Stitch Fix (SFIX)
Market Price (9/7/2026): $3.035 | Market Cap: $410.7 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Stitch Fix (SFIX)
Market Price (9/7/2026): $3.035Market Cap: $410.7 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.1% Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9% Key risksSFIX key risks include [1] a significant and consistent decline in its active client base and revenue, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -27% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -102% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.1% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.5% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.9% |
| Key risksSFIX key risks include [1] a significant and consistent decline in its active client base and revenue, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Updated on 9/1/2026
Stitch Fix (SFIX) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Continued year-over-year decline in active clients raises growth concerns.
While Stitch Fix reported a sequential increase of 0.9% in active clients quarter-over-quarter for fiscal Q3 2026 (which ended on May 2, 2026, as the company's fiscal year ends on the Saturday closest to July 31), the active client base still decreased by 1.9% year-over-year to 2.309 million. This persistent year-over-year decline indicates ongoing challenges in attracting and retaining customers, fueling investor apprehension about the company's long-term growth prospects.
2. Cautious revenue guidance for fiscal Q4 2026.
Despite exceeding revenue expectations for fiscal Q3 2026, Stitch Fix issued a more conservative revenue outlook for fiscal Q4 2026 (ending August 1, 2026), projecting between $322 million and $327 million. This modest forecast, following the positive Q3 results, may have tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to a downward reassessment of the stock's immediate future performance.
Show more
Stitch Fix (SFIX) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Continued year-over-year decline in active clients raises growth concerns.
While Stitch Fix reported a sequential increase of 0.9% in active clients quarter-over-quarter for fiscal Q3 2026 (which ended on May 2, 2026, as the company's fiscal year ends on the Saturday closest to July 31), the active client base still decreased by 1.9% year-over-year to 2.309 million. This persistent year-over-year decline indicates ongoing challenges in attracting and retaining customers, fueling investor apprehension about the company's long-term growth prospects.
2. Cautious revenue guidance for fiscal Q4 2026.
Despite exceeding revenue expectations for fiscal Q3 2026, Stitch Fix issued a more conservative revenue outlook for fiscal Q4 2026 (ending August 1, 2026), projecting between $322 million and $327 million. This modest forecast, following the positive Q3 results, may have tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to a downward reassessment of the stock's immediate future performance.
Show more
Updated on 9/1/2026
Stitch Fix (SFIX) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Continued year-over-year decline in active clients raises growth concerns.
While Stitch Fix reported a sequential increase of 0.9% in active clients quarter-over-quarter for fiscal Q3 2026 (which ended on May 2, 2026, as the company's fiscal year ends on the Saturday closest to July 31), the active client base still decreased by 1.9% year-over-year to 2.309 million. This persistent year-over-year decline indicates ongoing challenges in attracting and retaining customers, fueling investor apprehension about the company's long-term growth prospects.
2. Cautious revenue guidance for fiscal Q4 2026.
Despite exceeding revenue expectations for fiscal Q3 2026, Stitch Fix issued a more conservative revenue outlook for fiscal Q4 2026 (ending August 1, 2026), projecting between $322 million and $327 million. This modest forecast, following the positive Q3 results, may have tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to a downward reassessment of the stock's immediate future performance.
3. Analyst downgrades and revised price targets signal caution.
Several analysts maintained a cautious stance or revised their outlook for Stitch Fix during the period. For example, on September 2, 2026, UBS lowered its price target for Stitch Fix from $4.50 to $4.00, while reiterating a "Neutral" rating, citing "still-negative year-over-year active-client growth and higher promotional activity" as downside risks. Similarly, Mizuho reiterated an "Underperform" rating and a $3.00 price target due to rising costs, despite the positive fiscal Q3 2026 financial results. This sustained cautiousness and downward adjustment of price targets by brokerages likely contributed to the stock's negative movement.
Show less
Stitch Fix (SFIX) stock has lost about 15% since 5/31/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Continued year-over-year decline in active clients raises growth concerns.
While Stitch Fix reported a sequential increase of 0.9% in active clients quarter-over-quarter for fiscal Q3 2026 (which ended on May 2, 2026, as the company's fiscal year ends on the Saturday closest to July 31), the active client base still decreased by 1.9% year-over-year to 2.309 million. This persistent year-over-year decline indicates ongoing challenges in attracting and retaining customers, fueling investor apprehension about the company's long-term growth prospects.
