Tearsheet

Burlington Stores (BURL)


Market Price (4/1/2026): $325.41 | Market Cap: $20.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Burlington Stores (BURL)


Market Price (4/1/2026): $325.41
Market Cap: $20.4 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%

Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Value Retail. Themes include Off-Price Business Model, Discount Merchandising, and Inventory Liquidation.

Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%

Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -2.3%

Key risks
BURL key risks include [1] reduced discretionary spending from its core low-income customer base due to economic pressures and [2] supply chain disruptions threatening its opportunistic buying model, Show more.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Value Retail. Themes include Off-Price Business Model, Discount Merchandising, and Inventory Liquidation.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.2%, Dist 3Y High is -1.2%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -2.3%
5 Key risks
BURL key risks include [1] reduced discretionary spending from its core low-income customer base due to economic pressures and [2] supply chain disruptions threatening its opportunistic buying model, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Burlington Stores (BURL) stock has gained about 15% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Burlington Stores reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results.

The company announced Q4 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.99, exceeding its own guidance of $4.50 to $4.70 and analyst estimates. Total sales for the fourth quarter grew 11% year-over-year to $3.65 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. Additionally, comparable store sales increased by 4% in Q4. This strong performance indicates robust execution during its largest quarter.

2. The company demonstrated significant profitability and margin expansion.

Burlington Stores reported an increase in its adjusted EBIT margin by 100 basis points compared to Q4 of fiscal year 2024, exceeding the high end of its expectations by 50 basis points. Gross margin also improved by 80 basis points, reaching 43.7%. Management attributed some of this success to effective actions taken to offset the negative impact of tariffs introduced earlier in the year.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 12.6% change in BURL stock from 12/31/2025 to 3/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 5.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)123120253312026Change
Stock Price ($)288.85325.3812.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,19711,5673.3%
Net Income Margin (%)5.0%5.3%5.4%
P/E Multiple32.533.53.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)63630.3%
Cumulative Contribution12.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 3/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BURL12.6% 
Market (SPY)-5.4%39.5%
Sector (XLY)-8.7%40.1%

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.9% change in BURL stock from 9/30/2025 to 3/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 14.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020253312026Change
Stock Price ($)254.50325.3827.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)11,01711,5675.0%
Net Income Margin (%)5.0%5.3%6.4%
P/E Multiple29.433.514.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)63630.4%
Cumulative Contribution27.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 3/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BURL27.9% 
Market (SPY)-2.9%29.8%
Sector (XLY)-8.9%26.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 36.5% change in BURL stock from 3/31/2025 to 3/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 11.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120253312026Change
Stock Price ($)238.33325.3836.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)10,63511,5678.8%
Net Income Margin (%)4.7%5.3%11.4%
P/E Multiple30.033.511.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)63630.9%
Cumulative Contribution36.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 3/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BURL36.5% 
Market (SPY)16.3%49.9%
Sector (XLY)11.0%49.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 61.0% change in BURL stock from 3/31/2023 to 3/31/2026 was primarily driven by a 99.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
(LTM values as of)33120233312026Change
Stock Price ($)202.10325.3861.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)8,70311,56732.9%
Net Income Margin (%)2.6%5.3%99.5%
P/E Multiple57.233.5-41.4%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)65633.7%
Cumulative Contribution61.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 3/31/2026
ReturnCorrelation
BURL61.0% 
Market (SPY)63.3%42.7%
Sector (XLY)49.1%43.6%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
BURL Return11%-30%-4%47%1%8%19%
Peers Return5%-16%25%7%15%-3%33%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-7%69%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BURL Win Rate42%42%42%58%50%100% 
Peers Win Rate52%42%63%53%58%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BURL Max Drawdown-9%-62%-43%-9%-24%-0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-15%-36%-15%-16%-26%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: TJX, ROST, KSS, OLLI, TGT. See BURL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/31/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBURLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-68.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven221.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven106.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven280 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-22.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven94 days120 days

Compare to TJX, ROST, KSS, OLLI, TGT

In The Past

Burlington Stores's stock fell -68.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/11/2021. A -68.9% loss requires a 221.2% gain to breakeven.

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About Burlington Stores (BURL)

Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a retailer of branded apparel products in the United States. The company provides fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, toys, gifts, and coats, as well as baby, home, and beauty products. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 837 stores under the Burlington Stores name, 2 stores under the Cohoes Fashions name, and 1 store under the MJM Designer Shoes name in 45 states and Puerto Rico. Burlington Stores, Inc. was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Burlington, New Jersey.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Burlington is like TJ Maxx or Marshalls for discounted brand-name apparel and home goods.

It's an off-price retailer much like Ross Dress for Less, offering a 'treasure hunt' for bargains across fashion, accessories, and home items.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Women's Ready-to-Wear Apparel: Fashion-focused clothing for women.
  • Menswear: Clothing and accessories for men.
  • Youth Apparel: Clothing designed for children and teenagers.
  • Footwear: Shoes and other items worn on the feet.
  • Accessories: Complementary items such as handbags, jewelry, and scarves.
  • Toys: Products intended for children's play.
  • Gifts: Various items suitable for presenting to others.
  • Coats: Outerwear for warmth or style.
  • Baby Products: Merchandise for infants and young children.
  • Home Products: Items for household use and decoration.
  • Beauty Products: Cosmetics, skincare, and other personal care items.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Burlington Stores, Inc. (BURL) sells primarily to individual consumers through its network of retail stores.

The company serves the following categories of customers:

  • Value-seeking consumers: Individuals and families who prioritize affordability and actively seek significant discounts on branded apparel, accessories, home goods, and other merchandise. These customers are drawn to Burlington's off-price model, looking for deals and savings.
  • Families shopping for diverse needs: Customers who utilize Burlington as a comprehensive shopping destination to purchase items for multiple family members (men, women, youth) and across various product categories such as clothing, baby products, home goods, toys, and gifts, leveraging the convenience and value of a single store.
  • Trend-aware shoppers on a budget: Consumers who are interested in current fashion trends and popular branded items but prefer to purchase them at discounted prices. They frequent Burlington for its ever-changing inventory of fashion-focused merchandise, allowing them to stay stylish without paying full price.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Michael O'Sullivan, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. O'Sullivan joined Burlington as Chief Executive Officer in September 2019. Before Burlington, he spent 16 years at Ross Stores, an off-price retailer, rising to become their President and Chief Operating Officer in 2009. At Ross, he played a leading role in managing major functional areas including Stores, Loss Prevention, Supply Chain, Finance, IT, Human Resources, Merchandise Allocations, Merchant Support, and Marketing. He also served on Ross's board of directors from 2014 to April 2019. Prior to Ross, Mr. O'Sullivan was a Partner at Bain & Company from 1991 to 2003, where he worked with companies in the retail industry on business strategy and performance improvement.

Kristin Wolfe, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Ms. Wolfe has served as Burlington's Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since August 2022. Before joining Burlington, she held various financial, strategic, and operational roles at Ross Stores, Inc. Most recently, she was Group Senior Vice President, Corporate Finance at Ross Stores from 2021 to May 2022. Her other roles at Ross between 2009 and 2021 included Senior Vice President, Store Operations; Group Vice President, Store Finance and Strategy; and Vice President, Store Finance and Strategy. Prior to her career with Ross Stores, Ms. Wolfe spent approximately 10 years at Bain & Company.

Jennifer Vecchio, Group President and Chief Merchandising Officer

Ms. Vecchio has served as Group President and Chief Merchandising Officer since July 2021. She previously held roles as President and Chief Merchandising Officer (April 2019 – July 2021) and Chief Merchandising Officer/Principal (January 2017 – April 2019). Ms. Vecchio joined Burlington as Executive Vice President and Chief Merchandising Officer in May 2015, after providing consulting services to the merchandising organization from January 2014 to May 2015. From 1997 to June 2011, she held various merchandising positions at Ross Stores, including Executive Vice President of Merchandising. She began her merchandising career at Macy's in 1988.

Travis Marquette, President and Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Marquette has served as President and Chief Operating Officer of Burlington Stores since October 2021. Before joining Burlington, he was the Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Ross Stores from March 2021 through July 2021. Prior to that, he also served as Ross Stores' Group Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer (2019-2021), Group Senior Vice President and Deputy Chief Financial Officer (2018-2019), and Senior Vice President, Finance (2017-2018). Mr. Marquette previously held various consulting and management roles over a 12-year period with Bain & Company, Carter's Inc., and PricewaterhouseCoopers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Burlington Stores' business:
  1. Macroeconomic Conditions and Consumer Spending: Burlington Stores' performance is significantly influenced by overall economic conditions, including inflationary pressures, potential economic downturns, and shifts in consumer spending habits. As an off-price retailer, the company's ability to attract and retain customers is highly dependent on consumers' disposable income and their demand for value.
  2. Highly Competitive Retail Market and Operational Execution: The company operates within a highly fragmented and competitive retail landscape, facing continuous challenges to maintain its competitive edge and adapt to evolving consumer preferences. This also encompasses risks associated with the successful execution of its growth strategy, which relies on expanding its store base and opening new distribution centers, as well as managing costs, inventory, and supply chain efficiencies.
  3. Supply Chain Disruptions and Tariff Impacts: Burlington Stores is exposed to risks related to potential disruptions in its supply chain, which can affect product availability and costs. Additionally, while management anticipates easing pressure from tariffs in 2026, tariffs have historically impacted product assortment and margins, and such pressures could re-emerge or intensify.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat for Burlington Stores is the rapid growth and increasing consumer acceptance of the recommerce (second-hand) market for branded apparel and accessories. Online platforms and apps for buying and selling pre-owned fashion (e.g., Poshmark, ThredUp, The RealReal, Vinted) are gaining significant traction, particularly among younger, value-conscious, and sustainability-minded consumers. These platforms offer branded merchandise at deeply discounted prices, directly competing with off-price retailers like Burlington for consumer spending. This trend represents a fundamental shift in how consumers access value-priced fashion, moving beyond new overstock towards a circular economy for goods, potentially impacting Burlington's ability to attract consumers seeking affordable branded items and the overall demand for new, discounted merchandise.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The addressable markets for Burlington Stores' main products and services in the United States are substantial, reflecting the diverse range of merchandise offered by the retailer. Here's an overview of the market sizes for their key product categories in the U.S.: * **Apparel (Overall):** The United States apparel market is valued at approximately USD 365.70 billion in 2025. Within the broader apparel market, specific categories include: * **Women's Ready-to-Wear Apparel:** The U.S. women's apparel market is projected to grow from USD 291.58 billion in 2023 to an estimated USD 390.49 billion by 2032. * **Menswear:** The U.S. menswear market was valued at USD 165.43 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 209.33 billion by 2030. Another estimate places the U.S. menswear market at USD 154.5 billion in 2025, growing to USD 192.4 billion by 2034. * **Youth Apparel:** The U.S. Kids Apparel Market is projected to grow from USD 49.01 billion in 2025 to USD 69.76 billion by 2035. * **Coats/Outerwear:** The U.S. women's coats and jackets market is expected to reach USD 23.32 billion by 2028. * **Footwear:** The U.S. shoe and footwear market size was USD 95.1 billion in 2024, with projections to reach USD 125.7 billion by 2032. * **Accessories:** The U.S. fashion accessories market generated revenue of USD 222.07 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 342.99 billion by 2030. * **Toys:** The U.S. toys market size reached USD 42.8 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow to USD 56.9 billion by 2032. * **Gifts:** The U.S. All Year Gifting market was valued at USD 106.88 billion in 2024. * **Baby Products:** The Baby Products Market in the U.S. is projected to reach USD 87.2 billion in 2024. * **Home Products:** The U.S. home furnishing market generated a revenue of USD 252.27 billion in 2024. * **Beauty Products:** The United States beauty and personal care products market size is estimated to be USD 130.25 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 154.35 billion by 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for Burlington Stores (BURL)

Burlington Stores (BURL) anticipates future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through a multi-faceted strategy focused on expanding its physical footprint, enhancing the in-store experience, optimizing merchandise offerings, and improving localized assortments. Key drivers include:

  1. New Store Openings and Expansion: Burlington Stores is executing an aggressive store expansion plan. The company expects to open approximately 110 net new stores in fiscal year 2026, with a significant portion of these openings planned for the first half of the year. This is part of a longer-term strategy aiming for roughly 500 net new stores from 2024 through 2028, with the potential to expand its total store base to 2,000 locations. This extensive physical growth is a primary component of its projected low double-digit average annual sales growth through 2028.
  2. Comparable Store Sales Growth: The company forecasts an increase in comparable store sales, projecting a 2% to 4% growth for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 and a 1% to 3% increase for the full fiscal year 2026. Management has expressed a "bullish" outlook on 2026 sales, citing customer resilience, a more favorable tax refund season, and easier comparisons from prior periods that were impacted by tariff-related assortment gaps. Longer-term projections suggest average mid-single-digit comparable store sales growth through 2028.
  3. Burlington 2.0 and Store Experience 2.0 Initiatives: Burlington is actively implementing its "Burlington 2.0" strategic initiatives, which are designed to transform the company into a high-performing off-price retailer. These initiatives focus on strengthening execution across merchandising, store operations, real estate, and the supply chain. A key aspect is the completion of "Store Experience 2.0" remodels, which involve refreshed store layouts and a new logo, aiming to provide a more enjoyable and efficient shopping experience for customers. These efforts are expected to drive improved new store productivity and more disciplined expense management.
  4. Elevation Strategy and Elevated Assortment: The company's "elevation strategy" is centered on offering better, more recognizable brands, higher quality, and more fashion-focused merchandise at compelling values. This strategy has shown clear success, with the highest comparable store sales growth rates observed in higher-priced product categories, indicating strong customer acceptance of the elevated assortment. This approach has led to a mid-single-digit increase in average unit retail, contributing to overall sales growth.
  5. Enhanced Merchandising and Localization Capabilities: Burlington is expanding its "Merchandising 2.0" capabilities, which include a focus on regional and store-level localization. This involves tailoring assortments by region and individual store to better align with local customer demand. Management has identified further investment in localization as a key growth opportunity, aiming to improve product relevance and enhance the overall shopping experience.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • During fiscal year 2025, Burlington Stores repurchased $251 million in common stock, with $59 million occurring in the fourth quarter.
  • As of the end of the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 (January 31, 2026), the company had $385 million remaining on its share repurchase authorization, which is set to expire in May 2027.
  • In May 2025, Burlington Stores authorized a share repurchase program to buy back up to $500 million of its common stock through May 2027.

Capital Expenditures

  • For fiscal year 2026, Burlington Stores anticipates capital expenditures, net of landlord allowances, to be approximately $875 million.
  • The primary focus of these 2026 capital expenditures includes opening 110 net new stores and a new distribution center in Savannah, Georgia. Approximately 60% of these new stores are projected to open in the first half of the year.
  • In fiscal year 2025, capital expenditures, net of landlord allowances, were approximately $950 million, supporting the opening of 104 net new stores.

Better Bets vs. Burlington Stores (BURL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to BURL.

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MBLY_2272026_Dip_Buyer_HighCashEquity_ExInd02272026MBLYMobileye GlobalDip BuyDB | Cash/EquityDip Buyer with High Net Cash % Equity
Buying dips for companies with significant net cash as a % of market cap along with meaningful cash flow generation
0.0%0.0%0.0%
SAH_2202026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202202026SAHSonic AutomotiveInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.9%-5.9%-6.1%
MAT_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026MATMattelInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
2.9%2.9%0.0%
SONO_2132026_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE_V202132026SONOSonosInsiderInsider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider Buying
Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
-0.7%-0.7%-4.6%
DECK_2062026_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy02062026DECKDeckers OutdoorDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.6%1.6%-0.8%
BURL_3312020_Dip_Buyer_2_Growing_With_High_FCF_Yield03312020BURLBurlington StoresDip BuyDB | Growth | FCF YieldDip Buy with Growth and High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with growth, and significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap)
29.2%88.6%-11.3%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BURLTJXROSTKSSOLLITGTMedian
NameBurlingt.TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Kohl's Ollie's .Target  
Mkt Price325.38159.70216.6312.9092.04121.20140.45
Mkt Cap20.4177.669.61.45.654.937.7
Rev LTM11,56758,97922,02715,5272,649104,78018,777
Op Inc LTM8456,6712,6245103235,1171,735
FCF LTM1494,4181,9631,0081952,8351,486
FCF 3Y Avg1574,4761,8855941443,7091,239
CFO LTM1,2316,4212,7881,3802976,5622,084
CFO 3Y Avg9886,3052,6641,0652597,5171,865

