Tearsheet

Stitch Fix (SFIX)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $5.37 | Market Cap: $716.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Stitch Fix (SFIX)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $5.37
Market Cap: $716.1 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -39 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.0%
1   Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 26x
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
3   Key risks
SFIX key risks include [1] a significant and consistent decline in its active client base and revenue, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -15%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -35%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -39 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -3.0%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 26x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -11%
5 Key risks
SFIX key risks include [1] a significant and consistent decline in its active client base and revenue, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SFIX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Stitch Fix (SFIX) stock movement for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 17, 2025, resulting in a 0.9% change: 1. Strong Q1 Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Beat.

Stitch Fix reported its first-quarter fiscal year 2026 results on December 4, 2025, significantly exceeding Wall Street's revenue expectations with sales up 7.3% year-over-year to $342.1 million. The company's adjusted EBITDA also surpassed analyst estimates by 33%, and it raised its full-year revenue and EBITDA guidance, leading to a 9.9% jump in share price on December 5, 2025. 2. Mixed Q4 Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results.

On September 24, 2025, Stitch Fix released its financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025. The company reported net revenue of $311.2 million, a 2.6% decrease year-over-year, but an increase of 4.4% when adjusted for an extra week in the prior fiscal year. While there was a net loss and a decrease in active clients, the adjusted EBITDA of $8.7 million reflected cost management, and the stock gained 5.85% on September 3, 2025, the day the earnings release date was announced.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SFIX Return129%-68%-84%15%21%26%-79%
Peers Return-64%15%108%107%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SFIX Win Rate75%25%25%50%50%67% 
Peers Win Rate42%27%45%45%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SFIX Max Drawdown-55%-69%-85%-10%-41%-36% 
Peers Max Drawdown-75%-31%-34%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RENT, TDUP, REAL, RVLV, URBN. See SFIX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSFIXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3741.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-61.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven156.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven173 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-67.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven206.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven716 days120 days

Compare to CHWY, W, BBWI, SBH, FLWS


In The Past

Stitch Fix's stock fell -97.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/27/2021. A -97.4% loss requires a 3741.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Stitch Fix (SFIX)

Better Bets than Stitch Fix (SFIX)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SFIX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Stitch Fix

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SFIXRENTTDUPREALRVLVURBNMedian
NameStitch F.Rent the.ThredUp RealReal Revolve Urban Ou. 
Mkt Price5.348.447.7014.5628.1081.7311.50
Mkt Cap0.60.01.01.22.06.41.1
Rev LTM1,2903142986631,1956,000929
Op Inc LTM-39-64-23-3565572-29
FCF LTM5-762-18634033
FCF 3Y Avg33-78-14-49362819
CFO LTM22-213157463319
CFO 3Y Avg49-5-3-144349120

Growth & Margins

SFIXRENTTDUPREALRVLVURBNMedian
NameStitch F.Rent the.ThredUp RealReal Revolve Urban Ou. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.1%2.9%41.7%14.3%9.2%11.1%10.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-11.4%3.3%5.6%4.3%3.5%8.2%3.9%
Rev Chg Q7.3%15.4%33.6%17.5%4.4%12.3%13.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.8%3.9%7.4%4.1%1.1%2.9%3.4%
Op Mgn LTM-3.0%-20.3%-7.8%-5.3%5.4%9.5%-4.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.9%-21.4%-14.9%-14.1%4.1%8.0%-10.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.1%-0.0%2.8%1.3%0.5%-0.0%0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM1.7%-0.7%4.3%2.3%6.2%10.5%3.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg3.4%-1.6%-0.3%-2.7%3.8%8.9%1.6%
FCF/Rev LTM0.4%-24.3%0.5%-2.7%5.3%6.7%0.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.2%-25.6%-4.5%-8.5%3.2%5.1%-1.1%

Valuation

SFIXRENTTDUPREALRVLVURBNMedian
NameStitch F.Rent the.ThredUp RealReal Revolve Urban Ou. 
Mkt Cap0.60.01.01.22.06.41.1
P/S0.40.13.91.91.31.11.2
P/EBIT---56.9-23.3--16.8
P/E-20.12.6-32.2-17.227.413.1-7.3
P/CFO26.1-12.591.679.620.710.123.4
Total Yield-5.0%38.5%-3.1%-5.8%3.7%7.6%0.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---2.7%-2.7%--0.0%
D/E--0.0-0.0-0.0
Net D/E--0.0--0.2--0.1

Returns

SFIXRENTTDUPREALRVLVURBNMedian
NameStitch F.Rent the.ThredUp RealReal Revolve Urban Ou. 
1M Rtn25.6%90.5%2.9%5.1%34.1%33.0%29.3%
3M Rtn-2.6%84.7%-24.5%44.6%17.9%16.2%17.1%
6M Rtn38.0%98.0%-3.9%181.6%36.9%17.6%37.5%
12M Rtn32.0%10.1%413.3%57.4%-26.3%49.4%40.7%
3Y Rtn53.0%-86.3%286.9%955.1%16.2%211.1%132.1%
1M Excs Rtn24.7%89.5%2.0%4.1%33.1%32.0%28.3%
3M Excs Rtn-5.8%81.0%-29.3%36.3%14.5%13.6%14.1%
6M Excs Rtn24.3%84.3%-17.5%168.0%23.3%3.9%23.8%
12M Excs Rtn2.5%-6.7%379.6%52.0%-38.7%45.5%24.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-35.2%-154.6%406.1%852.5%-64.2%125.9%45.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment1,3371,5932,0732,1011,712
Total1,3371,5932,0732,1011,712


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,057,951
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-17.0%
Average Daily Volume2,465,649
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.89
Basic Shares Quantity133,345,590
Short % of Basic Shares9.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/4/20259.2%19.8% 
9/24/2025-16.5%-26.6%-18.9%
6/10/2025-10.5%-19.2%-10.4%
3/11/2025-5.4%-15.8%-25.3%
12/10/202444.3%-10.0%8.5%
9/24/2024-39.5%-29.1%-23.2%
6/4/202429.4%46.8%56.2%
3/4/2024-21.0%-27.4%-24.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10108
# Negative141416
Median Positive14.9%14.2%14.4%
Median Negative-16.0%-17.5%-22.1%
Max Positive44.3%78.8%61.3%
Max Negative-39.5%-42.4%-37.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
103120251205202510-Q 11/1/2025
7312025925202510-K 8/2/2025
4302025611202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025312202510-Q 2/1/2025
103120241211202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024925202410-K 8/3/2024
4302024605202410-Q 4/27/2024
1312024305202410-Q 1/27/2024
103120231206202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023920202310-K 7/29/2023
4302023607202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023308202310-Q 1/28/2023
103120221207202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022921202210-K 7/30/2022
4302022609202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022309202210-Q 1/29/2022

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0O'Connor CaseyChief Legal Officer10212025Sell4.4150,000220,5051,902,698Form