MasterCraft Boat (MCFT)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $22.44 | Market Cap: $361.9 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products
MasterCraft Boat (MCFT)
Market Price (4/15/2026): $22.44Market Cap: $361.9 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Products
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22% Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.2% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Travel & Leisure Tech. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -22% Key risksMCFT key risks include significant margin pressure driven by [1] the necessity of offering dealer incentives and servicing its variable rate debt in a high-interest-rate environment, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -22% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 7.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 40% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -35%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -22% |
| Key risksMCFT key risks include significant margin pressure driven by [1] the necessity of offering dealer incentives and servicing its variable rate debt in a high-interest-rate environment, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Stronger-than-anticipated earnings and positive guidance revisions.
MasterCraft Boat Holdings consistently surpassed analyst expectations in its fiscal Q1 2026 (reported November 6, 2025) and Q2 2026 (reported February 5, 2026) earnings. In Q1 FY26, the company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.28, significantly beating the analyst consensus of $0.16 by 133%. Net sales also increased by 5.6% year-over-year to $69.0 million. For Q2 FY26, adjusted EPS reached $0.29, again exceeding the $0.16 consensus, and revenue grew 13.2% year-over-year to $71.76 million. Alongside these beats, management raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance twice; initially projecting net sales between $295 million and $310 million and adjusted EPS between $1.18 and $1.43 in Q1, and then further increasing it in Q2 to net sales of $300 million to $310 million and adjusted EPS of $1.45 to $1.60.
2. Announcement of a strategic merger with Marine Products Corporation.
On February 5, 2026, MasterCraft revealed a definitive agreement to merge with Marine Products Corporation. This strategic move is expected to yield approximately $6 million in annual cost savings, primarily through the elimination of duplicate public company costs. Furthermore, the merger is anticipated to create additional revenue and cost synergies by combining innovation platforms, leveraging complementary dealer networks, implementing manufacturing best practices, and enhancing procurement capabilities.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 18.7% change in MCFT stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 20.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 18.91 | 22.45 | 18.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 288 | 296 | 2.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.5% | 5.3% | -4.2% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.3 | 23.2 | 20.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 16 | 0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 18.7% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCFT | 18.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 36.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.5% | 36.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 4.6% change in MCFT stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 112.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.46 | 22.45 | 4.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 284 | 296 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 2.5% | 5.3% | 112.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 49.7 | 23.2 | -53.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 16 | 1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 4.6% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCFT | 4.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 35.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -2.6% | 39.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 30.4% change in MCFT stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a 15.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 17.22 | 22.45 | 30.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 267 | 296 | 10.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.1 | 1.2 | 15.2% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 16 | 16 | 2.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 30.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCFT | 30.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 49.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 18.6% | 53.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -26.2% change in MCFT stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026 was primarily driven by a -57.4% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4142026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 30.43 | 22.45 | -26.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 695 | 296 | -57.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 8.1% | 5.3% | -34.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 9.6 | 23.2 | 142.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 16 | 9.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -26.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/14/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCFT | -26.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 40.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 59.3% | 42.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MCFT Return | 14% | -9% | -12% | -16% | -1% | 14% | -13% |
| Peers Return | 15% | -17% | 16% | -29% | 1% | -10% | -28% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -0% | 81% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MCFT Win Rate | 75% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 37% | 50% | 43% | 60% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MCFT Max Drawdown | -4% | -34% | -24% | -28% | -23% | -0% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -4% | -31% | -12% | -33% | -33% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MBUU, BC, PII, WGO, MPX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/14/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MCFT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 284.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 94 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -64.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 178.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to MBUU, BC, PII, WGO, MPX
In The Past
MasterCraft Boat's stock fell -43.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/3/2023. A -43.6% loss requires a 77.2% gain to breakeven.
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About MasterCraft Boat (MCFT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
- It's like General Motors for recreational boats.
- It's like Ford Motor Company for recreational powerboats.
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- Recreational Performance Sport Boats: These boats, primarily under the MasterCraft brand, are designed for water skiing, wakeboarding, wake surfing, and general recreational boating.
- Luxury Day Boats: Marketed under the Aviara brand, these are premium boats primarily used for general recreational boating.
- Saltwater Fishing Boats: Under the NauticStar brand, these boats are primarily used for saltwater fishing and general recreational boating.
- Pontoon Boats: Produced under the Crest brand, these boats are designed for general recreational boating.
- Boating Accessories: This category includes various items such as trailers and aftermarket parts for their boats.
AI Analysis | Feedback
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) sells its products primarily to other companies. Its direct customers are a network of independent dealers located in North America and internationally.