Growth & Margins

BURLTJXROSTKSSOLLITGTMedian
NameBurlingt.TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Kohl's Ollie's .Target  
Rev Chg LTM8.8%4.5%3.7%-4.3%16.6%-1.7%4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.0%6.2%6.0%-5.0%13.2%-1.3%6.1%
Rev Chg Q11.3%7.5%10.4%-4.2%16.8%-1.5%9.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.3%1.8%2.5%-1.4%4.4%-0.4%2.1%
Op Mgn LTM7.3%11.3%11.9%3.3%12.2%4.9%9.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.6%10.9%11.7%3.5%11.8%5.1%8.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%0.1%-0.1%0.1%0.2%-0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM10.6%10.9%12.7%8.9%11.2%6.3%10.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.2%11.3%12.8%6.5%11.1%7.1%10.2%
FCF/Rev LTM1.3%7.5%8.9%6.5%7.3%2.7%6.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.5%8.0%9.0%3.7%6.1%3.5%4.9%

Valuation

BURLTJXROSTKSSOLLITGTMedian
NameBurlingt.TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Kohl's Ollie's .Target  
Mkt Cap20.4177.669.61.45.654.937.7
P/S1.83.03.20.12.10.51.9
P/EBIT23.025.824.82.317.510.520.2
P/E33.534.733.45.323.414.828.4
P/CFO16.627.725.01.019.08.417.8
Total Yield3.0%3.9%3.7%22.6%4.3%10.5%4.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.0%0.7%3.9%0.0%3.7%0.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg1.2%3.4%3.7%24.9%2.4%6.5%3.5%
D/E0.30.10.14.60.10.40.2
Net D/E0.20.00.04.10.10.30.2

Returns

BURLTJXROSTKSSOLLITGTMedian
NameBurlingt.TJX Comp.Ross Sto.Kohl's Ollie's .Target  
1M Rtn6.0%-1.2%5.6%-20.4%-14.1%6.5%2.2%
3M Rtn13.0%3.1%19.6%-36.0%-15.9%25.7%8.0%
6M Rtn27.9%11.1%42.8%-14.8%-28.3%38.2%19.5%
12M Rtn36.5%32.7%71.2%63.5%-20.9%21.5%34.6%
3Y Rtn61.0%112.3%110.7%-32.0%58.9%-18.5%59.9%
1M Excs Rtn12.1%5.0%12.4%-10.7%-4.1%12.2%8.5%
3M Excs Rtn18.8%7.8%25.6%-32.1%-11.5%30.3%13.3%
6M Excs Rtn28.2%13.9%45.3%-12.8%-28.0%41.6%21.1%
12M Excs Rtn19.9%19.8%57.5%40.9%-35.7%5.3%19.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-2.3%57.7%56.2%-89.9%-6.0%-78.0%-4.1%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20262025202420232022
Accessories and shoes2,8672,6212,0892,1441,383
Ladies apparel2,2302,0391,9152,1441,153
Home2,1231,9421,8281,8641,210
Mens apparel1,8051,6511,4791,492922
Kids apparel and baby1,2741,1651,0441,305865
Outerwear319291348373231
Other revenue1818   
Total10,6359,7278,7039,3225,764


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$325.38 
Market Cap ($ Bil)20.4 
First Trading Date10/02/2013 
Distance from 52W High-1.2% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$306.35$279.66
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA6.2%16.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility35.2%41.2%
Downside Capture0.190.89
Upside Capture121.83140.81
Correlation (SPY)38.0%49.8%
BURL Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.441.261.060.941.081.14
Up Beta1.340.260.77-0.241.081.24
Down Beta3.552.501.801.080.800.92
Up Capture126%168%124%163%165%164%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days11233370134383
Down Capture14%46%39%86%115%105%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days11193056117367

