MasterCraft Boat (MCFT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.45 | Market Cap: $298.5 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products
MasterCraft Boat (MCFT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $18.45Market Cap: $298.5 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -23% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -19% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 46% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, and Travel & Leisure Tech. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -60%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -23% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
MCFT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The decline of approximately 16% in MasterCraft Boat (MCFT) stock from late October/early November 2025 to early December 2025 can be attributed to a combination of factors, despite the company reporting earnings beats during this period.
1. Profit-Taking After a Significant Rally: MasterCraft's stock experienced a substantial increase of 32.4% in the six months leading up to October 29, 2025, outperforming the S&P 500. This strong performance likely led to some investors selling shares to realize profits, contributing to a subsequent price correction.
2. Slightly Softened Analyst Sentiment and Earnings Estimate Revisions: While MasterCraft Boat reported an adjusted EPS of $0.28 for Q1 FY2026 (ended September 30, 2025), surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $0.16, the average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for the stock saw a slight deterioration. The ABR moved to 2.83 on December 3, 2025, from 2.50 a month prior (on a scale where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Strong Sell), indicating a subtle shift towards a more cautious "hold" stance. Additionally, the mean earnings estimate of analysts had fallen by about 37.2% in the three months prior to November 6, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MCFT Return | 58% | 14% | -9% | -12% | -16% | -4% | 17% |
| Peers Return | 21% | 23% | -25% | 28% | -5% | 22% | 65% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MCFT Win Rate | 75% | 75% | 50% | 42% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 57% | 33% | 50% | 48% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MCFT Max Drawdown | -67% | -4% | -34% | -24% | -28% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -49% | -2% | -33% | -8% | -17% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HAS, BC, MAT, THO, GOLF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MCFT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -74.0% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 284.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 94 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -64.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 178.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to HAS, BC, MAT, THO, GOLF
In The Past
MasterCraft Boat's stock fell -43.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/3/2023. A -43.6% loss requires a 77.2% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is MasterCraft Boat Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to MCFT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for MasterCraft Boat
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 76.29 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.1 |
| Rev LTM | 4,770 |
| Op Inc LTM | 306 |
| FCF LTM | 472 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 464 |
| CFO LTM | 618 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 662 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -9.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.1 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | 11.2 |
| P/E | 15.2 |
| P/CFO | 10.7 |
| Total Yield | 5.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 3M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 17.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 3.5% |
| 3Y Rtn | 16.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 3.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -12.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -51.4% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8272025 | 10-K 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8302024 | 10-K 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 10/1/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8302023 | 10-K 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2082023 | 10-Q 1/1/2023 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 10/2/2022 |
| 6302022 | 9092022 | 10-K 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5112022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 1/2/2022 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Forager Fund, L.P. | 11102025 | Sell | 20.50 | 44,981 | 922,110 | 36,038,877 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |