in the lease-to-own and financial health application markets.

Lease-to-Own Market

The global rent-to-own market was valued at approximately USD 100.92 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 151.65 billion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.63% from 2025 to 2033. North America held a significant portion of the global rent-to-own market, with a market size of USD 37.41 billion in 2024. More specifically, the U.S. rent-to-own market reached USD 12.31 billion in 2023 and is projected to expand to USD 19.39 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6.8%.

Financial Health App Market

The global personal finance mobile app market, which includes financial health applications like Brigit, was valued at USD 101.75 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 675.08 billion by 2032, demonstrating a substantial CAGR of 23.40% during this period. Another estimate for the global financial app market size indicates it was worth USD 2.95 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 10.63 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 15.3% from 2025 to 2033. North America is a key player in this market, holding more than 36.8% of the global personal finance mobile app market share in 2023.

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Upbound Group (UPBD) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategic initiatives and market segment performance:

  1. Continued Growth in the Acima Segment: The Acima segment has consistently demonstrated strong performance, achieving its eighth consecutive quarter of growth in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) and revenue in Q3 2025. This growth is fueled by strategic initiatives focused on increasing repeat business through customer-centric approaches and expanding merchant relationships via digital advancements. The migration to a scalable e-commerce platform and a five-year exclusivity agreement with a significant merchant are expected to further solidify Acima's market position and attract more retailers, creating a "merchant network effect."
  2. Expansion and Product Innovation within Brigit: The Brigit brand, an acquisition by Upbound, is a significant driver of revenue growth, showing a 40.2% increase in Q3 2025. This growth is primarily attributed to a substantial 26.8% rise in paying subscribers and an 11.4% increase in average revenue per user. Brigit's strategy includes maintaining its growth momentum, introducing new products such as a line of credit, and fostering collaboration across the broader Upbound platform, leveraging its scalable fintech capabilities.
  3. Digital Transformation and Operational Efficiencies: Upbound is strategically investing in digital evolution and enhancing operational efficiencies across its segments, including Rent-A-Center. Over 50% of Upbound's revenue now originates from virtual platforms, which aids in reducing overhead and facilitates rapid scaling. Key initiatives include improving the Rent-A-Center website infrastructure and deploying AI-powered tools, such as the AgenTik sales coaching tool, to boost efficiency and maintain service quality. Furthermore, reduced operating labor expenses have contributed positively to the company's operating profit.
  4. Growth in Customer Base and Subscriber Acquisition: A direct driver of revenue growth, particularly for Brigit, is the increase in its paying subscriber base. Upbound employs "test-and-learn" marketing strategies and "Refer a Friend" programs as low-cost yet impactful methods for acquiring new customers across its platforms, thereby expanding its overall customer base.
  5. Strategic Partnerships and Merchant Network Expansion: Beyond the direct performance of its segments, Upbound's focus on expanding its merchant relationships, particularly within Acima, is a critical growth driver. These partnerships are vital for broadening the reach of its accessible financial solutions and are integral to the company's strategy for long-term value creation.

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Share Repurchases

  • Upbound Group authorized a stock repurchase program for up to $500 million in December 2021.
  • As of June 30, 2024, approximately $235.0 million remained available for repurchases under the current authorization, with no repurchases made during the six months ended June 30, 2024 and 2023, nor during the nine months ended September 30, 2025 and 2024.
  • The company repurchased $75 million of shares during the third quarter and October of 2022.

Share Issuance

  • As part of the Acima acquisition in the first half of 2021, approximately 10.8 million shares of Rent-A-Center (now Upbound) common stock, valued at $377 million, were issued.
  • For the Brigit acquisition, which closed in Q1 2025, Upbound issued new shares of common stock to Brigit stockholders, comprising 25% of the $325 million payable at closing.

Outbound Investments

  • In the first half of 2021, Rent-A-Center (now Upbound) acquired Acima Holdings for a total consideration of over $1.6 billion, consisting of $1.27 billion in cash and approximately 10.8 million shares of common stock.
  • Upbound Group completed the acquisition of Brigit, a financial health technology firm, in Q1 2025 for up to $460 million.
  • The Brigit acquisition is aimed at accelerating Upbound's strategy to provide technology-driven financial solutions, enhancing customer insights, and adding cashflow-based underwriting capabilities.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures were -$61.41 million over the last 12 months (as of roughly Q3/Q4 2024).
  • For Q1 2025, capital expenditures amounted to $10.6 million.
  • A primary focus of capital allocation involves investing in the business to elevate current capabilities and develop new digital-first products to better serve customers and merchants.