2. Cautious revenue guidance for fiscal Q4 2026.
Despite exceeding revenue expectations for fiscal Q3 2026, Stitch Fix issued a more conservative revenue outlook for fiscal Q4 2026 (ending August 1, 2026), projecting between $322 million and $327 million. This modest forecast, following the positive Q3 results, may have tempered investor enthusiasm and contributed to a downward reassessment of the stock's immediate future performance.
3. Analyst downgrades and revised price targets signal caution.
Several analysts maintained a cautious stance or revised their outlook for Stitch Fix during the period. For example, on September 2, 2026, UBS lowered its price target for Stitch Fix from $4.50 to $4.00, while reiterating a "Neutral" rating, citing "still-negative year-over-year active-client growth and higher promotional activity" as downside risks. Similarly, Mizuho reiterated an "Underperform" rating and a $3.00 price target due to rising costs, despite the positive fiscal Q3 2026 financial results. This sustained cautiousness and downward adjustment of price targets by brokerages likely contributed to the stock's negative movement.
Show less
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -14.3% change in SFIX stock from 5/31/2026 to 9/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -15.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312026 | 9062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.56 | 3.05 | -14.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,320 | 1,335 | 1.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.4 | 0.3 | -15.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 135 | 135 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -14.3% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2026 to 9/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SFIX | -14.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 1.8% | 31.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.9% | 51.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -8.4% change in SFIX stock from 2/28/2026 to 9/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -10.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 9062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.33 | 3.05 | -8.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,290 | 1,335 | 3.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | -10.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 133 | 135 | -1.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -8.4% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 9/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SFIX | -8.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 30.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | -1.5% | 47.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -42.3% change in SFIX stock from 8/31/2025 to 9/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -42.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 8312025 | 9062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.29 | 3.05 | -42.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,275 | 1,335 | 4.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.3 | -42.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 130 | 135 | -4.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -42.3% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 9/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SFIX | -42.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.4% | 36.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | -0.3% | 45.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.5% change in SFIX stock from 8/31/2023 to 9/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -19.3% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 8312023 | 9062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 4.39 | 3.05 | -30.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,655 | 1,335 | -19.3% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 115 | 135 | -14.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.5% |
Market Drivers
8/31/2023 to 9/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SFIX | -30.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 77.1% | 40.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | 37.7% | 44.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SFIX Return | -68% | -84% | 15% | 21% | 22% | -42% | -95% |
| Peers Return | -8% | -64% | 15% | 108% | 87% | -33% | -2% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 106% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SFIX Win Rate | 25% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 22% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 43% | 27% | 45% | 45% | 58% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 56% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SFIX Max Drawdown | -83% | -86% | -50% | -55% | -50% | -47% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -76% | -55% | -54% | -48% | -51% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RENT, TDUP, REAL, RVLV, URBN. See SFIX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/4/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SFIX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 102 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 91 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -40.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Stitch Fix's stock fell -49.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 96.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
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| Event | SFIX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.1% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 96.4% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -25.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.6% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 102 days | 18 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -26.9% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.8% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 21 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -38.8% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 63.3% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 31 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 149.0% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 91 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -40.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Stitch Fix's stock fell -49.1% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 96.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Stitch Fix (SFIX)
Stitch Fix (SFIX) operates as an online personal styling service, selling a diverse range of apparel, shoes, and accessories. The company leverages its website and mobile application to deliver a curated shopping experience, aiming to simplify fashion discovery for its users.
Under the Stitch Fix brand, its product catalog includes various items such as denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags. Stitch Fix serves a wide demographic, targeting men, women, and children primarily within the United States market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Stitch Fix:
- Netflix for clothes.
- Warby Parker for clothes.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Apparel: A personalized selection of clothing items including denim, dresses, blouses, and skirts for men, women, and kids.
- Footwear: A curated range of shoes available for men, women, and kids.
- Accessories: Complementary items such as jewelry and handbags.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Stitch Fix (SFIX) primarily sells directly to individual consumers rather than to other businesses. Based on its business model as a personal styling service, its major customer categories are:
- Women: Individuals seeking personalized apparel, shoes, and accessories tailored to their style, size, and preferences.
