Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $98.34 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Casinos & Gaming
Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $98.34Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Casinos & Gaming
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 6.8% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -42% | Key risksMCRI key risks include [1] heightened regulatory and licensing exposure, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Experiential Retail, and Casino Gaming. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.8%, FCF Yield is 6.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 30%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 23% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, Experiential Retail, and Casino Gaming. |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -42% |
| Key risksMCRI key risks include [1] heightened regulatory and licensing exposure, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) experienced an approximate stock price decline of 4.68% from late August 2025 to late December 2025. The stock was trading at approximately $103.16 on August 26, 2025 and closed at $98.33 on December 26, 2025. This downward movement can be attributed to several factors, despite the company reporting strong quarterly earnings.
Here are the key points for why the stock moved by approximately -4.68%:
<br><br><b>1. Q3 2025 Revenue Fell Short of Analyst Estimates.</b> While Monarch Casino & Resort's Q3 2025 earnings per share (EPS) beat consensus estimates, the company's quarterly revenue of $142.81 million was below analyst expectations of $145.54 million.
<br><br><b>2. Slowing Revenue Growth.</b> The company experienced a deceleration in its revenue growth rate. In Q3 2025, revenue growth slowed to 3.6% year-over-year, compared to 6.8% in the preceding quarter.
<br><br><b>3. Macroeconomic Risks and Industry Headwinds.</b> Persistent macroeconomic concerns such as continued inflation and a volatile stock market created a cautious environment for the casino industry, which relies on discretionary consumer spending.
<br><br><b>4. Downward Revision of Revenue Expectations.</b> The market revised its revenue expectations for MCRI for the full fiscal year 2025, with forecasts being adjusted downward by approximately 0.64% over a three-month period. This revision coincided with a roughly 4.87% change in the stock price during the same timeframe.
<br><br><b>5. Long-Term Industry Concerns.</b> Analysts have highlighted ongoing long-term risks for the casino sector, including a shrinking Baby Boomer population and increasing competition from online sports betting.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -5.7% change in MCRI stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -10.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 104.23 | 98.33 | -5.66% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 534.69 | 539.63 | 0.92% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.72% | 15.32% | 4.09% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.35 | 21.77 | -10.61% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18.38 | 18.30 | 0.47% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -5.66% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCRI | -5.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 12.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.8% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 13.5% change in MCRI stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 8.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 86.66 | 98.33 | 13.46% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 525.92 | 539.63 | 2.61% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 14.14% | 15.32% | 8.34% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.50 | 21.77 | 1.22% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18.45 | 18.30 | 0.83% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 13.46% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCRI | 13.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 20.6% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.9% | 21.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.5% change in MCRI stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 33.1% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 77.09 | 98.33 | 27.55% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 515.86 | 539.63 | 4.61% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 16.82% | 15.32% | -8.92% |
| P/E Multiple | 16.35 | 21.77 | 33.10% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18.40 | 18.30 | 0.58% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.55% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCRI | 27.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 42.5% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.0% | 44.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 46.5% change in MCRI stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 45.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 67.11 | 98.33 | 46.51% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 468.40 | 539.63 | 15.21% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 18.13% | 15.32% | -15.51% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.02 | 21.77 | 44.95% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19.00 | 18.30 | 3.69% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 46.31% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MCRI | 45.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 40.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 37.7% | 44.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MCRI Return | 26% | 21% | 4% | -3% | 16% | 26% | 125% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MCRI Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 50% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MCRI Max Drawdown | -71% | -14% | -27% | -19% | -6% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MCRI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -41.8% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 71.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 871 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -75.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 301.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -28.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 360 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -87.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 722.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,017 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Monarch Casino & Resort's stock fell -41.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -41.8% loss requires a 71.7% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
It's like MGM Resorts, but focused on regional casino destinations.
Think of it as a Caesars Entertainment for smaller, full-service casino resorts.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Casino Gaming: Operation of slot machines, table games, and sports betting for entertainment and wagering.
- Hotel Accommodations: Provision of guest rooms and suites for overnight stays.
