Dillard's (DDS)


Market Price (10/1/2026): $648.34 | Market Cap: $10.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Dillard's (DDS)


Market Price (10/1/2026): $648.34
Market Cap: $10.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4%

Key risks
DDS key risks include [1] inventory management concerns, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.6%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 6.1%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.2%, Dist 3Y High is -4.2%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4%
6 Key risks
DDS key risks include [1] inventory management concerns, Show more.

DDS in ETFs

Weight = DDS's share of each fund

VTI0.00%
ITOT0.00%
IWB0.00%
VIG0.01%
VYM0.01%
VB0.02%
FNDA0.13%
DFAS0.12%
+11 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 9/30/2026

Dillard's (DDS) stock has gained about 25% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Dillard's reported strong second quarter fiscal 2026 results that significantly surpassed earnings expectations. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $6.25 for the second quarter, which ended August 1, 2026, notably exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.04 by 54.7%. This robust performance contributed to a net income of $97.7 million for the quarter, compared to $72.8 million in the prior year's second quarter.

2. Significant one-time gains from tariff refunds and a litigation settlement bolstered profitability. Dillard's fiscal Q2 2026 net income included $37.2 million, or $1.82 per share after tax, from refunds of International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs. Furthermore, year-to-date results for the 26 weeks ended August 1, 2026, were significantly enhanced by a $104.1 million pre-tax gain, or $5.10 per share after tax, stemming from a favorable litigation settlement related to payment card interchange fees.

Show more
Updated on 9/30/2026

Dillard's (DDS) stock has gained about 25% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Dillard's reported strong second quarter fiscal 2026 results that significantly surpassed earnings expectations. The company announced earnings per share (EPS) of $6.25 for the second quarter, which ended August 1, 2026, notably exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.04 by 54.7%. This robust performance contributed to a net income of $97.7 million for the quarter, compared to $72.8 million in the prior year's second quarter.

2. Significant one-time gains from tariff refunds and a litigation settlement bolstered profitability. Dillard's fiscal Q2 2026 net income included $37.2 million, or $1.82 per share after tax, from refunds of International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs. Furthermore, year-to-date results for the 26 weeks ended August 1, 2026, were significantly enhanced by a $104.1 million pre-tax gain, or $5.10 per share after tax, stemming from a favorable litigation settlement related to payment card interchange fees.

3. The company demonstrated strong financial health and committed to shareholder returns through a dividend declaration. Dillard's maintained a solid balance sheet, closing its second fiscal quarter of 2026 with over $1.2 billion in cash and short-term investments. This financial strength supported the declaration of a $0.30 per share cash dividend on August 20, 2026, which translates to an annual dividend of $1.20 per share.

4. Ongoing strategic initiatives, particularly in omnichannel operations and merchandise differentiation, drove sales and margin improvement. Dillard's continued investments in strengthening its store base and enhancing its omnichannel capabilities contributed to a 1% increase in comparable store sales in Q2 fiscal 2026. The company's focus on merchandise differentiation, including exclusive brands, which accounted for 22.3% of storewide sales penetration in the first half of fiscal 2026, also helped improve its retail gross margin to 40.9% of sales in the second fiscal quarter.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 26.8% change in DDS stock from 6/30/2026 to 9/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 22.2% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)63020269302026Change
Stock Price ($)528.19669.9926.8%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,6056,599-0.1%
Net Income Margin (%)9.9%10.3%3.9%
P/E Multiple12.615.322.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)16160.0%
Cumulative Contribution26.8%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/30/2026 to 9/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DDS26.8% 
Market (SPY)2.1%15.6%
Sector (XLY)-7.2%27.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 17.2% change in DDS stock from 3/31/2026 to 9/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.9% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120269302026Change
Stock Price ($)571.54669.9917.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,5636,5990.5%
Net Income Margin (%)8.7%10.3%18.9%
P/E Multiple15.615.3-1.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)16160.0%
Cumulative Contribution17.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2026 to 9/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DDS17.2% 
Market (SPY)17.6%13.3%
Sector (XLY)0.1%22.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The 13.9% change in DDS stock from 9/30/2025 to 9/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.2% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)93020259302026Change
Stock Price ($)587.97669.9913.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,5866,5990.2%
Net Income Margin (%)8.7%10.3%18.2%
P/E Multiple16.015.3-3.8%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)16160.0%
Cumulative Contribution13.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 9/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DDS13.9% 
Market (SPY)15.4%19.0%
Sector (XLY)-8.6%23.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The 137.3% change in DDS stock from 9/30/2023 to 9/30/2026 was primarily driven by a 167.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020239302026Change
Stock Price ($)282.29669.99137.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,9476,599-5.0%
Net Income Margin (%)11.7%10.3%-11.4%
P/E Multiple5.715.3167.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)16165.5%
Cumulative Contribution137.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2023 to 9/30/2026
ReturnCorrelation
DDS137.3% 
Market (SPY)84.5%33.9%
Sector (XLY)38.3%36.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
DDS Return306%39%32%13%47%12%1287%
Peers Return36%-17%12%6%28%3%75%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%104%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DDS Win Rate75%58%50%50%58%56% 
Peers Win Rate55%38%55%53%58%56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%44% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DDS Max Drawdown-41%-43%-34%-30%-42%-27% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-47%-36%-26%-31%-31% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: M, KSS, TJX, ROST, BURL. See DDS Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 9/30/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventDDSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-42.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven111 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven99 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-30.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven197 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-21.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven25 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-64.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven184.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven252 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven64 days105 days

Compare to M, KSS, TJX, ROST, BURL

In The Past

Dillard's's stock fell -42.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 72.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventDDSS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-42.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven72.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven111 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-21.6%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.6%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven99 days18 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-30.4%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven43.7%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven197 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-21.0%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven26.6%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven25 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-64.9%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven184.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven252 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.8%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven38.5%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven64 days105 days
2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff
  % Loss-23.2%-3.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven30.2%3.9%
  Time to Breakeven117 days6 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-36.7%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven58.1%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven886 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-46.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven86.0%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1953 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-34.6%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.9%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven193 days123 days
2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash
  % Loss-34.4%-15.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven52.3%18.2%
  Time to Breakeven134 days125 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-85.4%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven582.9%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven390 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-45.2%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven82.4%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven1177 days47 days

Compare to M, KSS, TJX, ROST, BURL

In The Past

Dillard's's stock fell -42.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 72.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dillard's (DDS)

Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) operates as a major retail company across the southeastern, southwestern, and midwestern regions of the United States. The company's primary business involves running a chain of upscale department stores, which, as of early 2022, included 280 Dillard's stores, encompassing both full-line locations and clearance centers. Its retail presence is further extended through its comprehensive internet store at dillards.com.

The core offering of Dillard's stores is a wide selection of consumer goods designed to meet the fashion and home needs of its customers. This merchandise includes a diverse range of fashion apparel for women, men, and children, complemented by accessories, cosmetics, and various home furnishings. The company targets mainstream consumers in its geographic markets, providing a curated shopping experience for their personal and household product desires.

Beyond its extensive retail operations, Dillard's also engages in general contracting construction activities. While its primary identity remains rooted in its department store chain, this ancillary business contributes to the company's overall operational scope.

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1. Macy's for the South and Midwest.

2. A regional, slightly more upscale Kohl's.

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  • Fashion Apparel: Clothing for women, men, and children sold through its department stores.
  • Accessories: Various items such as jewelry, handbags, shoes, and other adornments for personal use.
  • Cosmetics: Beauty products including makeup, skincare, and fragrances.
  • Home Furnishings: Merchandise for decorating and equipping homes, such as furniture, decor, and kitchenware.
  • Other Consumer Goods: A broad category encompassing various other retail products available in its department stores.
  • General Contracting Construction Services: Building and construction activities provided by the company as a contractor.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Dillard's (DDS) sells primarily to individual consumers rather than other companies. Based on its retail department store model, its major customer categories include:

  • General Apparel and Accessories Shoppers: This broad category includes individuals and families purchasing fashion apparel for women, men, and children, as well as accessories, footwear, handbags, jewelry, and beauty products for personal use or as everyday gifts.
  • Home Furnishings and Decor Shoppers: These customers are individuals buying items for their homes, such as bedding, bath linens, kitchenware, small home appliances, home decor, and other domestic goods.
  • Occasional and Gift Shoppers: Customers purchasing items for specific occasions, holidays, or as gifts for others. Dillard's wide range of merchandise makes it a destination for gifts across various categories, from fashion to home goods.

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William T. Dillard II, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

William T. Dillard II is the son of Dillard's founder, William T. Dillard, and has served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Dillard's, Inc. He earned a Bachelor of Business Administration from the University of Arkansas and an M.B.A. from Harvard Business School. Dillard II joined the company's board of directors in 1967, became president and chief operating officer in 1977, assumed the role of chief executive officer in 1998, and was named chairman in 2002. He has been involved in nearly every aspect of the company's operations for over 55 years and was an early adopter of technology, introducing data processing and computerizing purchase orders as early as 1973. He has also served on the boards of Acxiom Corp. since 1988 and Barnes & Noble since 1993. Under his leadership, Dillard's has navigated economic challenges and transformed its retail strategy by focusing on curated, higher-quality brands and expanding e-commerce capabilities.

Chris Johnson, Senior Vice President, Co-Principal Financial Officer

Chris Johnson serves as Senior Vice President and Co-Principal Financial Officer of Dillard's, Inc. He has been in this role since 2015.

Phillip Watts, Senior Vice President, Co-Principal Financial Officer and Principal Accounting Officer

Phillip Watts holds the titles of Senior Vice President, Co-Principal Financial Officer, and Principal Accounting Officer at Dillard's, Inc.

Alex Dillard, President and Director

Alex Dillard, the son of the founder William T. Dillard, is the President of Dillard's, Inc. He has served on the company's Board of Directors since 1975 and has over 50 years of experience in virtually every aspect of Dillard's operations and merchandising. He works closely with the CEO in the day-to-day supervision of the business.

Mike Dillard, Executive Vice President and Director

Mike Dillard, also a son of the company's founder, is an Executive Vice President of Dillard's, Inc. He has been a member of the Board of Directors since 1976 and has spent his entire professional career within the company, heading one of its largest merchandising divisions.

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Here are the key risks to Dillard's business:
  1. Intense Competition and Evolving Retail Landscape: Dillard's operates in a highly competitive retail environment, facing numerous competitors including national and local department stores, specialty retailers, off-price retailers, and online platforms like Amazon. The traditional department store model is experiencing a long-term decline, with consumers increasingly shifting towards value and digital convenience. The company's success depends on its ability to predict and respond to fashion trends and changing customer preferences, including the rapid shift towards online shopping and discount retailers.
  2. Economic Conditions and Consumer Spending: Dillard's financial performance is highly sensitive to changes in overall economic conditions that impact consumer confidence and spending, especially in the regions where it operates. Economic uncertainty and fluctuations can lead to decreased sales and profitability, as the company has faced weak consumer sentiment. The ability to pass on cost increases to customers also remains uncertain amidst economic and geopolitical factors like inflation.
  3. Slowing Sales, Profitability Concerns, and Inventory Management: Dillard's has experienced challenges with slowing earnings, limited top-line growth, and declining sales performance. Recent reports indicate a decline in comparable store sales and a projected drop in revenue by analysts. Effective inventory management is a critical weakness in the department store sector; Dillard's has shown signs of potential overstocking, which can lead to markdowns and reduced profitability.

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The aggressive expansion of online-only retailers specializing in fast fashion and direct-to-consumer (DTC) models presents a clear emerging threat to Dillard's. This includes:

  • Online Fast Fashion Giants: Companies like Shein, Temu, and Boohoo leverage highly efficient global supply chains, rapid trend replication, and sophisticated digital marketing to offer vast assortments of affordable, trendy apparel and accessories directly to consumers online. This business model fundamentally challenges Dillard's traditional retail approach by offering extreme convenience, competitive pricing, and constantly refreshed inventory at a speed and scale difficult for department stores to match, thereby shifting consumer expectations and market share.

  • Accelerated Shift to Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) by Major Brands: An increasing number of established and emerging brands across apparel, cosmetics, and home goods are investing heavily in and prioritizing their own online retail channels (and sometimes dedicated physical stores). This trend allows brands to capture higher margins, control their customer experience, and build direct relationships, effectively bypassing traditional department stores like Dillard's. This disintermediation erodes Dillard's role as a primary distribution channel, diminishes its unique product offerings and selection advantage, and can lead to reduced foot traffic and online sales.

