Signet Jewelers (SIG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $87.67 | Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Specialty Stores
Signet Jewelers (SIG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $87.67Market Cap: $3.6 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Specialty Stores
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.1% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -38%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -25% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 14% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SIG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Signet Jewelers (SIG) experienced a stock movement, with shares reported up by approximately 1.59% on December 3, 2025. Several key factors contributed to this movement:
**1. Strong Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Earnings Beat.** Signet Jewelers reported adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.63 for the third quarter of fiscal 2026, significantly surpassing analyst forecasts of $0.29 or $0.16. Revenue also exceeded expectations, reaching $1.4 billion against a consensus estimate of $1.37 billion or $1.36 billion.
**2. Consistent Same-Store Sales Growth.** The company achieved its third consecutive quarter of positive same-store sales growth, with a 3% increase in Q3 Fiscal 2026. This growth was primarily driven by the performance of its key brands, Kay, Zales, and Jared.
**3. Increase in Merchandise Average Unit Retail (AUR).** Signet reported a 7% increase in Merchandise Average Unit Retail (AUR) for the quarter, including a 6% rise in bridal and an 8% rise in fashion. This indicates effective pricing strategies and stabilization in diamond retail prices.
**4. Upgraded Full-Year Sales Outlook.** For the second time in three months, Signet raised its full-year sales outlook for fiscal 2026. The updated forecast projects revenue between $6.7 billion and $6.83 billion, an increase from the earlier forecast of $6.67 billion to $6.82 billion, reflecting strong Q3 performance and tariff-mitigation efforts.
**5. Continued Share Repurchase Program.** In the third quarter, Signet repurchased approximately 301,000 common shares for around $28 million. The company still has approximately $545 million remaining under its share repurchase authorization.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SIG Return | 27% | 221% | -21% | 60% | -24% | 12% | 341% |
| Peers Return | 5% | 40% | -25% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 69% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SIG Win Rate | 67% | 75% | 42% | 50% | 33% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 53% | 43% | 53% | 53% | 56% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SIG Max Drawdown | -73% | 0% | -42% | -15% | -32% | -42% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -6% | -46% | -17% | -25% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CPNG, PSMT, EZPW, BNED, DKS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SIG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 118.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -80.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 415.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 245 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -88.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 768.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 789 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -88.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 752.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1361 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CPNG, PSMT, EZPW, BNED, DKS
In The Past
Signet Jewelers's stock fell -54.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -54.2% loss requires a 118.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SIG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 06302022 | SIG | Signet Jewelers | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 28.1% | 23.6% | -1.7% |
| 12312018 | SIG | Signet Jewelers | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -43.9% | -26.3% | -63.5% |
| 02282017 | SIG | Signet Jewelers | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.3% | -19.3% | -24.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 06302022 | SIG | Signet Jewelers | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 28.1% | 23.6% | -1.7% |
| 12312018 | SIG | Signet Jewelers | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -43.9% | -26.3% | -63.5% |
| 02282017 | SIG | Signet Jewelers | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -0.3% | -19.3% | -24.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Signet Jewelers
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 57.79 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 6,024 |
| Op Inc LTM | 386 |
| FCF LTM | 279 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 300 |
| CFO LTM | 439 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 448 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 8.5 |
| P/E | 19.0 |
| P/CFO | 8.4 |
| Total Yield | 5.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.3% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.3% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 20.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | 70.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 2.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9052025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6032025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3192025 | 10-K 2/3/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12052024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9122024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6132024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3212024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12052023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 8312023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6082023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3162023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12062022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6092022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3172022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12022021 | 10-Q 10/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |