Tearsheet

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $24.16 | Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $24.16
Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 9.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.7%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 139%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 15%, Dividend Yield is 2.8%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 11%, FCF Yield is 9.2%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -48%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is -3.1%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -17%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.7%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 114%
7 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 139%
8 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

AEO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) experienced significant positive movement around the period from late August 2025 to early December 2025, driven by a strong turnaround and better-than-expected financial results. Here are the key points for the stock's movement: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results: American Eagle Outfitters reported record third-quarter revenue of $1.36 billion, a 6% increase year-over-year, surpassing analyst estimates. Diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.53 also significantly beat expectations, rising 29% year-over-year.

2. Robust Comparable Sales Growth, Led by Aerie: Total comparable sales increased by 4%, a substantial improvement from previous quarters. The Aerie brand was a major driver, with an impressive 11% comparable sales growth, while the American Eagle brand also returned to positive growth with a 1% increase.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
AEO Return39%29%-43%55%-19%30%65%
Peers Return6%19%-9%75%33%8%188%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
AEO Win Rate50%58%25%67%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate43%43%33%55%67%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
AEO Max Drawdown-54%-1%-61%-27%-21%-43% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-5%-32%-5%-3%-25% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: URBN, ANF, LB, TJX, ROST. See AEO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventAEOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-74.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven289.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-55.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven122.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven147 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-51.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven105.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven453 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-79.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven383.0%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven4530 days1480 days

Compare to URBN, ANF, LB, TJX, ROST


In The Past

American Eagle Outfitters's stock fell -74.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/23/2021. A -74.3% loss requires a 289.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

Better Bets than American Eagle Outfitters (AEO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to AEO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
AEO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
52.0%85.2%-18.9%
AEO_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
76.0%272.2%-15.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
AEO_3312025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312025AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
52.0%85.2%-18.9%
AEO_3312020_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG03312020AEOAmerican Eagle OutfittersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
76.0%272.2%-15.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for American Eagle Outfitters

Peers to compare with:

Financials

AEOURBNANFLBTJXROSTMedian
NameAmerican.Urban Ou.Abercrom.LandBrid.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Price23.9779.1999.6160.40150.06178.0089.40
Mkt Cap4.17.14.71.5167.357.55.9
Rev LTM5,2675,8325,10015657,92521,4985,550
Op Inc LTM301557744756,4762,580650
FCF LTM152399345864,0411,679372
FCF 3Y Avg293285390-4,3581,797390
CFO LTM410590563885,9352,474577
CFO 3Y Avg514479578-6,1452,565578

Growth & Margins

AEOURBNANFLBTJXROSTMedian
NameAmerican.Urban Ou.Abercrom.LandBrid.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Rev Chg LTM-2.7%9.6%9.3%95.0%4.1%1.9%6.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.6%7.5%11.7%-5.3%5.2%5.3%
Rev Chg Q-0.6%11.3%6.6%83.2%6.9%4.6%6.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%2.7%1.5%16.0%1.6%1.1%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM5.7%9.5%14.6%47.8%11.2%12.0%11.6%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.7%7.6%11.6%-10.7%11.5%10.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.0%0.3%0.4%51.5%0.2%-0.2%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM7.8%10.1%11.0%56.0%10.2%11.5%10.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.9%8.9%12.8%-11.2%12.5%11.2%
FCF/Rev LTM2.9%6.8%6.8%54.8%7.0%7.8%6.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.7%5.2%8.6%-8.0%8.8%8.0%

Valuation

AEOURBNANFLBTJXROSTMedian
NameAmerican.Urban Ou.Abercrom.LandBrid.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
Mkt Cap4.17.14.71.5167.357.55.9
P/S0.31.10.810.42.41.91.5
P/EBIT5.511.05.121.720.614.812.9
P/E8.313.77.385.327.720.016.8
P/CFO4.011.07.018.623.216.713.8
Total Yield14.8%7.3%13.7%14.5%4.9%6.2%10.5%
Dividend Yield2.8%0.0%0.0%13.3%1.3%1.2%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg11.9%6.5%9.8%-3.7%4.3%6.5%
D/E1.20.20.30.20.10.10.2
Net D/E1.10.10.10.20.10.00.1

Returns

AEOURBNANFLBTJXROSTMedian
NameAmerican.Urban Ou.Abercrom.LandBrid.TJX Comp.Ross Sto. 
1M Rtn45.0%27.7%42.0%-0.9%7.2%10.4%19.1%
3M Rtn77.5%18.5%7.7%13.7%7.9%18.4%16.0%
6M Rtn138.5%12.3%31.0%-16.2%17.9%25.6%21.7%
12M Rtn25.2%56.2%-35.7%-18.8%21.8%17.1%19.4%
3Y Rtn63.2%168.2%309.7%-95.1%54.6%95.1%
1M Excs Rtn45.0%27.7%42.0%-0.9%7.2%10.5%19.1%
3M Excs Rtn23.3%5.6%1.2%6.2%1.4%11.4%5.9%
6M Excs Rtn123.8%-2.5%16.3%-30.9%3.2%10.9%7.0%
12M Excs Rtn16.1%49.0%-47.0%-33.6%7.3%2.7%5.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-7.7%105.5%240.9%-22.7%-14.7%22.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Eagle3,3623,2633,5562,7343,480
Aerie1,6701,5071,376990801
Other489469823528
Intersegment Elimination-259-249-3  
Total5,2624,9905,0113,7594,308


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
American Eagle60054179693484
Aerie2761672146047
Intersegment Elimination00   
Other-36-57-16-425-298
Impairment, restructuring and other charges-153-22-12  
Unallocated corporate expenses-464-383-391  
Total223247591-271233


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity22,295,957
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-3.1%
Average Daily Volume5,679,349
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.93
Basic Shares Quantity170,756,000
Short % of Basic Shares13.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025909202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025605202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025320202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241204202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024829202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024530202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024315202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231121202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023906202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023525202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023313202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221123202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022907202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022526202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022314202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211123202110-Q 10/30/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Spiegel Noel Joseph 9092025Sell18.1240,000724,856 Form
1PAGE JANICE E 9092025Sell18.0426,869484,7171,630,509Form
2MCMILLAN CARY D 9092025Sell18.119,002163,071 Form
3Foyle Jennifer M.Global Brand President-aerie9092025Sell18.1454,950996,7934,010,881Form
4MCMILLAN CARY D 1172025Sell16.022,99948,044 Form