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The addressable markets for Dillard's main products and services in the U.S. are as follows:

  • Women's Fashion Apparel: The U.S. women's apparel market was projected to be USD 291.57 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach USD 390.49 billion by 2032.
  • Men's Fashion Apparel: The U.S. menswear market is anticipated to reach USD 154.5 billion in 2025.
  • Children's Fashion Apparel: The U.S. kids' apparel market is projected to grow from USD 49.01 billion in 2025 to USD 69.76 billion by 2035.
  • Accessories: The U.S. fashion accessories market was valued at USD 223.2 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 477.4 billion by 2034.
  • Cosmetics: The U.S. cosmetics market size was estimated at USD 62.97 billion in 2023.
  • Home Furnishings: The U.S. home furnishing market generated a revenue of USD 252.27 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 412.14 billion by 2030.
  • General Contracting Construction: The overall U.S. construction market, which includes general contracting activities, was valued at USD 2.2 trillion in 2025.

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Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for Dillard's (DDS)

Over the next 2-3 years, Dillard's (DDS) is expected to focus on several key areas to drive or sustain future revenue growth, amidst a generally challenging retail environment:

  1. E-commerce Expansion and Omnichannel Presence: Dillard's has an opportunity to expand its e-commerce platform and enhance its omnichannel presence by investing in digital capabilities to integrate online and offline shopping experiences. This strategy aims to capture a larger share of the growing online market.
  2. Strategic Store Optimization and Targeted New Store Openings: The company plans to strategically optimize its store portfolio, which includes closing underperforming locations, remodeling existing stores, and opening new ones in high-potential markets. For instance, a new 160,000 square-foot Dillard's location is planned to open in March 2026 at The Mall at Fairfield Commons in Beavercreek, Ohio.
  3. Growth and Leverage of Clearance Centers: Dillard's operates dedicated clearance centers that have demonstrated success as a high-performing asset, appealing to value-conscious consumers. These centers experienced a 7.5% rise in traffic between January and August 2025, indicating their potential as a significant revenue contributor and a model for future expansion.
  4. Focus on High-Performing Product Categories and Improved Merchandising: While facing headwinds, Dillard's has shown strength in specific categories, such as activewear, and has achieved high retail gross margins through improved merchandising and efficient inventory control. Sustaining and expanding on these efforts in product selection and management can support revenue performance.

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Share Repurchases

  • In May 2023, Dillard's authorized a new share repurchase program for up to $500 million of its Class A Common Stock. This authorization followed the completion of its previous share repurchase program.
  • During the 39 weeks ended November 1, 2025, the company repurchased approximately 300,000 shares of Class A Common Stock for $107.8 million. As of that date, $165.2 million remained authorized under the May 2023 program.
  • The company completed a $334.79 million buyback program.

Share Issuance

  • The number of shares outstanding for Dillard's has consistently declined over the past few years, indicating share repurchases rather than issuances. Annual shares outstanding were 17.135 million in 2023, 16.23 million in 2024, and 15.904 million in 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Dillard's projects a capital expenditure of $130 million for 2026, aimed at enhancing growth and operational efficiency.
  • This projected capital expenditure for 2026 includes funding for projects such as a new 160,000 square foot store in Beavercreek, Ohio.
  • Actual capital expenditures were $93 million for fiscal year 2025, $132.944 million in 2024, and $120.105 million in 2023.

Better Bets vs. Dillard's (DDS)

