Tearsheet

Rave Restaurant (RAVE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.91 | Market Cap: $41.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Restaurants

Rave Restaurant (RAVE)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $2.91
Market Cap: $41.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 8.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24%
  
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
  
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.9%, FCF Yield is 8.6%
1 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -24%
2 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 27%
3 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 28%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -6.0%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RAVE Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. Rave Restaurant Group experienced a decrease in overall total revenue for fiscal year 2025, Q4 fiscal 2025, and Q1 fiscal 2026. For fiscal year 2025, total revenue decreased by 0.91% to $12.04 million compared to the previous year. In Q4 fiscal 2025, total revenue fell by 6.0% to $3.2 million. This trend continued into Q1 fiscal 2026, with revenues declining 1.2% year over year to $3.1 million.

2. The Pie Five segment demonstrated a notable decline in comparable store sales and revenue. Domestic comparable store sales for Pie Five decreased by 7.2% in Q4 fiscal 2025 and further by 8.7% in Q1 fiscal 2026. Lower revenues from the Pie Five Franchising segment were a contributing factor to the overall dampened top-line results.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RAVE Return-45%11%56%41%16%11%74%
Peers Return20%31%4%1%8%-6%68%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RAVE Win Rate42%50%42%58%42%40% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%30%25%27%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RAVE Max Drawdown-75%-3%-17%-15%-23%-19% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-3%-15%-10%-14%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRAVES&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven169 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven340.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven196 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-74.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven293.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven144 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-69.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven228.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven819 days1480 days

Compare to BH, RICK, BRCB, CCHH, MCD


In The Past

Rave Restaurant's stock fell -54.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -54.5% loss requires a 120.0% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Rave Restaurant (RAVE)

Better Bets than Rave Restaurant (RAVE)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RAVE. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rave Restaurant

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RAVEBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameRave Res.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Price2.85308.6025.1824.6810.47307.7124.93
Mkt Cap0.00.40.2--219.40.3
Rev LTM12387282--26,263334
Op Inc LTM32447--12,11335
FCF LTM38134--7,37257
FCF 3Y Avg35428--7,04941
CFO LTM310751--10,48579
CFO 3Y Avg38056--9,70468

Growth & Margins

RAVEBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameRave Res.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.9%6.9%-5.3%--1.2%0.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.2%1.7%4.2%--4.2%4.2%
Rev Chg Q-6.0%10.3%-6.6%--3.0%-1.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.6%2.5%-1.8%--0.8%-0.4%
Op Mgn LTM27.1%6.2%16.6%--46.1%21.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.2%8.1%19.8%--45.9%21.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.5%1.0%-1.3%---0.0%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM28.2%27.7%18.2%--39.9%28.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg25.2%21.3%19.4%--37.7%23.2%
FCF/Rev LTM28.0%21.0%11.9%--28.1%24.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg24.2%14.2%9.7%--27.4%19.2%

Valuation

RAVEBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameRave Res.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
Mkt Cap0.00.40.2--219.40.3
P/S3.21.11.2--8.22.2
P/EBIT12.061.29.3--17.714.8
P/E14.5200.820.2--25.723.0
P/CFO11.53.96.5--20.79.0
Total Yield6.9%0.5%5.7%--6.2%6.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.7%--2.3%0.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.1%17.5%6.6%--3.4%7.8%
D/E0.00.80.8--0.30.5
Net D/E-0.2-0.10.7--0.20.1

Returns

RAVEBHRICKBRCBCCHHMCDMedian
NameRave Res.Biglari RCI Hosp.Black Ro.CCH McDonald. 
1M Rtn13.1%-13.3%4.9%1.7%126.6%4.4%4.7%
3M Rtn-12.2%-0.4%-29.4%---2.2%-7.2%
6M Rtn4.8%18.5%-37.8%---0.1%2.3%
12M Rtn-6.2%37.8%-50.0%--6.9%0.3%
3Y Rtn67.9%112.9%-71.6%--20.6%44.3%
1M Excs Rtn13.1%-13.2%4.9%1.7%126.7%4.5%4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-20.0%-6.1%-35.6%---7.7%-13.9%
6M Excs Rtn-9.9%3.8%-52.5%---14.8%-12.4%
12M Excs Rtn-18.9%33.1%-65.2%---6.5%-12.7%
3Y Excs Rtn1.0%47.2%-143.8%---51.3%-25.1%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity46,247
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025110.4%
Average Daily Volume58,348
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity14,211,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025925202510-K 6/29/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/29/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024926202410-K 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/24/2024
12312023201202410-Q 12/24/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/24/2023
6302023921202310-K 6/25/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/26/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/25/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/25/2022
6302022923202210-K 6/26/2022
3312022506202210-Q 3/27/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/26/2021
93020211104202110-Q 9/26/2021