- Food & Beverage Services: Offering a variety of dining options, from casual to fine dining, bars, and lounges.
- Spa & Wellness Services: Providing treatments such as massages, facials, and access to fitness facilities.
- Meeting & Event Facilities: Rental of spaces for corporate meetings, conferences, and social events.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) primarily sells its services directly to individuals.
The company serves up to three categories of customers:
- Casino Patrons/Gamblers: Individuals who visit the resorts specifically for gaming activities, including slot machines, table games, and sports betting.
- Hotel and Resort Guests: Individuals who utilize the company's hotel accommodations for leisure, business, or special occasions, often also engaging in dining, spa services, or other amenities.
- Dining, Entertainment, and Event Attendees: Individuals who frequent the resort's restaurants, bars, live entertainment venues, or attend meetings, conferences, or private events hosted at the facilities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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John J. Farahi, Co-Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
John J. Farahi has served as Co-Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer of Monarch Casino & Resort since its inception in 1993, and of its direct wholly owned subsidiary, Golden Road, since June 1993. The Farahi family's involvement with the company dates back to 1972 when his father, David Farahi, purchased the Golden Door Motel, which was later rebranded into the Clarion Hotel Casino and eventually became the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa. John Farahi, along with his brothers Bob and Ben, worked in the business during their college years. He holds a political science degree from California State University at Hayward. Farahi is noted for his conservative and hands-on approach to managing the company, prioritizing a strong balance sheet with minimal debt, a departure from many in the gaming industry. He is also a partner in Farahi Investment Company (FIC), engaged in real estate investment and development.
E. Edwin S. Koenig, Chief Financial & Accounting Officer
E. Edwin S. Koenig serves as the Chief Financial & Accounting Officer of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. and has also held the role of Chief Accounting Officer and Director of Corporate Development. He attended the University of Nevada, Las Vegas (UNLV).
Robert Farahi, Co-Chairman of the Board and President
Robert Farahi has been the Co-Chairman of the Board and President of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. and Golden Road since 1993. He is a founding team member of Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc., which was formally incorporated in 1993. Robert, alongside his brother John, has been instrumental in the strategic direction and operations of the company, which originated from their father's acquisition of the Golden Door Motel in 1972.
Darlyne Sullivan, Chief Product & Service Officer
Darlyne Sullivan has served as the Chief Product & Service Officer of Monarch Casino & Resort Inc. since October 3, 2015.
Michelle Shriver, Corporate Vice President of Operations
Michelle Shriver joined Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. as Corporate Vice President of Operations in August 2021, taking primary responsibility for the operations of the Monarch Casino Resort Spa Black Hawk. She has approximately 20 years of experience in the gaming and hospitality industry, including serving as executive vice president of Ameristar Casinos from 1996 to 2014, where she managed the operations of eight regional casino resorts.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The key risks to Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) primarily revolve around the highly competitive nature of the gaming industry, its susceptibility to economic fluctuations affecting discretionary consumer spending, and the pervasive regulatory environment governing its operations.
- Intense Market Competition: Monarch Casino & Resort operates in a fiercely competitive gaming and hospitality industry. It faces significant competition from other casinos, non-gaming resorts, internet gaming, and a broad range of other leisure and entertainment options. The ongoing competition is expected to intensify, and the potential legalization of additional casino gaming in its key marketing areas could further pressure its business.
- Sensitivity to Economic Conditions and Discretionary Consumer Spending: The company's financial performance is highly dependent on consumer discretionary spending. Economic downturns, continued inflation, and general market volatility can significantly impact consumers' willingness and ability to spend on gaming, hotel stays, and other leisure activities offered by Monarch, thereby adversely affecting its revenues and profitability.
