Tearsheet

Winmark (WINA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $437.5 | Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Winmark (WINA)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $437.5
Market Cap: $1.6 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Other Specialty Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 64%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 43x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.2%
  Key risks
WINA key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on franchisee renewals to protect its capital-light business model and [2] royalty revenues being sensitive to the sales performance of its franchisees.
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Circular Fashion, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
  
0 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 64%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 53%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 2.2%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Consumption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Circular Fashion, Eco-friendly Products, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 21x, P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 32x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 39x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 43x
7 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 55%
8 Key risks
WINA key risks include [1] a heavy dependence on franchisee renewals to protect its capital-light business model and [2] royalty revenues being sensitive to the sales performance of its franchisees.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WINA Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting why Winmark (WINA) stock moved by approximately -3.5% for the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Winmark Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Estimates. The company announced its third-quarter results on October 15, 2025, reporting diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.02. This figure fell short of the consensus analyst estimate of $3.22 per share.

2. Impact of Special Dividend Payout. Winmark declared a special cash dividend of $10.00 per share on October 15, 2025, with an ex-dividend date of November 12, 2025, and payable on December 1, 2025. Stock prices typically adjust downward by the dividend amount on the ex-dividend date, reflecting the distribution of capital to shareholders, which would contribute to a decline during this period.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WINA Return-4%39%-3%83%-3%14%161%
Peers Return39%26%-17%-14%-23%-16%-19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WINA Win Rate58%67%33%75%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%48%35%40%40%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WINA Max Drawdown-42%-8%-24%0%-20%-22% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-9%-31%-31%-38%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BNED, SPWH, JMG, TSCO, ULTA. See WINA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWINAS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-30.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven229 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-45.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven83.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven471 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-18.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven23.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven114 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-59.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven147.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven239 days1,480 days

Compare to BNED, SPWH, JMG, TSCO, ULTA


In The Past

Winmark's stock fell -30.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -30.7% loss requires a 44.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Winmark (WINA)

Better Bets than Winmark (WINA)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WINA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Winmark

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WINABNEDSPWHJMGTSCOULTAMedian
NameWinmark Barnes &.Sportsma.JM Tractor .Ulta Bea. 
Mkt Price436.508.701.426.0053.49585.9831.09
Mkt Cap1.60.30.1-28.324.51.6
Rev LTM851,5681,215-15,39911,9821,568
Op Inc LTM5432-10-1,4881,58654
FCF LTM45-69-40-9521,04245
FCF 3Y Avg44-36-30-76996144
CFO LTM45-57-18-1,8281,35945
CFO 3Y Avg44-2016-1,5991,34944

Growth & Margins

WINABNEDSPWHJMGTSCOULTAMedian
NameWinmark Barnes &.Sportsma.JM Tractor .Ulta Bea. 
Rev Chg LTM3.3%-0.3%-1.1%-4.3%5.5%3.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.6%2.3%-5.4%-4.5%7.3%2.3%
Rev Chg Q5.2%2.1%2.2%-7.2%12.9%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%0.6%0.6%-1.7%2.8%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM64.3%2.0%-0.8%-9.7%13.2%9.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg64.3%-0.4%-0.6%-9.9%14.0%9.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.9%0.4%0.3%--0.0%-0.4%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM53.0%-3.6%-1.5%-11.9%11.3%11.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg52.7%-1.3%1.3%-10.6%11.8%10.6%
FCF/Rev LTM52.8%-4.4%-3.3%-6.2%8.7%6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg52.4%-2.3%-2.3%-5.1%8.4%5.1%

Valuation

WINABNEDSPWHJMGTSCOULTAMedian
NameWinmark Barnes &.Sportsma.JM Tractor .Ulta Bea. 
Mkt Cap1.60.30.1-28.324.51.6
P/S20.90.20.1-2.02.02.0
P/EBIT32.0-8.7--20.2-20.2
P/E42.8-5.1-2.9-27.320.620.6
P/CFO39.5-6.3-6.0-16.518.016.5
Total Yield4.6%-19.5%-34.8%-3.7%4.9%3.7%
Dividend Yield2.2%0.0%0.0%-0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.0%12.4%--2.9%-3.0%
D/E0.01.0--0.2-0.2
Net D/E0.01.0--0.2-0.2

Returns

WINABNEDSPWHJMGTSCOULTAMedian
NameWinmark Barnes &.Sportsma.JM Tractor .Ulta Bea. 
1M Rtn6.7%23.2%-25.3%-50.0%-0.4%15.0%3.2%
3M Rtn-10.7%-1.2%-53.3%-50.0%-9.1%10.8%-9.9%
6M Rtn-0.3%-21.0%-61.6%-50.0%3.6%23.8%-10.7%
12M Rtn10.5%-25.4%-45.2%-50.0%-1.2%38.3%-13.3%
3Y Rtn98.9%-95.2%-84.8%-50.0%33.9%29.9%-10.1%
1M Excs Rtn6.0%22.5%-26.0%-50.8%-1.1%14.3%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-14.4%-5.8%-55.8%-51.4%-11.6%8.2%-13.0%
6M Excs Rtn-12.7%-33.4%-74.0%-62.4%-8.7%11.4%-23.0%
12M Excs Rtn-0.5%-45.6%-56.3%-61.1%-15.8%27.1%-30.7%
3Y Excs Rtn29.9%-162.8%-153.7%-118.5%-37.0%-44.3%-81.4%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Franchising7874  57
Other57  16
Total8381  73


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Franchising4949  35
Other45  8
Total5354  43


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Unallocated2121181232
Franchising89554
Other0141427
Total2930273162


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity212,033
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-10.4%
Average Daily Volume73,206
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.90
Basic Shares Quantity3,553,211
Short % of Basic Shares6.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/15/20253.6%-2.2%-2.1%
7/15/2025-0.1%0.7%8.4%
2/19/2025-1.5%-9.3%-13.2%
10/16/20242.3%3.3%10.4%
7/17/2024-3.1%-5.1%-13.3%
2/21/2024-1.7%-5.4%-11.9%
10/18/20230.9%3.4%10.9%
7/19/20232.9%3.7%5.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101213
# Negative865
Median Positive2.5%3.6%7.4%
Median Negative-1.5%-5.2%-13.2%
Max Positive4.2%10.3%24.5%
Max Negative-3.1%-9.3%-33.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251015202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025715202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025416202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/28/2024
93020241016202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024717202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024417202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/30/2023
93020231018202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023719202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023419202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221012202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022713202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022414202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021308202210-K 12/25/2021