MasterCraft does not publicly disclose specific major customer companies by name or stock symbol. This is typical for companies that operate through a broad, distributed network of independent dealerships, where sales are spread across numerous smaller, often privately held businesses rather than concentrated with a few large, publicly traded entities.
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Brad Nelson, Chief Executive Officer and Director
Brad Nelson became Chief Executive Officer and a Director of MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. on March 18, 2024. He brings over 30 years of operating and manufacturing experience to the role. Prior to joining MasterCraft, Mr. Nelson served as Executive Vice President and President, Commercial Segment of Oshkosh Corporation, where he was responsible for leading a strategic transformation that resulted in record highs in revenue, profitability, and backlog. His tenure at Oshkosh Corporation also included roles such as Senior Vice President and President, Commercial Business Segment, and Vice President, Global Marketing, JLG Industries.
Scott Kent, Chief Financial Officer
Scott Kent assumed the role of Chief Financial Officer for MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. on July 1, 2025, succeeding the retiring Tim Oxley. Mr. Kent possesses 33 years of professional experience, with 28 of those years specifically within the marine industry. He previously served as MasterCraft's Vice President of Finance since 2018, overseeing finance functions including accounting, financial planning and analysis (FP&A), financial reporting, and treasury, while also contributing to operational and strategic advancements. Before his time at MasterCraft, Mr. Kent held CFO positions at Brunswick Boat Group and Recreational Boat Group, and various other roles of increasing responsibility at Brunswick, Sea Ray Boats, and Price Waterhouse. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from Milligan College and was formerly a Certified Public Accountant.
Mike O'Connell, Senior Vice President of Operational Excellence and President, Pontoon Segment
Mike O'Connell serves as the Senior Vice President of Operational Excellence and President of the Pontoon Segment for MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. He took on the additional responsibility of President of the Pontoon Segment, succeeding George Steinbarger, effective February 24, 2025. Mr. O'Connell is a seasoned veteran of the marine industry with nearly 40 years of experience, having led various boat companies for decades. He joined MasterCraft in 2023 as President of Aviara Boats. His background includes serving as President of Godfrey pontoons and Hurricane deck boats, as well as managing various boat operations for Brunswick, Genmar, and Yamaha.
Charlene Hampton, Vice President of Human Resources
Charlene Hampton holds the position of Vice President of Human Resources at MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.
Jim Brown, Vice President of Operations
Jim Brown is the Vice President of Operations for MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) are primarily driven by external economic factors affecting discretionary consumer spending, challenges in their supply chain, and the health and management of their dealer network.-
Sensitivity to Macroeconomic Conditions and Consumer Discretionary Spending
The recreational boating industry is highly cyclical and significantly influenced by overall economic health, consumer confidence, and access to credit. Elevated interest rates directly increase the cost of financing for consumers purchasing boats and for dealers managing their inventory. These factors can lead to a decrease in demand for MasterCraft's products, resulting in lower sales and reduced profitability.
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Supply Chain Disruptions and Cost Volatility
MasterCraft faces risks related to its supply chain, including potential disruptions, shortages, and increased costs of raw materials, parts, or components. The company has experienced periodic supply issues and rising material costs, which can negatively impact its manufacturing operations and financial performance. Additionally, changes in trade policies, such as new tariffs, can further increase manufacturing expenses.
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Dealer Network Health and Inventory Management
The success of MasterCraft relies heavily on the strength and liquidity of its independent dealer network. The deterioration of competitors' dealers, including bankruptcies, can lead to discounted boat inventories entering the market, creating increased competition for MasterCraft's dealers. Maintaining adequate liquidity for dealers to finance their operations and purchase products is crucial. Furthermore, managing manufacturing levels and fixed costs in relation to dealer inventory levels is a continuous challenge that can affect the company's financial results.
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MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) operates in several segments of the recreational powerboat market. The addressable market sizes for its main product categories, including performance sport boats, luxury day boats, saltwater fishing boats, and pontoon boats, are as follows:
Performance Sport Boats (MasterCraft Brand)
- The global wakeboard boat market was valued at approximately USD 2.8 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 4.8 billion by 2032.
- Another estimate places the global wakeboard boat market at approximately USD 2.68 billion in 2026, on track to reach USD 4.27 billion by 2035.
- The global ski wake boat market is projected to reach USD 1.74 billion by 2034.
- In North America, which is the largest market for ski/wake boats, the region accounted for approximately 60% of the global market share. North America also holds 50-55% of the global wakeboard boat market share.
- The U.S. wakeboard market size was valued at USD 486.74 million in 2024 and is expected to expand to USD 961.04 million by 2033.
Luxury Day Boats (Aviara Brand)
- The global luxury boat market size was valued at USD 18.29 billion in 2024 and is poised to grow to USD 30.12 billion by 2033. Another report indicates the global luxury boat market size was estimated at USD 17.73 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 30.46 billion by 2035.
- North America is the largest market for luxury boats, holding approximately 45% of the global market share.
- The U.S. luxury yacht market size was valued at USD 4.11 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 9.04 billion by 2033. In 2024, the U.S. luxury yacht market size is projected to reach a valuation of USD 4,507.5 million, anticipated to reach USD 9,315.3 million by 2033.
Saltwater Fishing Boats (NauticStar Brand)
- The global fishing boats market size is expected to be valued at US$2.1 billion in 2026 and is projected to reach US$3.7 billion by 2033.
- The global fishing vessel market size was valued at USD 1.86 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 3.49 billion by 2034.
- In the U.S., there are approximately 86,000 offshore fishing boats (27 feet and larger fiberglass boats) registered. The United States is projected to generate revenue of US$220.78 million in 2025 for the fishing vessel market.
Pontoon Boats (Crest Brand)
- The global pontoon boat market was valued at US$2.31 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach US$3.93 billion by 2028. Other estimates state the global pontoon market size was valued at USD 8.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 17.7 billion by 2034. Another report valued the pontoon market at USD 8.68 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 17.27 billion by 2032.
- North America dominates the pontoon market, accounting for approximately 60% of global sales. The North America pontoon market accounted for 61% of the revenue share in 2024 and is expected to exceed USD 11 billion by 2034. It also held the largest market share of 35% of the global pontoon boat market in 2023.
AI Analysis | Feedback
MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies and market dynamics:
- Strategic Merger with Marine Products Corporation: The planned merger with Marine Products Corporation is a significant driver, anticipated to diversify MasterCraft's brand portfolio, expand its dealer network, and increase market reach across various recreational marine categories. This combination is projected to generate pro forma sales of $560 million by the end of fiscal year 2026 and is expected to be accretive to adjusted EPS in fiscal year 2027. Furthermore, the merger is expected to create revenue synergies through combined innovation platforms and complementary dealer networks.
- New Product Innovation and Launches: MasterCraft consistently emphasizes focused innovation and product line development as growth initiatives. Recent successful launches, such as the premium X24 and X22 models under the MasterCraft brand, contribute to sales momentum. Additionally, the Crest segment is expected to announce an all-new line of products to expand its addressable market, indicating a strategy to capture new customer segments.
- Pricing Power and Favorable Product Mix: The company has demonstrated the ability to implement price increases, which has partially offset other cost pressures. A favorable model mix, driven by sales of higher-margin products and options, has also contributed to increased net sales and improved gross margins.
- Improved Dealer Inventory Management: Following periods of elevated dealer inventories, MasterCraft has focused on production discipline and effective dealer support programs, leading to substantially improved dealer inventory levels. A healthier inventory environment can lead to more efficient sales, reduced discounting, and stronger demand pull-through.
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Capital Allocation Decisions for MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. (MCFT)
Share Repurchases
- In June 2021, MasterCraft's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase program of up to $50 million, valid for a three-year period ending June 24, 2024.
- A new $50 million share repurchase program was authorized in July 2023, succeeding the previous one upon its expiration.
- The company repurchased $16.3 million of its shares during fiscal year 2025.
Share Issuance
- There was a decrease in the number of shares outstanding by 1.44% in the most recent 12-month period for which data was compiled.
- As of August 22, 2025, there were 16,306,356 shares of common stock issued and outstanding.
- In July 2025, the Chief Financial Officer received 6,507 Restricted Stock Units (RSUs), representing a minimal potential dilution of less than 0.04%.
Outbound Investments
- MasterCraft completed the sale of its NauticStar business in September 2022.
- In October 2024, the company completed the sale of its Aviara brand and related assets, followed by the sale of its Aviara manufacturing facility in December 2024.
- In February 2026, MasterCraft agreed to acquire Marine Products Corporation, involving an exchange of 0.232 MasterCraft shares plus $2.43 cash per Marine Products share.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 totaled $10.5 million, primarily focused on facility enhancements, information technology, and tooling.
- In fiscal year 2024, the company incurred $12 million in capital expenditures.
