Sonos (SONO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.21 | Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Consumer Electronics
Sonos (SONO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $18.21Market Cap: $2.2 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Consumer Electronics
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -5.0% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Digital Content & Streaming, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.3% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 51% | ||
| Key risksSONO key risks include [1] significant erosion of customer trust and brand reputation stemming from a disastrous 2024 app rollout, Show more. |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Digital Content & Streaming, and Smart Buildings & Proptech. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -5.0% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -36%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -33 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -2.3% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.3% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 51% |
| Key risksSONO key risks include [1] significant erosion of customer trust and brand reputation stemming from a disastrous 2024 app rollout, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SONO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The public company Sonos (SONO) experienced a significant positive movement in its stock price during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025, driven by several key factors.
1. Strong Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results: Sonos reported better-than-expected financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter 2025, which ended in September 2025. The company's revenue increased by 13% year-over-year to $287.9 million, exceeding analyst estimates. Additionally, the non-GAAP loss per share of 6 cents was narrower than the analyst consensus.
2. Positive Fiscal First Quarter 2026 Revenue Guidance: The company provided optimistic guidance for its fiscal first quarter 2026, projecting revenues between $510 million and $560 million. This guidance met or surpassed analyst expectations and implied slightly positive underlying demand growth.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SONO Return | 50% | 27% | -43% | 1% | -12% | 21% | 17% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 10% | -43% | -25% | -13% | -5% | -52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SONO Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 47% | 36% | 39% | 39% | 39% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SONO Max Drawdown | -55% | -1% | -53% | -42% | -35% | -49% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -15% | -54% | -46% | -34% | -56% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GPRO, UEIC, KN. See SONO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SONO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -77.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 345.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -55.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 126.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -55.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 126.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 699 days | 120 days |
Compare to MTH, KBH, MHO, HNI, GRMN
In The Past
Sonos's stock fell -77.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/15/2021. A -77.5% loss requires a 345.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Sonos Earnings Notes | |||
| Would You Still Hold Sonos Stock If It Fell 30%? | Return | ||
| Sonos (SONO) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sonos (SONO) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sonos (SONO) Debt Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sonos (SONO) EBITDA Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sonos (SONO) Tax Expense Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sonos (SONO) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| Sonos (SONO) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| SONO Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 10th, 2025 | ||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | December 3rd, 2025 | ||
| Sonos Stock Is Down Despite Product Price Hikes And Patent Win. Time To Buy? | September 22nd, 2021 | ||
| What’s Happening With Sonos Stock? | August 17th, 2021 | ||
| Sonos Stock: Buy The Dip? | May 18th, 2021 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SONO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Sonos
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.70 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 612 |
| Op Inc LTM | -19 |
| FCF LTM | 54 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 56 |
| CFO LTM | 68 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 74 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -2.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | -2.9 |
| P/E | -2.8 |
| P/CFO | 7.9 |
| Total Yield | -19.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -15.1% |
| 6M Rtn | 51.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 18.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | -32.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -19.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 39.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 6.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -103.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 1.4% | 2.9% | 16.7% |
| 8/6/2025 | -0.6% | 21.2% | 33.1% |
| 5/7/2025 | 9.7% | 21.7% | 11.9% |
| 2/6/2025 | 5.2% | -8.0% | -9.7% |
| 11/13/2024 | -2.3% | -8.0% | 3.5% |
| 8/7/2024 | -1.6% | -6.3% | -3.2% |
| 5/7/2024 | -4.2% | -1.5% | -9.7% |
| 2/6/2024 | 17.1% | 10.3% | 15.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 9.7% | 9.6% | 11.9% |
| Median Negative | -4.5% | -8.0% | -13.0% |
| Max Positive | 29.8% | 25.5% | 49.9% |
| Max Negative | -24.9% | -28.2% | -29.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11142025 | 10-K 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11152024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11202023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11232022 | 10-K 10/1/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8112022 | 10-Q 7/2/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 4/2/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2102022 | 10-Q 1/1/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |