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Macy's (M)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.42 | Market Cap: $6.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail

Macy's (M)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $22.42
Market Cap: $6.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Broadline Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 6.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 18%, FCF Yield is 19%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 147%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 101%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 22%, Dividend Yield is 6.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 18%, FCF Yield is 19%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -32%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Show more.
3 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -1.6%, Dist 3Y High is -1.6%
4 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -62%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 147%
6 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 101%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.4%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

M Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points highlighting why Macy's stock moved by 71.6% for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Stronger-than-Expected Q3 2025 Financial Results: Macy's reported third-quarter 2025 net sales of $4.7 billion, exceeding its guidance range and analyst estimates of $4.6 billion. The company also posted adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.09, significantly surpassing the average analyst estimate for a loss of $0.13 per share. This unexpected profitability and revenue beat were crucial drivers for investor confidence.

2. Robust Comparable Sales Growth: Macy's achieved its strongest comparable sales growth in 13 quarters, with an increase of 3.2% on an owned-plus-licensed-plus-marketplace (O+L+M) basis, also exceeding guidance. All nameplates, including Macy's, Bloomingdale's (up 9.0% O+L+M), and Bluemercury (up 1.1% owned basis), contributed positively to this growth.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
M Return-31%136%-19%2%-12%40%64%
Peers Return12%6%-16%21%5%17%49%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
M Win Rate58%83%25%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate43%43%33%50%42%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
M Max Drawdown-73%-0%-41%-47%-28%-40% 
Peers Max Drawdown-38%-12%-28%-13%-14%-22% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TJX, TGT, OLLI, KSS, BGO. See M Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-71.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven253.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-75.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven308.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven345 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven192.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-87.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven718.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1631 days1480 days

Compare to TJX, TGT, OLLI, KSS, BGO


In The Past

Macy's's stock fell -71.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -71.7% loss requires a 253.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Macy's (M)

Better Bets than Macy's (M)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to M. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
M_5312023_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312023MMacy'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
18.0%46.8%-20.3%
M_8312019_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG08312019MMacy'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.2%-48.7%-67.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
M_5312023_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG05312023MMacy'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
18.0%46.8%-20.3%
M_8312019_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG08312019MMacy'sDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.2%-48.7%-67.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Macy's

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MTJXTGTOLLIKSSBGOMedian
NameMacy's TJX Comp.Target Ollie's .Kohl's Bialgo C. 
Mkt Price22.46150.0690.92118.3722.97-90.92
Mkt Cap6.1167.341.37.32.6-7.3
Rev LTM22,70257,925105,6402,44115,886-22,702
Op Inc LTM8496,4765,424265521-849
FCF LTM6034,0412,944144480-603
FCF 3Y Avg4064,3583,282125543-543
CFO LTM1,3965,9356,386253907-1,396
CFO 3Y Avg1,3836,1457,4702341,050-1,383

Growth & Margins

MTJXTGTOLLIKSSBGOMedian
NameMacy's TJX Comp.Target Ollie's .Kohl's Bialgo C. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.4%4.1%-1.5%10.1%-7.2%--1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-4.5%5.3%-0.7%11.9%-5.6%--0.7%
Rev Chg Q-1.9%6.9%-0.9%17.5%-5.0%--0.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.4%1.6%-0.2%4.3%-1.2%--0.2%
Op Mgn LTM3.7%11.2%5.1%10.9%3.3%-5.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg4.6%10.7%5.1%10.7%2.7%-5.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.2%-0.3%0.2%0.0%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM6.1%10.2%6.0%10.4%5.7%-6.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg5.9%11.2%7.0%10.7%6.2%-7.0%
FCF/Rev LTM2.7%7.0%2.8%5.9%3.0%-3.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.7%8.0%3.1%5.8%3.2%-3.2%

Valuation

MTJXTGTOLLIKSSBGOMedian
NameMacy's TJX Comp.Target Ollie's .Kohl's Bialgo C. 
Mkt Cap6.1167.341.37.32.6-7.3
P/S0.12.40.43.30.1-0.4
P/EBIT4.220.68.130.51.7-8.1
P/E6.427.711.437.94.6-11.4
P/CFO2.323.27.032.01.0-7.0
Total Yield21.8%4.9%13.3%2.6%36.5%-13.3%
Dividend Yield6.2%1.3%4.6%0.0%14.6%-4.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.6%3.7%5.6%2.4%31.9%-5.6%
D/E1.70.10.40.17.2-0.4
Net D/E1.50.10.30.07.0-0.3

Returns

MTJXTGTOLLIKSSBGOMedian
NameMacy's TJX Comp.Target Ollie's .Kohl's Bialgo C. 
1M Rtn12.6%7.2%0.7%-4.8%40.1%-7.2%
3M Rtn39.5%7.9%-0.3%-7.9%44.9%-7.9%
6M Rtn101.4%17.9%-0.9%3.5%188.5%-17.9%
12M Rtn43.3%21.8%-27.8%21.6%61.4%-21.8%
3Y Rtn9.0%95.1%-38.5%95.7%-7.4%-9.0%
1M Excs Rtn12.7%7.2%0.7%-4.7%40.1%-7.2%
3M Excs Rtn26.3%1.4%-6.0%-16.9%34.5%-1.4%
6M Excs Rtn86.7%3.2%-15.7%-11.3%173.8%-3.2%
12M Excs Rtn31.9%7.3%-41.8%6.1%50.9%-7.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-62.3%22.7%-111.8%17.4%-79.5%--62.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment23,86625,449   
Credit card revenues, net  832751771
Home/Other  4,6543,7454,067
Macy's Media Network revenue, net  107  
Men's and Kids  5,2473,4865,628
Women's Accessories, Shoes, Cosmetics and Fragrances  9,3857,2069,454
Women's Apparel  5,1742,9095,411
Total23,86625,44925,39918,09725,331


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity19,440,637
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-19.0%
Average Daily Volume6,067,965
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.20
Basic Shares Quantity271,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares7.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
7312025910202510-Q 8/2/2025
4302025605202510-Q 5/3/2025
1312025321202510-K 2/1/2025
103120241212202410-Q 11/2/2024
7312024904202410-Q 8/3/2024
4302024530202410-Q 5/4/2024
1312024322202410-K 2/3/2024
103120231128202310-Q 10/28/2023
7312023825202310-Q 7/29/2023
4302023606202310-Q 4/29/2023
1312023324202310-K 1/28/2023
103120221130202210-Q 10/29/2022
7312022826202210-Q 7/30/2022
4302022607202210-Q 4/30/2022
1312022325202210-K 1/29/2022
103120211207202110-Q 10/30/2021