- Men: Individuals looking for personalized clothing and accessories for menswear through a curated styling service.
- Kids: Parents or guardians seeking curated apparel and accessories for children, often focused on convenience and discovery of new styles.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Matt Baer, Chief Executive Officer
Matt Baer was named Chief Executive Officer of Stitch Fix in June 2023. He brings extensive retail leadership experience, having served as Chief Customer & Digital Officer at Macy's, Inc. and Vice President of eCommerce at Walmart.com. Earlier in his career, Baer founded a digital marketplace and held executive positions at two retail startups. He began his professional career as an attorney.
David Aufderhaar, Chief Financial Officer
David Aufderhaar was appointed Chief Financial Officer in April 2023, having joined Stitch Fix in May 2019 as the VP of Finance. Prior to his tenure at Stitch Fix, he spent four years at Twitter as VP of Finance, with responsibilities across Corporate Finance, FP&A, and Deal Analytics. He has also held Finance leadership roles at Visa, Y&R Inc, and Proudfoot Consulting, working in both the US and EMEA markets.
Tony Bacos, Chief Product & Technology Officer
Tony Bacos joined Stitch Fix in November 2023 as Chief Product & Technology Officer. He is responsible for the company's product and engineering strategy, as well as machine learning, UX design, cybersecurity, and corporate IT. He has over 25 years of experience building digital products and solutions for companies such as Amazon, Nike, Blue Cross, Frontdoor and Symantec.
Casey O'Connor, Chief Legal Officer
Casey O'Connor is the Chief Legal Officer at Stitch Fix, leading the company's Legal and Indirect Procurement teams. He joined Stitch Fix as its first in-house lawyer in 2016. Before his role as CLO, Casey was the company's Deputy General Counsel. Prior to Stitch Fix, he served as in-house counsel at Yelp Inc. and was an attorney at the law firm Latham & Watkins LLP.
Lillian Reaume, Chief People Officer
Lillian Reaume is the Chief People Officer at Stitch Fix, overseeing all people-related functions including talent management, leadership development, DEI, compensation and benefits, and employee experience. She most recently served as Chief People Officer at Rubrik, a cybersecurity company. Earlier in her career, she held leadership positions at Blackberry and Ford Motor Company.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Stitch Fix (SFIX):
- Intense Competition and Declining Active Client Base: Stitch Fix operates in a highly competitive and cyclical retail apparel market, facing numerous players offering similar personalized styling services. This intense competition has contributed to a consistent decline in its active client base, raising concerns about the long-term sustainability of its growth strategy. The company has struggled to retain existing customers and attract new ones in a crowded market, leading to a weakening customer base over recent quarters.
- Changing Consumer Spending Patterns and Macroeconomic Factors: Stitch Fix is susceptible to broader macroeconomic volatility and shifts in consumer spending habits, particularly in the discretionary apparel sector. Factors such as rising gas prices and overall consumer sentiment can significantly impact discretionary spending on clothing, posing a risk to the company's revenue and growth.
- High Operational Costs and Profitability Challenges: The company's business model, which relies on a combination of human stylists and complex inventory management, often leads to high operational costs. This has contributed to challenges in achieving sustainable profitability, with Stitch Fix experiencing negative operating and net margins and struggles in generating free cash flow.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Amazon's aggressive and increasingly sophisticated expansion into personalized online fashion retail, particularly through services like "Try Before You Buy" (formerly Prime Wardrobe) and "Personal Shopper by Prime Wardrobe." These offerings directly compete with Stitch Fix's core model of curated apparel delivery by providing a similar convenience (try at home, free returns), personalization, and discovery experience, but backed by Amazon's immense scale, logistical network, vast selection, competitive pricing, and deep integration with its Prime ecosystem. This continuous evolution and leveraging of its established advantages by a market behemoth pose a clear and emerging threat to Stitch Fix's market share and unique value proposition.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Stitch Fix's main products and services, primarily focused in the U.S., are substantial:
- For online personal styling services, the North American market was approximately $35.15 billion in 2023.
- The U.S. e-commerce apparel market generated a revenue of approximately $114.79 billion in 2021 and is projected to reach about $245.19 billion by 2030.
- The U.S. online footwear market is estimated to be approximately $34.97 billion in 2025.
- The U.S. e-commerce fashion accessories market is projected to reach approximately $75.81 billion by 2030.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Stitch Fix (SFIX) over the next 2-3 years:
- Increased Average Order Value (AOV) through "Larger Fixes" and Enhanced Assortment: Stitch Fix aims to drive revenue growth by increasing its average order value. This is being achieved by offering "Larger Fixes" that include more items than the traditional five, and by focusing on a "trend and style right assortment" that resonates more deeply with clients. This strategy has already led to a notable increase in average order value.
- Strategic Category Expansion: The company is expanding its product offerings into new and adjacent categories such as footwear, accessories, activewear, athleisure, outerwear, and denim. This expansion is designed to capture a larger share of clients' wallets and has shown strong growth in these categories.
- AI-Driven Personalization and Client Engagement: Stitch Fix is investing in and leveraging advanced AI technology, including features like "Stitch Fix Vision" and an "AI Style Assistant." These tools are designed to enhance the personalized shopping experience, deepen client engagement, and improve overall unit economics, ultimately leading to increased client spend and loyalty. Management reports significant lifts in Freestyle spend for clients engaging with these AI features.
- Improvements in Active Client Retention and Acquisition: While active client numbers have seen declines, Stitch Fix is focused on narrowing these losses and returning to profitable active client growth. Efforts include improving client experience, re-engagement strategies, and driving new client growth, with expectations for sequential net client additions in upcoming quarters. The growth in revenue per active client (RPAC) also indicates increased engagement and spend from the existing client base.
- Continued Growth in Men's Business and Freestyle Channel: Both the Men's business and the Freestyle channel have demonstrated consistent revenue growth. The Freestyle channel, which allows clients to directly purchase items, alongside a focus on the Men's segment, represents a significant avenue for future revenue expansion.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- Stitch Fix's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $150 million of its Class A common stock on January 6, 2022.
- As of June 11, 2025, the company had repurchased 2,302,141 shares for $30 million under the buyback program announced in January 2022.
- The share repurchase program does not have an expiration date and may be modified, suspended, or terminated at any time.
Share Issuance
- Stitch Fix's shares outstanding increased from 0.108 billion in October 2021 to 0.133 billion in October 2025.
- The number of shares outstanding increased by 6.16% in one year, as of March 13, 2026.
- Stock-based compensation is a factor contributing to potential share dilution and can impact GAAP profitability negatively.
Outbound Investments
- Stitch Fix has acquired Finery.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for the first six months of fiscal year 2026, which ended January 31, 2026, amounted to $9.3 million.
- These capital expenditures were primarily focused on technology and infrastructure enhancements.
- Analysts project $15 million in combined capital expenditures and working capital increases annually over the long term.
Peer Outperformance in Apparel Retail
SFIX has trailed 92% of its 24 Apparel Retail peers over 5Y. Apparel Retail ranks 12th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Apparel Retail constituents that SFIX has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
11%
of 27 industry peers · -46.0% return
3Y
37%
of 27 industry peers · -24.5% return
5Y
8%
of 24 industry peers · -92.6% return
No Apparel Retail peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten SFIX by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Apparel Retail is SFIX's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education Services | 14 | -15.4% | 95.2% | 70.9% | LINC 307% · CVSA 244% · PRDO 230% |
| Homebuilding | 18 | -11.3% | 20.3% | 42.7% | GRBK 192% · PHM 148% · TOL 135% |
| Automotive Retail | 18 | -15.9% | 16.0% | 19.1% | MUSA 241% · PAG 187% · ORLY 127% |
| Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | 22 | 14.7% | 54.0% | 10.4% | RCL 235% · MAR 162% · HLT 156% |
| Home Improvement Retail | 5 | -22.7% | -7.1% | 9.8% | HVT 12% · HD 11% · LOW 10% |
| Specialty Stores | 7 | -7.6% | 34.6% | 8.9% | FIVE 37% · SIG 17% · DKS 16% |