- Regulatory and Licensing Risks: Monarch Casino & Resort operates within a heavily regulated industry. Its ability to operate depends on maintaining various state and local licenses, permits, and approvals. Changes in gaming laws, tax regulations, or the way these regulations are interpreted and enforced could negatively impact its operations. Regulatory authorities possess the power to limit, condition, suspend, revoke, or decline to renew licenses for reasonable cause, and the company has previously incurred fines for non-compliance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) is the accelerating shift of consumer preference and spend towards regulated online gaming (iGaming and online sports betting). This trend provides a convenient, at-home alternative to traditional physical casino visits, similar to how Netflix offered an alternative to Blockbuster's physical rentals or how Uber disrupted traditional taxi services.
While MCRI operates in markets like Colorado and Nevada where online sports betting is legal and growing, and Colorado also permits iGaming, the continued expansion and adoption of these digital platforms globally could significantly impact the foot traffic and revenue generated by their brick-and-mortar casino resorts. If MCRI's own digital strategies are not robust enough to capture a substantial share of this growing online market, or if the convenience of online play disproportionately cannibalizes their physical customer base without sufficient offset, it represents a fundamental disruption to their traditional business model.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Monarch Casino & Resort, Inc. (MCRI) primarily offers casino gaming and hospitality services, including hotel accommodations, dining, and spa facilities. The company operates in Reno, Nevada, and Black Hawk, Colorado.
The addressable markets for their main products and services are sized as follows:
-
Casino Gaming Market (U.S.): The U.S. casino gaming market size is estimated to grow by USD 9.5 billion between 2023 and 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.22%. Commercial gaming revenue in the United States reached a record of $66.5 billion in 2023.
- Nevada Casino Market (State-specific): Nevada's gaming industry generated $15.6 billion in total revenue in 2024.
- Colorado Casino Market (State-specific): Colorado casinos reported a total revenue of $1.48 billion in 2024.
- Resort Market (U.S.): The U.S. resort market generated a revenue of USD 48.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 123.7 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 17.1% from 2025 to 2030.
- Hotels & Motels Market (U.S.): The market size for Hotels & Motels in the U.S. was $285.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to be $286.5 billion in 2025.
- Hospitality Market (U.S.): The U.S. Hospitality Market size is estimated at USD 247.45 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 313.87 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 4.87% during the forecast period (2025-2030).
AI Analysis | Feedback
Monarch Casino & Resort (MCRI) is poised for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, driven by several key factors:
- Continued Growth from Monarch Black Hawk Expansion: The comprehensive expansion of the Monarch Casino Black Hawk property in Colorado is a significant driver. The full scope of its operations has already contributed to strong financial results, and the property continues to increase its market share and revenue across all segments. The elimination of betting limits in Colorado has further boosted table games revenue at this location, with analysts anticipating it will "outgrow the market as the best-in-class property, with amenities on par with Las Vegas casinos". Recent results confirm this trend, with casino revenue at Monarch Black Hawk increasing by 12.1% in Q2 2025 compared to the previous year.
- Atlantis Casino Resort Spa Enhancements and Market Share Gains: Significant capital investments, including a multi-year $100 million redesign and upgrade of hotel rooms at the Atlantis Casino Resort Spa in Reno, Nevada, were completed in Q2 2025. These enhancements are aimed at elevating the guest experience and have already resulted in market share gains, providing an "elevated and unmatched regional hospitality experience". The Reno market's revitalization, coupled with the property's fresh room product and continued investment, is expected to drive meaningful growth, with customer spending increasing across all business segments.
- Favorable Market Conditions and Sustained Demand: Monarch Casino & Resort benefits from robust macroeconomic trends and rapid population growth in its key markets of Black Hawk and Reno. There is also an ongoing impact from pent-up demand in the gaming industry. The company's strategy to focus on higher-income demographics and capitalize on strong employment rates in its feeder markets further supports sustained demand for its properties.
- Operational Efficiencies and Technological Advancements: The company's commitment to technology and operational efficiencies has led to improved operating margins. For instance, in Q2 2025, a focus on these areas contributed to an increase in operating margin and a decrease in casino operating expenses as a percentage of casino revenue. Investments in technology have also enabled Monarch to optimize labor requirements while maintaining high levels of guest service.