Peer Outperformance in Broadline Retail

DDS has outperformed 100% of its 14 Broadline Retail peers over 5Y. Broadline Retail ranks 19th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Broadline Retail constituents that DDS has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
69%
of 16 industry peers · 13.9% return
3Y
93%
of 15 industry peers · 137.3% return
5Y
100%
of 14 industry peers · 390.9% return
No Broadline Retail peer with a comparable growth profile has beaten DDS by more than 20pp over 5Y.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Broadline Retail is DDS's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -20.9%73.2%68.2% CVSA 226% · LINC 224% · PRDO 206%
Homebuilding 18 -10.6%32.5%49.4% GRBK 217% · PHM 164% · TOL 157%
Specialty Stores 7 0.9%36.5%24.2% SIG 34% · FIVE 26% · ASO 25%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 14.0%43.2%-2.1% RCL 198% · MAR 138% · HLT 133%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -27.8%-5.9%-2.1% HVT 18% · LOW 0% · HD -2%
Automotive Retail 18 -19.8%-6.2%-4.0% MUSA 207% · PAG 122% · ORLY 112%
Home Furnishings 4 -7.3%24.1%-14.3% SGI 41% · LZB 2% · MHK -30%
Distributors 4 -14.0%-26.6%-14.7% ARMK 119% · GPC 19% · LKQ -49%
Footwear 9 52.5%50.8%-16.9% WEYS 184% · DECK 28% · SHOO 24%
Restaurants 36 -10.4%-12.8%-20.1% EAT 271% · CAKE 140% · BH-A 110%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -17.8%10.7%-20.9% HRB 89% · FTDR 74% · SCI 36%
Leisure Products 13 -27.1%-23.0%-39.4% GOLF 83% · HAS 20% · MCFT -24%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -13.2%-13.3%-42.1% MOD 1468% · GTX 269% · CAAS 87%
Apparel Retail 26 2.4%8.8%-42.8% ANF 247% · URBN 151% · ROST 122%
Household Appliances 18 -3.6%-2.0%-43.4% FLXS 210% · HBB 186% · KEQU 165%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -9.6%47.0%-44.3% BBY 6% · GME -44% · UPBD -63%
Leisure Facilities 11 0.1%-12.9%-44.9% JAKK 123% · OSW 121% · ESCA 23%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 29 -11.4%10.3%-48.2% TPR 244% · RL 241% · ELA 197%
Broadline Retail ← 15 0.1%23.7%-49.0% DDS 391% · EBAY 66% · AMZN 52%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -22.0%-34.1%-50.1% MCRI 84% · RRR 17% · RSI 7%
Consumer Electronics 11 -15.3%-23.1%-73.4% AXIL 3079% · GRMN 105% · SONO -45%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -77.8%-50.9%-75.9% GM 51% · TSLA 37% · F 16%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -38.7%-48.6%-81.1% TLF 99% · BBW 76% · WINA 60%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DDSMKSSTJXROSTBURLMedian
NameDillard'sMacy's Kohl's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt. 
Mkt Price657.1822.7719.02133.55235.14274.74184.34
Mkt Cap10.3-2.1147.474.717.317.3
Rev LTM6,599-15,43062,36324,51212,21715,430
Op Inc LTM733-5967,9153,370988988
FCF LTM635-1,0345,8762,7903901,034
FCF 3Y Avg646-7414,7902,032145741
CFO LTM724-1,3528,0343,6611,4151,415
CFO 3Y Avg748-1,1496,7692,8311,0891,149

Growth & Margins

DDSMKSSTJXROSTBURLMedian
NameDillard'sMacy's Kohl's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt. 
Rev Chg LTM0.2%--2.9%7.7%14.0%10.9%7.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.7%--4.6%6.8%8.6%10.3%6.8%
Rev Chg Q-0.4%--0.9%5.4%13.3%11.0%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.1%--0.2%1.3%3.1%2.5%1.3%
Op Inc Chg LTM2.5%-14.4%22.2%30.6%29.2%22.2%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-9.9%-103.7%15.7%19.3%30.0%19.3%
Op Mgn LTM11.1%-3.9%12.7%13.7%8.1%11.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.4%-3.7%11.6%12.6%7.1%11.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.6%-0.7%0.4%1.5%0.8%0.7%
CFO/Rev LTM11.0%-8.8%12.9%14.9%11.6%11.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.3%-7.1%11.5%12.5%9.7%11.3%
FCF/Rev LTM9.6%-6.7%9.4%11.4%3.2%9.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg9.7%-4.6%8.1%9.0%1.3%8.1%

Valuation

DDSMKSSTJXROSTBURLMedian
NameDillard'sMacy's Kohl's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt. 
Mkt Cap10.3-2.1147.474.717.317.3
P/S1.6-0.12.43.01.41.6
P/Op Inc14.0-3.618.622.217.517.5
P/EBIT13.2-3.618.221.117.017.0
P/E15.1-8.024.328.124.224.2
P/CFO14.2-1.618.420.412.214.2
Total Yield11.2%-15.6%5.5%4.3%4.3%5.5%
Dividend Yield4.6%-2.7%1.3%0.7%0.0%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.0%-43.3%3.3%3.9%0.7%3.9%
D/E0.0-3.00.10.10.30.1
Net D/E-0.1-2.60.10.00.30.1