- MasterCraft anticipates approximately $9 million in capital expenditures for fiscal year 2026.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| MasterCraft Boat Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| MasterCraft Boat Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 29.89 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,866 |
| Op Inc LTM | 27 |
| FCF LTM | 80 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 91 |
| CFO LTM | 106 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 136 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -11.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 11.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 0.8 |
| P/EBIT | 15.4 |
| P/E | 22.8 |
| P/CFO | 9.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 11.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -1.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 29.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -30.8% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 2.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -97.2% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $22.45 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 07/17/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -10.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $21.70 | $20.73 |
| DMA Trend | up | indeterminate |
| Distance from DMA | 3.4% | 8.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 37.6% | 40.3% |
| Downside Capture | 0.11 | 0.45 |
| Upside Capture | 55.44 | 114.33 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 32.1% | 33.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.20 | 0.74 | 1.09 | 1.05 | 1.15 | 1.19 |
| Up Beta | 1.83 | 1.32 | 2.03 | 1.61 | 1.26 | 1.44 |
| Down Beta | 1.78 | 1.39 | 1.59 | 1.60 | 1.06 | 0.87 |
| Up Capture | 117% | 55% | 105% | 60% | 116% | 92% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 19 | 32 | 58 | 120 | 356 |
| Down Capture | 84% | 37% | 41% | 72% | 105% | 107% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 13 | 23 | 31 | 66 | 128 | 386 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCFT | 45.5% | 40.3% | 1.03 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 24.8% | 19.4% | 1.02 | 40.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 24.2% | 12.9% | 1.49 | 33.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 53.4% | 27.6% | 1.55 | -9.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 26.8% | 16.2% | 1.47 | -11.7% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 18.7% | 13.8% | 1.00 | 39.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -6.8% | 42.9% | -0.05 | 11.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCFT | -3.2% | 42.3% | 0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.9% | 23.7% | 0.25 | 46.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.1% | 17.0% | 0.50 | 44.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.5% | 17.8% | 1.03 | 0.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.7% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 5.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 38.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 5.8% | 56.5% | 0.32 | 18.7% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MCFT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCFT | 8.4% | 49.6% | 0.36 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.7% | 22.0% | 0.53 | 47.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 47.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.3% | 15.9% | 0.75 | -2.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.8% | 17.6% | 0.42 | 13.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 42.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 67.7% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 13.3% |
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Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/5/2026 | 6.4% | 5.6% | -14.7% |
| 11/6/2025 | -5.7% | -11.5% | -14.1% |
| 8/27/2025 | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| 5/7/2025 | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.6% |
| 2/6/2025 | 16.1% | 3.9% | -0.9% |
| 8/29/2024 | -6.0% | -11.3% | -8.8% |
| 2/7/2024 | 2.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| 11/8/2023 | -6.6% | -2.3% | -1.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 12 | 9 |
| # Negative | 11 | 8 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% |
| Median Negative | -5.7% | -7.8% | -10.0% |
| Max Positive | 16.1% | 12.2% | 60.0% |
| Max Negative | -19.3% | -22.4% | -14.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/05/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/30/2024 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/30/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/10/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 09/09/2022 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 2/5/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Revenue | 75.00 Mil | 8.7% | Higher New | Actual: 69.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |||
| Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 9.00 Mil | 80.0% | Higher New | Actual: 5.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |||
| Q3 2026 Adjusted EPS | 0.35 | 118.8% | Higher New | Actual: 0.16 for Q2 2026 | |||
| 2026 Revenue | 300.00 Mil | 305.00 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 0.8% | Raised | Guidance: 302.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 36.00 Mil | 37.50 Mil | 39.00 Mil | 15.4% | Raised | Guidance: 32.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 1.45 | 1.52 | 1.6 | 16.9% | Raised | Guidance: 1.3 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 9.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 9.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | 69.00 Mil | 3.0% | Raised | Guidance: 67.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |||
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 5.00 Mil | 25.0% | Raised | Guidance: 4.00 Mil for Q1 2026 | |||
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EPS | 0.16 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 0.16 for Q1 2026 | |||
| 2026 Revenue | 295.00 Mil | 302.50 Mil | 310.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 302.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 30.00 Mil | 32.50 Mil | 35.00 Mil | 3.2% | Raised | Guidance: 31.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 1.18 | 1.3 | 1.43 | 2.4% | Raised | Guidance: 1.27 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 9.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 9.00 Mil for 2026 | |||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coliseum, Capital Management, Llc | See Footnotes | Buy | 12222025 | 19.34 | 33,807 | 653,827 | 69,554,801 | Form | |
| 2 | Coliseum, Capital Management, Llc | See Footnotes | Buy | 12222025 | 19.79 | 76,000 | 1,504,040 | 72,677,231 | Form | |
| 3 | Coliseum, Capital Management, Llc | See Footnotes | Buy | 12222025 | 19.66 | 25,000 | 491,500 | 72,691,317 | Form | |
| 4 | Forager, Fund, Lp | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 20.50 | 44,981 | 922,110 | 36,038,877 | Form | |
| 5 | Forager, Fund, Lp | Direct | Sell | 11102025 | 20.37 | 58,066 | 1,182,804 | 34,627,533 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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