Better Bets than Upbound (UPBD)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to UPBD. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.3%13.3%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.3%5.3%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.4%3.4%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.7%19.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.8%1.8%-1.6%
UPBD_10312022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG10312022UPBDUpboundDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
32.8%31.5%-5.5%
UPBD_2282022_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG02282022UPBDUpboundDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-1.2%0.9%-36.4%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Upbound

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UPBDPRGKPLTMedian
NameUpbound PROG Katapult  
Mkt Price17.6630.516.5917.66
Mkt Cap1.01.20.01.0
Rev LTM4,5782,5072812,507
Op Inc LTM245413-1245
FCF LTM141296-29141
FCF 3Y Avg151221-24151
CFO LTM202305-28202
CFO 3Y Avg208231-23208

Growth & Margins

UPBDPRGKPLTMedian
NameUpbound PROG Katapult  
Rev Chg LTM7.5%3.7%16.2%7.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.5%-1.5%6.7%1.5%
Rev Chg Q9.0%-1.8%22.8%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%-0.4%5.1%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM5.4%16.5%-0.2%5.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%16.8%-4.0%5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.5%0.2%2.6%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.4%12.2%-9.9%4.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.9%9.4%-9.5%4.9%
FCF/Rev LTM3.1%11.8%-10.4%3.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%9.0%-9.9%3.6%

Valuation

UPBDPRGKPLTMedian
NameUpbound PROG Katapult  
Mkt Cap1.01.20.01.0
P/S0.20.50.10.2
P/EBIT4.15.3-5.24.1
P/E11.97.4-1.27.4
P/CFO5.04.0-1.34.0
Total Yield17.0%15.2%-80.6%15.2%
Dividend Yield8.6%1.7%0.0%1.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.8%15.1%-48.3%9.8%
D/E1.80.53.21.8
Net D/E1.70.33.11.7

Returns

UPBDPRGKPLTMedian
NameUpbound PROG Katapult  
1M Rtn3.2%8.5%8.8%8.5%
3M Rtn-26.3%-11.2%-63.8%-26.3%
6M Rtn-25.2%6.3%-17.6%-17.6%
12M Rtn-36.6%-26.9%27.7%-26.9%
3Y Rtn-8.1%82.7%-68.6%-8.1%
1M Excs Rtn-0.2%5.2%5.5%5.2%
3M Excs Rtn-28.4%-14.6%-66.7%-28.4%
6M Excs Rtn-39.2%-8.5%-30.0%-30.0%
12M Excs Rtn-54.1%-43.1%-5.6%-43.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-87.7%3.0%-149.8%-87.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Acima1,2221,1991,477390 
Rent-A-Center1,0611,0681,027999953
Corporate363427433305227
Mexico5751424234
Franchising1818151511
Preferred Lease    358
Total2,7212,7642,9931,7511,583


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$17.66 
Market Cap ($ Bil)1.0 
First Trading Date01/25/1995 
Distance from 52W High-37.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$18.68$21.81
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-5.4%-19.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility52.3%50.7%
Downside Capture300.53200.72
Upside Capture98.77127.38
Correlation (SPY)48.5%47.2%
UPBD Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.402.052.092.341.211.24
Up Beta1.362.132.442.961.101.38
Down Beta0.201.921.972.100.740.83
Up Capture88%83%77%165%135%170%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days8182859113355
Down Capture192%273%271%244%143%108%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days11233465133388

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of UPBD With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 UPBDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-35.6%8.3%19.2%71.9%8.9%6.0%-10.4%
Annualized Volatility50.5%24.3%19.5%19.3%15.3%17.1%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-0.700.270.782.690.360.18-0.12
Correlation With Other Assets 54.0%47.3%-17.9%12.0%38.5%18.4%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of UPBD With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 UPBDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-8.2%9.8%14.9%18.7%11.7%4.8%32.6%
Annualized Volatility48.5%23.8%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.7%
Sharpe Ratio-0.000.370.700.970.510.170.59
Correlation With Other Assets 48.0%45.1%-2.4%10.8%38.2%19.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of UPBD With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 UPBDSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return5.1%13.1%14.7%14.9%6.9%5.2%69.2%
Annualized Volatility50.2%22.0%18.0%14.8%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.300.550.700.830.310.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 45.4%44.2%-0.8%16.4%37.8%12.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,071,529
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-1.0%
Average Daily Volume730,709
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.57
Basic Shares Quantity56,703,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-16.3%-14.1%-21.8%
7/31/2025-15.3%-10.7%6.2%
5/1/202519.1%16.3%15.3%
2/20/2025-5.0%-6.6%-15.4%
10/31/20248.0%25.9%27.0%
8/1/2024-6.8%-15.8%-11.6%
5/2/2024-3.9%2.9%3.8%
2/22/20245.7%4.3%6.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141415
# Negative10109
Median Positive4.9%9.0%15.1%
Median Negative-4.9%-6.0%-12.4%
Max Positive19.1%25.9%51.9%
Max Negative-16.3%-15.8%-39.5%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024225202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241031202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022224202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021228202210-K 12/31/2021