| Distributors | 4 | -7.5% | -21.7% | -4.7% | ARMK 144% · GPC 33% · LKQ -42% |
| Home Furnishings | 4 | -6.4% | 26.5% | -11.6% | SGI 62% · LZB 7% · MHK -30% |
| Restaurants | 34 | -10.5% | -11.2% | -12.0% | EAT 342% · CAKE 169% · RAVE 138% |
| Specialized Consumer Services | 10 | -11.7% | 38.2% | -12.3% | HRB 128% · FTDR 85% · SCI 42% |
| Footwear | 9 | 47.3% | 38.0% | -13.8% | WEYS 164% · DECK 26% · SHOO 24% |
| Apparel Retail ← | 25 | -4.5% | 15.0% | -24.2% | ANF 335% · DXLG 213% · URBN 154% |
| Leisure Products | 13 | -17.2% | -16.3% | -31.4% | GOLF 88% · HAS 13% · MCFT -6% |
| Automotive Parts & Equipment | 38 | -10.1% | -1.2% | -33.9% | MOD 1530% · GTX 293% · STRT 99% |
| Leisure Facilities | 11 | 2.9% | -9.5% | -34.5% | OSW 122% · JAKK 97% · ESCA 17% |
| Casinos & Gaming | 20 | -11.8% | -23.0% | -35.7% | MCRI 107% · RSI 61% · RRR 53% |
| Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods | 27 | -2.7% | 2.6% | -37.9% | RL 244% · TPR 240% · ELA 227% |
| Household Appliances | 18 | 14.4% | 38.0% | -42.4% | KEQU 174% · FLXS 161% · HBB 119% |
| Broadline Retail | 14 | -10.4% | 20.7% | -52.5% | DDS 318% · EBAY 51% · AMZN 47% |
| Computer & Electronics Retail | 3 | -15.3% | 1.4% | -59.6% | BBY 2% · UPBD -60% · GME -61% |
| Automobile Manufacturers | 8 | -63.7% | -45.0% | -70.0% | GM 88% · F 54% · TSLA 41% |
| Other Specialty Retail | 18 | -26.6% | -43.9% | -75.8% | TLF 109% · BBW 97% · WINA 76% |
| Consumer Electronics | 11 | 1.8% | -7.7% | -80.4% | AXIL 2336% · GRMN 76% · MSN -57% |
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Stitch Fix Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Stitch Fix Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 | |
| Stitch Fix (SFIX) Net Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Stitch Fix (SFIX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Stitch Fix (SFIX) EBITDA Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Stitch Fix (SFIX) Debt Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Stitch Fix (SFIX) Operating Income Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Stitch Fix (SFIX) Tax Expense Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Stitch Fix (SFIX) Revenue Comparison | 08/08/2025 | |
| Day 6 of Gains Streak for Stitch Fix Stock with 26% Return (vs. 22% YTD) [7/23/2025] | 07/24/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| SFIX Stock Up 26% after 6-Day Win Streak | 07/24/2025 | |
| SFIX Stock Up 22% after 5-Day Win Streak | 07/23/2025 |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 6.83 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,030 |
| Op Inc LTM | -15 |
| FCF LTM | 21 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 10 |
| CFO LTM | 40 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 26 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 27.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 35.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -6.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.8% |
Price Behavior
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $3.05 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/17/2017 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -47.7% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $3.72 | $3.96 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -18.0% | -23.1% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 73.5% | 65.0% |
| Downside Capture | 283.70 | 294.71 |
| Upside Capture | 176.69 | 162.18 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 30.8% | 36.0% |
SFIX Betas & Captures as of 8/31/2026
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.52 | 1.26 | 1.73 | 1.42 | 1.86 | 2.12 |
| Up Beta | 2.60 | -1.70 | 1.38 | 1.12 | 0.99 | 1.70 |
| Down Beta | -1.39 | -0.42 | 0.36 | 0.82 | 1.55 | 1.65 |
| Up Capture | 57% | 173% | 223% | 161% | 239% | 3713% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 10 | 21 | 32 | 68 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 17 | 26 | 56 | 119 | 364 |
