Tearsheet

Jakks Pacific (JAKK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.01 | Market Cap: $190.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Facilities

Jakks Pacific (JAKK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $17.01
Market Cap: $190.3 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Leisure Facilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -34%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Play & Entertainment Products. Themes include Licensed Merchandise, Interactive Play, and Collectibles.
  
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Play & Entertainment Products. Themes include Licensed Merchandise, Interactive Play, and Collectibles.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -73%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -16%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -12%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -34%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JAKK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Lower-than-expected Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results. JAKKS Pacific reported third-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $1.80, which significantly missed the anticipated $2.47. Additionally, the company's revenue of $211.2 million fell short of the forecasted $228.23 million. This substantial negative financial surprise likely exerted downward pressure on the stock during the period.

2. Renewed Concerns Regarding Tariff Pressures and Declining Toy Sales. As of late November 2025, renewed concerns about tariff pressures and a general decline in toy sales were cited as contributing factors to a recent slide in Jakks Pacific's stock. These broader market headwinds impacting the toy industry could have negatively influenced investor sentiment for JAKK.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JAKK Return-52%104%72%103%-21%-39%66%
Peers Return1%3%-3%-1%7%-5%1%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JAKK Win Rate33%58%42%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate12%10%7%12%33%36% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JAKK Max Drawdown-70%-1%-24%-20%-52%-45% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-2%-8%-9%-5%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FUN, NOMA, TRON, AS, PLNT.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJAKKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-47.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven92.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-72.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven256.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven77 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-90.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven984.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-66.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven201.9%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to FUN, NOMA, TRON, AS, PLNT


In The Past

Jakks Pacific's stock fell -47.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/4/2022. A -47.9% loss requires a 92.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Jakks Pacific (JAKK)

Better Bets than Jakks Pacific (JAKK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JAKK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Jakks Pacific

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JAKKFUNNOMATRONASPLNTMedian
NameJakks Pa.Six Flag.Nomadar Tron Amer Spo.Planet F. 
Mkt Price17.0015.397.322.1136.96108.4316.20
Mkt Cap0.21.6--20.59.15.3
Rev LTM5743,138145,6981,288931
Op Inc LTM8248-2-3630378128
FCF LTM18-169-0-2-203-0
FCF 3Y Avg2022--1-19821
CFO LTM29333-0-2-35829
CFO 3Y Avg30353--1-344187

Growth & Margins

JAKKFUNNOMATRONASPLNTMedian
NameJakks Pa.Six Flag.Nomadar Tron Amer Spo.Planet F. 
Rev Chg LTM-16.5%31.1%--12.7%21.9%14.4%14.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-12.1%21.3%---15.7%15.7%
Rev Chg Q-34.3%-2.3%--10.9%23.5%13.0%-2.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-16.1%-1.0%160.4%-3.8%4.3%3.0%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM1.4%7.9%-306.9%-82.4%11.1%29.4%4.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.1%13.9%--56.8%8.5%27.1%8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-5.4%3.5%485.7%-8.0%0.5%1.2%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM5.1%10.6%-52.6%-35.9%-27.8%5.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.5%15.2%--28.3%-29.8%9.8%
FCF/Rev LTM3.1%-5.4%-52.6%-41.8%-15.7%-5.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.0%2.0%--30.9%-17.1%2.5%

Valuation

JAKKFUNNOMATRONASPLNTMedian
NameJakks Pa.Six Flag.Nomadar Tron Amer Spo.Planet F. 
Mkt Cap0.21.6--20.59.15.3
P/S0.40.7--3.86.72.3
P/EBIT22.6-1.7--38.421.522.1
P/E34.5-1.3--96.142.138.3
P/CFO7.16.9---24.27.1
Total Yield4.2%-75.1%--1.0%2.4%1.7%
Dividend Yield1.3%0.0%--0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg13.4%----3.3%8.3%
D/E0.32.3--0.10.30.3
Net D/E0.12.3--0.10.20.2

Returns

JAKKFUNNOMATRONASPLNTMedian
NameJakks Pa.Six Flag.Nomadar Tron Amer Spo.Planet F. 
1M Rtn3.0%-32.2%-36.3%-12.4%17.4%18.0%-4.7%
3M Rtn-2.2%-35.0%--46.0%-2.6%6.5%-2.6%
6M Rtn-15.8%-53.7%---0.7%3.0%-8.2%
12M Rtn-36.8%-67.4%--43.6%9.1%-13.8%
3Y Rtn-6.3%----37.9%15.8%
1M Excs Rtn3.0%-32.2%-36.3%-12.4%17.5%18.0%-4.7%
3M Excs Rtn-8.1%-45.2%--45.1%-7.5%-0.0%-8.1%
6M Excs Rtn-30.5%-68.4%---15.4%-11.8%-23.0%
12M Excs Rtn-52.2%-80.2%--26.8%-4.6%-28.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-73.2%-----31.6%-52.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Toys/Consumer Products (TCP)384378338316357
Costumes152819149
Total399405357329365


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity498,450
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.9%
Average Daily Volume161,759
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.08
Basic Shares Quantity11,185,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024306202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231114202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023814202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022414202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021316202210-K 12/31/2021