- Potential Mergers and Acquisitions: With a strong balance sheet and healthy free cash flow, Monarch Casino & Resort is well-positioned to pursue potential future mergers and acquisitions. Management has indicated a focus on M&A opportunities, seeking deals that could generate substantial annual cash flow and even exploring non-gaming hospitality-style acquisitions that could synergize with its existing casino operations.
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Share Repurchases
- In the third quarter of 2025, Monarch Casino & Resort purchased 111,169 shares of its common stock for an aggregate amount of $11.3 million.
- In the second quarter of 2025, the company repurchased 240,395 shares of its common stock for $19.8 million.
- As of September 30, 2025, the company had authorization to purchase up to 1,598,476 additional shares under its existing Repurchase Plan.
Share Issuance
- No significant share issuances were reported in the last 3-5 years.
Inbound Investments
- No large inbound investments by third-parties were reported in the last 3-5 years.
Outbound Investments
- Monarch Casino & Resort continuously evaluates potential merger and acquisition (M&A) transaction opportunities to drive additional long-term value for stockholders.
- The company remains highly selective on M&A, prioritizing targets where it also owns the real estate, in fundamentally sound, growing markets with solid regulations that do not permit iGaming.
Capital Expenditures
- In the first quarter of 2025, capital expenditures totaled $16 million, funded from operating cash flow, primarily for ongoing redesign and upgrade of guest rooms at Atlantis, and maintenance capital expenditures at both properties.
- In the third quarter of 2025, capital expenditures were $5.4 million, funded from operating cash flow, and included expenditures for the now completed redesign and upgrade of guest rooms at Atlantis, as well as ongoing maintenance capital expenditures.
- The expansion project at Monarch Black Hawk, including a 23-story hotel tower and additional gaming space, was completed in 2020, representing a substantial investment in the company's future.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to MCRI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
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| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons for Monarch Casino & Resort
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 88.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 20.3% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $98.33 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 1.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/10/1993 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -8.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $95.25 | $91.24 |
| DMA Trend | up | down |
| Distance from DMA | 3.2% | 7.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 19.3% | 30.6% |
| Downside Capture | 30.08 | 58.80 |
| Upside Capture | -4.07 | 73.57 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 14.1% | 42.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.75 | 0.68 | 0.75 |
| Up Beta | 0.41 | 0.91 | 0.87 | 0.93 | 0.63 | 0.67 |
| Down Beta | -0.77 | -0.16 | -0.15 | 0.18 | 0.75 | 0.77 |
| Up Capture | 91% | -15% | 13% | 90% | 59% | 47% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 26 | 39 | 74 | 142 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 13 | 18 | 29 | 64 | 129 | 390 |
| Down Capture | -4% | 51% | 71% | 90% | 74% | 95% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 7 | 24 | 34 | 62 | 118 | 359 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of MCRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCRI | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 27.2% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 30.4% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.79 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 44.0% | 42.4% | -10.8% | 7.3% | 35.4% | 15.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of MCRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCRI | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 13.9% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 33.5% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.46 | 0.36 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 46.7% | 47.0% | 1.7% | 13.0% | 38.9% | 21.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of MCRI With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCRI | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 17.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 39.4% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 54.5% | 55.2% | 1.9% | 21.8% | 50.1% | 19.1% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/22/2025 | -0.2% | -4.5% | 2.2% |
| 7/16/2025 | 20.0% | 23.9% | 16.4% |
| 4/22/2025 | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.5% |
| 2/11/2025 | 7.9% | 6.5% | -2.1% |
| 10/23/2024 | 6.5% | 8.1% | 13.6% |
| 7/25/2024 | 1.7% | -2.3% | -3.0% |
| 2/14/2024 | -0.1% | -0.4% | 3.1% |
| 10/18/2023 | -5.7% | -4.0% | 3.8% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 6 |
| Median Positive | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -4.0% | -3.4% |
| Max Positive | 20.0% | 26.5% | 33.3% |
| Max Negative | -19.5% | -46.4% | -30.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10282025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7292025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3032025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8072023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5082023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8052022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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