Returns

DDSMKSSTJXROSTBURLMedian
NameDillard'sMacy's Kohl's TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Burlingt. 
1M Rtn5.0%4.6%7.5%-0.3%3.1%5.8%4.8%
3M Rtn21.9%-2.0%2.0%-11.5%11.2%-12.8%0.0%
6M Rtn14.0%27.8%49.9%-17.0%7.3%-17.0%10.7%
12M Rtn11.8%31.5%27.5%-6.5%55.6%8.0%19.6%
3Y Rtn132.8%121.8%9.4%56.2%114.4%103.1%108.7%
1M Excs Rtn5.5%5.0%7.9%0.2%3.5%6.2%5.2%
3M Excs Rtn19.7%-4.2%-0.3%-13.8%8.9%-15.1%-2.3%
6M Excs Rtn-1.9%10.7%31.9%-33.2%-8.4%-33.3%-5.1%
12M Excs Rtn-3.8%14.9%12.1%-20.8%41.2%-8.7%4.2%
3Y Excs Rtn67.3%55.4%-67.1%-19.8%43.8%26.1%35.0%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Retail Operations6,2326,2196,4806,7026,375
Construction269295321214118
Service charges and other income90108122125131
Elimination of intersegment revenues-27-31-48-45 
Total6,5636,5906,8746,9966,624


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Retail Operations3,4393,4543,3783,2743,200
Construction6677715546
Total3,5053,5313,4493,3293,246


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$669.99 
Market Cap ($ Bil)10.5 
First Trading Date06/30/1989 
Distance from 52W High-4.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$624.26$603.84
DMA Trendindeterminateup
Distance from DMA7.3%11.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility39.0%40.6%
Downside Capture-15.3853.65
Upside Capture104.9759.78
Correlation (SPY)15.5%18.9%
DDS Betas & Captures as of 9/30/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta0.790.750.550.410.590.92
Up Beta-2.040.35-0.050.060.581.03
Down Beta0.740.851.550.730.670.88
Up Capture154%125%105%49%48%83%
Bmk +ve Days6162766132424
Stock +ve Days15254272133393
Down Capture10%17%-31%35%62%93%
Bmk -ve Days16263760120328
Stock -ve Days7172254119359