| Down Capture | 657% | 379% | 232% | 170% | 175% | 113% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 32 | 59 | 113 | 324 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 126 | 369 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SFIX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFIX | -45.8% | 64.8% | -0.68 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | -1.7% | 19.4% | -0.21 | 45.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 19.7% | 12.8% | 1.13 | 36.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.6% | 29.2% | 0.75 | 9.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 43.8% | 20.3% | 1.67 | -16.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 9.1% | 13.6% | 0.39 | 19.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -28.1% | 43.8% | -0.63 | 19.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SFIX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFIX | -41.2% | 86.7% | -0.22 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 5.6% | 24.1% | 0.19 | 50.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.8% | 17.2% | 0.57 | 44.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 19.1% | 18.8% | 0.82 | 6.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.7% | 19.5% | 0.43 | 6.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.7% | 18.9% | -0.01 | 37.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 10.2% | 52.6% | 0.38 | 25.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SFIX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFIX | -15.0% | 83.1% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.1% | 22.2% | 0.50 | 42.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 36.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.4% | 16.3% | 0.62 | 4.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.9% | 18.1% | 0.35 | 9.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.19 | 28.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.7% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 17.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 7/28/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/10/2026 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| 3/11/2026 | -2.4% | -6.8% | -9.2% |
| 12/4/2025 | 9.2% | 19.8% | 9.8% |
| 9/24/2025 | -16.5% | -26.6% | -18.9% |
| 6/10/2025 | -10.5% | -19.2% | -10.4% |
| 3/11/2025 | -5.4% | -15.8% | -25.3% |
| 12/10/2024 | 44.3% | -10.0% | 8.5% |
| 9/24/2024 | -39.5% | -29.1% | -23.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 15.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Median Negative | -15.5% | -15.8% | -18.9% |
| Max Positive | 44.3% | 78.8% | 61.3% |
| Max Negative | -39.5% | -29.1% | -33.9% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 6/10/2026 | 16.7% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| 3/11/2026 | -2.4% | -6.8% | -9.2% |
| 12/4/2025 | 9.2% | 19.8% | 9.8% |
| 9/24/2025 | -16.5% | -26.6% | -18.9% |
| 6/10/2025 | -10.5% | -19.2% | -10.4% |
| 3/11/2025 | -5.4% | -15.8% | -25.3% |
| 12/10/2024 | 44.3% | -10.0% | 8.5% |
| 9/24/2024 | -39.5% | -29.1% | -23.2% |
| 6/4/2024 | 29.4% | 46.8% | 56.2% |
| 3/4/2024 | -21.0% | -27.4% | -24.7% |
| 12/5/2023 | -3.4% | 4.7% | -15.8% |
| 9/18/2023 | 12.1% | 7.9% | 14.1% |
| 6/6/2023 | 28.0% | 29.6% | 7.9% |
| 3/7/2023 | -0.4% | 4.8% | -5.6% |
| 12/6/2022 | 0.5% | 11.2% | -0.8% |
| 9/20/2022 | 2.8% | -14.4% | -24.4% |
| 6/9/2022 | -18.5% | -21.0% | -33.9% |
| 3/8/2022 | -6.1% | -10.0% | -7.7% |
| 12/7/2021 | -23.9% | -25.9% | -22.1% |
| 9/21/2021 | 15.7% | 17.3% | -5.2% |
| 6/7/2021 | 14.1% | 8.9% | 2.0% |
| 3/8/2021 | -28.2% | -12.8% | -25.5% |
| 12/7/2020 | 39.2% | 78.8% | 61.3% |
| 9/22/2020 | -15.5% | -13.8% | 14.8% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 11 | 9 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 15.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% |
| Median Negative | -15.5% | -15.8% | -18.9% |
| Max Positive | 44.3% | 78.8% | 61.3% |
| Max Negative | -39.5% | -29.1% | -33.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/25/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/20/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/21/2022 | 10-K |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 04/30/2026 | 06/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2026 | 03/12/2026 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2025 | 12/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2025 | 09/25/2025 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2025 | 06/11/2025 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2025 | 03/12/2025 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2024 | 12/11/2024 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2024 | 09/25/2024 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2024 | 06/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2024 | 03/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2023 | 12/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2023 | 09/20/2023 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2023 | 06/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2023 | 03/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2022 | 12/07/2022 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2022 | 09/21/2022 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2022 | 06/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2022 | 03/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2021 | 12/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2021 | 09/27/2021 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2021 | 06/08/2021 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2021 | 03/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2020 | 12/08/2020 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2020 | 09/25/2020 | 10-K |