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BURL
BURL32.6%41.1%0.79-
Sector ETF (XLY)11.3%23.6%0.3950.1%
Equity (SPY)17.2%18.9%0.7250.5%
Gold (GLD)52.7%27.9%1.51-3.5%
Commodities (DBC)17.9%17.6%0.8618.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.8%16.5%-0.0032.4%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-20.8%44.1%-0.4021.3%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BURL
BURL1.7%43.6%0.18-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.8%23.7%0.2550.1%
Equity (SPY)12.1%17.0%0.5546.4%
Gold (GLD)21.7%17.8%1.002.6%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.8%0.507.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.6%18.8%0.1035.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.9%56.6%0.3117.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with BURL
BURL19.3%41.6%0.57-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.0%21.9%0.5052.8%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6748.6%
Gold (GLD)13.8%15.9%0.720.2%
Commodities (DBC)8.1%17.6%0.3813.3%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2143.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.1%66.8%1.0513.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 228202624.8%
Average Daily Volume1.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.4 days
Basic Shares Quantity62.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares4.4%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/5/20266.9%1.0% 
11/25/2025-12.2%-12.5%0.9%
8/28/20255.3%7.5%-5.9%
5/29/2025-4.5%-0.1%-3.3%
3/6/20258.7%2.7%-0.5%
11/26/2024-1.6%-2.0%1.2%
8/29/2024-2.1%-2.0%-2.8%
5/30/202417.6%17.5%19.8%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive121210
# Negative121213
Median Positive8.6%9.5%8.7%
Median Negative-4.2%-6.6%-5.9%
Max Positive20.7%25.4%38.0%
Max Negative-13.0%-20.4%-26.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
01/31/202603/19/202610-K
10/31/202511/25/202510-Q
07/31/202508/28/202510-Q
04/30/202505/30/202510-Q
01/31/202503/17/202510-K
10/31/202411/26/202410-Q
07/31/202408/29/202410-Q
04/30/202405/30/202410-Q
01/31/202403/15/202410-K
10/31/202311/21/202310-Q
07/31/202308/24/202310-Q
04/30/202305/25/202310-Q
01/31/202303/13/202310-K
10/31/202211/22/202210-Q
07/31/202208/25/202210-Q
04/30/202205/26/202210-Q

Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/5/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q1 2026 Revenue Growth9.0%10.0%11.0%  Higher New
Q1 2026 Comparable Store Sales Growth2.0%3.0%4.0%50.0%1.0%Higher NewActual: 2.0% for Q1 2025
Q1 2026 Operating Margin Change-1.0%-0.8%-0.6%  Lower New
Q1 2026 EPS1.61.681.750.3% Higher NewActual: 1.67 for Q1 2025
2026 Revenue Growth8.0%9.0%10.0%12.5%1.0%RaisedGuidance: 8.0% for 2025
2026 Comparable Store Sales Growth1.0%2.0%3.0%33.3%0.5%RaisedGuidance: 1.5% for 2025
2026 Capital Expenditures 875.00 Mil -7.9% LoweredGuidance: 950.00 Mil for 2025
2026 Operating Margin Change0.0%0.1%0.2%-84.6%-0.6%LoweredGuidance: 0.65% for 2025
2026 EPS10.911.211.414.4% RaisedGuidance: 9.79 for 2025

Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/25/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
Q4 2025 Revenue Growth7.0%8.0%9.0%   
Q4 2025 Comparable Store Sales Growth0.0%1.0%2.0%   
Q4 2025 Operating Margin0.3%0.4%0.5%   
Q4 2025 EPS4.54.64.7   
2025 Revenue Growth 8.0% 6.7%0.5%RaisedGuidance: 7.5% for 2025
2025 Comparable Store Sales Growth1.0%1.5%2.0%00AffirmedGuidance: 1.5% for 2025
2025 Capital Expenditures 950.00 Mil 0 AffirmedGuidance: 950.00 Mil for 2025
2025 Operating Margin0.6%0.65%0.7%116.7%0.4%RaisedGuidance: 0.3% for 2025
2025 EPS9.699.799.894.3% RaisedGuidance: 9.39 for 2025
2028 Operating Income 1.60 Bil    

Insider Activity

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#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Vecchio, JenniferGroup President and CMODirectSell1062026292.51419122,56118,402,643Form
2Vecchio, JenniferGroup President and CMODirectSell12032025247.62419103,75215,682,104Form
3Vecchio, JenniferGroup President and CMODirectSell11052025274.48419115,00917,498,653Form
4Marquette, TravisPresident and COODirectSell10082025261.358421,9545,904,489Form
5Vecchio, JenniferGroup President and CMODirectSell10032025254.04419106,44116,301,451Form