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DDS
DDS13.0%40.5%0.40-
Sector ETF (XLY)-9.1%19.4%-0.6123.0%
Equity (SPY)15.9%13.0%0.8718.9%
Gold (GLD)8.1%29.6%0.268.8%
Commodities (DBC)43.1%20.8%1.61-10.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.2%13.6%-0.0913.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-27.1%44.5%-0.5816.8%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DDS
DDS32.7%50.1%0.74-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.4%24.1%0.1444.9%
Equity (SPY)13.2%17.2%0.5943.0%
Gold (GLD)18.2%18.9%0.782.9%
Commodities (DBC)10.6%19.6%0.4214.6%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.5%18.9%-0.0835.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)13.9%52.3%0.4418.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with DDS
DDS31.9%59.6%0.71-
Sector ETF (XLY)11.9%22.2%0.4940.4%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7339.2%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.4%0.58-0.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.4%18.1%0.3815.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.5%20.7%0.1834.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.6%66.2%1.0310.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date9152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 8312026-2.2%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity15.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.0%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 9/16/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/2026-8.6%-2.6%6.3%
5/14/20260.7%3.2%5.8%
2/24/20260.7%2.7%-4.8%
11/13/2025-4.4%-10.2%2.5%
8/14/20253.4%1.6%17.7%
5/15/20252.4%3.0%0.9%
2/25/2025-4.2%-19.3%-19.6%
11/14/2024-1.4%0.2%4.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive181717
# Negative677
Median Positive2.8%5.6%6.3%
Median Negative-2.9%-9.7%-9.0%
Max Positive22.7%26.8%59.1%
Max Negative-8.6%-19.3%-19.6%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/13/2026-8.6%-2.6%6.3%
5/14/20260.7%3.2%5.8%
2/24/20260.7%2.7%-4.8%
11/13/2025-4.4%-10.2%2.5%
8/14/20253.4%1.6%17.7%
5/15/20252.4%3.0%0.9%
2/25/2025-4.2%-19.3%-19.6%
11/14/2024-1.4%0.2%4.2%
8/15/20241.2%-0.7%0.8%
5/16/20240.7%2.0%-2.0%
2/26/20240.5%-4.6%1.9%
11/9/20230.2%7.8%30.4%
8/10/2023-1.6%-9.7%-13.8%
5/11/20230.2%3.4%20.7%
2/21/20232.6%5.8%-9.0%
11/10/202210.3%13.4%3.6%
8/11/20223.0%12.7%6.8%
5/12/20223.5%-12.8%-7.7%
2/23/20227.0%17.8%21.7%
11/12/20214.2%9.7%-19.4%
8/13/20214.6%2.2%2.3%
5/13/202122.7%26.8%59.1%
2/22/2021-0.4%10.3%10.4%
11/12/20205.8%5.6%10.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive181717
# Negative677
Median Positive2.8%5.6%6.3%
Median Negative-2.9%-9.7%-9.0%
Max Positive22.7%26.8%59.1%
Max Negative-8.6%-19.3%-19.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/04/202610-Q
04/30/202606/05/202610-Q
01/31/202603/27/202610-K
10/31/202512/05/202510-Q
07/31/202509/05/202510-Q
04/30/202506/06/202510-Q
01/31/202503/28/202510-K
10/31/202412/06/202410-Q
07/31/202409/06/202410-Q
04/30/202406/07/202410-Q
01/31/202403/29/202410-K
10/31/202312/07/202310-Q
07/31/202309/01/202310-Q
04/30/202306/02/202310-Q
01/31/202303/27/202310-K
10/31/202212/02/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
07/31/202609/04/202610-Q
04/30/202606/05/202610-Q
01/31/202603/27/202610-K
10/31/202512/05/202510-Q
07/31/202509/05/202510-Q
04/30/202506/06/202510-Q
01/31/202503/28/202510-K
10/31/202412/06/202410-Q
07/31/202409/06/202410-Q
04/30/202406/07/202410-Q
01/31/202403/29/202410-K
10/31/202312/07/202310-Q
07/31/202309/01/202310-Q
04/30/202306/02/202310-Q
01/31/202303/27/202310-K
10/31/202212/02/202210-Q
07/31/202209/01/202210-Q
04/30/202206/03/202210-Q
01/31/202203/29/202210-K
10/31/202112/03/202110-Q
07/31/202109/03/202110-Q
04/30/202106/09/202110-Q
01/31/202103/29/202110-K
10/31/202012/04/202010-Q
07/31/202009/04/202010-Q
04/30/202006/05/202010-Q
01/31/202003/31/202010-K
10/31/201912/11/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 9/28/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/13/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Depreciation and amortizationReported 175.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 175.00 Mil for 2026
2026 RentalsReported 18.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 18.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Interest and debt (income) expense, netReported -9.00 Mil 80.0% LoweredGuidance: -5.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expendituresReported 120.00 Mil -7.7% LoweredGuidance: 130.00 Mil for 2026


Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/14/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Depreciation and amortizationReported 175.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 175.00 Mil for 2026
2026 RentalsReported 18.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 18.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Interest and debt (income) expense, netReported -5.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: -5.00 Mil for 2026
2026 Capital expendituresReported 130.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 130.00 Mil for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/24/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Depreciation and amortizationReported 175.00 Mil -2.8% Lower NewActual: 180.00 Mil for 2025
2026 RentalsReported 18.00 Mil -10.0% Lower NewActual: 20.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Interest and debt (income) expense, netReported -5.00 Mil -28.6% Higher NewActual: -7.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Capital expendituresReported 130.00 Mil 30.0% Higher NewActual: 100.00 Mil for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/13/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricSourceLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Depreciation and amortizationReported 180.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 180.00 Mil for 2025
2025 RentalsReported 20.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 20.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Interest and debt (income) expense, netReported -7.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: -7.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Capital expendituresReported 100.00 Mil -16.7% LoweredGuidance: 120.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 8/26/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Watts, J C JRDirectSell6052026609.18400243,6726,183,177Form
2Watts, J C JRDirectSell10172025594.60750445,9506,094,650Form
3Johnson, Chris BSENIOR VICE PRESIDENTDirectSell10012025617.00400246,8005,769,567Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Watts, J C JRDirectSell6052026609.18400243,6726,183,177Form
2Watts, J C JRDirectSell10172025594.60750445,9506,094,650Form
3Johnson, Chris BSENIOR VICE PRESIDENTDirectSell10012025617.00400246,8005,769,567Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Oct 1, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$18.9 Mil2.7%31TRIM -20.7%13F
Active Manager
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$18.9 Mil2.7%31TRIM -20.7%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Summit Street Capital Management, LLC$18.9 Mil2.7%31TRIM -20.7%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 9/30/2026