| 04/30/2020 | 06/09/2020 | 10-Q |
| 01/31/2020 | 03/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 10/31/2019 | 12/10/2019 | 10-Q |
| 07/31/2019 | 10/02/2019 | 10-K |
Insider Activity
Updated 8/5/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 4.09 | 70,000 | 286,077 | 3,890,623 | Form |
| 2 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 7292026 | 3.76 | 70,000 | 263,483 | 3,658,627 | Form |
| 3 | O'Connor, Casey | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 7202026 | 3.93 | 50,000 | 196,560 | 1,688,914 | Form |
| 4 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 7142026 | 3.62 | 70,000 | 253,144 | 3,659,717 | Form |
| 5 | Aufderhaar, David | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7082026 | 3.79 | 67,960 | 257,432 | 4,175,774 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 8052026 | 4.09 | 70,000 | 286,077 | 3,890,623 | Form |
| 2 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 7292026 | 3.76 | 70,000 | 263,483 | 3,658,627 | Form |
| 3 | O'Connor, Casey | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 7202026 | 3.93 | 50,000 | 196,560 | 1,688,914 | Form |
| 4 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 7142026 | 3.62 | 70,000 | 253,144 | 3,659,717 | Form |
| 5 | Aufderhaar, David | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 7082026 | 3.79 | 67,960 | 257,432 | 4,175,774 | Form |
| 6 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 7082026 | 3.79 | 70,000 | 265,089 | 3,908,147 | Form |
| 7 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 7012026 | 4.42 | 70,011 | 309,664 | 4,653,045 | Form |
| 8 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 6262026 | 4.51 | 100,000 | 450,570 | 4,830,083 | Form |
| 9 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 6242026 | 4.04 | 70,000 | 282,452 | 4,325,526 | Form |
| 10 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 6182026 | 4.15 | 70,000 | 290,177 | 4,498,195 | Form |
| 11 | O'Connor, Casey | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 4132026 | 3.08 | 60,000 | 185,010 | 1,481,110 | Form |
| 12 | Aufderhaar, David | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 4082026 | 3.09 | 65,709 | 202,732 | 3,634,598 | Form |
| 13 | Lake, Katrina | Katrina M. Lake Revocable Trust | Sell | 2042026 | 5.01 | 8,835 | Form | |||
| 14 | O'Connor, Casey | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 1292026 | 5.68 | 19,347 | 109,891 | 3,078,963 | Form |
| 15 | O'Connor, Casey | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 1222026 | 5.34 | 41,259 | 220,463 | 2,896,502 | Form |
| 16 | O'Connor, Casey | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 1222026 | 5.34 | 13,852 | 73,970 | 2,894,659 | Form |
| 17 | O'Connor, Casey | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 1222026 | 5.16 | 83,641 | 431,470 | 2,796,327 | Form |
| 18 | Aufderhaar, David | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 1222026 | 5.13 | 24,114 | 123,618 | 6,417,545 | Form |
| 19 | Lake, Katrina | Katrina M. Lake Revocable Trust | Sell | 1062026 | 5.08 | 101,150 | Form | |||
| 20 | Lake, Katrina | Katrina M. Lake Revocable Trust | Sell | 12092025 | 5.19 | 303,450 | Form | |||
| 21 | O'Connor, Casey | Chief Legal Officer | Direct | Sell | 10212025 | 4.41 | 50,000 | 220,505 | 1,902,698 | Form |
| 22 | Bacos, Anthony | Chief Prod/Technology Officer | Direct | Sell | 9222025 | 5.61 | 90,000 | 505,233 | 4,490,769 | Form |
| 23 | Lake, Katrina | John C. Clifford and Katrina M. Lake Revocable Trust dated May 23, 2016 | Sell | 9042025 | 5.04 | 51,205 | Form | |||
| 24 | Lake, Katrina | Katrina M. Lake Revocable Trust | Sell | 9042025 | 5.07 | 101,150 | Form | |||
| 25 | Lake, Katrina | John C. Clifford and Katrina M. Lake Revocable Trust dated May 23, 2016 | Sell | 8152025 | 5.02 | 50,000 | Form | |||
| 26 | Lake, Katrina | Katrina M. Lake Revocable Trust | Sell | 8152025 | 5.03 | 101,150 | Form |
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Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Apparel Retail Resources |
| Apparel News |
| Just Style |
| Sourcing Journal |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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